Los Angeles ChargersatSeattle Seahawks
Sun, Oct 4, 8:25 PM UTC · Lumen Field · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
LAC 19.9 — SEA 25.8
Win probability
SEA 65%
Model confidence
Moderate
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
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Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
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A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
LAC (left) versus SEA (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
Los Angeles Chargers
- Last 5
- 0-5
- Last 10
- 4-6
- Avg scored
- 22.6
- Avg allowed
- 23.0
- Streak
- L5
Seattle Seahawks
- Last 5
- 2-3
- Last 10
- 4-6
- Avg scored
- 18.0
- Avg allowed
- 18.0
- Streak
- L1
Historical matchup
SEA 2 — 0 LAC
Sample size: 2 games
This is a very small sample. Head-to-head history carries little weight on its own, especially when rosters, coaching or circumstances have changed.
Player availability
Los Angeles Chargers
- Philip RiversQBavailable
- Lance KendricksTEavailable
- Tyrod TaylorQBavailable
- Virgil GreenTEavailable
- Travis BenjaminWRavailable
- Keenan AllenWRavailable
- Justin Herbertavailable
- Omarion Hamptonavailable
- Jaret Pattersonavailable
- Najee Harrisavailable
- Hassan Haskinsavailable
- Tre Harrisavailable
- Amar Johnsonavailable
- Quentin Johnstonavailable
- Derius Davisavailable
- Tyler Conklinavailable
- Trayveon Williamsavailable
- Nyheim Hinesavailable
- Ladd McConkeyavailable
- Keenan Allenavailable
- Oronde Gadsden IIavailable
- Will Disslyavailable
- KeAndre LambertSmithavailable
- Tucker Fiskavailable
- Scott Matlockavailable
- Daiyan Henleyavailable
- Derwin James Jr.available
- Troy Dyeavailable
- Tony Jeffersonavailable
- Tarheeb Stillavailable
- Cam Hartavailable
- Denzel Perrymanavailable
- Justin Eboigbeavailable
- Del'Shawn Phillipsavailable
- Benjamin St-Justeavailable
- Teair Tartavailable
- Khalil Mackavailable
- Jamaree Caldwellavailable
- R.J. Mickensavailable
- Da'Shawn Handavailable
- Odafe Owehavailable
- Ja'Sir Tayloravailable
- Marcus Mayeavailable
- Geremy DavisWRavailable
- Melvin GordonRBavailable
- Derek WattFBavailable
- Hunter HenryTEavailable
- Troymaine PopeRBavailable
- Mike WilliamsWRavailable
- Desmond KingCBavailable
- Sean CulkinTEavailable
- Austin EkelerRBavailable
- Andre PattonWRavailable
- Richard RodgersTEavailable
- DeAndre CarterWRavailable
- Justin JacksonRBavailable
- Jalen GuytonWRavailable
- Jason MooreWRavailable
- Gerald EverettTEavailable
- Ty LongPavailable
- Stephen AndersonTEavailable
- Kalen BallageRBavailable
- Easton StickQBavailable
- Donald ParhamTEavailable
- Tyron JohnsonWRavailable
- Maurice FfrenchWRavailable
- Darius BradwellRBavailable
- Gabe NabersFBavailable
- Justin HerbertQBavailable
- Joshua KelleyRBavailable
- Joe ReedWRavailable
- K.J. HillWRavailable
- Chase DanielQBavailable
- Jared CookTEavailable
- Andre RobertsWRavailable
- Trey Lancequestionable
- Tevaughn CampbellCBavailable
- Larry RountreeRBavailable
- Josh PalmerWRavailable
- Tre' McKittyTEavailable
- Sony MichelRBavailable
- Michael BandyWRavailable
- Zander HorvathRBavailable
- Stone SmarttTEavailable
- Isaiah SpillerRBavailable
- Nick VannettTEavailable
- Alex EricksonWRavailable
- Keelan DossWRavailable
- Trey PipkinsTavailable
- Simi FehokoWRavailable
- Nick NiemannILBavailable
- Quentin JohnstonWRavailable
- Derius DavisWRavailable
- Elijah DotsonRBavailable
- Eric TomlinsonTEavailable
- Taylor HeinickeQBavailable
- Will DisslyTEavailable
- J.K. ScottPavailable
- Gus EdwardsRBavailable
- D.J. CharkWRavailable
- Hayden HurstTEavailable
- J.K. DobbinsRBavailable
- Jalen ReagorWRavailable
- Hassan HaskinsRBavailable
- Tucker FiskTEavailable
- Scott MatlockFBavailable
- Kimani VidalRBavailable
- Ladd McConkeyWRavailable
- Cameron Dickeravailable
- Kyle Kennardavailable
- Nikko Reedavailable
- Deane Leonardavailable
- Josh Harrisavailable
- Clelin Ferrellavailable
- Austin Deculusavailable
- JK Scottavailable
- Donte Jacksonavailable
- Alohi Gilmanavailable
- Marlowe Waxavailable
- Bud Dupreeavailable
- Kendall Williamsonavailable
- Caleb Murphyavailable
- Otito Ogbonniaavailable
- Naquan Jonesavailable
- Marcus Williamsavailable
- Tuli Tuipulotuavailable
- Elijah Moldenavailable
- Brenen Thompsonquestionable
- Dalvin Tomlinsonquestionable
- Rodney Shelleyquestionable
- Keaton Mitchellavailable
- David Njokuavailable
- Charlie Kolaravailable
- Genesis Smithavailable
- Akheem Mesidoravailable
- Nick Barrettavailable
- Kimani Vidalavailable
- Alec Ingoldavailable
Seattle Seahawks
- Marshawn LynchRBavailable
- Nick BelloreILBavailable
- Russell WilsonQBavailable
- Josh GordonWRavailable
- Luke WillsonTEavailable
- Jaron BrownWRavailable
- Tyler LockettWRavailable
- C.J. ProsiseRBavailable
- George FantTavailable
- Jacob HollisterTEavailable
- David MooreWRavailable
- Chris CarsonRBavailable
- Tyrone SwoopesTEavailable
- Marquise GoodwinWRavailable
- Will DisslyTEavailable
- Rashaad PennyRBavailable
- Malik TurnerWRavailable
- Travis HomerRBavailable
- John UrsuaWRavailable
- DK MetcalfWRavailable
- Laquon TreadwellWRavailable
- Greg OlsenTEavailable
- Geno SmithQBavailable
- Carlos HydeRBavailable
- Alex CollinsRBavailable
- Bo ScarbroughRBavailable
- Penny HartWRavailable
- Colby ParkinsonTEavailable
- Freddie SwainWRavailable
- DeeJay DallasRBavailable
- Michael DicksonPavailable
- Adrian PetersonRBavailable
- Kenneth Walker IIIavailable
- Zach Charbonnetavailable
- Velus Jones Jr.available
- Jacardia Wrightavailable
- Myles Gaskinavailable
- Jalen Milroeavailable
- Tory Hortonavailable
- Cody Whiteavailable
- Dareke Youngavailable
- Jake Boboavailable
- Coby Bryantavailable
- Ty Okadaquestionable
- Tyrice Knightavailable
- Tariq Woolenavailable
- Boye Mafeavailable
- Mike Morrisavailable
- D'Anthony Bellavailable
- Brandon Piliquestionable
- Derion Kendrickavailable
- Shaquill Griffinavailable
- Jerrick Reed IIavailable
- Robbie Ouztsavailable
- Quinton Bohannaavailable
- Nick Kallerupavailable
- Grey Zabelavailable
- Abraham Lucasavailable
- Chris Stollavailable
- Drew Lockavailable
- Sam Darnoldavailable
- Jadarian Priceavailable
- Emanuel Wilsonavailable
- George Holaniavailable
- Rashid Shaheedavailable
- Brady Russellavailable
- Elijah Arroyoavailable
- Eric Saubertavailable
- Ernest Jonesavailable
- Drake Thomasavailable
- Devon Witherspoonavailable
- Leonard Williamsavailable
- Julian Loveavailable
- Nehemiah Pritchettavailable
- Josh Jobeavailable
- Rylie Millsavailable
- Uchenna Nwosuavailable
- Rodney Thomas IIavailable
- Byron Murphy IIavailable
- DeMarcus Lawrenceavailable
- Chazz Surrattavailable
- Derick Hallavailable
- Patrick O'Connellavailable
- Jarran Reedavailable
- Connor O'Tooleavailable
- Avery Smithavailable
- Julian Nealavailable
- Montorie Fosteravailable
- AJ Finleyavailable
- Jason Myersavailable
- Michael Dicksonavailable
- Gerald EverettTEavailable
- Godwin IgwebuikeRBavailable
- D'Wayne EskridgeWRavailable
- AJ Barneravailable
- Jaxon SmithNjigbaavailable
- Cooper Kuppavailable
- Michael JacksonCBavailable
- Noah FantTEavailable
- Tony JonesRBavailable
- Tyler MabryTEavailable
- Cade JohnsonWRavailable
- Dareke YoungWRavailable
- Kenneth WalkerRBavailable
- Cody ThompsonWRavailable
- Drew LockQBavailable
- Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWRavailable
- Jake BoboWRavailable
- Zach CharbonnetRBavailable
- Pharaoh BrownTEavailable
- Julian LoveSSavailable
- Cody WhiteWRavailable
- Laviska Shenault Jr.WRavailable
- Sam HowellQBavailable
- Nick Emmanworiavailable
- Kenny McIntoshRBavailable
- George HolaniRBavailable
- A.J. BarnerTEavailable
- Anthony Bradfordquestionable
- Jamie Sheriffavailable
- Cam Akersavailable
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