Tampa Bay BuccaneersatDallas Cowboys
Fri, Oct 9, 12:15 AM UTC · AT&T Stadium · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
TB 23.1 — DAL 24.1
Win probability
DAL 58%
Model confidence
Moderate
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
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Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
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A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
TB (left) versus DAL (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Last 5
- 1-4
- Last 10
- 4-6
- Avg scored
- 22.1
- Avg allowed
- 21.1
- Streak
- L4
Dallas Cowboys
- Last 5
- 2-3
- Last 10
- 5-5
- Avg scored
- 24.5
- Avg allowed
- 22.8
- Streak
- L1
Historical matchup
DAL 2 — 0 TB
Sample size: 2 games
This is a very small sample. Head-to-head history carries little weight on its own, especially when rosters, coaching or circumstances have changed.
Player availability
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Cade Ottonavailable
- Ted Hurstavailable
- Ryan GriffinQBavailable
- Cameron BrateTEavailable
- Mike EvansWRavailable
- Jameis WinstonQBavailable
- Breshad PerrimanWRavailable
- Peyton BarberRBavailable
- Cyril GraysonWRavailable
- Antony AuclairTEavailable
- Bobo WilsonWRavailable
- T.J. LoganRBavailable
- Dare OgunbowaleRBavailable
- O.J. HowardTEavailable
- Chris GodwinWRavailable
- Justin WatsonWRavailable
- Tanner HudsonTEavailable
- John FranklinWRavailable
- Codey McElroyTEavailable
- Vita VeaNTavailable
- Ronald JonesRBavailable
- Ishmael HymanWRavailable
- Scott MillerWRavailable
- Tom BradyQBavailable
- LeSean McCoyRBavailable
- Rob GronkowskiTEavailable
- Antonio BrownWRavailable
- Blaine GabbertQBavailable
- Kenjon BarnerRBavailable
- Joe HaegTavailable
- Jaydon MickensWRavailable
- Leonard FournetteRBavailable
- Tyler JohnsonWRavailable
- Ke'Shawn VaughnRBavailable
- Teddy Bridgewateravailable
- Rachaad Whiteavailable
- Sean Tuckerquestionable
- Sterling Shepardavailable
- Owen Wrightavailable
- Jalen McMillanquestionable
- Mike Evansavailable
- Ryan Milleravailable
- Payne Durhamavailable
- Devin Culpavailable
- Tristan Wirfsavailable
- Lavonte Davidavailable
- Jamel Deanavailable
- Logan Hallavailable
- Haason Reddickavailable
- Chris Braswellavailable
- Deion Jonesavailable
- Christian Izienavailable
- Greg Gainesavailable
- Kindle Vildoravailable
- Josh Hayesavailable
- John Bullockavailable
- Markees Wattsavailable
- Kaevon Merriweatheravailable
- Elijah Simmonsavailable
- C.J. Breweravailable
- Rashad Wisdomavailable
- Ko Kieftavailable
- J.T. Grayavailable
- Graham Bartonavailable
- Nick Jacksonavailable
- Evan Deckersavailable
- Sebastian Castroavailable
- Josiah Trotteravailable
- Alex Anzaloneavailable
- Antoine Winfield Jr.available
- Zyon McCollumavailable
- Benjamin Morrisonavailable
- A'Shawn Robinsonavailable
- Giovani BernardRBavailable
- Le'Veon BellRBavailable
- Tykee Smithavailable
- Keionte Scottavailable
- Kevin Knowles IIavailable
- YaYa Diabyavailable
- Anthony Nelsonavailable
- SirVocea Dennisavailable
- Kameron Johnsonavailable
- David Walkeravailable
- Rakeem Nunez-Rochesavailable
- Al-Quadin Muhammadavailable
- Rueben Bain Jr.available
- Miles Killebrewavailable
- Bauer Sharpavailable
- Chase McLaughlinavailable
- Josh Williamsavailable
- Deon YelderTEavailable
- Russell GageWRavailable
- Jaelon DardenWRavailable
- Julio JonesWRavailable
- Kyle RudolphTEavailable
- Kyle TraskQBavailable
- Rachaad WhiteRBavailable
- Ko KieftTEavailable
- Deven ThompkinsWRavailable
- Cade OttonTEavailable
- David MooreWRavailable
- David WellsTEavailable
- Chase EdmondsRBavailable
- Baker MayfieldQBavailable
- Rakim JarrettWRavailable
- Sean TuckerRBavailable
- Payne DurhamTEavailable
- Trey PalmerWRavailable
- Sterling ShepardWRavailable
- Tavierre ThomasCBavailable
- J.J. RussellILBavailable
- Ryan MillerWRavailable
- Bucky IrvingRBavailable
- Kameron JohnsonWRavailable
- Devin CulpTEavailable
- Jalen McMillanWRavailable
- Jacob Parrishavailable
- Vita Veaavailable
- Elijah Robertsavailable
- Calijah Kanceyavailable
- Riley Dixonavailable
- Baker Mayfieldavailable
- Bucky Irvingavailable
- Kenneth Gainwellavailable
- Chris Godwinavailable
- Tez Johnsonavailable
- Emeka Egbukaavailable
Dallas Cowboys
- Jason WittenTEavailable
- Randall CobbWRavailable
- Jamize OlawaleFBavailable
- Tavon AustinWRavailable
- Amari CooperWRavailable
- Devin SmithWRavailable
- Ezekiel ElliottRBavailable
- Dak PrescottQBavailable
- Blake JarwinTEavailable
- T.Y. HiltonWRavailable
- Dalton SchultzTEavailable
- Cedrick WilsonWRavailable
- Michael GallupWRavailable
- Tony PollardRBavailable
- Dak Prescottavailable
- Javonte Williamsavailable
- KaVontae Turpinavailable
- Ventell BryantWRavailable
- Joe Milton IIIavailable
- Malik Davisavailable
- Jaydon Blueavailable
- Miles Sandersavailable
- Phil Mafahavailable
- Jalen Tolbertavailable
- Kenneth Murray Jr.available
- Donovan Wilsonavailable
- Reddy Stewardavailable
- Andy DaltonQBavailable
- Chris JonesPavailable
- C.J. GoodwinCBavailable
- Garrett GilbertQBavailable
- Blake BellTEavailable
- Mazi Smithavailable
- Darian ThompsonFSavailable
- Noah BrownWRavailable
- Rico DowdleRBavailable
- CeeDee LambWRavailable
- Ben DiNucciQBavailable
- Bryan AngerPavailable
- Jeremy SprinkleTEavailable
- Cooper RushQBavailable
- Corey ClementRBavailable
- Ito SmithRBavailable
- Malik TurnerWRavailable
- Hunter Luepkeavailable
- Ryan Flournoyavailable
- James WashingtonWRavailable
- Brandon Aubreyavailable
- CeeDee Lambavailable
- Jake Fergusonavailable
- George Pickensavailable
- Luke Schoonmakeravailable
- Brevyn SpannFordavailable
- Jonathan Mingoavailable
- Shemar Jamesavailable
- DaRon Blandavailable
- Malik Hookeravailable
- Osa Odighizuwaavailable
- Markquese Bellavailable
- Jadeveon Clowneyavailable
- Donovan Ezeiruakuavailable
- Sam Williamsavailable
- Kenny Clarkavailable
- James Houstonavailable
- Shavon Revelavailable
- Jack Sanbornavailable
- Marist Liufauavailable
- Kaiir Elamavailable
- Sean McKeonTEavailable
- Terence SteeleTavailable
- Jaquan HardyRBavailable
- DeMarvion Overshownavailable
- Solomon Thomasavailable
- Juanyeh Thomasavailable
- Trevon Diggsavailable
- Logan Wilsonavailable
- Chauncey GolstonDTavailable
- Nahshon WrightCBavailable
- Simi FehokoWRavailable
- Malik DavisRBavailable
- Peyton HendershotTEavailable
- Dennis HoustonWRavailable
- Jalen TolbertWRavailable
- Kavontae TurpinWRavailable
- Jake FergusonTEavailable
- Brandin CooksWRavailable
- Noah IgbinogheneCBavailable
- Luke SchoonmakerTEavailable
- Deuce VaughnRBavailable
- Jalen BrooksWRavailable
- Hunter LuepkeFBavailable
- Dalvin CookRBavailable
- Trey LanceQBavailable
- Tyler SmithGavailable
- Juanyeh ThomasFSavailable
- Emari Demercadoavailable
- Caleb Downsavailable
- Jalen Thompsonavailable
- Jaishawn Barhamavailable
- Dee Wintersavailable
- Malachi Lawrenceavailable
- Rashan Garyavailable
- Otito Ogbonniaavailable
- P.J. Lockeavailable
- Cobie Durantavailable
- Tyrus Wheatavailable
- Jonathan Bullardavailable
- LT Overtonavailable
- Von Milleravailable
- Jonathan MingoWRavailable
- Ryan FlournoyWRavailable
- Brevyn Spann-FordTEavailable
- Trikweze Bridgesavailable
- Quinnen Williamsavailable
- C.J. Goodwinavailable
- Alijah Clarkavailable
- Caelen Carsonavailable
- Dante Fowler Jr.available
- Damone Clarkavailable
- Marshawn Kneelandavailable
- Josh Butleravailable
- Jay Toiaavailable
- Corey Ballentineavailable
- Perrion Winfreyavailable
- Zion Childressavailable
- Jalen Brooksavailable
- Parris Campbellavailable
- Princeton Fantavailable
- Trent Siegavailable
- Robert Rochellavailable
- Jalen MorenoCropperavailable
- Bryan Angeravailable
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