San Francisco 49ersatAtlanta Falcons
Sun, Oct 25, 5:00 PM UTC · Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
SF 23.5 — ATL 20.9
Win probability
SF 55%
Model confidence
Low
Projection built from each team's scoring over its last 10 games, form weighted toward the last 3 and 5, the strength of the opponents it faced, a home-field adjustment, and a small allowance for high-production players listed as unavailable. Statistical estimate, not a guaranteed outcome.
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
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Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
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Market prices
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A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
SF (left) versus ATL (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
San Francisco 49ers
- Last 5
- 5-0
- Last 10
- 5-5
- Avg scored
- 25.1
- Avg allowed
- 22.6
- Streak
- W5
Atlanta Falcons
- Last 5
- 3-2
- Last 10
- 5-5
- Avg scored
- 22.0
- Avg allowed
- 20.3
- Streak
- W1
Historical matchup
These teams have no completed head-to-head games in the EdgeIQ database.
This is a very small sample. Head-to-head history carries little weight on its own, especially when rosters, coaching or circumstances have changed.
Player availability
San Francisco 49ers
- Jake Brendelavailable
- Tatum Bethuneavailable
- Upton Stoutavailable
- Dre Greenlawavailable
- Ji'Ayir Brownavailable
- Jaden Duggeravailable
- Ashtyn Davisavailable
- Malik Mustaphaavailable
- Deommodore Lenoiravailable
- Fred Warneravailable
- Renardo Greenavailable
- Gracen Haltonavailable
- Osa Odighizuwaavailable
- Khalid Kareemavailable
- Brayden Willisavailable
- Keion Whiteavailable
- Siran Nealavailable
- Jacob Cowingavailable
- Corliss Waitmanavailable
- Marques Sigleavailable
- Curtis Robinsonavailable
- Emmanuel SandersWRavailable
- Jason Pinnockavailable
- Sam Okuayinonuavailable
- Jordan Elliottavailable
- Bryce Huffavailable
- Kalia Davisavailable
- Darrell Luter Jr.available
- Luke Giffordavailable
- Clelin Ferrellavailable
- CJ Westavailable
- Mykel Williamsavailable
- Alfred Collinsavailable
- Robert Beal Jr.available
- Nickolas Martinavailable
- Eric Kendricksavailable
- Isaac Guerendoavailable
- Garret Wallowavailable
- Colton McKivitzavailable
- Malik Turneravailable
- Kevin Givensavailable
- Jon Weeksavailable
- Trent Williamsavailable
- Chase Lucasavailable
- Yetur Gross-Matosavailable
- Trevis Gipsonavailable
- Dominick Puniavailable
- Spencer Burfordavailable
- Eli Appleavailable
- Jalen Grahamavailable
- Romello Heightavailable
- Nick Bosaavailable
- Kyle JuszczykFBavailable
- Marquise GoodwinWRavailable
- Mac Jonesavailable
- Christian McCaffreyavailable
- Demarcus Robinsonavailable
- Kyle Juszczykavailable
- George Kittleavailable
- Luke Farrellavailable
- Jordan Watkinsavailable
- Connor Colbyavailable
- Dee Wintersavailable
- Levine ToiloloTEavailable
- Jimmy GaroppoloQBavailable
- James Thompson Jr.available
- Mike Evansavailable
- Raheem MostertRBavailable
- Tevin ColemanRBavailable
- George KittleTEavailable
- Kendrick BourneWRavailable
- Matt BreidaRBavailable
- Nick MullensQBavailable
- Ross DwelleyTEavailable
- Jeffery WilsonRBavailable
- Richie JamesWRavailable
- Dante PettisWRavailable
- KhaDarel Hodgeavailable
- Deebo SamuelWRavailable
- Tyler KroftTEavailable
- Christian McCaffreyRBavailable
- Deebo Samuelavailable
- Jordan Jamesavailable
- Jordan ReedTEavailable
- Jerick McKinnonRBavailable
- Trent TaylorWRavailable
- C.J. BeathardQBavailable
- River CracraftWRavailable
- Austin WalterRBavailable
- Jacques PatrickRBavailable
- Jamycal HastyRBavailable
- Brandon AiyukWRavailable
- Charlie WoernerTEavailable
- Ray-Ray McCloudWRavailable
- Trent WilliamsTavailable
- Travis BenjaminWRavailable
- Mohamed SanuWRavailable
- Trenton CannonRBavailable
- Trent SherfieldWRavailable
- Jauan JenningsWRavailable
- Talanoa HufangaSSavailable
- Elijah MitchellRBavailable
- Trey SermonRBavailable
- Trey LanceQBavailable
- Josh JohnsonQBavailable
- Jordan MasonRBavailable
- Tyrion Davis-PriceRBavailable
- Danny GrayWRavailable
- Brock PurdyQBavailable
- Willie SneadWRavailable
- Chris ConleyWRavailable
- Sam DarnoldQBavailable
- Ronnie BellWRavailable
- Brandon AllenQBavailable
- Eric SaubertTEavailable
- Joshua DobbsQBavailable
- Patrick TaylorRBavailable
- Ke'Shawn VaughnRBavailable
- Deommodore LenoirCBavailable
- Brayden WillisTEavailable
- Isaac GuerendoRBavailable
- Jacob CowingWRavailable
- Ricky PearsallWRavailable
- Brock Purdyavailable
- Brian Robinson Jr.available
- Skyy Mooreavailable
- Adrian Martinezavailable
- Ricky Pearsallavailable
- Jauan Jenningsavailable
- Kendrick Bourneavailable
- Jake Tongesavailable
- Marquez Valdes-Scantlingavailable
- Matt Gayavailable
- Jake Moodyavailable
- Thomas Morsteadavailable
- Kaelon Blackavailable
- Eddy Pineiroavailable
Atlanta Falcons
- Matt SchaubQBavailable
- Matt RyanQBavailable
- Julio JonesWRavailable
- Luke StockerTEavailable
- Jack Strandavailable
- Brian Robinson Jr.available
- Kenjon BarnerRBavailable
- Keith SmithFBavailable
- Devonta FreemanRBavailable
- Justin HardyWRavailable
- Ty SambrailoTavailable
- Austin HooperTEavailable
- Drake Londonavailable
- Jahan Dotsonavailable
- Austin Hooperavailable
- Zachariah Branchavailable
- Kyle Pittsavailable
- Olamide Zaccheausavailable
- Jessie Bates IIIavailable
- Nick Museavailable
- Brandon Dorlusavailable
- Josh Woodsavailable
- Samson Ebukamavailable
- Zach Harrisonavailable
- Jared Iveyavailable
- David Sills Vavailable
- Casey Washingtonavailable
- Ray-Ray McCloud IIIavailable
- Charlie Woerneravailable
- Dylan Drummondavailable
- DeMarcco Hellamsavailable
- Billy Bowmanavailable
- Brian HillRBavailable
- Damien WilliamsRBavailable
- MyCole PruittTEavailable
- Damiere ByrdWRavailable
- Bralen Triceavailable
- Christian BlakeWRavailable
- Ito SmithRBavailable
- Russell GageWRavailable
- Jaeden GrahamTEavailable
- Calvin RidleyWRavailable
- Olamide ZaccheausWRavailable
- Kaleb McGaryTavailable
- Qadree OllisonRBavailable
- KhaDarel Hodgeavailable
- Kaden Ellissavailable
- Dee Alfordavailable
- David Onyemataavailable
- Jalon Walkeravailable
- Arnold Ebiketieavailable
- JD Bertrandavailable
- Ronnie Harrison Jr.available
- Kentavius Streetavailable
- Leonard Floydavailable
- Sam Robertsavailable
- Natrone Brooksavailable
- Jacobee Bryantavailable
- DeAngelo Maloneavailable
- Khalid Kareemavailable
- Keith Taylor Jr.available
- Elijah Garciaavailable
- Ta'Quon Grahamavailable
- Jordan Fulleravailable
- Chris Lindstromavailable
- Elijah Wilkinsonavailable
- Younghoe Kooavailable
- Jammie Robinsonavailable
- Chris Blairavailable
- Liam McCulloughavailable
- Bradley Pinionavailable
- Clark Phillips IIIavailable
- Jake Matthewsavailable
- Teagan Quitorianoavailable
- Ryan Neuzilavailable
- Zane Gonzalezavailable
- John Parker Romoavailable
- Jamal Agnewavailable
- Marcus MariotaQBavailable
- Anthony FirkserTEavailable
- Michael Penix Jr.available
- Kirk Cousinsavailable
- Tyler Allgeieravailable
- Nathan Carteravailable
- Deven Thompkinsavailable
- Feleipe Franksavailable
- Darnell Mooneyavailable
- Todd GurleyRBavailable
- James Pearce Jr.available
- Ruke Orhorhoroavailable
- Sharrod NeasmanCBavailable
- Laquon TreadwellWRavailable
- Brandon PowellWRavailable
- Hayden HurstTEavailable
- Tony Brooks-JamesRBavailable
- Xavier Wattsavailable
- Sydney Brownavailable
- Divine Deabloavailable
- Mike Hughesavailable
- LaCale Londonavailable
- Kendal Danielsavailable
- Jake Baileyavailable
- Harold Perkins Jr.available
- Lorenzo CarterOLBavailable
- Matthew Bergeronavailable
- Christian Harrisavailable
- Nick Folkavailable
- Lee SmithTEavailable
- Cordarrelle PattersonRBavailable
- Mike DavisRBavailable
- Tajae SharpeWRavailable
- A.J. Terrellavailable
- Marvin HallWRavailable
- CJ Hendersonavailable
- Gervon Dexter Sr.available
- Za'Darius Smithavailable
- Cameron Thomasavailable
- Maason Smithavailable
- Avieon Terrellavailable
- Mike Fordavailable
- Yasir Abdullahavailable
- Wayne GallmanRBavailable
- Josh RosenQBavailable
- Parker HesseTEavailable
- Feleipe FranksTEavailable
- Frank DarbyWRavailable
- Kyle PittsTEavailable
- KhaDarel HodgeWRavailable
- Bryan EdwardsWRavailable
- John FitzPatrickTEavailable
- Caleb HuntleyRBavailable
- Avery WilliamsRBavailable
- Drake LondonWRavailable
- Tyler AllgeierRBavailable
- Desmond RidderQBavailable
- Josh AliWRavailable
- Taylor HeinickeQBavailable
- Mack HollinsWRavailable
- Jonnu SmithTEavailable
- Logan WoodsideQBavailable
- Scott MillerWRavailable
- Van JeffersonWRavailable
- Tucker FiskTEavailable
- Bijan RobinsonRBavailable
- Kirk CousinsQBavailable
- Ross DwelleyTEavailable
- Ray-Ray McCloudWRavailable
- Darnell MooneyWRavailable
- Charlie WoernerTEavailable
- Chris BlairWRavailable
- Jase McClellanRBavailable
- Casey WashingtonWRavailable
- Michael PenixQBavailable
- Cooper Rushavailable
- Bijan Robinsonavailable
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