Washington CommandersatSan Francisco 49ers
Tue, Oct 20, 12:15 AM UTC · Levi's Stadium · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
WAS 19.3 — SF 29.1
Win probability
SF 69%
Model confidence
High
Projection built from each team's scoring over its last 10 games, form weighted toward the last 3 and 5, the strength of the opponents it faced, a home-field adjustment, and a small allowance for high-production players listed as unavailable. Statistical estimate, not a guaranteed outcome.
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
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Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
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A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
WAS (left) versus SF (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
Washington Commanders
- Last 5
- 1-4
- Last 10
- 5-5
- Avg scored
- 22.5
- Avg allowed
- 28.2
- Streak
- W1
San Francisco 49ers
- Last 5
- 5-0
- Last 10
- 5-5
- Avg scored
- 25.1
- Avg allowed
- 22.6
- Streak
- W5
Historical matchup
SF 2 — 0 WAS
Sample size: 2 games
This is a very small sample. Head-to-head history carries little weight on its own, especially when rosters, coaching or circumstances have changed.
Player availability
Washington Commanders
- Vernon DavisTEavailable
- Adrian PetersonRBavailable
- Colt McCoyQBavailable
- Case KeenumQBavailable
- Chris ThompsonRBavailable
- Paul RichardsonWRavailable
- Michael BurtonFBavailable
- Josh FergusonRBavailable
- Wendell SmallwoodRBavailable
- Jeremy SprinkleTEavailable
- Cam SimsWRavailable
- Trey QuinnWRavailable
- Derrius GuiceRBavailable
- Steven SimsWRavailable
- Hale HentgesTEavailable
- Dwayne HaskinsQBavailable
- Kelvin HarmonWRavailable
- Terry McLaurinWRavailable
- Carson WentzQBavailable
- Alex SmithQBavailable
- Dontrelle InmanWRavailable
- Logan ThomasTEavailable
- Taylor HeinickeQBavailable
- J.D. McKissicRBavailable
- Peyton BarberRBavailable
- Temarrick HemingwayTEavailable
- Marcus BaughTEavailable
- Jeff BadetWRavailable
- Robert FosterWRavailable
- Kyle AllenQBavailable
- Isaiah WrightWRavailable
- Antonio GibsonRBavailable
- Antonio Gandy-GoldenWRavailable
- Ryan FitzpatrickQBavailable
- Jayden Danielsavailable
- Marcus Mariotaavailable
- Antonio Williamsavailable
- Jacory Merrittavailable
- Rachaad Whiteavailable
- Kaytron Allenavailable
- Stefon Diggsavailable
- Terry McLaurinavailable
- Chigoziem Okonkwoavailable
- Colson Yankoffavailable
- John Batesavailable
- Ben Sinnottavailable
- Jaylin Laneavailable
- Leo Chenalavailable
- Amik Robertsonavailable
- Nick Crossavailable
- Sonny Stylesavailable
- Odafe Owehavailable
- Garrett GilbertQBavailable
- DeAndre CarterWRavailable
- Adam HumphriesWRavailable
- Jonathan WilliamsRBavailable
- Curtis SamuelWRavailable
- Ricky Seals-JonesTEavailable
- Reggie BonnafonRBavailable
- Dyami BrownWRavailable
- John BatesTEavailable
- Dax MilneWRavailable
- Jaret PattersonRBavailable
- Sam HowellQBavailable
- Cole TurnerTEavailable
- Armani RogersTEavailable
- Jahan DotsonWRavailable
- Brian RobinsonRBavailable
- Tress WayPavailable
- Jamison CrowderWRavailable
- Jacoby BrissettQBavailable
- Alex ArmahRBavailable
- Byron PringleWRavailable
- Derrick GoreRBavailable
- Chris Rodriguez Jr.RBavailable
- Zach ErtzTEavailable
- Marcus MariotaQBavailable
- Noah BrownWRavailable
- Austin EkelerRBavailable
- Jeremy McNicholsRBavailable
- Trenton ScottTavailable
- Olamide ZaccheausWRavailable
- Brycen TremayneWRavailable
- Luke McCaffreyWRavailable
- Jayden DanielsQBavailable
- Ben SinnottTEavailable
- Jeremy Reavesavailable
- Frankie Luvuavailable
- Mike Sainristilavailable
- Javon Kinlawavailable
- Dorance Armstrongavailable
- Jalyn Holmesavailable
- Antonio Hamiltonavailable
- Darnell Savageavailable
- Percy Butleravailable
- Sheldon Dayavailable
- Nick Belloreavailable
- Javontae JeanBaptisteavailable
- Ricky Barberavailable
- Deatrich Wise Jr.available
- Drake Jacksonavailable
- DeMarcus Walkeravailable
- T.J. Maguranyangaavailable
- Jartavius Martinavailable
- Rasul Douglasavailable
- Daron Payneavailable
- K'Lavon Chaissonavailable
- Ale Kahoavailable
- Tyler Owensavailable
- Jordan Mageeavailable
- Kain Medranoavailable
- Shy Tuttleavailable
- Fabian Moreauavailable
- Drew Stevensavailable
- Tress Wayavailable
- Taylor Heinickeavailable
- Garrett Gilbertavailable
- Matt Ioannidisavailable
- James Smith-Williamsavailable
- David Mayoavailable
- Casey Toohillavailable
- Chase Youngavailable
- Benjamin St-Justeavailable
- Montez Sweatavailable
- Will Bradley-Kingavailable
- Jordan Kunaszykavailable
- Keith Ismaelavailable
- Brandon Scherffavailable
- Brian Johnsonavailable
- Chris Blewittavailable
- Kyle Allenavailable
- Ryan Fitzpatrickavailable
- Antonio Gibsonavailable
- Jaret Pattersonavailable
- J.D. McKissicavailable
- DeAndre Carteravailable
- Jonathan Williamsavailable
- Wendell Smallwoodavailable
- Curtis Samuelavailable
- Cam Simsavailable
- Dax Milneavailable
- Dyami Brownavailable
- Adam Humphriesavailable
- Ricky Seals-Jonesavailable
- Cole Holcombavailable
- Kamren Curlavailable
- Landon Collinsavailable
- Kendall Fulleravailable
- Jamin Davisavailable
- Bobby McCainavailable
- Jonathan Allenavailable
- William Jackson IIIavailable
- Tim Settleavailable
- De'Jon Harrisavailable
- Jared Norrisavailable
- Sammis Reyesavailable
- Alex Armahavailable
- Cornelius Lucasavailable
- Torry McTyeravailable
- Akeem Spenceavailable
- Joey Slyeavailable
- Dustin Hopkinsavailable
- Logan Thomasavailable
- Jon Bosticavailable
- Danny Johnsonavailable
- Darryl Robertsavailable
- Daniel Wiseavailable
- Bunmi Rotimiavailable
- Deshazor Everettavailable
- Khaleke Hudsonavailable
- Shaka Toneyavailable
- Darrick Forrestavailable
- Troy Apkeavailable
- Corn Elderavailable
- Ryan Winslowavailable
- Josh Johnsonavailable
- Chris Rodriguez Jr.available
- Jeremy McNicholsavailable
- Deebo Samuelavailable
- Austin Ekeleravailable
- Chris Mooreavailable
- Zach Ertzavailable
- Luke McCaffreyavailable
- Treylon Burksavailable
- Noah Brownavailable
- Robbie Andersonavailable
- Jacoby Jonesavailable
- Tay Martinavailable
- Bobby Wagneravailable
- Jonathan Jonesavailable
- Jacob Martinavailable
- Will Harrisavailable
- Jer'Zhan Newtonavailable
- Noah Igbinogheneavailable
- Trey Amosavailable
- Marshon Lattimoreavailable
- Von Milleravailable
- Eddie Goldmanavailable
- Preston Smithavailable
- Sam Cosmiavailable
- Matt Gayavailable
- Jake Moodyavailable
- Matthew Wrightavailable
- Chase Edmondsavailable
- River Cracraftavailable
San Francisco 49ers
- Jake Brendelavailable
- Tatum Bethuneavailable
- Upton Stoutavailable
- Dre Greenlawavailable
- Ji'Ayir Brownavailable
- Jaden Duggeravailable
- Ashtyn Davisavailable
- Malik Mustaphaavailable
- Deommodore Lenoiravailable
- Fred Warneravailable
- Renardo Greenavailable
- Gracen Haltonavailable
- Osa Odighizuwaavailable
- Khalid Kareemavailable
- Brayden Willisavailable
- Keion Whiteavailable
- Siran Nealavailable
- Jacob Cowingavailable
- Corliss Waitmanavailable
- Marques Sigleavailable
- Curtis Robinsonavailable
- Emmanuel SandersWRavailable
- Jason Pinnockavailable
- Sam Okuayinonuavailable
- Jordan Elliottavailable
- Bryce Huffavailable
- Kalia Davisavailable
- Darrell Luter Jr.available
- Luke Giffordavailable
- Clelin Ferrellavailable
- CJ Westavailable
- Mykel Williamsavailable
- Alfred Collinsavailable
- Robert Beal Jr.available
- Nickolas Martinavailable
- Eric Kendricksavailable
- Isaac Guerendoavailable
- Garret Wallowavailable
- Colton McKivitzavailable
- Malik Turneravailable
- Kevin Givensavailable
- Jon Weeksavailable
- Trent Williamsavailable
- Chase Lucasavailable
- Yetur Gross-Matosavailable
- Trevis Gipsonavailable
- Dominick Puniavailable
- Spencer Burfordavailable
- Eli Appleavailable
- Jalen Grahamavailable
- Romello Heightavailable
- Nick Bosaavailable
- Kyle JuszczykFBavailable
- Marquise GoodwinWRavailable
- Mac Jonesavailable
- Christian McCaffreyavailable
- Demarcus Robinsonavailable
- Kyle Juszczykavailable
- George Kittleavailable
- Luke Farrellavailable
- Jordan Watkinsavailable
- Connor Colbyavailable
- Dee Wintersavailable
- Levine ToiloloTEavailable
- Jimmy GaroppoloQBavailable
- James Thompson Jr.available
- Mike Evansavailable
- Raheem MostertRBavailable
- Tevin ColemanRBavailable
- George KittleTEavailable
- Kendrick BourneWRavailable
- Matt BreidaRBavailable
- Nick MullensQBavailable
- Ross DwelleyTEavailable
- Jeffery WilsonRBavailable
- Richie JamesWRavailable
- Dante PettisWRavailable
- KhaDarel Hodgeavailable
- Deebo SamuelWRavailable
- Tyler KroftTEavailable
- Christian McCaffreyRBavailable
- Deebo Samuelavailable
- Jordan Jamesavailable
- Jordan ReedTEavailable
- Jerick McKinnonRBavailable
- Trent TaylorWRavailable
- C.J. BeathardQBavailable
- River CracraftWRavailable
- Austin WalterRBavailable
- Jacques PatrickRBavailable
- Jamycal HastyRBavailable
- Brandon AiyukWRavailable
- Charlie WoernerTEavailable
- Ray-Ray McCloudWRavailable
- Trent WilliamsTavailable
- Travis BenjaminWRavailable
- Mohamed SanuWRavailable
- Trenton CannonRBavailable
- Trent SherfieldWRavailable
- Jauan JenningsWRavailable
- Talanoa HufangaSSavailable
- Elijah MitchellRBavailable
- Trey SermonRBavailable
- Trey LanceQBavailable
- Josh JohnsonQBavailable
- Jordan MasonRBavailable
- Tyrion Davis-PriceRBavailable
- Danny GrayWRavailable
- Brock PurdyQBavailable
- Willie SneadWRavailable
- Chris ConleyWRavailable
- Sam DarnoldQBavailable
- Ronnie BellWRavailable
- Brandon AllenQBavailable
- Eric SaubertTEavailable
- Joshua DobbsQBavailable
- Patrick TaylorRBavailable
- Ke'Shawn VaughnRBavailable
- Deommodore LenoirCBavailable
- Brayden WillisTEavailable
- Isaac GuerendoRBavailable
- Jacob CowingWRavailable
- Ricky PearsallWRavailable
- Brock Purdyavailable
- Brian Robinson Jr.available
- Skyy Mooreavailable
- Adrian Martinezavailable
- Ricky Pearsallavailable
- Jauan Jenningsavailable
- Kendrick Bourneavailable
- Jake Tongesavailable
- Marquez Valdes-Scantlingavailable
- Matt Gayavailable
- Jake Moodyavailable
- Thomas Morsteadavailable
- Kaelon Blackavailable
- Eddy Pineiroavailable
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