Indianapolis ColtsatJacksonville Jaguars
Sun, Nov 1, 6:00 PM UTC · EverBank Stadium · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
IND 16.1 — JAX 27.8
Win probability
JAX 73%
Model confidence
High
Projection built from each team's scoring over its last 10 games, form weighted toward the last 3 and 5, the strength of the opponents it faced, a home-field adjustment, and a small allowance for high-production players listed as unavailable. Statistical estimate, not a guaranteed outcome.
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
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Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
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A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
IND (left) versus JAX (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
Indianapolis Colts
- Last 5
- 1-4
- Last 10
- 3-7
- Avg scored
- 21.7
- Avg allowed
- 29.2
- Streak
- W1
Jacksonville Jaguars
- Last 5
- 3-2
- Last 10
- 5-5
- Avg scored
- 22.4
- Avg allowed
- 18.0
- Streak
- W1
Historical matchup
JAX 4 — 2 IND
Sample size: 6 games
Head-to-head history is context, not prediction — rosters, coaching and circumstances change between meetings.
Player availability
Indianapolis Colts
- Brian HoyerQBavailable
- Dontrelle InmanWRavailable
- T.Y. HiltonWRavailable
- Daniel Jonesavailable
- Anthony Richardsonavailable
- Mekhi Blackmonavailable
- Kenny Moore IIavailable
- Kwity Payeavailable
- Neville Gallimoreavailable
- Jack DoyleTEavailable
- Samson Ebukamavailable
- Austin Ajiakeavailable
- Joe Bachieavailable
- Johnathan Edwardsavailable
- Jaylon Jonesavailable
- Cameron Mitchellavailable
- Chris Lammonsavailable
- Buddy Johnsonavailable
- Segun Olubiavailable
- Tyquan Lewisavailable
- Xavien Howardavailable
- Chris Wormleyavailable
- Eric Johnsonavailable
- Chad Mumaavailable
- Mike Hiltonavailable
- Trey Washingtonavailable
- George Odumavailable
- Daniel Scottavailable
- Cameron McGroneavailable
- Durell Nchamiavailable
- Tanor Bortoliniavailable
- Michael Badgleyavailable
- Blake Grupeavailable
- Coleman Owenavailable
- Eric EbronTEavailable
- Jonathan Owensavailable
- Spencer Shraderavailable
- Jonathan Tayloravailable
- Deion Burksavailable
- Tyler Warrenavailable
- Seth McGowanavailable
- Josh Downsavailable
- Alec Pierceavailable
- Laquon Treadwellavailable
- Keenan Allenavailable
- Akeem Davis-Gaitheravailable
- Camryn Bynumavailable
- Bryce Boettcheravailable
- Devin FunchessTEavailable
- Justin Walleyavailable
- Laiatu Latuavailable
- Ross TravisTEavailable
- Chester RogersWRavailable
- AJ Haulcyavailable
- Hunter Wohleravailable
- Adetomiwa Adebaworeavailable
- Sauce Gardneravailable
- Jonathan WilliamsRBavailable
- Marcus JohnsonWRavailable
- DeForest Buckneravailable
- DJ Giddensavailable
- Cam Taylor-Brittavailable
- Jerry Tilleryavailable
- Jacoby BrissettQBavailable
- Arden Keyavailable
- Jaylon Carliesavailable
- Caden Curryavailable
- Grover Stewartavailable
- Charvarius Wardquestionable
- Mo Alie-CoxTEavailable
- Zach PascalWRavailable
- J.T. Tuimoloauavailable
- Tim Smithavailable
- Andrew Ogletreeavailable
- Ashton Dulinquestionable
- Luke Rhodesavailable
- Tahj Chambersavailable
- Kapena Gushikenavailable
- C.J. Allenavailable
- Kenneth Harrisavailable
- Anthony Gouldavailable
- Rigoberto Sanchezavailable
- Chad WilliamsWRavailable
- Marlon MackRBavailable
- Nick FolesQBavailable
- Quenton NelsonGavailable
- Nyheim Miller-HinesRBavailable
- Jordan WilkinsRBavailable
- Ashton DulinWRavailable
- Parris CampbellWRavailable
- Philip RiversQBavailable
- Trey BurtonTEavailable
- T.J. CarrieCBavailable
- Daurice FountainWRavailable
- DeMichael HarrisWRavailable
- Noah TogiaiTEavailable
- Isaiah RodgersCBavailable
- Jonathan TaylorRBavailable
- Michael PittmanWRavailable
- Phillip LindsayRBavailable
- Carson WentzQBavailable
- Keke CouteeWRavailable
- E.J. SpeedOLBavailable
- Philip Riversavailable
- Riley Leonardavailable
- Danny PinterCavailable
- Jacob EasonQBavailable
- Dezmon PatmonWRavailable
- Mike StrachanWRavailable
- Deon JacksonRBavailable
- Ameer Abdullahavailable
- Tyler Goodsonavailable
- Rodney Thomas IIavailable
- Ulysses Bentley IVavailable
- Michael Pittman Jr.available
- Adonai Mitchellavailable
- Mo Alie-Coxavailable
- Will Malloryavailable
- Zaire Franklinavailable
- Nick Crossavailable
- Germaine Prattavailable
- Kylen GransonTEavailable
- Sam EhlingerQBavailable
- Matt RyanQBavailable
- Zack MossRBavailable
- Tyler GoodsonRBavailable
- Andrew OgletreeTEavailable
- JoJo DomannOLBavailable
- Alec PierceWRavailable
- Jelani WoodsTEavailable
- Isaiah McKenzieWRavailable
- D.J. MontgomeryWRavailable
- Gardner MinshewQBavailable
- Juwann WinfreeWRavailable
- Grant StuardMLBavailable
- Jake FunkRBavailable
- Trey SermonRBavailable
- Amari RodgersWRavailable
- Will MalloryTEavailable
- Evan HullRBavailable
- Josh DownsWRavailable
- Anthony RichardsonQBavailable
- Joe FlaccoQBavailable
- Anthony GouldWRavailable
- Adonai MitchellWRavailable
Jacksonville Jaguars
- Nick FolesQBavailable
- Cody DavisFSavailable
- Marqise LeeWRavailable
- James O'ShaughnessyTEavailable
- Nick O'LearyTEavailable
- Chris ConleyWRavailable
- Ben KoyackTEavailable
- Geoff SwaimTEavailable
- Trevor Lawrenceavailable
- Seth DeValveTEavailable
- C.J. BoardWRavailable
- Keelan ColeWRavailable
- Dede WestbrookWRavailable
- Leonard FournetteRBavailable
- Logan CookePavailable
- D.J. CharkWRavailable
- Devine OzigboRBavailable
- Josh OliverTEavailable
- Ryquell ArmsteadRBavailable
- Gardner MinshewQBavailable
- Michael WalkerWRavailable
- Charles JonesTEavailable
- Evan EngramTEavailable
- Zay JonesWRavailable
- Bruce MillerFBavailable
- Chris ThompsonRBavailable
- Mike GlennonQBavailable
- Tyler EifertTEavailable
- Eric SaubertTEavailable
- Dare OgunbowaleRBavailable
- Terry GodwinWRavailable
- Craig ReynoldsRBavailable
- Nathan CottrellRBavailable
- Ben EllefsonTEavailable
- James RobinsonRBavailable
- Tyler DavisTEavailable
- Collin JohnsonWRavailable
- Laviska Shenault Jr.WRavailable
- Daniel ThomasSSavailable
- Jake LutonQBavailable
- Marvin JonesWRavailable
- Travis Etienne Jr.available
- LeQuint Allenavailable
- Dyami Brownavailable
- Tavon AustinWRavailable
- Carlos HydeRBavailable
- John BrownWRavailable
- Chris ManhertzTEavailable
- Devin SmithWRavailable
- Laquon TreadwellWRavailable
- Jaydon MickensWRavailable
- Jacob HollisterTEavailable
- Jamal AgnewWRavailable
- C.J. BeathardQBavailable
- Dan ArnoldTEavailable
- Tim Jonesavailable
- Andrew WingardFSavailable
- Tyron JohnsonWRavailable
- Christian KirkWRavailable
- Mekhi SargentRBavailable
- Luke FarrellTEavailable
- Trevor LawrenceQBavailable
- Jamycal HastyRBavailable
- Tim JonesWRavailable
- Travis EtienneRBavailable
- Snoop ConnerRBavailable
- Matt BarkleyQBavailable
- Calvin RidleyWRavailable
- D'Ernest JohnsonRBavailable
- Tank BigsbyRBavailable
- Parker WashingtonWRavailable
- Elijah CooksWRavailable
- Brenton StrangeTEavailable
- Josh ReynoldsWRavailable
- Gabe DavisWRavailable
- Devin DuvernayWRavailable
- Josiah DeguaraTEavailable
- Austin TrammellWRavailable
- Mac JonesQBavailable
- Brian ThomasWRavailable
- Bhayshul Tutenavailable
- Ameer Abdullahavailable
- Chris Rodriguez Jr.available
- Nick Mullensavailable
- Josh Cameronavailable
- Nate Boerkircheravailable
- Caleb Ransawavailable
- Jahlani Tavaiavailable
- Albert Regisavailable
- Ruke Orhorhoroavailable
- DeeJay Dallasavailable
- Brian Thomas Jr.available
- Jakobi Meyersavailable
- Tank Bigsbyavailable
- Travis Hunteravailable
- Parker Washingtonavailable
- Brenton Strangeavailable
- Tim Patrickavailable
- Johnny Mundtavailable
- Hunter Longavailable
- Quintin Morrisavailable
- Austin Trammellavailable
- Foyesade Oluokunavailable
- Andrew Wingardavailable
- Devin Lloydavailable
- Antonio Johnsonavailable
- Eric Murrayavailable
- Montaric Brownavailable
- Jarrian Jonesavailable
- B.J. Green IIavailable
- Emmanuel Ogbahavailable
- Jack Kiseravailable
- Christian Braswellavailable
- Austin Johnsonavailable
- Matt Dickersonavailable
- Yasir Abdullahavailable
- Branson Combsavailable
- Ross Matiscikavailable
- Khalen Saundersavailable
- Cam'Ron SilmonCraigavailable
- Darnell Savageavailable
- Patrick Mekariavailable
- Ezra Clevelandavailable
- Cam Littleavailable
- Logan Cookeavailable
- Josh Allenavailable
- Dennis Gardeckavailable
- Jourdan Lewisavailable
- Ventrell Milleravailable
- Travon Walkeravailable
- DaVon Hamiltonavailable
- Tyson Campbellavailable
- Greg Newsome IIavailable
- Arik Armsteadavailable
- Dawuane Smootavailable
- Rayuan Lane IIIavailable
- Danny Striggowavailable
- Maason Smithavailable
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