New Orleans SaintsatChicago Bears
Sun, Nov 22, 6:00 PM UTC · Soldier Field · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
NO 16.7 — CHI 26.4
Win probability
CHI 69%
Model confidence
High
Projection built from each team's scoring over its last 10 games, form weighted toward the last 3 and 5, the strength of the opponents it faced, a home-field adjustment, and a small allowance for high-production players listed as unavailable. Statistical estimate, not a guaranteed outcome.
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
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Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
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A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
NO (left) versus CHI (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
New Orleans Saints
- Last 5
- 2-3
- Last 10
- 2-8
- Avg scored
- 17.6
- Avg allowed
- 27.1
- Streak
- L1
Chicago Bears
- Last 5
- 3-2
- Last 10
- 5-5
- Avg scored
- 21.2
- Avg allowed
- 19.7
- Streak
- W1
Historical matchup
CHI 0 — 1 NO
Sample size: 1 games
This is a very small sample. Head-to-head history carries little weight on its own, especially when rosters, coaching or circumstances have changed.
Player availability
New Orleans Saints
- Drew BreesQBavailable
- Ted GinnWRavailable
- Jared CookTEavailable
- Zach LineFBavailable
- Josh HillTEavailable
- Latavius MurrayRBavailable
- Teddy BridgewaterQBavailable
- Dwayne WashingtonRBavailable
- Michael ThomasWRavailable
- Taysom HillTEavailable
- Ricky OrtizFBavailable
- Austin CarrWRavailable
- Krishawn HoganWRavailable
- Justin HardeeCBavailable
- Alvin KamaraRBavailable
- Jarvis LandryWRavailable
- Tre'Quan SmithWRavailable
- Deonte HartyWRavailable
- Lil'Jordan HumphreyWRavailable
- David JohnsonRBavailable
- Jordan HowardRBavailable
- Emmanuel SandersWRavailable
- Bennie FowlerWRavailable
- Jameis WinstonQBavailable
- Michael BurtonFBavailable
- Ty MontgomeryWRavailable
- Tommylee LewisWRavailable
- Blake GillikinPavailable
- Tony JonesRBavailable
- Juwan JohnsonTEavailable
- Marquez CallawayWRavailable
- Adam TrautmanTEavailable
- Keith KirkwoodWRavailable
- Mark IngramRBavailable
- Chris HoganWRavailable
- Kenny StillsWRavailable
- Kevin WhiteWRavailable
- Trevor SiemianQBavailable
- Nick VannettTEavailable
- Tyler Shoughavailable
- Travis Etienne Jr.available
- CJ Donaldsonavailable
- Barion Brownavailable
- Garrett GriffinTEavailable
- Alex ArmahRBavailable
- Ethan WolfTEavailable
- Devine OzigboRBavailable
- Easop WinstonWRavailable
- Adam PrenticeFBavailable
- Ian BookQBavailable
- Andy DaltonQBavailable
- Eno BenjaminRBavailable
- Chris OlaveWRavailable
- Rashid ShaheedWRavailable
- Jimmy GrahamTEavailable
- Derek CarrQBavailable
- Jamaal WilliamsRBavailable
- Foster MoreauTEavailable
- Lynn BowdenWRavailable
- Kendre MillerRBavailable
- A.T. PerryWRavailable
- Jordan MimsRBavailable
- Marquez Valdes-ScantlingWRavailable
- Cedrick WilsonWRavailable
- Dante PettisWRavailable
- Clyde Edwards-HelaireRBavailable
- Kevin AustinWRavailable
- Jake HaenerQBavailable
- Spencer RattlerQBavailable
- Bub MeansWRavailable
- Matthew HayballPavailable
- Dallin HolkerTEavailable
- Jermaine JacksonWRavailable
- Mason TiptonWRavailable
- Spencer Rattleravailable
- Dante Pettisavailable
- Foster Moreauavailable
- Jack Stollavailable
- Ronnie Bellavailable
- Zaire Mitchell-Padenavailable
- Moliki Matavaoavailable
- Samori Toureavailable
- Demario Davisavailable
- Alontae Tayloravailable
- Bryan Breseeavailable
- Jonathan Bullardavailable
- Isaac Yiadomavailable
- Terrell Burgessavailable
- Jonah Williamsavailable
- Jaylan Fordavailable
- John Ridgewayavailable
- Khristian Boydavailable
- Michael Davisavailable
- Velus Jones Jr.available
- Zach Woodavailable
- Taliese Fuagaavailable
- Dillon Radunzavailable
- Blake Grupeavailable
- Eku Leotaavailable
- Charlie Smythavailable
- Nyheim Hinesavailable
- Kai Kroegeravailable
- Bryce Lanceavailable
- Noah Fantavailable
- Oscar Delpavailable
- Kevin Austin Jr.available
- Pete Werneravailable
- Kaden Ellissavailable
- Jonas Sankeravailable
- Taysom Hillavailable
- Chris Olaveavailable
- Alvin Kamaraavailable
- Devin Nealavailable
- Audric Estimeavailable
- Kendre Milleravailable
- Evan Hullavailable
- Mason Tiptonavailable
- Rashid Shaheedavailable
- Juwan Johnsonavailable
- Devaughn Veleavailable
- Brandin Cooksavailable
- Danny Stutsmanavailable
- Justin Reidavailable
- KoolAid McKinstryavailable
- Julian Blackmonavailable
- Nathan Shepherdavailable
- Carl Grandersonavailable
- Davon Godchauxavailable
- Martin Emerson Jr.available
- Anfernee Jenningsavailable
- Chris Rumph IIavailable
- Isaiah Stalbirdavailable
- Vernon Broughtonavailable
- Quincy Rileyavailable
- Jordan Howdenavailable
- Tyree Wilsonavailable
- Colby Woodenavailable
- Chase Youngavailable
- Cameron Jordanavailable
- Decamerion Richardsonavailable
- Treyton Welchavailable
- Daniel Carlsonavailable
- Jayden Priceavailable
- Ryan Wrightavailable
Chicago Bears
- Chase DanielQBavailable
- Cordarrelle PattersonRBavailable
- Trey BurtonTEavailable
- Taylor GabrielWRavailable
- Allen RobinsonWRavailable
- Ben BrauneckerTEavailable
- J.P. HoltzTEavailable
- Tarik CohenRBavailable
- Eric SaubertTEavailable
- Mitchell TrubiskyQBavailable
- Adam ShaheenTEavailable
- Ryan GriffinTEavailable
- Trevor SiemianQBavailable
- Kalif Raymondavailable
- Sam Roushavailable
- Dillon Thienemanavailable
- Cam Lewisavailable
- Anthony MillerWRavailable
- Javon WimsWRavailable
- Ryan NallRBavailable
- Jesper HorstedTEavailable
- Riley RidleyWRavailable
- David MontgomeryRBavailable
- Ted GinnWRavailable
- Jimmy GrahamTEavailable
- Bobby MassieTavailable
- Nick FolesQBavailable
- Lamar MillerRBavailable
- Tyler BrayQBavailable
- Demetrius HarrisTEavailable
- Barkevious MingoOLBavailable
- DeAndre CarterWRavailable
- Artavis PierceRBavailable
- Cole KmetTEavailable
- Darnell MooneyWRavailable
- Nathan PetermanQBavailable
- Tim BoyleQBavailable
- Equanimeous St. BrownWRavailable
- Byron PringleWRavailable
- Andy DaltonQBavailable
- Devin Bushavailable
- James Lynchavailable
- Malik Muhammadavailable
- Skyler Thomasavailable
- Kentavius Streetavailable
- Jack Sanbornavailable
- Neville Gallimoreavailable
- Xavier Woodsavailable
- Beau Gardneravailable
- Josh Blackwellavailable
- Jordan van den Bergavailable
- Cairo Santosavailable
- Zavion Thomasavailable
- Tory Tayloravailable
- Marquise GoodwinWRavailable
- Damien WilliamsRBavailable
- Damiere ByrdWRavailable
- Jesse JamesTEavailable
- DeAndre Houston-CarsonFSavailable
- Jakeem GrantWRavailable
- Caleb Williamsavailable
- Tyson Bagentquestionable
- Cole Kmetavailable
- Rodney AdamsWRavailable
- D'Andre Swiftavailable
- Kyle Monangaiavailable
- Luther Burden IIIavailable
- Roschon Johnsonavailable
- Colston Lovelandavailable
- Rome Odunzeavailable
- Jahdae Walkeravailable
- T.J. Edwardsavailable
- Montez Sweatavailable
- Tyrique Stevensonavailable
- D'Marco Jacksonavailable
- Grady Jarrettavailable
- Austin Bookeravailable
- Isaiah CoulterWRavailable
- Chris Williamsavailable
- Scott Dalyavailable
- Nikola Kalinicavailable
- Jalen Reeves-Maybinavailable
- Jonah Jacksonavailable
- Dallis Flowersavailable
- Jake Moodyavailable
- Khalil HerbertRBavailable
- Dazz NewsomeWRavailable
- Justin FieldsQBavailable
- Dante PettisWRavailable
- Khari BlasingameFBavailable
- Trevon WescoTEavailable
- Nsimba WebsterWRavailable
- N'Keal HarryWRavailable
- Darrynton EvansRBavailable
- Chase ClaypoolWRavailable
- Ihmir Smith-MarsetteWRavailable
- Trestan EbnerRBavailable
- Jake TongesTEavailable
- Velus JonesWRavailable
- Marcedes LewisTEavailable
- Trent TaylorWRavailable
- Robert TonyanTEavailable
- D'Onta ForemanRBavailable
- DJ MooreWRavailable
- Travis HomerRBavailable
- Collin JohnsonWRavailable
- Tyson BagentQBavailable
- Tyler ScottWRavailable
- Roschon JohnsonRBavailable
- Keenan AllenWRavailable
- Gerald EverettTEavailable
- Jonathan OwensSSavailable
- D'Andre SwiftRBavailable
- Josh BlackwellCBavailable
- Caleb WilliamsQBavailable
- Rome OdunzeWRavailable
- Daniel Hardyavailable
- Dayo Odeyingboavailable
- Elijah Hicksavailable
- Jaylon Johnsonavailable
- Joe Tryon-Shoyinkaavailable
- Carl Jones Jr.available
- Kyler Gordonavailable
- Ruben Hyppolite IIavailable
- Shemar Turneravailable
- Tanoh Kpassagnonavailable
- Jonathan Fordavailable
- DJ Mooreavailable
- Brittain Brownavailable
- Olamide Zaccheausavailable
- Travis Homeravailable
- Devin Duvernayavailable
- Durham Smytheavailable
- Tremaine Edmundsavailable
- Kevin Byardavailable
- Jaquan Briskeravailable
- Nahshon Wrightavailable
- Noah Sewellavailable
- C.J. Gardner-Johnsonavailable
- Gervon Dexter Sr.available
- Andrew Billingsavailable
- Nick McCloudavailable
- Dominique Robinsonavailable
- Jonathan Owensavailable
- Amen Ogbongbemigaavailable
- Jaylon Jonesavailable
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