Denver BroncosatSan Francisco 49ers
Sun, Oct 4, 8:25 PM UTC · Levi's Stadium · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
DEN 19.7 — SF 24.4
Win probability
SF 52%
Model confidence
Low
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
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Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
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A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
DEN (left) versus SF (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
Denver Broncos
- Last 5
- 3-2
- Last 10
- 5-5
- Avg scored
- 23.0
- Avg allowed
- 21.1
- Streak
- W2
San Francisco 49ers
- Last 5
- 5-0
- Last 10
- 5-5
- Avg scored
- 25.1
- Avg allowed
- 22.6
- Streak
- W5
Historical matchup
SF 1 — 0 DEN
Sample size: 1 games
This is a very small sample. Head-to-head history carries little weight on its own, especially when rosters, coaching or circumstances have changed.
Player availability
Denver Broncos
- Joe FlaccoQBavailable
- J.K. Dobbinsavailable
- RJ Harveyavailable
- Justin Strnadavailable
- Dondrea Tillmanavailable
- Pat Surtain IIavailable
- Quandarrius Robinsonavailable
- Diontae SpencerWRavailable
- Jeff HeuermanTEavailable
- Brandon AllenQBavailable
- Andy JanovichFBavailable
- Devontae BookerRBavailable
- Tim PatrickWRavailable
- Fred BrownWRavailable
- Colby WadmanPavailable
- Latavius MurrayRBavailable
- Eric TomlinsonTEavailable
- Jonah Colemanavailable
- Phillip LindsayRBavailable
- Courtland SuttonWRavailable
- DaeSean HamiltonWRavailable
- Troy FumagalliTEavailable
- Royce FreemanRBavailable
- Andrew BeckFBavailable
- Jaleel McLaughlinavailable
- Jarrett Stidhamavailable
- Lil'Jordan Humphreyavailable
- Trent Sherfieldavailable
- Lucas Krullavailable
- Michael Bandyavailable
- Jonathon Cooperavailable
- Dre Greenlawavailable
- John Franklin-Myersavailable
- P.J. Lockeavailable
- Noah FantTEavailable
- Drew LockQBavailable
- Marlon MackRBavailable
- Jordan Jacksonavailable
- Garret Wallowavailable
- Reese Tayloravailable
- Delarrin Turner-Yellavailable
- Quinn Meinerzavailable
- Luke Wattenbergavailable
- Mike McGlincheyavailable
- Zach Allenavailable
- Eyioma Uwazurikeavailable
- Sam MartinPavailable
- Melvin GordonRBavailable
- Nick VannettTEavailable
- Jeff DriskelQBavailable
- Jake ButtTEavailable
- Brett RypienQBavailable
- Kendall HintonWRavailable
- LeVante BellamyRBavailable
- Jerry JeudyWRavailable
- K.J. HamlerWRavailable
- Albert OkwuegbunamTEavailable
- Tyrie ClevelandWRavailable
- Teddy BridgewaterQBavailable
- Pat Bryantavailable
- Nate Adkinsavailable
- Troy Franklinavailable
- Tyler Badieavailable
- Eric SaubertTEavailable
- David MooreWRavailable
- Jaylen Waddleavailable
- Evan Engramavailable
- Courtland Suttonavailable
- Adam Trautmanavailable
- Adam Prenticeavailable
- Alex Singletonavailable
- Talanoa Hufangaavailable
- Brandon Jonesavailable
- Riley Mossavailable
- Mike BooneRBavailable
- Malcolm Roachavailable
- Ja'Quan McMillianavailable
- Devon Keyavailable
- Jahdae Barronavailable
- Tycen Andersonavailable
- Jonah Ellissavailable
- JL Skinneravailable
- Jordan Turneravailable
- Nik Bonittoavailable
- Karene Reidavailable
- Bo Nixavailable
- D.J. Jonesavailable
- Mitchell Fraboniavailable
- Wil Lutzavailable
- Kris AbramsDraineavailable
- Marvin Mimsavailable
- Jeremy Crawshawavailable
- Damarea CrockettRBavailable
- Chase EdmondsRBavailable
- Seth WilliamsWRavailable
- Javonte WilliamsRBavailable
- Russell WilsonQBavailable
- Devine OzigboRBavailable
- Freddie SwainWRavailable
- Tyler BadieRBavailable
- Greg DulcichTEavailable
- Montrell WashingtonWRavailable
- Brandon JohnsonWRavailable
- Jalen VirgilWRavailable
- Chris ManhertzTEavailable
- Michael BurtonFBavailable
- Phillip DorsettWRavailable
- Samaje PerineRBavailable
- Jarrett StidhamQBavailable
- Lil'Jordan HumphreyWRavailable
- Adam TrautmanTEavailable
- Lucas KrullTEavailable
- Nate AdkinsTEavailable
- Jaleel McLaughlinRBavailable
- Marvin Mims Jr.WRavailable
- Riley DixonPavailable
- Audric EstimeRBavailable
- Devaughn VeleWRavailable
- Blake WatsonRBavailable
- Bo NixQBavailable
- Troy FranklinWRavailable
San Francisco 49ers
- Jake Brendelavailable
- Tatum Bethuneavailable
- Upton Stoutavailable
- Dre Greenlawavailable
- Ji'Ayir Brownavailable
- Jaden Duggeravailable
- Ashtyn Davisavailable
- Malik Mustaphaavailable
- Deommodore Lenoiravailable
- Fred Warneravailable
- Renardo Greenavailable
- Gracen Haltonavailable
- Osa Odighizuwaavailable
- Khalid Kareemavailable
- Brayden Willisavailable
- Keion Whiteavailable
- Siran Nealavailable
- Jacob Cowingavailable
- Corliss Waitmanavailable
- Marques Sigleavailable
- Curtis Robinsonavailable
- Emmanuel SandersWRavailable
- Jason Pinnockavailable
- Sam Okuayinonuavailable
- Jordan Elliottavailable
- Bryce Huffavailable
- Kalia Davisavailable
- Darrell Luter Jr.available
- Luke Giffordavailable
- Clelin Ferrellavailable
- CJ Westavailable
- Mykel Williamsavailable
- Alfred Collinsavailable
- Robert Beal Jr.available
- Nickolas Martinavailable
- Eric Kendricksavailable
- Isaac Guerendoavailable
- Garret Wallowavailable
- Colton McKivitzavailable
- Malik Turneravailable
- Kevin Givensavailable
- Jon Weeksavailable
- Trent Williamsavailable
- Chase Lucasavailable
- Yetur Gross-Matosavailable
- Trevis Gipsonavailable
- Dominick Puniavailable
- Spencer Burfordavailable
- Eli Appleavailable
- Jalen Grahamavailable
- Romello Heightavailable
- Nick Bosaavailable
- Kyle JuszczykFBavailable
- Marquise GoodwinWRavailable
- Mac Jonesavailable
- Christian McCaffreyavailable
- Demarcus Robinsonavailable
- Kyle Juszczykavailable
- George Kittleavailable
- Luke Farrellavailable
- Jordan Watkinsavailable
- Connor Colbyavailable
- Dee Wintersavailable
- Levine ToiloloTEavailable
- Jimmy GaroppoloQBavailable
- James Thompson Jr.available
- Mike Evansavailable
- Raheem MostertRBavailable
- Tevin ColemanRBavailable
- George KittleTEavailable
- Kendrick BourneWRavailable
- Matt BreidaRBavailable
- Nick MullensQBavailable
- Ross DwelleyTEavailable
- Jeffery WilsonRBavailable
- Richie JamesWRavailable
- Dante PettisWRavailable
- KhaDarel Hodgeavailable
- Deebo SamuelWRavailable
- Tyler KroftTEavailable
- Christian McCaffreyRBavailable
- Deebo Samuelavailable
- Jordan Jamesavailable
- Jordan ReedTEavailable
- Jerick McKinnonRBavailable
- Trent TaylorWRavailable
- C.J. BeathardQBavailable
- River CracraftWRavailable
- Austin WalterRBavailable
- Jacques PatrickRBavailable
- Jamycal HastyRBavailable
- Brandon AiyukWRavailable
- Charlie WoernerTEavailable
- Ray-Ray McCloudWRavailable
- Trent WilliamsTavailable
- Travis BenjaminWRavailable
- Mohamed SanuWRavailable
- Trenton CannonRBavailable
- Trent SherfieldWRavailable
- Jauan JenningsWRavailable
- Talanoa HufangaSSavailable
- Elijah MitchellRBavailable
- Trey SermonRBavailable
- Trey LanceQBavailable
- Josh JohnsonQBavailable
- Jordan MasonRBavailable
- Tyrion Davis-PriceRBavailable
- Danny GrayWRavailable
- Brock PurdyQBavailable
- Willie SneadWRavailable
- Chris ConleyWRavailable
- Sam DarnoldQBavailable
- Ronnie BellWRavailable
- Brandon AllenQBavailable
- Eric SaubertTEavailable
- Joshua DobbsQBavailable
- Patrick TaylorRBavailable
- Ke'Shawn VaughnRBavailable
- Deommodore LenoirCBavailable
- Brayden WillisTEavailable
- Isaac GuerendoRBavailable
- Jacob CowingWRavailable
- Ricky PearsallWRavailable
- Brock Purdyavailable
- Brian Robinson Jr.available
- Skyy Mooreavailable
- Adrian Martinezavailable
- Ricky Pearsallavailable
- Jauan Jenningsavailable
- Kendrick Bourneavailable
- Jake Tongesavailable
- Marquez Valdes-Scantlingavailable
- Matt Gayavailable
- Jake Moodyavailable
- Thomas Morsteadavailable
- Kaelon Blackavailable
- Eddy Pineiroavailable
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