Cincinnati BengalsatWashington Commanders
Tue, Nov 24, 1:15 AM UTC · Northwest Stadium · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
CIN 30.0 — WAS 19.5
Win probability
CIN 71%
Model confidence
High
Projection built from each team's scoring over its last 10 games, form weighted toward the last 3 and 5, the strength of the opponents it faced, a home-field adjustment, and a small allowance for high-production players listed as unavailable. Statistical estimate, not a guaranteed outcome.
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
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Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
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A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
CIN (left) versus WAS (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
Cincinnati Bengals
- Last 5
- 4-1
- Last 10
- 9-1
- Avg scored
- 26.3
- Avg allowed
- 17.3
- Streak
- L1
Washington Commanders
- Last 5
- 1-4
- Last 10
- 5-5
- Avg scored
- 22.5
- Avg allowed
- 28.2
- Streak
- W1
Historical matchup
WAS 2 — 0 CIN
Sample size: 2 games
This is a very small sample. Head-to-head history carries little weight on its own, especially when rosters, coaching or circumstances have changed.
Player availability
Cincinnati Bengals
- Gary Brightwellavailable
- Ryan Rehkowavailable
- Andy DaltonQBavailable
- Giovani BernardRBavailable
- Tyler EifertTEavailable
- C.J. UzomahTEavailable
- Alex EricksonWRavailable
- Tyler BoydWRavailable
- Dohnte Meyersavailable
- Bryan Cookavailable
- Jonathan Allenavailable
- Swayze Bozemanavailable
- Tacario Davisavailable
- Boye Mafeavailable
- Cethan CarterTEavailable
- John RossWRavailable
- Brandon WilsonFSavailable
- Joe MixonRBavailable
- Auden TateWRavailable
- Stanley MorganWRavailable
- Damion WillisWRavailable
- Drew SampleTEavailable
- Ryan FinleyQBavailable
- A.J. GreenWRavailable
- Shawn WilliamsSSavailable
- Brandon AllenQBavailable
- Mike ThomasWRavailable
- Samaje PerineRBavailable
- Mason SchreckTEavailable
- Trayveon WilliamsRBavailable
- Trenton IrwinWRavailable
- Mitchell WilcoxTEavailable
- Tee HigginsWRavailable
- Joe BurrowQBavailable
- Trent TaylorWRavailable
- Chris EvansRBavailable
- Ja'Marr ChaseWRavailable
- Hayden HurstTEavailable
- Devin AsiasiTEavailable
- AJ McCarronQBavailable
- Tanner HudsonTEavailable
- Irv SmithTEavailable
- Jake BrowningQBavailable
- Kwamie LassiterWRavailable
- Charlie JonesWRavailable
- Chase BrownRBavailable
- Andrei IosivasWRavailable
- Shedrick JacksonWRavailable
- Mike GesickiTEavailable
- Sam HubbardDEavailable
- Zack MossRBavailable
- Khalil HerbertRBavailable
- Kendric PryorWRavailable
- Cam GrandyTEavailable
- Jermaine BurtonWRavailable
- Erick AllTEavailable
- Joe Burrowavailable
- Joe Flaccoavailable
- Jake Browningavailable
- Chase Brownavailable
- Samaje Perineavailable
- Tahj Brooksavailable
- Andrei Iosivasavailable
- Ja'Marr Chaseavailable
- Ke'Shawn Williamsavailable
- Drew Sampleavailable
- Kendall Miltonavailable
- Tee Higginsavailable
- Mike Gesickiavailable
- Noah Fantavailable
- Tanner Hudsonavailable
- Mitchell Tinsleyavailable
- Cody Fordavailable
- Cam Grandyavailable
- Jordan Battleavailable
- Demetrius Knight IIavailable
- Barrett Carteravailable
- Geno Stoneavailable
- Dax Hillavailable
- BJ Hillavailable
- T.J. Slatonavailable
- Myles Murphyavailable
- Oren Burksavailable
- Logan Wilsonavailable
- Joseph Ossaiavailable
- DJ Turneravailable
- Kris Jenkinsavailable
- Joe Giles-Harrisavailable
- Tycen Andersonavailable
- Cam Taylor-Brittavailable
- Cedric Johnsonavailable
- Jalen Davisavailable
- PJ Julesavailable
- Cam Sampleavailable
- DJ Iveyavailable
- Shaka Heywardavailable
- Trey Hendricksonavailable
- Josh Newtonavailable
- Mike Pennel Jr.available
- Shemar Stewartavailable
- McKinnley Jacksonavailable
- Isaiah Foskeyavailable
- Daijahn Anthonyavailable
- Howard Cross IIIavailable
- Bralyn Luxavailable
- Marco Wilsonavailable
- Amarius Mimsavailable
- William Wagneravailable
- Jalen Riversavailable
- Dalton Risneravailable
- Evan McPhersonavailable
- Charlie Jonesavailable
Washington Commanders
- Vernon DavisTEavailable
- Adrian PetersonRBavailable
- Colt McCoyQBavailable
- Case KeenumQBavailable
- Chris ThompsonRBavailable
- Paul RichardsonWRavailable
- Michael BurtonFBavailable
- Josh FergusonRBavailable
- Wendell SmallwoodRBavailable
- Jeremy SprinkleTEavailable
- Cam SimsWRavailable
- Trey QuinnWRavailable
- Derrius GuiceRBavailable
- Steven SimsWRavailable
- Hale HentgesTEavailable
- Dwayne HaskinsQBavailable
- Kelvin HarmonWRavailable
- Terry McLaurinWRavailable
- Carson WentzQBavailable
- Alex SmithQBavailable
- Dontrelle InmanWRavailable
- Logan ThomasTEavailable
- Taylor HeinickeQBavailable
- J.D. McKissicRBavailable
- Peyton BarberRBavailable
- Temarrick HemingwayTEavailable
- Marcus BaughTEavailable
- Jeff BadetWRavailable
- Robert FosterWRavailable
- Kyle AllenQBavailable
- Isaiah WrightWRavailable
- Antonio GibsonRBavailable
- Antonio Gandy-GoldenWRavailable
- Ryan FitzpatrickQBavailable
- Jayden Danielsavailable
- Marcus Mariotaavailable
- Antonio Williamsavailable
- Jacory Merrittavailable
- Rachaad Whiteavailable
- Kaytron Allenavailable
- Stefon Diggsavailable
- Terry McLaurinavailable
- Chigoziem Okonkwoavailable
- Colson Yankoffavailable
- John Batesavailable
- Ben Sinnottavailable
- Jaylin Laneavailable
- Leo Chenalavailable
- Amik Robertsonavailable
- Nick Crossavailable
- Sonny Stylesavailable
- Odafe Owehavailable
- Garrett GilbertQBavailable
- DeAndre CarterWRavailable
- Adam HumphriesWRavailable
- Jonathan WilliamsRBavailable
- Curtis SamuelWRavailable
- Ricky Seals-JonesTEavailable
- Reggie BonnafonRBavailable
- Dyami BrownWRavailable
- John BatesTEavailable
- Dax MilneWRavailable
- Jaret PattersonRBavailable
- Sam HowellQBavailable
- Cole TurnerTEavailable
- Armani RogersTEavailable
- Jahan DotsonWRavailable
- Brian RobinsonRBavailable
- Tress WayPavailable
- Jamison CrowderWRavailable
- Jacoby BrissettQBavailable
- Alex ArmahRBavailable
- Byron PringleWRavailable
- Derrick GoreRBavailable
- Chris Rodriguez Jr.RBavailable
- Zach ErtzTEavailable
- Marcus MariotaQBavailable
- Noah BrownWRavailable
- Austin EkelerRBavailable
- Jeremy McNicholsRBavailable
- Trenton ScottTavailable
- Olamide ZaccheausWRavailable
- Brycen TremayneWRavailable
- Luke McCaffreyWRavailable
- Jayden DanielsQBavailable
- Ben SinnottTEavailable
- Jeremy Reavesavailable
- Frankie Luvuavailable
- Mike Sainristilavailable
- Javon Kinlawavailable
- Dorance Armstrongavailable
- Jalyn Holmesavailable
- Antonio Hamiltonavailable
- Darnell Savageavailable
- Percy Butleravailable
- Sheldon Dayavailable
- Nick Belloreavailable
- Javontae JeanBaptisteavailable
- Ricky Barberavailable
- Deatrich Wise Jr.available
- Drake Jacksonavailable
- DeMarcus Walkeravailable
- T.J. Maguranyangaavailable
- Jartavius Martinavailable
- Rasul Douglasavailable
- Daron Payneavailable
- K'Lavon Chaissonavailable
- Ale Kahoavailable
- Tyler Owensavailable
- Jordan Mageeavailable
- Kain Medranoavailable
- Shy Tuttleavailable
- Fabian Moreauavailable
- Drew Stevensavailable
- Tress Wayavailable
- Taylor Heinickeavailable
- Garrett Gilbertavailable
- Matt Ioannidisavailable
- James Smith-Williamsavailable
- David Mayoavailable
- Casey Toohillavailable
- Chase Youngavailable
- Benjamin St-Justeavailable
- Montez Sweatavailable
- Will Bradley-Kingavailable
- Jordan Kunaszykavailable
- Keith Ismaelavailable
- Brandon Scherffavailable
- Brian Johnsonavailable
- Chris Blewittavailable
- Kyle Allenavailable
- Ryan Fitzpatrickavailable
- Antonio Gibsonavailable
- Jaret Pattersonavailable
- J.D. McKissicavailable
- DeAndre Carteravailable
- Jonathan Williamsavailable
- Wendell Smallwoodavailable
- Curtis Samuelavailable
- Cam Simsavailable
- Dax Milneavailable
- Dyami Brownavailable
- Adam Humphriesavailable
- Ricky Seals-Jonesavailable
- Cole Holcombavailable
- Kamren Curlavailable
- Landon Collinsavailable
- Kendall Fulleravailable
- Jamin Davisavailable
- Bobby McCainavailable
- Jonathan Allenavailable
- William Jackson IIIavailable
- Tim Settleavailable
- De'Jon Harrisavailable
- Jared Norrisavailable
- Sammis Reyesavailable
- Alex Armahavailable
- Cornelius Lucasavailable
- Torry McTyeravailable
- Akeem Spenceavailable
- Joey Slyeavailable
- Dustin Hopkinsavailable
- Logan Thomasavailable
- Jon Bosticavailable
- Danny Johnsonavailable
- Darryl Robertsavailable
- Daniel Wiseavailable
- Bunmi Rotimiavailable
- Deshazor Everettavailable
- Khaleke Hudsonavailable
- Shaka Toneyavailable
- Darrick Forrestavailable
- Troy Apkeavailable
- Corn Elderavailable
- Ryan Winslowavailable
- Josh Johnsonavailable
- Chris Rodriguez Jr.available
- Jeremy McNicholsavailable
- Deebo Samuelavailable
- Austin Ekeleravailable
- Chris Mooreavailable
- Zach Ertzavailable
- Luke McCaffreyavailable
- Treylon Burksavailable
- Noah Brownavailable
- Robbie Andersonavailable
- Jacoby Jonesavailable
- Tay Martinavailable
- Bobby Wagneravailable
- Jonathan Jonesavailable
- Jacob Martinavailable
- Will Harrisavailable
- Jer'Zhan Newtonavailable
- Noah Igbinogheneavailable
- Trey Amosavailable
- Marshon Lattimoreavailable
- Von Milleravailable
- Eddie Goldmanavailable
- Preston Smithavailable
- Sam Cosmiavailable
- Matt Gayavailable
- Jake Moodyavailable
- Matthew Wrightavailable
- Chase Edmondsavailable
- River Cracraftavailable
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