Houston TexansatCleveland Browns
Sun, Nov 15, 6:00 PM UTC · Huntington Bank Field · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
HOU 22.4 — CLE 18.4
Win probability
HOU 58%
Model confidence
Moderate
Projection built from each team's scoring over its last 10 games, form weighted toward the last 3 and 5, the strength of the opponents it faced, a home-field adjustment, and a small allowance for high-production players listed as unavailable. Statistical estimate, not a guaranteed outcome.
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
Loading historical accuracy…
Model vs. market
Model favourite
Houston Texans
Model probability
58%
Market implied (margin removed)
Unavailable
EdgeIQ Edge
Unavailable
Current moneyline: HOU — · CLE — · no stored market prices
Opening (first stored snapshot):
Confidence: Moderate · Model v2.0.0 · How Edge is calculated. Edge is a difference between two estimates, not a recommendation.
Why EdgeIQ sees it this way
- Recent formfavours HOU
Observation: Weighted scoring margin: -13.2 per game at home side vs -5.2 for the visitor.
- Opponent strengthfavours CLE
Observation: Average margin of opponents faced: 2.0 vs 0.4.
- Scoring balancefavours HOU
Observation: Points per game 13.6 for / 28.0 against, vs 18.1 / 22.0.
- Player availabilityfavours CLE
Observation: No high-production players are currently listed as unavailable for either side.
Observations are measured from past games. The probability above is the model's estimate built from them.
What could change this projection?
- 2 rostered players are listed as questionable, doubtful or out. Late status changes can move the projection.
- Some inputs were limited for this game, so the estimate carries extra uncertainty.
- Unmodelled conditions — weather, travel, motivation, late scratches — are not fully captured by any model.
Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
Your plan: Free · Unlocks with Pro — $7.98/month
Sample of what Pro unlocks.
Market prices
No market prices available for this game yet.
Compare with an outside price
Enter the moneyline prices you have seen elsewhere. EdgeIQ converts them into a plain chance of winning, strips out the operator's built-in margin, and shows how that compares with the model estimate. EdgeIQ does not take wagers and shows no prices of its own.
Add both prices to see the comparison.
A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
HOU (left) versus CLE (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
Your plan: Free · Unlocks with Pro — $7.98/month
Recent form
Houston Texans
- Last 5
- 0-5
- Last 10
- 2-8
- Avg scored
- 16.5
- Avg allowed
- 22.0
- Streak
- L7
Cleveland Browns
- Last 5
- 3-2
- Last 10
- 3-7
- Avg scored
- 13.4
- Avg allowed
- 24.9
- Streak
- W2
Historical matchup
CLE 2 — 1 HOU
Sample size: 3 games
This is a very small sample. Head-to-head history carries little weight on its own, especially when rosters, coaching or circumstances have changed.
Player availability
Houston Texans
- Taiwan JonesRBavailable
- Bryan AngerPavailable
- Dameon Pierceavailable
- Dare Ogunbowaleavailable
- Jayden Higginsavailable
- Christian Kirkavailable
- Henry To'oTo'oavailable
- E.J. Speedavailable
- Danielle Hunteravailable
- Myles Bryantavailable
- Darren FellsTEavailable
- Kenny StillsWRavailable
- Dylan Hortonavailable
- M.J. Stewartavailable
- Tremon Smithavailable
- Derek Barnettavailable
- C.J. Gardner-Johnsonavailable
- Tim Settleavailable
- Jaylen Reedavailable
- Damone Clarkavailable
- Christian Harrisavailable
- K'Von Wallaceavailable
- Folorunso Fatukasiavailable
- Denico Autryavailable
- Jamal Hillavailable
- Jaylin Smithavailable
- Ja'Marcus Ingramavailable
- Alijah Huzzieavailable
- Jalen Millsavailable
- Ameer Speedavailable
- Marlon Davidsonavailable
- Jake Andrewsavailable
- Haggai Ndubuisiavailable
- Austin Brinkmanavailable
- Sabastian Harshavailable
- Logan Hallavailable
- DeAndre HopkinsWRavailable
- Carlos HydeRBavailable
- AJ McCarronQBavailable
- Aiden Fisheravailable
- Jadeveon Clowneyavailable
- Braxton Berriosavailable
- Justin Watsonavailable
- Brenden Batesavailable
- Harrison Bryantavailable
- Darrell Tayloravailable
- DeAndre CarterWRavailable
- Naquan Jonesavailable
- Damon Arnetteavailable
- Leki Fotuavailable
- Kaevon Merriweatheravailable
- Duke JohnsonRBavailable
- Will FullerWRavailable
- Deshaun WatsonQBavailable
- Kai Kroegeravailable
- Mario Edwards Jr.available
- British Brooksavailable
- Wade Woodazavailable
- Steven MitchellWRavailable
- George Odumavailable
- Justin ReidSSavailable
- Jordan AkinsTEavailable
- Keke CouteeWRavailable
- Jordan ThomasTEavailable
- Buddy HowellRBavailable
- Lonnie JohnsonFSavailable
- Jeff DriskelQBavailable
- Mason SchreckTEavailable
- Dare OgunbowaleRBavailable
- O.J. HowardTEavailable
- Randall CobbWRavailable
- Brandin CooksWRavailable
- David JohnsonRBavailable
- C.J. ProsiseRBavailable
- Pharaoh BrownTEavailable
- Chad HansenWRavailable
- Cullen GillaspiaFBavailable
- Kahale WarringTEavailable
- Scottie PhillipsRBavailable
- M.J. StewartSSavailable
- Danny AmendolaWRavailable
- Tyrod TaylorQBavailable
- Rex BurkheadRBavailable
- Chris ConleyWRavailable
- Phillip DorsettWRavailable
- Chris MooreWRavailable
- Davis Millsavailable
- Nick Chubbavailable
- Jawhar Jordanavailable
- Antony AuclairTEavailable
- Jakob Johnsonavailable
- Laken Tomlinsonavailable
- Matthew Wrightavailable
- Tommy Townsendavailable
- Tremon SmithCBavailable
- Jaylen SamuelsRBavailable
- Royce FreemanRBavailable
- Davion DavisWRavailable
- Kyle AllenQBavailable
- Nico CollinsWRavailable
- Brevin JordanTEavailable
- Davis MillsQBavailable
- Tyron JohnsonWRavailable
- Jalen CampWRavailable
- Amari RodgersWRavailable
- Dameon PierceRBavailable
- Teagan QuitorianoTEavailable
- Troy HairstonFBavailable
- Case KeenumQBavailable
- Robert WoodsWRavailable
- Eric SaubertTEavailable
- Noah BrownWRavailable
- Cameron JohnstonPavailable
- Mike BooneRBavailable
- Dalton SchultzTEavailable
- Steven SimsWRavailable
- Andrew BeckFBavailable
- Devin SingletaryRBavailable
- John Metchie IIIWRavailable
- Xavier HutchinsonWRavailable
- Tank DellWRavailable
- C.J. StroudQBavailable
- Stefon DiggsWRavailable
- Joe MixonRBavailable
- Irv SmithTEavailable
- Diontae JohnsonWRavailable
- J.J. TaylorRBavailable
- Jared WayneWRavailable
- Cade StoverTEavailable
- British BrooksRBavailable
- C.J. Stroudavailable
- David Montgomeryavailable
- Jo'quavious Marksavailable
- Nico Collinsavailable
- Jaylin Noelavailable
- Dalton Schultzavailable
- Xavier Hutchinsonavailable
- Kayshon Boutteavailable
- Marlin Kleinavailable
- Foster Moreauavailable
- Jared Wayneavailable
- Cade Stoveravailable
- Reed Blankenshipavailable
- Azeez Al-Shaairavailable
- Jalen Pitreavailable
- Calen Bullockavailable
- Derek Stingley Jr.available
- Jake Hansenavailable
- Kamari Lassiteravailable
- Will Anderson Jr.available
- Sheldon Rankinsavailable
- Dominique Robinsonavailable
- Tommy Togiaiavailable
- Ka'imi Fairbairnavailable
Cleveland Browns
- Demetrius HarrisTEavailable
- Odell BeckhamWRavailable
- Jarvis LandryWRavailable
- Garrett GilbertQBavailable
- Rashard HigginsWRavailable
- Pharaoh BrownTEavailable
- Ricky Seals-JonesTEavailable
- David NjokuTEavailable
- Taywan TaylorWRavailable
- Kareem HuntRBavailable
- Amari CooperWRavailable
- Dontrell HilliardRBavailable
- Damion RatleyWRavailable
- Wyatt TellerGavailable
- Antonio CallawayWRavailable
- Nick ChubbRBavailable
- KhaDarel HodgeWRavailable
- Baker MayfieldQBavailable
- Stephen CarlsonTEavailable
- Shedeur Sandersavailable
- Dillon Gabrielavailable
- Joe Flaccoavailable
- Jerome Fordavailable
- Trayveon Williamsavailable
- Gage Larvadainavailable
- David Njokuavailable
- Cedric Tillmanavailable
- Jamari Thrashavailable
- Brenden Batesavailable
- Sal Cannellaavailable
- Devin Bushavailable
- Myles Garrettavailable
- Mohamoud Diabateavailable
- Rayshawn Jenkinsavailable
- Jerome Bakeravailable
- Alex Wrightavailable
- Shelby Harrisavailable
- Cameron Thomasavailable
- Greg Newsome IIavailable
- Tre Averyavailable
- Michael Hall Jr.available
- D'Angelo Rossavailable
- Joe Tryon-Shoyinkaavailable
- Sam Webbavailable
- Chris Edmondsavailable
- Sam Kamaraavailable
- Dom Jonesavailable
- Luke Wypleravailable
- Teven Jenkinsavailable
- KT Levestonavailable
- Cameron Mitchellavailable
- Maurice Hurstavailable
- Kaden Davisavailable
- Jack Conklinavailable
- Joel Bitonioavailable
- DeAndre Carteravailable
- D'Ernest JohnsonRBavailable
- Jack ConklinTavailable
- Jacoby BrissettQBavailable
- Deshaun WatsonQBavailable
- Jaleel McLaughlinavailable
- Denzel Bostonavailable
- Harold Fannin Jr.available
- Blake Whiteheartavailable
- Jerry Jeudyavailable
- Isaiah Bondavailable
- Carson Schwesingeravailable
- Quinshon Judkinsavailable
- Case KeenumQBavailable
- Kendall LammTavailable
- Austin HooperTEavailable
- Kevin Concepcionavailable
- Raheim Sandersavailable
- Tyson Campbellquestionable
- Ronnie Hickmanavailable
- Quincy Williamsavailable
- Denzel Wardavailable
- Mason Grahamavailable
- Grant Delpitquestionable
- Sam Williamsavailable
- Dylan Sampsonavailable
- Corey Bojorquezavailable
- Andy JanovichFBavailable
- Marvin HallWRavailable
- JoJo NatsonWRavailable
- Jamie GillanPavailable
- Ja'Marcus BradleyWRavailable
- Harrison BryantTEavailable
- Donovan Peoples-JonesWRavailable
- Nick MullensQBavailable
- Johnny StantonFBavailable
- John KellyRBavailable
- Myles Hardenavailable
- Emmanuel McNeilWarrenavailable
- Isaiah McGuireavailable
- Donovan McMillonavailable
- Jared Verseavailable
- Easton MascarenasArnoldavailable
- Adin Huntingtonavailable
- Noah Igbinogheneavailable
- Carsen Ryanavailable
- Mekhi Blackmonavailable
- Derek Barnettavailable
- Maliek Collinsavailable
- Winston Reidavailable
- Malachi Corleyavailable
- Nathaniel Watsonavailable
- Elgton Jenkinsavailable
- Rex Sunaharaavailable
- Andre Szmytavailable
- Demetric FeltonRBavailable
- Anthony SchwartzWRavailable
- Miller ForristallTEavailable
- David BellWRavailable
- Jerome FordRBavailable
- Mike WoodsWRavailable
- Daylen BaldwinWRavailable
- Joe FlaccoQBavailable
- Marquise GoodwinWRavailable
- Jeff DriskelQBavailable
- P.J. WalkerQBavailable
- Jordan AkinsTEavailable
- James ProcheWRavailable
- Elijah MooreWRavailable
- Pierre StrongRBavailable
- Dorian Thompson-RobinsonQBavailable
- Cedric TillmanWRavailable
- Rodney McLeodFSavailable
- Jameis WinstonQBavailable
- Geoff SwaimTEavailable
- D'Onta ForemanRBavailable
- Jerry JeudyWRavailable
- Jaelon DardenWRavailable
- Kadarius ToneyWRavailable
- Bailey ZappeQBavailable
- Blake WhiteheartTEavailable
- Jamari ThrashWRavailable
- Brenden BatesTEavailable
- Jacob KibodiRBavailable
- Deshaun Watsonavailable
EdgeIQ AI
Sign in to ask EdgeIQ AI about this matchup. Free accounts include 5 AI requests per month.
Sign in to askYour hypothetical prediction
Paper predictions only — EdgeIQ never involves money, wagers or payouts.
Sign in to track a prediction