Chicago BearsatDetroit Lions
Thu, Nov 26, 6:00 PM UTC · Ford Field · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
CHI 24.6 — DET 26.2
Win probability
DET 53%
Model confidence
Low
Projection built from each team's scoring over its last 10 games, form weighted toward the last 3 and 5, the strength of the opponents it faced, a home-field adjustment, and a small allowance for high-production players listed as unavailable. Statistical estimate, not a guaranteed outcome.
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
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Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
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A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
CHI (left) versus DET (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
Chicago Bears
- Last 5
- 3-2
- Last 10
- 5-5
- Avg scored
- 21.2
- Avg allowed
- 19.7
- Streak
- W1
Detroit Lions
- Last 5
- 4-1
- Last 10
- 7-3
- Avg scored
- 28.5
- Avg allowed
- 24.5
- Streak
- W1
Historical matchup
DET 5 — 1 CHI
Sample size: 6 games
Head-to-head history is context, not prediction — rosters, coaching and circumstances change between meetings.
Player availability
Chicago Bears
- Chase DanielQBavailable
- Cordarrelle PattersonRBavailable
- Trey BurtonTEavailable
- Taylor GabrielWRavailable
- Allen RobinsonWRavailable
- Ben BrauneckerTEavailable
- J.P. HoltzTEavailable
- Tarik CohenRBavailable
- Eric SaubertTEavailable
- Mitchell TrubiskyQBavailable
- Adam ShaheenTEavailable
- Ryan GriffinTEavailable
- Trevor SiemianQBavailable
- Kalif Raymondavailable
- Sam Roushavailable
- Dillon Thienemanavailable
- Cam Lewisavailable
- Anthony MillerWRavailable
- Javon WimsWRavailable
- Ryan NallRBavailable
- Jesper HorstedTEavailable
- Riley RidleyWRavailable
- David MontgomeryRBavailable
- Ted GinnWRavailable
- Jimmy GrahamTEavailable
- Bobby MassieTavailable
- Nick FolesQBavailable
- Lamar MillerRBavailable
- Tyler BrayQBavailable
- Demetrius HarrisTEavailable
- Barkevious MingoOLBavailable
- DeAndre CarterWRavailable
- Artavis PierceRBavailable
- Cole KmetTEavailable
- Darnell MooneyWRavailable
- Nathan PetermanQBavailable
- Tim BoyleQBavailable
- Equanimeous St. BrownWRavailable
- Byron PringleWRavailable
- Andy DaltonQBavailable
- Devin Bushavailable
- James Lynchavailable
- Malik Muhammadavailable
- Skyler Thomasavailable
- Kentavius Streetavailable
- Jack Sanbornavailable
- Neville Gallimoreavailable
- Xavier Woodsavailable
- Beau Gardneravailable
- Josh Blackwellavailable
- Jordan van den Bergavailable
- Cairo Santosavailable
- Zavion Thomasavailable
- Tory Tayloravailable
- Marquise GoodwinWRavailable
- Damien WilliamsRBavailable
- Damiere ByrdWRavailable
- Jesse JamesTEavailable
- DeAndre Houston-CarsonFSavailable
- Jakeem GrantWRavailable
- Caleb Williamsavailable
- Tyson Bagentquestionable
- Cole Kmetavailable
- Rodney AdamsWRavailable
- D'Andre Swiftavailable
- Kyle Monangaiavailable
- Luther Burden IIIavailable
- Roschon Johnsonavailable
- Colston Lovelandavailable
- Rome Odunzeavailable
- Jahdae Walkeravailable
- T.J. Edwardsavailable
- Montez Sweatavailable
- Tyrique Stevensonavailable
- D'Marco Jacksonavailable
- Grady Jarrettavailable
- Austin Bookeravailable
- Isaiah CoulterWRavailable
- Chris Williamsavailable
- Scott Dalyavailable
- Nikola Kalinicavailable
- Jalen Reeves-Maybinavailable
- Jonah Jacksonavailable
- Dallis Flowersavailable
- Jake Moodyavailable
- Khalil HerbertRBavailable
- Dazz NewsomeWRavailable
- Justin FieldsQBavailable
- Dante PettisWRavailable
- Khari BlasingameFBavailable
- Trevon WescoTEavailable
- Nsimba WebsterWRavailable
- N'Keal HarryWRavailable
- Darrynton EvansRBavailable
- Chase ClaypoolWRavailable
- Ihmir Smith-MarsetteWRavailable
- Trestan EbnerRBavailable
- Jake TongesTEavailable
- Velus JonesWRavailable
- Marcedes LewisTEavailable
- Trent TaylorWRavailable
- Robert TonyanTEavailable
- D'Onta ForemanRBavailable
- DJ MooreWRavailable
- Travis HomerRBavailable
- Collin JohnsonWRavailable
- Tyson BagentQBavailable
- Tyler ScottWRavailable
- Roschon JohnsonRBavailable
- Keenan AllenWRavailable
- Gerald EverettTEavailable
- Jonathan OwensSSavailable
- D'Andre SwiftRBavailable
- Josh BlackwellCBavailable
- Caleb WilliamsQBavailable
- Rome OdunzeWRavailable
- Daniel Hardyavailable
- Dayo Odeyingboavailable
- Elijah Hicksavailable
- Jaylon Johnsonavailable
- Joe Tryon-Shoyinkaavailable
- Carl Jones Jr.available
- Kyler Gordonavailable
- Ruben Hyppolite IIavailable
- Shemar Turneravailable
- Tanoh Kpassagnonavailable
- Jonathan Fordavailable
- DJ Mooreavailable
- Brittain Brownavailable
- Olamide Zaccheausavailable
- Travis Homeravailable
- Devin Duvernayavailable
- Durham Smytheavailable
- Tremaine Edmundsavailable
- Kevin Byardavailable
- Jaquan Briskeravailable
- Nahshon Wrightavailable
- Noah Sewellavailable
- C.J. Gardner-Johnsonavailable
- Gervon Dexter Sr.available
- Andrew Billingsavailable
- Nick McCloudavailable
- Dominique Robinsonavailable
- Jonathan Owensavailable
- Amen Ogbongbemigaavailable
- Jaylon Jonesavailable
Detroit Lions
- Danny AmendolaWRavailable
- Matthew StaffordQBavailable
- Marvin JonesWRavailable
- C.J. AndersonRBavailable
- Logan ThomasTEavailable
- Jesse JamesTEavailable
- Malik Cunninghamavailable
- Paul PerkinsRBavailable
- Jeff DriskelQBavailable
- Tra CarsonRBavailable
- J.D. McKissicRBavailable
- Daniel Thomasavailable
- Erick Hallett IIavailable
- Kerby Josephavailable
- Tyrus Wheatavailable
- Marvin HallWRavailable
- Arthur Mauletavailable
- Jared Goffavailable
- Jahmyr Gibbsavailable
- Sione Vakiavailable
- Amon-Ra St. Brownavailable
- Jameson Williamsavailable
- Devin Whiteavailable
- Tay Martinavailable
- Brock Wrightavailable
- D.J. Wonnumavailable
- Skyler GillHowardavailable
- Roger McCrearyavailable
- Eric O'Neillavailable
- Christian Izienavailable
- Derrick Barnesavailable
- Keith Abneyavailable
- Chuck Clarkavailable
- Jack Campbellavailable
- Rock Ya-Sinavailable
- Avonte Maddoxavailable
- Tyleik Williamsavailable
- Aidan Hutchinsonavailable
- Thomas Harperavailable
- Trevor Nowaskeavailable
- Jacob Saylorsavailable
- Tyler Lacyavailable
- Tom Kennedyavailable
- Jamal AgnewWRavailable
- Kenny GolladayWRavailable
- Kerryon JohnsonRBavailable
- Bo ScarbroughRBavailable
- Nick BawdenFBavailable
- Chris LacyWRavailable
- Marcus Davenportavailable
- Alim McNeillavailable
- Malcolm Rodriguezavailable
- Patrick O'Connoravailable
- Khalil Dorseyavailable
- Zach Cunninghamavailable
- Jalen Millsavailable
- Nick Whitesideavailable
- Jake Batesavailable
- Mekhi Wingoavailable
- Hogan Hattenavailable
- Jack Foxavailable
- Monty Riceavailable
- Loren Stricklandavailable
- Anthony Pittmanavailable
- Ty Summersavailable
- Chris Hubbardavailable
- Graham Glasgowavailable
- Dominic Lovettavailable
- David BloughQBavailable
- T.J. HockensonTEavailable
- Wes HillsRBavailable
- Ty JohnsonRBavailable
- Isaac NautaTEavailable
- Travis FulghamWRavailable
- Nate SudfeldQBavailable
- Adrian PetersonRBavailable
- Chase DanielQBavailable
- Mohamed SanuWRavailable
- Jonathan WilliamsRBavailable
- Jason CabindaFBavailable
- C.J. MooreFSavailable
- Hunter BryantTEavailable
- D'Andre SwiftRBavailable
- Quintez CephusWRavailable
- Darren FellsTEavailable
- Tyrell WilliamsWRavailable
- Taylor DeckerTavailable
- Kalif RaymondWRavailable
- Geronimo AllisonWRavailable
- Jared GoffQBavailable
- Josh ReynoldsWRavailable
- Jamaal WilliamsRBavailable
- Tim BoyleQBavailable
- Godwin IgwebuikeRBavailable
- KhaDarel HodgeWRavailable
- Trinity BensonWRavailable
- Jack FoxPavailable
- Matt NelsonTavailable
- Tom KennedyWRavailable
- Craig ReynoldsRBavailable
- Justin JacksonRBavailable
- Bobby PriceFSavailable
- Shane ZylstraTEavailable
- Jermar JeffersonRBavailable
- Brock WrightTEavailable
- Amon-Ra St. BrownWRavailable
- D.J. CharkWRavailable
- Bam KnightRBavailable
- Malcolm RodriguezILBavailable
- Penei SewellTavailable
- Jameson WilliamsWRavailable
- James MitchellTEavailable
- Maurice AlexanderWRavailable
- Teddy BridgewaterQBavailable
- Anthony FirkserTEavailable
- Jalen Reeves-MaybinOLBavailable
- Dan SkipperTavailable
- Devine OzigboRBavailable
- David MontgomeryRBavailable
- Khalil DorseyCBavailable
- Donovan Peoples-JonesWRavailable
- Antoine GreenWRavailable
- Sam LaPortaTEavailable
- Jahmyr GibbsRBavailable
- Allen RobinsonWRavailable
- Tim PatrickWRavailable
- Grant Stuardavailable
- Sam LaPortaavailable
- Isaac TeSlaaavailable
- Anthony Firkseravailable
- Shane Zylstraavailable
- Ross Dwelleyavailable
- Alex Anzaloneavailable
- Brian Branchavailable
- Amik Robertsonavailable
- Hendon HookerQBavailable
- Sione VakiRBavailable
- Isaiah WilliamsWRavailable
- David Montgomeryavailable
- Kyle Allenavailable
- Kalif Raymondavailable
- Craig Reynoldsavailable
- D.J. Reedavailable
- Terrion Arnoldavailable
- Roy Lopezavailable
- DJ Readeravailable
- Al-Quadin Muhammadavailable
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