Green Bay PackersatNew England Patriots
Sun, Nov 8, 9:25 PM UTC · Gillette Stadium · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
GB 25.2 — NE 20.6
Win probability
GB 59%
Model confidence
Moderate
Projection built from each team's scoring over its last 10 games, form weighted toward the last 3 and 5, the strength of the opponents it faced, a home-field adjustment, and a small allowance for high-production players listed as unavailable. Statistical estimate, not a guaranteed outcome.
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
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Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
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A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
GB (left) versus NE (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
Green Bay Packers
- Last 5
- 3-2
- Last 10
- 4-6
- Avg scored
- 23.1
- Avg allowed
- 24.3
- Streak
- L1
New England Patriots
- Last 5
- 2-3
- Last 10
- 3-7
- Avg scored
- 15.4
- Avg allowed
- 23.2
- Streak
- L1
Historical matchup
NE 1 — 0 GB
Sample size: 1 games
This is a very small sample. Head-to-head history carries little weight on its own, especially when rosters, coaching or circumstances have changed.
Player availability
Green Bay Packers
- Aaron RodgersQBavailable
- Marcedes LewisTEavailable
- Jimmy GrahamTEavailable
- Davante AdamsWRavailable
- Jake KumerowWRavailable
- Tyler ErvinRBavailable
- Geronimo AllisonWRavailable
- Dan VitaleFBavailable
- Aaron JonesRBavailable
- Robert TonyanTEavailable
- Jamaal WilliamsRBavailable
- David BakhtiariTavailable
- Tim BoyleQBavailable
- Marquez Valdes-ScantlingWRavailable
- Allen LazardWRavailable
- Dexter WilliamsRBavailable
- Darrius ShepherdWRavailable
- Jace SternbergerTEavailable
- Tavon AustinWRavailable
- MarShawn Lloydavailable
- Christopher Brooksavailable
- Kaleb Johnsonavailable
- Christian Watsonavailable
- Matthew Goldenavailable
- Tucker Kraftavailable
- Jonnu Smithavailable
- Skyy Mooreavailable
- Jayden Reedavailable
- Bo Meltonavailable
- Evan Williamsavailable
- Zaire Franklinavailable
- Edgerrin Cooperquestionable
- Keisean Nixonavailable
- Lukas Van Nessavailable
- Javon Bullardavailable
- Xavier McKinneyavailable
- Barryn Sorrellavailable
- Dani DennisSuttonavailable
- Equanimeous St. BrownWRavailable
- John LovettQBavailable
- Malik TaylorWRavailable
- Patrick TaylorRBavailable
- Malik Willisavailable
- Clayton Tuneavailable
- Josh Jacobsavailable
- Emanuel Wilsonavailable
- Savion Williamsavailable
- Dontayvion Wicksavailable
- Romeo Doubsavailable
- Luke Musgraveavailable
- Malik Heathavailable
- John FitzPatrickavailable
- A.J. DillonRBavailable
- Jakobie KeeneJamesavailable
- Drake Dabneyavailable
- Quay Walkeravailable
- Colby Woodenavailable
- Rashan Garyavailable
- Micah Parsonsavailable
- Kingsley Enagbareavailable
- Carrington Valentineavailable
- Nate Hobbsavailable
- Zayne Andersonavailable
- Nazir Stackhouseavailable
- Jamon DumasJohnsonavailable
- Kitan Oladapoavailable
- Arron Mosbyavailable
- Josiah DeguaraTEavailable
- Dominique DafneyTEavailable
- Randall CobbWRavailable
- Jaylin Simpsonavailable
- Johnathan Baldwinavailable
- Shemar Bartholomewavailable
- Matthew Orzechavailable
- Trevon Diggsavailable
- Quinton Bohannaavailable
- Brandon McManusavailable
- Jordon Rileyavailable
- Sean Rhyanavailable
- Collin Oliveravailable
- Lucas Havrisikavailable
- Josh Whylequestionable
- Kurt BenkertQBavailable
- Brandon Cisseavailable
- Brenton Cox Jr.available
- Isaiah McDuffieavailable
- Kamal Haddenavailable
- Karl Brooksavailable
- Nick Niemannavailable
- Ty'Ron Hopperavailable
- Jonathan Fordavailable
- Devonte Wyattavailable
- J. Michael Sturdivantavailable
- Kristian Welchavailable
- Chris McClellanavailable
- Anthony Campbellavailable
- Juwann WinfreeWRavailable
- Warren Brinsonquestionable
- Dallin LeavittSSavailable
- Tyler DavisTEavailable
- Jordan LoveQBavailable
- Kylin HillRBavailable
- Javon Hargraveavailable
- Benjamin St-Justeavailable
- Zach Tomavailable
- Trey Smackavailable
- Daniel Whelanavailable
- Amari RodgersWRavailable
- Keisean NixonCBavailable
- Samori ToureWRavailable
- Romeo DoubsWRavailable
- Christian WatsonWRavailable
- Kenyan DrakeRBavailable
- James RobinsonRBavailable
- Bo MeltonWRavailable
- Sean CliffordQBavailable
- Dontayvion WicksWRavailable
- Malik HeathWRavailable
- Emanuel WilsonRBavailable
- Ben SimsTEavailable
- Tucker KraftTEavailable
- Luke MusgraveTEavailable
- Jayden ReedWRavailable
- Josh JacobsRBavailable
- John FitzPatrickTEavailable
- Malik WillisQBavailable
- Christopher BrooksRBavailable
- MarShawn LloydRBavailable
- Jordan Loveavailable
New England Patriots
- Tom BradyQBavailable
- Benjamin WatsonTEavailable
- Matt SlaterWRavailable
- Julian EdelmanWRavailable
- Antonio BrownWRavailable
- James DevelinFBavailable
- Brandon BoldenRBavailable
- Mohamed SanuWRavailable
- Rex BurkheadRBavailable
- Drake Mayeavailable
- Joshua Dobbsavailable
- Rhamondre Stevensonavailable
- Antonio Gibsonavailable
- Terrell Jenningsavailable
- D'Ernest Johnsonavailable
- Mack Hollinsavailable
- Kyle Williamsavailable
- Stefon Diggsavailable
- Hunter Henryavailable
- Kayshon Boutteavailable
- Austin Hooperavailable
- Efton Chism IIIavailable
- Robert Spillaneavailable
- Christian Ellissavailable
- James WhiteRBavailable
- Lan Larisonavailable
- Dre'Mont Jonesavailable
- Erick Hunteravailable
- Jaylen Reedavailable
- Cameron Latuavailable
- Karon Pruntyavailable
- DaQuan Jonesavailable
- Jared Wilsonavailable
- Darius Muasauavailable
- Mitch Wishnowskyavailable
- Quintayvious Hutchinsquestionable
- Reggie Gilliamquestionable
- Eric TomlinsonTEavailable
- Matt LaCosseTEavailable
- Jack Gibbensavailable
- Cory Durdenavailable
- Phillip DorsettWRavailable
- Corey Kineravailable
- Elandon RobertsILBavailable
- Romeo Doubsavailable
- Demario Douglasavailable
- A.J. Brownavailable
- Kevin Byardavailable
- DeVante ParkerWRavailable
- Namdi Obiazoravailable
- Gabe Jacasavailable
- Ryan IzzoTEavailable
- Jaylinn Hawkinsavailable
- Christian Gonzalezavailable
- Marcus Jonesavailable
- Harold Landry IIIavailable
- Jahlani Tavaiavailable
- K'Lavon Chaissonavailable
- Milton Williamsavailable
- Christian Barmoreavailable
- Anfernee Jenningsavailable
- Marte Mapuavailable
- Khyiris Tongaavailable
- Elijah Ponderavailable
- Dell Pettusavailable
- Brenden Schooleravailable
- Kyle Duggeravailable
- Garrett Bradburyavailable
- Richie Grantavailable
- Corey Ballentineavailable
- Jack Westoveravailable
- Mike Onwenuavailable
- Bryce Baringeravailable
- Joshua Farmeravailable
- Alex Austinavailable
- Carlton Davis IIIavailable
- Charles Woodsavailable
- Leonard Tayloravailable
- Sony MichelRBavailable
- Craig Woodsonavailable
- Eric Gregoryavailable
- Jakobi MeyersWRavailable
- Eli Raridonquestionable
- Keion Whiteavailable
- Chad Mumaavailable
- Darius Harrisavailable
- Julian Ashbyavailable
- Mark Robinsonavailable
- Jeremiah Pharms Jr.available
- Miles Battleavailable
- Jarrett StidhamQBavailable
- Will Campbellavailable
- Caleb Murphyavailable
- D.J. Jamesavailable
- Bradyn Swinsonavailable
- Andres Borregalesavailable
- Kobee Minoravailable
- N'Keal HarryTEavailable
- Gunner OlszewskiWRavailable
- Chase WinovichDEavailable
- Damien HarrisRBavailable
- Jakob JohnsonFBavailable
- Ty MontgomeryWRavailable
- Brian HoyerQBavailable
- Devin McCourtyFSavailable
- TreVeyon Hendersonavailable
- Cam NewtonQBavailable
- Donte MoncriefWRavailable
- Damiere ByrdWRavailable
- Jordan ThomasTEavailable
- J.J. TaylorRBavailable
- Isaiah ZuberWRavailable
- Devin AsiasiTEavailable
- Dalton KeeneTEavailable
- Nelson AgholorWRavailable
- Hunter HenryTEavailable
- Kendrick BourneWRavailable
- Jonnu SmithTEavailable
- Kristian WilkersonWRavailable
- Rhamondre StevensonRBavailable
- Mac JonesQBavailable
- Lil'Jordan HumphreyWRavailable
- Marcus JonesCBavailable
- Kevin HarrisRBavailable
- Pierre StrongRBavailable
- Tyquan ThorntonWRavailable
- Bailey ZappeQBavailable
- Cody DavisFSavailable
- Ezekiel ElliottRBavailable
- Pharaoh BrownTEavailable
- JuJu Smith-SchusterWRavailable
- Mike GesickiTEavailable
- Jalen ReagorWRavailable
- Kayshon BoutteWRavailable
- Demario DouglasWRavailable
- Malik CunninghamWRavailable
- Austin HooperTEavailable
- Jacoby BrissettQBavailable
- Jamycal HastyRBavailable
- Antonio GibsonRBavailable
- K.J. OsbornWRavailable
- Vederian LoweTavailable
- Joe MiltonQBavailable
- Jaheim BellTEavailable
- Dell PettusFSavailable
- Terrell JenningsRBavailable
- Drake MayeQBavailable
- Javon BakerWRavailable
- Ja'Lynn PolkWRavailable
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