NCAA Football
Scheduled

Sacred HeartatMaine

Sat, Oct 3, 7:30 PM UTC · Venue TBD · Season 2026

The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NCAA Football projections, the methodology and the graded record.

Game data updated …

EdgeIQ projection

Projected score

SH 22.4 — MAI 25.9

Win probability

SH 59%

Model confidence

Moderate

This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.

Loading historical accuracy…

Model vs. market

Model favourite

Sacred Heart

Model probability

59%

Market implied (margin removed)

Unavailable

EdgeIQ Edge

Unavailable

Current moneyline: SH — · MAI — · no stored market prices

Opening (first stored snapshot):

Confidence: Moderate · Model v3.2.0 · How Edge is calculated. Edge is a difference between two estimates, not a recommendation.

Why EdgeIQ sees it this way

  • Team strength rating
    favours SH

    Observation: Rating gap of 18.9 points including home advantage, built from every result so far.

  • Recent form
    favours SH

    Observation: Last ten games: -12.0 difference in average margin; last five: -14.2.

  • Scoring and defence
    favours SH

    Observation: Offence differs by 1.6 points per game, defence by -13.2.

  • Opponent strength faced
    favours MAI

    Observation: Schedule difficulty differs by 2.9 points of average opponent margin.

Observations are measured from past games. The probability above is the model's estimate built from them.

What could change this projection?

  • Unmodelled conditions — weather, travel, motivation, late scratches — are not fully captured by any model.

Model insight

Pro feature

See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.

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Market prices

No market prices available for this game yet.

Compare with an outside price

American odds

Enter the moneyline prices you have seen elsewhere. EdgeIQ converts them into a plain chance of winning, strips out the operator's built-in margin, and shows how that compares with the model estimate. EdgeIQ does not take wagers and shows no prices of its own.

Add both prices to see the comparison.

A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.

Key factors

Team comparison

SH (left) versus MAI (right), last 10 completed games.

18.5Points per game17.1
22.2Points allowed32.8
-3.7Scoring differential-15.7
4Wins (last 10)2
1480Power rating1400
1Season wins1

Advanced matchup analytics

Pro feature

Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.

Your plan: Free · Unlocks with Pro — $7.98/month

Recent form

Sacred Heart

Last 5
2-3
Last 10
4-6
Avg scored
18.5
Avg allowed
22.2
Streak
W1

Maine

Last 5
1-4
Last 10
2-8
Avg scored
17.1
Avg allowed
32.8
Streak
L4

Historical matchup

These teams have no completed head-to-head games in the EdgeIQ database.

This is a very small sample. Head-to-head history carries little weight on its own, especially when rosters, coaching or circumstances have changed.

Player availability

Sacred Heart

Availability data is unavailable for this team.

Maine

Availability data is unavailable for this team.

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Your hypothetical prediction

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