Jacksonville JaguarsatCincinnati Bengals
Sun, Oct 4, 5:00 PM UTC · Paycor Stadium · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
JAX 20.8 — CIN 24.3
Win probability
CIN 69%
Model confidence
High
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
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Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
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A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
JAX (left) versus CIN (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
Jacksonville Jaguars
- Last 5
- 3-2
- Last 10
- 5-5
- Avg scored
- 22.4
- Avg allowed
- 18.0
- Streak
- W1
Cincinnati Bengals
- Last 5
- 4-1
- Last 10
- 9-1
- Avg scored
- 26.3
- Avg allowed
- 17.3
- Streak
- L1
Historical matchup
CIN 1 — 0 JAX
Sample size: 1 games
This is a very small sample. Head-to-head history carries little weight on its own, especially when rosters, coaching or circumstances have changed.
Player availability
Jacksonville Jaguars
- Nick FolesQBavailable
- Cody DavisFSavailable
- Marqise LeeWRavailable
- James O'ShaughnessyTEavailable
- Nick O'LearyTEavailable
- Chris ConleyWRavailable
- Ben KoyackTEavailable
- Geoff SwaimTEavailable
- Trevor Lawrenceavailable
- Seth DeValveTEavailable
- C.J. BoardWRavailable
- Keelan ColeWRavailable
- Dede WestbrookWRavailable
- Leonard FournetteRBavailable
- Logan CookePavailable
- D.J. CharkWRavailable
- Devine OzigboRBavailable
- Josh OliverTEavailable
- Ryquell ArmsteadRBavailable
- Gardner MinshewQBavailable
- Michael WalkerWRavailable
- Charles JonesTEavailable
- Evan EngramTEavailable
- Zay JonesWRavailable
- Bruce MillerFBavailable
- Chris ThompsonRBavailable
- Mike GlennonQBavailable
- Tyler EifertTEavailable
- Eric SaubertTEavailable
- Dare OgunbowaleRBavailable
- Terry GodwinWRavailable
- Craig ReynoldsRBavailable
- Nathan CottrellRBavailable
- Ben EllefsonTEavailable
- James RobinsonRBavailable
- Tyler DavisTEavailable
- Collin JohnsonWRavailable
- Laviska Shenault Jr.WRavailable
- Daniel ThomasSSavailable
- Jake LutonQBavailable
- Marvin JonesWRavailable
- Travis Etienne Jr.available
- LeQuint Allenavailable
- Dyami Brownavailable
- Tavon AustinWRavailable
- Carlos HydeRBavailable
- John BrownWRavailable
- Chris ManhertzTEavailable
- Devin SmithWRavailable
- Laquon TreadwellWRavailable
- Jaydon MickensWRavailable
- Jacob HollisterTEavailable
- Jamal AgnewWRavailable
- C.J. BeathardQBavailable
- Dan ArnoldTEavailable
- Tim Jonesavailable
- Andrew WingardFSavailable
- Tyron JohnsonWRavailable
- Christian KirkWRavailable
- Mekhi SargentRBavailable
- Luke FarrellTEavailable
- Trevor LawrenceQBavailable
- Jamycal HastyRBavailable
- Tim JonesWRavailable
- Travis EtienneRBavailable
- Snoop ConnerRBavailable
- Matt BarkleyQBavailable
- Calvin RidleyWRavailable
- D'Ernest JohnsonRBavailable
- Tank BigsbyRBavailable
- Parker WashingtonWRavailable
- Elijah CooksWRavailable
- Brenton StrangeTEavailable
- Josh ReynoldsWRavailable
- Gabe DavisWRavailable
- Devin DuvernayWRavailable
- Josiah DeguaraTEavailable
- Austin TrammellWRavailable
- Mac JonesQBavailable
- Brian ThomasWRavailable
- Bhayshul Tutenavailable
- Ameer Abdullahavailable
- Chris Rodriguez Jr.available
- Nick Mullensavailable
- Josh Cameronavailable
- Nate Boerkircheravailable
- Caleb Ransawavailable
- Jahlani Tavaiavailable
- Albert Regisavailable
- Ruke Orhorhoroavailable
- DeeJay Dallasavailable
- Brian Thomas Jr.available
- Jakobi Meyersavailable
- Tank Bigsbyavailable
- Travis Hunteravailable
- Parker Washingtonavailable
- Brenton Strangeavailable
- Tim Patrickavailable
- Johnny Mundtavailable
- Hunter Longavailable
- Quintin Morrisavailable
- Austin Trammellavailable
- Foyesade Oluokunavailable
- Andrew Wingardavailable
- Devin Lloydavailable
- Antonio Johnsonavailable
- Eric Murrayavailable
- Montaric Brownavailable
- Jarrian Jonesavailable
- B.J. Green IIavailable
- Emmanuel Ogbahavailable
- Jack Kiseravailable
- Christian Braswellavailable
- Austin Johnsonavailable
- Matt Dickersonavailable
- Yasir Abdullahavailable
- Branson Combsavailable
- Ross Matiscikavailable
- Khalen Saundersavailable
- Cam'Ron SilmonCraigavailable
- Darnell Savageavailable
- Patrick Mekariavailable
- Ezra Clevelandavailable
- Cam Littleavailable
- Logan Cookeavailable
- Josh Allenavailable
- Dennis Gardeckavailable
- Jourdan Lewisavailable
- Ventrell Milleravailable
- Travon Walkeravailable
- DaVon Hamiltonavailable
- Tyson Campbellavailable
- Greg Newsome IIavailable
- Arik Armsteadavailable
- Dawuane Smootavailable
- Rayuan Lane IIIavailable
- Danny Striggowavailable
- Maason Smithavailable
Cincinnati Bengals
- Gary Brightwellavailable
- Ryan Rehkowavailable
- Andy DaltonQBavailable
- Giovani BernardRBavailable
- Tyler EifertTEavailable
- C.J. UzomahTEavailable
- Alex EricksonWRavailable
- Tyler BoydWRavailable
- Dohnte Meyersavailable
- Bryan Cookavailable
- Jonathan Allenavailable
- Swayze Bozemanavailable
- Tacario Davisavailable
- Boye Mafeavailable
- Cethan CarterTEavailable
- John RossWRavailable
- Brandon WilsonFSavailable
- Joe MixonRBavailable
- Auden TateWRavailable
- Stanley MorganWRavailable
- Damion WillisWRavailable
- Drew SampleTEavailable
- Ryan FinleyQBavailable
- A.J. GreenWRavailable
- Shawn WilliamsSSavailable
- Brandon AllenQBavailable
- Mike ThomasWRavailable
- Samaje PerineRBavailable
- Mason SchreckTEavailable
- Trayveon WilliamsRBavailable
- Trenton IrwinWRavailable
- Mitchell WilcoxTEavailable
- Tee HigginsWRavailable
- Joe BurrowQBavailable
- Trent TaylorWRavailable
- Chris EvansRBavailable
- Ja'Marr ChaseWRavailable
- Hayden HurstTEavailable
- Devin AsiasiTEavailable
- AJ McCarronQBavailable
- Tanner HudsonTEavailable
- Irv SmithTEavailable
- Jake BrowningQBavailable
- Kwamie LassiterWRavailable
- Charlie JonesWRavailable
- Chase BrownRBavailable
- Andrei IosivasWRavailable
- Shedrick JacksonWRavailable
- Mike GesickiTEavailable
- Sam HubbardDEavailable
- Zack MossRBavailable
- Khalil HerbertRBavailable
- Kendric PryorWRavailable
- Cam GrandyTEavailable
- Jermaine BurtonWRavailable
- Erick AllTEavailable
- Joe Burrowavailable
- Joe Flaccoavailable
- Jake Browningavailable
- Chase Brownavailable
- Samaje Perineavailable
- Tahj Brooksavailable
- Andrei Iosivasavailable
- Ja'Marr Chaseavailable
- Ke'Shawn Williamsavailable
- Drew Sampleavailable
- Kendall Miltonavailable
- Tee Higginsavailable
- Mike Gesickiavailable
- Noah Fantavailable
- Tanner Hudsonavailable
- Mitchell Tinsleyavailable
- Cody Fordavailable
- Cam Grandyavailable
- Jordan Battleavailable
- Demetrius Knight IIavailable
- Barrett Carteravailable
- Geno Stoneavailable
- Dax Hillavailable
- BJ Hillavailable
- T.J. Slatonavailable
- Myles Murphyavailable
- Oren Burksavailable
- Logan Wilsonavailable
- Joseph Ossaiavailable
- DJ Turneravailable
- Kris Jenkinsavailable
- Joe Giles-Harrisavailable
- Tycen Andersonavailable
- Cam Taylor-Brittavailable
- Cedric Johnsonavailable
- Jalen Davisavailable
- PJ Julesavailable
- Cam Sampleavailable
- DJ Iveyavailable
- Shaka Heywardavailable
- Trey Hendricksonavailable
- Josh Newtonavailable
- Mike Pennel Jr.available
- Shemar Stewartavailable
- McKinnley Jacksonavailable
- Isaiah Foskeyavailable
- Daijahn Anthonyavailable
- Howard Cross IIIavailable
- Bralyn Luxavailable
- Marco Wilsonavailable
- Amarius Mimsavailable
- William Wagneravailable
- Jalen Riversavailable
- Dalton Risneravailable
- Evan McPhersonavailable
- Charlie Jonesavailable
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