New England PatriotsatLos Angeles Chargers
Mon, Nov 30, 1:20 AM UTC · SoFi Stadium · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
NE 21.2 — LAC 23.3
Win probability
LAC 54%
Model confidence
Low
Projection built from each team's scoring over its last 10 games, form weighted toward the last 3 and 5, the strength of the opponents it faced, a home-field adjustment, and a small allowance for high-production players listed as unavailable. Statistical estimate, not a guaranteed outcome.
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
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Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
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A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
NE (left) versus LAC (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
New England Patriots
- Last 5
- 2-3
- Last 10
- 3-7
- Avg scored
- 15.4
- Avg allowed
- 23.2
- Streak
- L1
Los Angeles Chargers
- Last 5
- 0-5
- Last 10
- 4-6
- Avg scored
- 22.6
- Avg allowed
- 23.0
- Streak
- L5
Historical matchup
LAC 2 — 0 NE
Sample size: 2 games
This is a very small sample. Head-to-head history carries little weight on its own, especially when rosters, coaching or circumstances have changed.
Player availability
New England Patriots
- Tom BradyQBavailable
- Benjamin WatsonTEavailable
- Matt SlaterWRavailable
- Julian EdelmanWRavailable
- Antonio BrownWRavailable
- James DevelinFBavailable
- Brandon BoldenRBavailable
- Mohamed SanuWRavailable
- Rex BurkheadRBavailable
- Drake Mayeavailable
- Joshua Dobbsavailable
- Rhamondre Stevensonavailable
- Antonio Gibsonavailable
- Terrell Jenningsavailable
- D'Ernest Johnsonavailable
- Mack Hollinsavailable
- Kyle Williamsavailable
- Stefon Diggsavailable
- Hunter Henryavailable
- Kayshon Boutteavailable
- Austin Hooperavailable
- Efton Chism IIIavailable
- Robert Spillaneavailable
- Christian Ellissavailable
- James WhiteRBavailable
- Lan Larisonavailable
- Dre'Mont Jonesavailable
- Erick Hunteravailable
- Jaylen Reedavailable
- Cameron Latuavailable
- Karon Pruntyavailable
- DaQuan Jonesavailable
- Jared Wilsonavailable
- Darius Muasauavailable
- Mitch Wishnowskyavailable
- Quintayvious Hutchinsquestionable
- Reggie Gilliamquestionable
- Eric TomlinsonTEavailable
- Matt LaCosseTEavailable
- Jack Gibbensavailable
- Cory Durdenavailable
- Phillip DorsettWRavailable
- Corey Kineravailable
- Elandon RobertsILBavailable
- Romeo Doubsavailable
- Demario Douglasavailable
- A.J. Brownavailable
- Kevin Byardavailable
- DeVante ParkerWRavailable
- Namdi Obiazoravailable
- Gabe Jacasavailable
- Ryan IzzoTEavailable
- Jaylinn Hawkinsavailable
- Christian Gonzalezavailable
- Marcus Jonesavailable
- Harold Landry IIIavailable
- Jahlani Tavaiavailable
- K'Lavon Chaissonavailable
- Milton Williamsavailable
- Christian Barmoreavailable
- Anfernee Jenningsavailable
- Marte Mapuavailable
- Khyiris Tongaavailable
- Elijah Ponderavailable
- Dell Pettusavailable
- Brenden Schooleravailable
- Kyle Duggeravailable
- Garrett Bradburyavailable
- Richie Grantavailable
- Corey Ballentineavailable
- Jack Westoveravailable
- Mike Onwenuavailable
- Bryce Baringeravailable
- Joshua Farmeravailable
- Alex Austinavailable
- Carlton Davis IIIavailable
- Charles Woodsavailable
- Leonard Tayloravailable
- Sony MichelRBavailable
- Craig Woodsonavailable
- Eric Gregoryavailable
- Jakobi MeyersWRavailable
- Eli Raridonquestionable
- Keion Whiteavailable
- Chad Mumaavailable
- Darius Harrisavailable
- Julian Ashbyavailable
- Mark Robinsonavailable
- Jeremiah Pharms Jr.available
- Miles Battleavailable
- Jarrett StidhamQBavailable
- Will Campbellavailable
- Caleb Murphyavailable
- D.J. Jamesavailable
- Bradyn Swinsonavailable
- Andres Borregalesavailable
- Kobee Minoravailable
- N'Keal HarryTEavailable
- Gunner OlszewskiWRavailable
- Chase WinovichDEavailable
- Damien HarrisRBavailable
- Jakob JohnsonFBavailable
- Ty MontgomeryWRavailable
- Brian HoyerQBavailable
- Devin McCourtyFSavailable
- TreVeyon Hendersonavailable
- Cam NewtonQBavailable
- Donte MoncriefWRavailable
- Damiere ByrdWRavailable
- Jordan ThomasTEavailable
- J.J. TaylorRBavailable
- Isaiah ZuberWRavailable
- Devin AsiasiTEavailable
- Dalton KeeneTEavailable
- Nelson AgholorWRavailable
- Hunter HenryTEavailable
- Kendrick BourneWRavailable
- Jonnu SmithTEavailable
- Kristian WilkersonWRavailable
- Rhamondre StevensonRBavailable
- Mac JonesQBavailable
- Lil'Jordan HumphreyWRavailable
- Marcus JonesCBavailable
- Kevin HarrisRBavailable
- Pierre StrongRBavailable
- Tyquan ThorntonWRavailable
- Bailey ZappeQBavailable
- Cody DavisFSavailable
- Ezekiel ElliottRBavailable
- Pharaoh BrownTEavailable
- JuJu Smith-SchusterWRavailable
- Mike GesickiTEavailable
- Jalen ReagorWRavailable
- Kayshon BoutteWRavailable
- Demario DouglasWRavailable
- Malik CunninghamWRavailable
- Austin HooperTEavailable
- Jacoby BrissettQBavailable
- Jamycal HastyRBavailable
- Antonio GibsonRBavailable
- K.J. OsbornWRavailable
- Vederian LoweTavailable
- Joe MiltonQBavailable
- Jaheim BellTEavailable
- Dell PettusFSavailable
- Terrell JenningsRBavailable
- Drake MayeQBavailable
- Javon BakerWRavailable
- Ja'Lynn PolkWRavailable
Los Angeles Chargers
- Philip RiversQBavailable
- Lance KendricksTEavailable
- Tyrod TaylorQBavailable
- Virgil GreenTEavailable
- Travis BenjaminWRavailable
- Keenan AllenWRavailable
- Justin Herbertavailable
- Omarion Hamptonavailable
- Jaret Pattersonavailable
- Najee Harrisavailable
- Hassan Haskinsavailable
- Tre Harrisavailable
- Amar Johnsonavailable
- Quentin Johnstonavailable
- Derius Davisavailable
- Tyler Conklinavailable
- Trayveon Williamsavailable
- Nyheim Hinesavailable
- Ladd McConkeyavailable
- Keenan Allenavailable
- Oronde Gadsden IIavailable
- Will Disslyavailable
- KeAndre LambertSmithavailable
- Tucker Fiskavailable
- Scott Matlockavailable
- Daiyan Henleyavailable
- Derwin James Jr.available
- Troy Dyeavailable
- Tony Jeffersonavailable
- Tarheeb Stillavailable
- Cam Hartavailable
- Denzel Perrymanavailable
- Justin Eboigbeavailable
- Del'Shawn Phillipsavailable
- Benjamin St-Justeavailable
- Teair Tartavailable
- Khalil Mackavailable
- Jamaree Caldwellavailable
- R.J. Mickensavailable
- Da'Shawn Handavailable
- Odafe Owehavailable
- Ja'Sir Tayloravailable
- Marcus Mayeavailable
- Geremy DavisWRavailable
- Melvin GordonRBavailable
- Derek WattFBavailable
- Hunter HenryTEavailable
- Troymaine PopeRBavailable
- Mike WilliamsWRavailable
- Desmond KingCBavailable
- Sean CulkinTEavailable
- Austin EkelerRBavailable
- Andre PattonWRavailable
- Richard RodgersTEavailable
- DeAndre CarterWRavailable
- Justin JacksonRBavailable
- Jalen GuytonWRavailable
- Jason MooreWRavailable
- Gerald EverettTEavailable
- Ty LongPavailable
- Stephen AndersonTEavailable
- Kalen BallageRBavailable
- Easton StickQBavailable
- Donald ParhamTEavailable
- Tyron JohnsonWRavailable
- Maurice FfrenchWRavailable
- Darius BradwellRBavailable
- Gabe NabersFBavailable
- Justin HerbertQBavailable
- Joshua KelleyRBavailable
- Joe ReedWRavailable
- K.J. HillWRavailable
- Chase DanielQBavailable
- Jared CookTEavailable
- Andre RobertsWRavailable
- Trey Lancequestionable
- Tevaughn CampbellCBavailable
- Larry RountreeRBavailable
- Josh PalmerWRavailable
- Tre' McKittyTEavailable
- Sony MichelRBavailable
- Michael BandyWRavailable
- Zander HorvathRBavailable
- Stone SmarttTEavailable
- Isaiah SpillerRBavailable
- Nick VannettTEavailable
- Alex EricksonWRavailable
- Keelan DossWRavailable
- Trey PipkinsTavailable
- Simi FehokoWRavailable
- Nick NiemannILBavailable
- Quentin JohnstonWRavailable
- Derius DavisWRavailable
- Elijah DotsonRBavailable
- Eric TomlinsonTEavailable
- Taylor HeinickeQBavailable
- Will DisslyTEavailable
- J.K. ScottPavailable
- Gus EdwardsRBavailable
- D.J. CharkWRavailable
- Hayden HurstTEavailable
- J.K. DobbinsRBavailable
- Jalen ReagorWRavailable
- Hassan HaskinsRBavailable
- Tucker FiskTEavailable
- Scott MatlockFBavailable
- Kimani VidalRBavailable
- Ladd McConkeyWRavailable
- Cameron Dickeravailable
- Kyle Kennardavailable
- Nikko Reedavailable
- Deane Leonardavailable
- Josh Harrisavailable
- Clelin Ferrellavailable
- Austin Deculusavailable
- JK Scottavailable
- Donte Jacksonavailable
- Alohi Gilmanavailable
- Marlowe Waxavailable
- Bud Dupreeavailable
- Kendall Williamsonavailable
- Caleb Murphyavailable
- Otito Ogbonniaavailable
- Naquan Jonesavailable
- Marcus Williamsavailable
- Tuli Tuipulotuavailable
- Elijah Moldenavailable
- Brenen Thompsonquestionable
- Dalvin Tomlinsonquestionable
- Rodney Shelleyquestionable
- Keaton Mitchellavailable
- David Njokuavailable
- Charlie Kolaravailable
- Genesis Smithavailable
- Akheem Mesidoravailable
- Nick Barrettavailable
- Kimani Vidalavailable
- Alec Ingoldavailable
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