Indianapolis ColtsatPittsburgh Steelers
Sun, Oct 11, 5:00 PM UTC · Acrisure Stadium · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
IND 20.7 — PIT 23.2
Win probability
PIT 61%
Model confidence
Moderate
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
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Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
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A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
IND (left) versus PIT (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
Indianapolis Colts
- Last 5
- 1-4
- Last 10
- 3-7
- Avg scored
- 21.7
- Avg allowed
- 29.2
- Streak
- W1
Pittsburgh Steelers
- Last 5
- 2-3
- Last 10
- 3-7
- Avg scored
- 16.6
- Avg allowed
- 22.4
- Streak
- W1
Historical matchup
PIT 1 — 2 IND
Sample size: 3 games
This is a very small sample. Head-to-head history carries little weight on its own, especially when rosters, coaching or circumstances have changed.
Player availability
Indianapolis Colts
- Brian HoyerQBavailable
- Dontrelle InmanWRavailable
- T.Y. HiltonWRavailable
- Daniel Jonesavailable
- Anthony Richardsonavailable
- Mekhi Blackmonavailable
- Kenny Moore IIavailable
- Kwity Payeavailable
- Neville Gallimoreavailable
- Jack DoyleTEavailable
- Samson Ebukamavailable
- Austin Ajiakeavailable
- Joe Bachieavailable
- Johnathan Edwardsavailable
- Jaylon Jonesavailable
- Cameron Mitchellavailable
- Chris Lammonsavailable
- Buddy Johnsonavailable
- Segun Olubiavailable
- Tyquan Lewisavailable
- Xavien Howardavailable
- Chris Wormleyavailable
- Eric Johnsonavailable
- Chad Mumaavailable
- Mike Hiltonavailable
- Trey Washingtonavailable
- George Odumavailable
- Daniel Scottavailable
- Cameron McGroneavailable
- Durell Nchamiavailable
- Tanor Bortoliniavailable
- Michael Badgleyavailable
- Blake Grupeavailable
- Coleman Owenavailable
- Eric EbronTEavailable
- Jonathan Owensavailable
- Spencer Shraderavailable
- Jonathan Tayloravailable
- Deion Burksavailable
- Tyler Warrenavailable
- Seth McGowanavailable
- Josh Downsavailable
- Alec Pierceavailable
- Laquon Treadwellavailable
- Keenan Allenavailable
- Akeem Davis-Gaitheravailable
- Camryn Bynumavailable
- Bryce Boettcheravailable
- Devin FunchessTEavailable
- Justin Walleyavailable
- Laiatu Latuavailable
- Ross TravisTEavailable
- Chester RogersWRavailable
- AJ Haulcyavailable
- Hunter Wohleravailable
- Adetomiwa Adebaworeavailable
- Sauce Gardneravailable
- Jonathan WilliamsRBavailable
- Marcus JohnsonWRavailable
- DeForest Buckneravailable
- DJ Giddensavailable
- Cam Taylor-Brittavailable
- Jerry Tilleryavailable
- Jacoby BrissettQBavailable
- Arden Keyavailable
- Jaylon Carliesavailable
- Caden Curryavailable
- Grover Stewartavailable
- Charvarius Wardquestionable
- Mo Alie-CoxTEavailable
- Zach PascalWRavailable
- J.T. Tuimoloauavailable
- Tim Smithavailable
- Andrew Ogletreeavailable
- Ashton Dulinquestionable
- Luke Rhodesavailable
- Tahj Chambersavailable
- Kapena Gushikenavailable
- C.J. Allenavailable
- Kenneth Harrisavailable
- Anthony Gouldavailable
- Rigoberto Sanchezavailable
- Chad WilliamsWRavailable
- Marlon MackRBavailable
- Nick FolesQBavailable
- Quenton NelsonGavailable
- Nyheim Miller-HinesRBavailable
- Jordan WilkinsRBavailable
- Ashton DulinWRavailable
- Parris CampbellWRavailable
- Philip RiversQBavailable
- Trey BurtonTEavailable
- T.J. CarrieCBavailable
- Daurice FountainWRavailable
- DeMichael HarrisWRavailable
- Noah TogiaiTEavailable
- Isaiah RodgersCBavailable
- Jonathan TaylorRBavailable
- Michael PittmanWRavailable
- Phillip LindsayRBavailable
- Carson WentzQBavailable
- Keke CouteeWRavailable
- E.J. SpeedOLBavailable
- Philip Riversavailable
- Riley Leonardavailable
- Danny PinterCavailable
- Jacob EasonQBavailable
- Dezmon PatmonWRavailable
- Mike StrachanWRavailable
- Deon JacksonRBavailable
- Ameer Abdullahavailable
- Tyler Goodsonavailable
- Rodney Thomas IIavailable
- Ulysses Bentley IVavailable
- Michael Pittman Jr.available
- Adonai Mitchellavailable
- Mo Alie-Coxavailable
- Will Malloryavailable
- Zaire Franklinavailable
- Nick Crossavailable
- Germaine Prattavailable
- Kylen GransonTEavailable
- Sam EhlingerQBavailable
- Matt RyanQBavailable
- Zack MossRBavailable
- Tyler GoodsonRBavailable
- Andrew OgletreeTEavailable
- JoJo DomannOLBavailable
- Alec PierceWRavailable
- Jelani WoodsTEavailable
- Isaiah McKenzieWRavailable
- D.J. MontgomeryWRavailable
- Gardner MinshewQBavailable
- Juwann WinfreeWRavailable
- Grant StuardMLBavailable
- Jake FunkRBavailable
- Trey SermonRBavailable
- Amari RodgersWRavailable
- Will MalloryTEavailable
- Evan HullRBavailable
- Josh DownsWRavailable
- Anthony RichardsonQBavailable
- Joe FlaccoQBavailable
- Anthony GouldWRavailable
- Adonai MitchellWRavailable
Pittsburgh Steelers
- Ben RoethlisbergerQBavailable
- Marquez Valdes-Scantlingavailable
- Scotty Milleravailable
- Spencer Andersonavailable
- Sebastian Castroavailable
- Ke'Shawn Williamsavailable
- Vance McDonaldTEavailable
- Roosevelt NixFBavailable
- Xavier GrimbleTEavailable
- Donte MoncriefWRavailable
- D'Shawn Jamisonavailable
- Corliss Waitmanavailable
- Jordan BerryPavailable
- Travis Homeravailable
- Nick VannettTEavailable
- Tevin JonesWRavailable
- Johnny HoltonWRavailable
- James ConnerRBavailable
- Ryan SwitzerWRavailable
- Trey EdmundsRBavailable
- JuJu Smith-SchusterWRavailable
- Jaylen SamuelsRBavailable
- Deon CainWRavailable
- James WashingtonWRavailable
- Germie Bernardavailable
- Ben Skowronekavailable
- Keeanu Bentonavailable
- Cameron Heywardavailable
- Asante Samuel Jr.available
- Alex Highsmithavailable
- Jack Sawyeravailable
- Mason RudolphQBavailable
- Carson Brueneravailable
- Cole Holcombavailable
- Daylen Everetteavailable
- Rico Dowdleavailable
- Kaden Wetjenavailable
- Eli Heidenreichavailable
- Jaylen Warrenquestionable
- Joey Porter Jr.questionable
- Jamel Deanquestionable
- Aaron Rodgersavailable
- DK Metcalfavailable
- Pat Freiermuthavailable
- Darnell Washingtonavailable
- Roman Wilsonavailable
- Payton Wilsonavailable
- Patrick Queenavailable
- Jalen Ramseyavailable
- T.J. Wattavailable
- Nick Herbigavailable
- Derrick Harmonavailable
- Miles Killebrewavailable
- Jeremiah Moonavailable
- DeMarvin Lealavailable
- Logan Leeavailable
- Chris Boswellavailable
- Christian Kuntzavailable
- Zach Frazieravailable
- Lew Nichols IIIavailable
- Trey Sermonavailable
- Diontae JohnsonWRavailable
- Benny SnellRBavailable
- Zach GentryTEavailable
- Tony Brooks-JamesRBavailable
- Devlin HodgesQBavailable
- Kerrith WhyteRBavailable
- Mitchell TrubiskyQBavailable
- Eric EbronTEavailable
- Derek WattFBavailable
- Jerald HawkinsTavailable
- Joshua DobbsQBavailable
- Kevin RaderTEavailable
- Ray-Ray McCloudWRavailable
- Cody WhiteWRavailable
- Mason Rudolphavailable
- Kenneth Gainwellavailable
- Jonnu Smithavailable
- Kaleb Johnsonavailable
- Connor Heywardavailable
- Calvin Austin IIIavailable
- Adam Thielenavailable
- Chuck Clarkavailable
- Brandin Echolsavailable
- Kyle Duggeravailable
- Malik Harrisonavailable
- DeShon Elliottavailable
- Juan Thornhillavailable
- Darius Slayavailable
- James Pierreavailable
- Yahya Blackavailable
- Jabrill Peppersavailable
- Esezi Otomewoavailable
- Daniel Ekualeavailable
- Chase ClaypoolWRavailable
- Anthony McFarlandRBavailable
- Marcus AllenILBavailable
- Chris BoswellKavailable
- Anthony MillerWRavailable
- Kalen BallageRBavailable
- Ulysees GilbertILBavailable
- Najee HarrisRBavailable
- Pat FreiermuthTEavailable
- Steven SimsWRavailable
- Gunner OlszewskiWRavailable
- Miles BoykinWRavailable
- Jaylen WarrenRBavailable
- George PickensWRavailable
- Connor HeywardTEavailable
- Kenny PickettQBavailable
- Allen RobinsonWRavailable
- Rod WilliamsTEavailable
- Calvin Austin IIIWRavailable
- Darnell WashingtonTEavailable
- Russell WilsonQBavailable
- Cordarrelle PattersonRBavailable
- MyCole PruittTEavailable
- Miles KillebrewSSavailable
- Mike WilliamsWRavailable
- Kyle AllenQBavailable
- Scott MillerWRavailable
- James PierreCBavailable
- Jonathan WardRBavailable
- Van JeffersonWRavailable
- Ben SkowronekWRavailable
- Justin FieldsQBavailable
- Brandon JohnsonWRavailable
- Aaron ShampklinRBavailable
- Cameron Johnstonavailable
- Michael Pittman Jr.available
- Jaquan Briskeravailable
- Robert SpearsJenningsavailable
- Riley Nowakowskiavailable
- Rayshawn Jenkinsavailable
- Sebastian Joseph-Dayavailable
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