UNLVatNew Mexico
Sat, Nov 14, 11:30 PM UTC · Venue TBD · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NCAA Football projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
UNL 15.4 — NM 40.6
Win probability
NM 98%
Model confidence
High
Baseline projection from season win rate and home advantage. Statistical estimate, not a guaranteed outcome.
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
Loading historical accuracy…
Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
Your plan: Free · Unlocks with Pro — $7.98/month
Sample of what Pro unlocks.
Market prices
No market prices available for this game yet.
Compare with an outside price
Enter the moneyline prices you have seen elsewhere. EdgeIQ converts them into a plain chance of winning, strips out the operator's built-in margin, and shows how that compares with the model estimate. EdgeIQ does not take wagers and shows no prices of its own.
Add both prices to see the comparison.
A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Factor breakdown is unavailable for this game.
Team comparison
UNL (left) versus NM (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
Your plan: Free · Unlocks with Pro — $7.98/month
Recent form
UNLV
- Last 5
- 3-2
- Last 10
- 7-3
- Avg scored
- 25.2
- Avg allowed
- 19.8
- Streak
- W1
New Mexico
- Last 5
- 3-2
- Last 10
- 6-4
- Avg scored
- 34.6
- Avg allowed
- 24.6
- Streak
- W1
Historical matchup
These teams have no completed head-to-head games in the EdgeIQ database.
This is a very small sample. Head-to-head history carries little weight on its own, especially when rosters, coaching or circumstances have changed.
Player availability
UNLV
Availability data is unavailable for this team.
New Mexico
Availability data is unavailable for this team.
EdgeIQ AI
Sign in to ask EdgeIQ AI about this matchup. Free accounts include 5 AI requests per month.
Sign in to askYour hypothetical prediction
Paper predictions only — EdgeIQ never involves money, wagers or payouts.
Sign in to track a prediction