Cleveland BrownsatNew Orleans Saints
Sun, Nov 8, 6:00 PM UTC · Caesars Superdome · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
CLE 19.3 — NO 21.7
Win probability
NO 55%
Model confidence
Low
Projection built from each team's scoring over its last 10 games, form weighted toward the last 3 and 5, the strength of the opponents it faced, a home-field adjustment, and a small allowance for high-production players listed as unavailable. Statistical estimate, not a guaranteed outcome.
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
Loading historical accuracy…
Model vs. market
Model favourite
New Orleans Saints
Model probability
55%
Market implied (margin removed)
Unavailable
EdgeIQ Edge
Unavailable
Current moneyline: CLE — · NO — · no stored market prices
Opening (first stored snapshot):
Confidence: Low · Model v2.0.0 · How Edge is calculated. Edge is a difference between two estimates, not a recommendation.
Why EdgeIQ sees it this way
- Recent formfavours NO
Observation: Weighted scoring margin: -9.6 per game at home side vs -13.2 for the visitor.
- Opponent strengthfavours CLE
Observation: Average margin of opponents faced: 1.8 vs 2.0.
- Scoring balancefavours NO
Observation: Points per game 15.3 for / 25.1 against, vs 13.6 / 28.0.
- Player availabilityfavours CLE
Observation: Missing production allowance: 1.2 points home vs 0.0 points away.
Observations are measured from past games. The probability above is the model's estimate built from them.
What could change this projection?
- 2 rostered players are listed as questionable, doubtful or out. Late status changes can move the projection.
- Some inputs were limited for this game, so the estimate carries extra uncertainty.
- Unmodelled conditions — weather, travel, motivation, late scratches — are not fully captured by any model.
Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
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Market prices
No market prices available for this game yet.
Compare with an outside price
Enter the moneyline prices you have seen elsewhere. EdgeIQ converts them into a plain chance of winning, strips out the operator's built-in margin, and shows how that compares with the model estimate. EdgeIQ does not take wagers and shows no prices of its own.
Add both prices to see the comparison.
A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
CLE (left) versus NO (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
Cleveland Browns
- Last 5
- 3-2
- Last 10
- 3-7
- Avg scored
- 13.4
- Avg allowed
- 24.9
- Streak
- W2
New Orleans Saints
- Last 5
- 2-3
- Last 10
- 2-8
- Avg scored
- 17.6
- Avg allowed
- 27.1
- Streak
- L1
Historical matchup
NO 2 — 0 CLE
Sample size: 2 games
This is a very small sample. Head-to-head history carries little weight on its own, especially when rosters, coaching or circumstances have changed.
Player availability
Cleveland Browns
- Demetrius HarrisTEavailable
- Odell BeckhamWRavailable
- Jarvis LandryWRavailable
- Garrett GilbertQBavailable
- Rashard HigginsWRavailable
- Pharaoh BrownTEavailable
- Ricky Seals-JonesTEavailable
- David NjokuTEavailable
- Taywan TaylorWRavailable
- Kareem HuntRBavailable
- Amari CooperWRavailable
- Dontrell HilliardRBavailable
- Damion RatleyWRavailable
- Wyatt TellerGavailable
- Antonio CallawayWRavailable
- Nick ChubbRBavailable
- KhaDarel HodgeWRavailable
- Baker MayfieldQBavailable
- Stephen CarlsonTEavailable
- Shedeur Sandersavailable
- Dillon Gabrielavailable
- Joe Flaccoavailable
- Jerome Fordavailable
- Trayveon Williamsavailable
- Gage Larvadainavailable
- David Njokuavailable
- Cedric Tillmanavailable
- Jamari Thrashavailable
- Brenden Batesavailable
- Sal Cannellaavailable
- Devin Bushavailable
- Myles Garrettavailable
- Mohamoud Diabateavailable
- Rayshawn Jenkinsavailable
- Jerome Bakeravailable
- Alex Wrightavailable
- Shelby Harrisavailable
- Cameron Thomasavailable
- Greg Newsome IIavailable
- Tre Averyavailable
- Michael Hall Jr.available
- D'Angelo Rossavailable
- Joe Tryon-Shoyinkaavailable
- Sam Webbavailable
- Chris Edmondsavailable
- Sam Kamaraavailable
- Dom Jonesavailable
- Luke Wypleravailable
- Teven Jenkinsavailable
- KT Levestonavailable
- Cameron Mitchellavailable
- Maurice Hurstavailable
- Kaden Davisavailable
- Jack Conklinavailable
- Joel Bitonioavailable
- DeAndre Carteravailable
- D'Ernest JohnsonRBavailable
- Jack ConklinTavailable
- Jacoby BrissettQBavailable
- Deshaun WatsonQBavailable
- Jaleel McLaughlinavailable
- Denzel Bostonavailable
- Harold Fannin Jr.available
- Blake Whiteheartavailable
- Jerry Jeudyavailable
- Isaiah Bondavailable
- Carson Schwesingeravailable
- Quinshon Judkinsavailable
- Case KeenumQBavailable
- Kendall LammTavailable
- Austin HooperTEavailable
- Kevin Concepcionavailable
- Raheim Sandersavailable
- Tyson Campbellquestionable
- Ronnie Hickmanavailable
- Quincy Williamsavailable
- Denzel Wardavailable
- Mason Grahamavailable
- Grant Delpitquestionable
- Sam Williamsavailable
- Dylan Sampsonavailable
- Corey Bojorquezavailable
- Andy JanovichFBavailable
- Marvin HallWRavailable
- JoJo NatsonWRavailable
- Jamie GillanPavailable
- Ja'Marcus BradleyWRavailable
- Harrison BryantTEavailable
- Donovan Peoples-JonesWRavailable
- Nick MullensQBavailable
- Johnny StantonFBavailable
- John KellyRBavailable
- Myles Hardenavailable
- Emmanuel McNeilWarrenavailable
- Isaiah McGuireavailable
- Donovan McMillonavailable
- Jared Verseavailable
- Easton MascarenasArnoldavailable
- Adin Huntingtonavailable
- Noah Igbinogheneavailable
- Carsen Ryanavailable
- Mekhi Blackmonavailable
- Derek Barnettavailable
- Maliek Collinsavailable
- Winston Reidavailable
- Malachi Corleyavailable
- Nathaniel Watsonavailable
- Elgton Jenkinsavailable
- Rex Sunaharaavailable
- Andre Szmytavailable
- Demetric FeltonRBavailable
- Anthony SchwartzWRavailable
- Miller ForristallTEavailable
- David BellWRavailable
- Jerome FordRBavailable
- Mike WoodsWRavailable
- Daylen BaldwinWRavailable
- Joe FlaccoQBavailable
- Marquise GoodwinWRavailable
- Jeff DriskelQBavailable
- P.J. WalkerQBavailable
- Jordan AkinsTEavailable
- James ProcheWRavailable
- Elijah MooreWRavailable
- Pierre StrongRBavailable
- Dorian Thompson-RobinsonQBavailable
- Cedric TillmanWRavailable
- Rodney McLeodFSavailable
- Jameis WinstonQBavailable
- Geoff SwaimTEavailable
- D'Onta ForemanRBavailable
- Jerry JeudyWRavailable
- Jaelon DardenWRavailable
- Kadarius ToneyWRavailable
- Bailey ZappeQBavailable
- Blake WhiteheartTEavailable
- Jamari ThrashWRavailable
- Brenden BatesTEavailable
- Jacob KibodiRBavailable
- Deshaun Watsonavailable
New Orleans Saints
- Drew BreesQBavailable
- Ted GinnWRavailable
- Jared CookTEavailable
- Zach LineFBavailable
- Josh HillTEavailable
- Latavius MurrayRBavailable
- Teddy BridgewaterQBavailable
- Dwayne WashingtonRBavailable
- Michael ThomasWRavailable
- Taysom HillTEavailable
- Ricky OrtizFBavailable
- Austin CarrWRavailable
- Krishawn HoganWRavailable
- Justin HardeeCBavailable
- Alvin KamaraRBavailable
- Jarvis LandryWRavailable
- Tre'Quan SmithWRavailable
- Deonte HartyWRavailable
- Lil'Jordan HumphreyWRavailable
- David JohnsonRBavailable
- Jordan HowardRBavailable
- Emmanuel SandersWRavailable
- Bennie FowlerWRavailable
- Jameis WinstonQBavailable
- Michael BurtonFBavailable
- Ty MontgomeryWRavailable
- Tommylee LewisWRavailable
- Blake GillikinPavailable
- Tony JonesRBavailable
- Juwan JohnsonTEavailable
- Marquez CallawayWRavailable
- Adam TrautmanTEavailable
- Keith KirkwoodWRavailable
- Mark IngramRBavailable
- Chris HoganWRavailable
- Kenny StillsWRavailable
- Kevin WhiteWRavailable
- Trevor SiemianQBavailable
- Nick VannettTEavailable
- Tyler Shoughavailable
- Travis Etienne Jr.available
- CJ Donaldsonavailable
- Barion Brownavailable
- Garrett GriffinTEavailable
- Alex ArmahRBavailable
- Ethan WolfTEavailable
- Devine OzigboRBavailable
- Easop WinstonWRavailable
- Adam PrenticeFBavailable
- Ian BookQBavailable
- Andy DaltonQBavailable
- Eno BenjaminRBavailable
- Chris OlaveWRavailable
- Rashid ShaheedWRavailable
- Jimmy GrahamTEavailable
- Derek CarrQBavailable
- Jamaal WilliamsRBavailable
- Foster MoreauTEavailable
- Lynn BowdenWRavailable
- Kendre MillerRBavailable
- A.T. PerryWRavailable
- Jordan MimsRBavailable
- Marquez Valdes-ScantlingWRavailable
- Cedrick WilsonWRavailable
- Dante PettisWRavailable
- Clyde Edwards-HelaireRBavailable
- Kevin AustinWRavailable
- Jake HaenerQBavailable
- Spencer RattlerQBavailable
- Bub MeansWRavailable
- Matthew HayballPavailable
- Dallin HolkerTEavailable
- Jermaine JacksonWRavailable
- Mason TiptonWRavailable
- Spencer Rattleravailable
- Dante Pettisavailable
- Foster Moreauavailable
- Jack Stollavailable
- Ronnie Bellavailable
- Zaire Mitchell-Padenavailable
- Moliki Matavaoavailable
- Samori Toureavailable
- Demario Davisavailable
- Alontae Tayloravailable
- Bryan Breseeavailable
- Jonathan Bullardavailable
- Isaac Yiadomavailable
- Terrell Burgessavailable
- Jonah Williamsavailable
- Jaylan Fordavailable
- John Ridgewayavailable
- Khristian Boydavailable
- Michael Davisavailable
- Velus Jones Jr.available
- Zach Woodavailable
- Taliese Fuagaavailable
- Dillon Radunzavailable
- Blake Grupeavailable
- Eku Leotaavailable
- Charlie Smythavailable
- Nyheim Hinesavailable
- Kai Kroegeravailable
- Bryce Lanceavailable
- Noah Fantavailable
- Oscar Delpavailable
- Kevin Austin Jr.available
- Pete Werneravailable
- Kaden Ellissavailable
- Jonas Sankeravailable
- Taysom Hillavailable
- Chris Olaveavailable
- Alvin Kamaraavailable
- Devin Nealavailable
- Audric Estimeavailable
- Kendre Milleravailable
- Evan Hullavailable
- Mason Tiptonavailable
- Rashid Shaheedavailable
- Juwan Johnsonavailable
- Devaughn Veleavailable
- Brandin Cooksavailable
- Danny Stutsmanavailable
- Justin Reidavailable
- KoolAid McKinstryavailable
- Julian Blackmonavailable
- Nathan Shepherdavailable
- Carl Grandersonavailable
- Davon Godchauxavailable
- Martin Emerson Jr.available
- Anfernee Jenningsavailable
- Chris Rumph IIavailable
- Isaiah Stalbirdavailable
- Vernon Broughtonavailable
- Quincy Rileyavailable
- Jordan Howdenavailable
- Tyree Wilsonavailable
- Colby Woodenavailable
- Chase Youngavailable
- Cameron Jordanavailable
- Decamerion Richardsonavailable
- Treyton Welchavailable
- Daniel Carlsonavailable
- Jayden Priceavailable
- Ryan Wrightavailable
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