Baltimore RavensatAtlanta Falcons
Mon, Oct 12, 12:20 AM UTC · Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
BAL 24.4 — ATL 18.4
Win probability
BAL 77%
Model confidence
High
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
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Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
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A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
BAL (left) versus ATL (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
Baltimore Ravens
- Last 5
- 3-2
- Last 10
- 7-3
- Avg scored
- 28.6
- Avg allowed
- 14.4
- Streak
- L2
Atlanta Falcons
- Last 5
- 3-2
- Last 10
- 5-5
- Avg scored
- 22.0
- Avg allowed
- 20.3
- Streak
- W1
Historical matchup
ATL 0 — 2 BAL
Sample size: 2 games
This is a very small sample. Head-to-head history carries little weight on its own, especially when rosters, coaching or circumstances have changed.
Player availability
Baltimore Ravens
- Sam KochPavailable
- Anthony LevineSSavailable
- Mark IngramRBavailable
- Robert GriffinQBavailable
- Tyler Huntleyavailable
- Cooper Rushavailable
- Keaton Mitchellavailable
- Patrick Ricardavailable
- DeAndre Hopkinsavailable
- Willie SneadWRavailable
- De'Anthony ThomasWRavailable
- Seth RobertsWRavailable
- Nick BoyleTEavailable
- Chris MooreWRavailable
- Patrick RicardFBavailable
- Mike DavisRBavailable
- Gus EdwardsRBavailable
- Jaleel ScottWRavailable
- Mark AndrewsTEavailable
- Lamar JacksonQBavailable
- Hayden HurstTEavailable
- Justice HillRBavailable
- Trace McSorleyQBavailable
- Lamar Jacksonavailable
- Marquise BrownWRavailable
- Miles BoykinWRavailable
- Demarcus RobinsonWRavailable
- Kenyan DrakeRBavailable
- Derrick Henryavailable
- Justice Hillavailable
- Zay Flowersavailable
- Mark Andrewsavailable
- LaJohntay Westeravailable
- Keondre Jacksonavailable
- Broderick Washingtonavailable
- Jay Higginsavailable
- Carl Jones Jr.available
- Tyler Loopavailable
- Keyon Martinavailable
- Ronnie Stanleyavailable
- Dez BryantWRavailable
- Luke WillsonTEavailable
- Eric TomlinsonTEavailable
- Matt SkuraCavailable
- Tyler HuntleyQBavailable
- Isaiah Likelyavailable
- Charlie Kolaravailable
- Tylan Wallaceavailable
- Zaire Mitchell-Padenavailable
- Teddye Buchananavailable
- Alohi Gilmanavailable
- Chidobe Awuzieavailable
- Kyle Van Noyavailable
- Brent Urbanavailable
- Jake Hummelavailable
- Dre'Mont Jonesavailable
- David Ojaboavailable
- CJ Okoyeavailable
- Odafe Owehavailable
- Justin Madubuikeavailable
- Ar'Darius Washingtonavailable
- Josh Tupouavailable
- Reuben Lowery IIIavailable
- Jaire Alexanderavailable
- Chandler Martinavailable
- Aeneas Peeblesavailable
- Amani Oruwariyeavailable
- Joe Noteboomavailable
- James ProcheWRavailable
- Carl Lawsonavailable
- Jordan Stoutavailable
- Taven Bryanavailable
- Sanoussi Kaneavailable
- Emery Jonesavailable
- Tyler Linderbaumavailable
- J.K. DobbinsRBavailable
- Devin DuvernayWRavailable
- Josh JohnsonQBavailable
- Latavius MurrayRBavailable
- Devonta FreemanRBavailable
- Sammy WatkinsWRavailable
- Rashod Batemanavailable
- Devontez Walkeravailable
- Roquan Smithavailable
- Kyle Hamiltonavailable
- Malaki Starksavailable
- Trenton Simpsonavailable
- Nate Wigginsavailable
- Marlon Humphreyavailable
- Tavius Robinsonavailable
- Travis Jonesavailable
- Rasheen Aliavailable
- Zion Youngavailable
- Chandler Riversavailable
- Ethan Burkeavailable
- T.J. Tampaavailable
- John Jenkinsavailable
- Mike Greenavailable
- Josh OliverTEavailable
- Ty'Son WilliamsRBavailable
- Rashod BatemanWRavailable
- Nate McCraryRBavailable
- Tylan WallaceWRavailable
- DeSean JacksonWRavailable
- Andy IsabellaWRavailable
- Anthony BrownQBavailable
- Isaiah LikelyTEavailable
- Charlie KolarTEavailable
- Odell BeckhamWRavailable
- Nelson AgholorWRavailable
- Melvin GordonRBavailable
- Laquon TreadwellWRavailable
- Dalvin CookRBavailable
- Keaton MitchellRBavailable
- Zay FlowersWRavailable
- Derrick HenryRBavailable
- Anthony MillerWRavailable
- Steven SimsWRavailable
- Devontez WalkerWRavailable
- Rasheen AliRBavailable
- Chris Mooreavailable
- Matthew Hibneravailable
- Ja'Kobi Laneavailable
- Durham Smytheavailable
- Calais Campbellavailable
- Jaylinn Hawkinsavailable
- Trey Hendricksonavailable
- Ryan Eckleyavailable
Atlanta Falcons
- Matt SchaubQBavailable
- Matt RyanQBavailable
- Julio JonesWRavailable
- Luke StockerTEavailable
- Jack Strandavailable
- Brian Robinson Jr.available
- Kenjon BarnerRBavailable
- Keith SmithFBavailable
- Devonta FreemanRBavailable
- Justin HardyWRavailable
- Ty SambrailoTavailable
- Austin HooperTEavailable
- Drake Londonavailable
- Jahan Dotsonavailable
- Austin Hooperavailable
- Zachariah Branchavailable
- Kyle Pittsavailable
- Olamide Zaccheausavailable
- Jessie Bates IIIavailable
- Nick Museavailable
- Brandon Dorlusavailable
- Josh Woodsavailable
- Samson Ebukamavailable
- Zach Harrisonavailable
- Jared Iveyavailable
- David Sills Vavailable
- Casey Washingtonavailable
- Ray-Ray McCloud IIIavailable
- Charlie Woerneravailable
- Dylan Drummondavailable
- DeMarcco Hellamsavailable
- Billy Bowmanavailable
- Brian HillRBavailable
- Damien WilliamsRBavailable
- MyCole PruittTEavailable
- Damiere ByrdWRavailable
- Bralen Triceavailable
- Christian BlakeWRavailable
- Ito SmithRBavailable
- Russell GageWRavailable
- Jaeden GrahamTEavailable
- Calvin RidleyWRavailable
- Olamide ZaccheausWRavailable
- Kaleb McGaryTavailable
- Qadree OllisonRBavailable
- KhaDarel Hodgeavailable
- Kaden Ellissavailable
- Dee Alfordavailable
- David Onyemataavailable
- Jalon Walkeravailable
- Arnold Ebiketieavailable
- JD Bertrandavailable
- Ronnie Harrison Jr.available
- Kentavius Streetavailable
- Leonard Floydavailable
- Sam Robertsavailable
- Natrone Brooksavailable
- Jacobee Bryantavailable
- DeAngelo Maloneavailable
- Khalid Kareemavailable
- Keith Taylor Jr.available
- Elijah Garciaavailable
- Ta'Quon Grahamavailable
- Jordan Fulleravailable
- Chris Lindstromavailable
- Elijah Wilkinsonavailable
- Younghoe Kooavailable
- Jammie Robinsonavailable
- Chris Blairavailable
- Liam McCulloughavailable
- Bradley Pinionavailable
- Clark Phillips IIIavailable
- Jake Matthewsavailable
- Teagan Quitorianoavailable
- Ryan Neuzilavailable
- Zane Gonzalezavailable
- John Parker Romoavailable
- Jamal Agnewavailable
- Marcus MariotaQBavailable
- Anthony FirkserTEavailable
- Michael Penix Jr.available
- Kirk Cousinsavailable
- Tyler Allgeieravailable
- Nathan Carteravailable
- Deven Thompkinsavailable
- Feleipe Franksavailable
- Darnell Mooneyavailable
- Todd GurleyRBavailable
- James Pearce Jr.available
- Ruke Orhorhoroavailable
- Sharrod NeasmanCBavailable
- Laquon TreadwellWRavailable
- Brandon PowellWRavailable
- Hayden HurstTEavailable
- Tony Brooks-JamesRBavailable
- Xavier Wattsavailable
- Sydney Brownavailable
- Divine Deabloavailable
- Mike Hughesavailable
- LaCale Londonavailable
- Kendal Danielsavailable
- Jake Baileyavailable
- Harold Perkins Jr.available
- Lorenzo CarterOLBavailable
- Matthew Bergeronavailable
- Christian Harrisavailable
- Nick Folkavailable
- Lee SmithTEavailable
- Cordarrelle PattersonRBavailable
- Mike DavisRBavailable
- Tajae SharpeWRavailable
- A.J. Terrellavailable
- Marvin HallWRavailable
- CJ Hendersonavailable
- Gervon Dexter Sr.available
- Za'Darius Smithavailable
- Cameron Thomasavailable
- Maason Smithavailable
- Avieon Terrellavailable
- Mike Fordavailable
- Yasir Abdullahavailable
- Wayne GallmanRBavailable
- Josh RosenQBavailable
- Parker HesseTEavailable
- Feleipe FranksTEavailable
- Frank DarbyWRavailable
- Kyle PittsTEavailable
- KhaDarel HodgeWRavailable
- Bryan EdwardsWRavailable
- John FitzPatrickTEavailable
- Caleb HuntleyRBavailable
- Avery WilliamsRBavailable
- Drake LondonWRavailable
- Tyler AllgeierRBavailable
- Desmond RidderQBavailable
- Josh AliWRavailable
- Taylor HeinickeQBavailable
- Mack HollinsWRavailable
- Jonnu SmithTEavailable
- Logan WoodsideQBavailable
- Scott MillerWRavailable
- Van JeffersonWRavailable
- Tucker FiskTEavailable
- Bijan RobinsonRBavailable
- Kirk CousinsQBavailable
- Ross DwelleyTEavailable
- Ray-Ray McCloudWRavailable
- Darnell MooneyWRavailable
- Charlie WoernerTEavailable
- Chris BlairWRavailable
- Jase McClellanRBavailable
- Casey WashingtonWRavailable
- Michael PenixQBavailable
- Cooper Rushavailable
- Bijan Robinsonavailable
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