NFL

Scheduled

Indianapolis ColtsatHouston Texans

Fri, Nov 20, 1:15 AM UTC · Reliant Stadium · Season 2026

The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.

Game data updated …

EdgeIQ projection

EdgeIQ NFL Performance v2.0.0

Projected score

IND 18.9 — HOU 25.6

Win probability

HOU 64%

Model confidence

Moderate

Projection built from each team's scoring over its last 10 games, form weighted toward the last 3 and 5, the strength of the opponents it faced, a home-field adjustment, and a small allowance for high-production players listed as unavailable. Statistical estimate, not a guaranteed outcome.

This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.

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Model insight

Pro feature

See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.

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Market prices

No market prices available for this game yet.

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American odds

Enter the moneyline prices you have seen elsewhere. EdgeIQ converts them into a plain chance of winning, strips out the operator's built-in margin, and shows how that compares with the model estimate. EdgeIQ does not take wagers and shows no prices of its own.

IND

HOU

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A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.

Key factors

Team comparison

IND (left) versus HOU (right), last 10 completed games.

21.7Points per game16.5

29.2Points allowed22.0

-7.5Scoring differential-5.5

3Wins (last 10)2

1480Power rating1600

1Season wins0

Advanced matchup analytics

Pro feature

Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.

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Recent form

Indianapolis Colts

Last 5: 1-4
Last 10: 3-7
Avg scored: 21.7
Avg allowed: 29.2
Streak: W1

Houston Texans

Last 5: 0-5
Last 10: 2-8
Avg scored: 16.5
Avg allowed: 22.0
Streak: L7

Historical matchup

HOU 4 — 2 IND

Sample size: 6 games

Head-to-head history is context, not prediction — rosters, coaching and circumstances change between meetings.

Player availability

Indianapolis Colts

Brian HoyerQBavailable
Dontrelle InmanWRavailable
T.Y. HiltonWRavailable
Daniel Jonesavailable
Anthony Richardsonavailable
Mekhi Blackmonavailable
Kenny Moore IIavailable
Kwity Payeavailable
Neville Gallimoreavailable
Jack DoyleTEavailable
Samson Ebukamavailable
Austin Ajiakeavailable
Joe Bachieavailable
Johnathan Edwardsavailable
Jaylon Jonesavailable
Cameron Mitchellavailable
Chris Lammonsavailable
Buddy Johnsonavailable
Segun Olubiavailable
Tyquan Lewisavailable
Xavien Howardavailable
Chris Wormleyavailable
Eric Johnsonavailable
Chad Mumaavailable
Mike Hiltonavailable
Trey Washingtonavailable
George Odumavailable
Daniel Scottavailable
Cameron McGroneavailable
Durell Nchamiavailable
Tanor Bortoliniavailable
Michael Badgleyavailable
Blake Grupeavailable
Coleman Owenavailable
Eric EbronTEavailable
Jonathan Owensavailable
Spencer Shraderavailable
Jonathan Tayloravailable
Deion Burksavailable
Tyler Warrenavailable
Seth McGowanavailable
Josh Downsavailable
Alec Pierceavailable
Laquon Treadwellavailable
Keenan Allenavailable
Akeem Davis-Gaitheravailable
Camryn Bynumavailable
Bryce Boettcheravailable
Devin FunchessTEavailable
Justin Walleyavailable
Laiatu Latuavailable
Ross TravisTEavailable
Chester RogersWRavailable
AJ Haulcyavailable
Hunter Wohleravailable
Adetomiwa Adebaworeavailable
Sauce Gardneravailable
Jonathan WilliamsRBavailable
Marcus JohnsonWRavailable
DeForest Buckneravailable
DJ Giddensavailable
Cam Taylor-Brittavailable
Jerry Tilleryavailable
Jacoby BrissettQBavailable
Arden Keyavailable
Jaylon Carliesavailable
Caden Curryavailable
Grover Stewartavailable
Charvarius Wardquestionable
Mo Alie-CoxTEavailable
Zach PascalWRavailable
J.T. Tuimoloauavailable
Tim Smithavailable
Andrew Ogletreeavailable
Ashton Dulinquestionable
Luke Rhodesavailable
Tahj Chambersavailable
Kapena Gushikenavailable
C.J. Allenavailable
Kenneth Harrisavailable
Anthony Gouldavailable
Rigoberto Sanchezavailable
Chad WilliamsWRavailable
Marlon MackRBavailable
Nick FolesQBavailable
Quenton NelsonGavailable
Nyheim Miller-HinesRBavailable
Jordan WilkinsRBavailable
Ashton DulinWRavailable
Parris CampbellWRavailable
Philip RiversQBavailable
Trey BurtonTEavailable
T.J. CarrieCBavailable
Daurice FountainWRavailable
DeMichael HarrisWRavailable
Noah TogiaiTEavailable
Isaiah RodgersCBavailable
Jonathan TaylorRBavailable
Michael PittmanWRavailable
Phillip LindsayRBavailable
Carson WentzQBavailable
Keke CouteeWRavailable
E.J. SpeedOLBavailable
Philip Riversavailable
Riley Leonardavailable
Danny PinterCavailable
Jacob EasonQBavailable
Dezmon PatmonWRavailable
Mike StrachanWRavailable
Deon JacksonRBavailable
Ameer Abdullahavailable
Tyler Goodsonavailable
Rodney Thomas IIavailable
Ulysses Bentley IVavailable
Michael Pittman Jr.available
Adonai Mitchellavailable
Mo Alie-Coxavailable
Will Malloryavailable
Zaire Franklinavailable
Nick Crossavailable
Germaine Prattavailable
Kylen GransonTEavailable
Sam EhlingerQBavailable
Matt RyanQBavailable
Zack MossRBavailable
Tyler GoodsonRBavailable
Andrew OgletreeTEavailable
JoJo DomannOLBavailable
Alec PierceWRavailable
Jelani WoodsTEavailable
Isaiah McKenzieWRavailable
D.J. MontgomeryWRavailable
Gardner MinshewQBavailable
Juwann WinfreeWRavailable
Grant StuardMLBavailable
Jake FunkRBavailable
Trey SermonRBavailable
Amari RodgersWRavailable
Will MalloryTEavailable
Evan HullRBavailable
Josh DownsWRavailable
Anthony RichardsonQBavailable
Joe FlaccoQBavailable
Anthony GouldWRavailable
Adonai MitchellWRavailable

Houston Texans

Taiwan JonesRBavailable
Bryan AngerPavailable
Dameon Pierceavailable
Dare Ogunbowaleavailable
Jayden Higginsavailable
Christian Kirkavailable
Henry To'oTo'oavailable
E.J. Speedavailable
Danielle Hunteravailable
Myles Bryantavailable
Darren FellsTEavailable
Kenny StillsWRavailable
Dylan Hortonavailable
M.J. Stewartavailable
Tremon Smithavailable
Derek Barnettavailable
C.J. Gardner-Johnsonavailable
Tim Settleavailable
Jaylen Reedavailable
Damone Clarkavailable
Christian Harrisavailable
K'Von Wallaceavailable
Folorunso Fatukasiavailable
Denico Autryavailable
Jamal Hillavailable
Jaylin Smithavailable
Ja'Marcus Ingramavailable
Alijah Huzzieavailable
Jalen Millsavailable
Ameer Speedavailable
Marlon Davidsonavailable
Jake Andrewsavailable
Haggai Ndubuisiavailable
Austin Brinkmanavailable
Sabastian Harshavailable
Logan Hallavailable
DeAndre HopkinsWRavailable
Carlos HydeRBavailable
AJ McCarronQBavailable
Aiden Fisheravailable
Jadeveon Clowneyavailable
Braxton Berriosavailable
Justin Watsonavailable
Brenden Batesavailable
Harrison Bryantavailable
Darrell Tayloravailable
DeAndre CarterWRavailable
Naquan Jonesavailable
Damon Arnetteavailable
Leki Fotuavailable
Kaevon Merriweatheravailable
Duke JohnsonRBavailable
Will FullerWRavailable
Deshaun WatsonQBavailable
Kai Kroegeravailable
Mario Edwards Jr.available
British Brooksavailable
Wade Woodazavailable
Steven MitchellWRavailable
George Odumavailable
Justin ReidSSavailable
Jordan AkinsTEavailable
Keke CouteeWRavailable
Jordan ThomasTEavailable
Buddy HowellRBavailable
Lonnie JohnsonFSavailable
Jeff DriskelQBavailable
Mason SchreckTEavailable
Dare OgunbowaleRBavailable
O.J. HowardTEavailable
Randall CobbWRavailable
Brandin CooksWRavailable
David JohnsonRBavailable
C.J. ProsiseRBavailable
Pharaoh BrownTEavailable
Chad HansenWRavailable
Cullen GillaspiaFBavailable
Kahale WarringTEavailable
Scottie PhillipsRBavailable
M.J. StewartSSavailable
Danny AmendolaWRavailable
Tyrod TaylorQBavailable
Rex BurkheadRBavailable
Chris ConleyWRavailable
Phillip DorsettWRavailable
Chris MooreWRavailable
Davis Millsavailable
Nick Chubbavailable
Jawhar Jordanavailable
Antony AuclairTEavailable
Jakob Johnsonavailable
Laken Tomlinsonavailable
Matthew Wrightavailable
Tommy Townsendavailable
Tremon SmithCBavailable
Jaylen SamuelsRBavailable
Royce FreemanRBavailable
Davion DavisWRavailable
Kyle AllenQBavailable
Nico CollinsWRavailable
Brevin JordanTEavailable
Davis MillsQBavailable
Tyron JohnsonWRavailable
Jalen CampWRavailable
Amari RodgersWRavailable
Dameon PierceRBavailable
Teagan QuitorianoTEavailable
Troy HairstonFBavailable
Case KeenumQBavailable
Robert WoodsWRavailable
Eric SaubertTEavailable
Noah BrownWRavailable
Cameron JohnstonPavailable
Mike BooneRBavailable
Dalton SchultzTEavailable
Steven SimsWRavailable
Andrew BeckFBavailable
Devin SingletaryRBavailable
John Metchie IIIWRavailable
Xavier HutchinsonWRavailable
Tank DellWRavailable
C.J. StroudQBavailable
Stefon DiggsWRavailable
Joe MixonRBavailable
Irv SmithTEavailable
Diontae JohnsonWRavailable
J.J. TaylorRBavailable
Jared WayneWRavailable
Cade StoverTEavailable
British BrooksRBavailable
C.J. Stroudavailable
David Montgomeryavailable
Jo'quavious Marksavailable
Nico Collinsavailable
Jaylin Noelavailable
Dalton Schultzavailable
Xavier Hutchinsonavailable
Kayshon Boutteavailable
Marlin Kleinavailable
Foster Moreauavailable
Jared Wayneavailable
Cade Stoveravailable
Reed Blankenshipavailable
Azeez Al-Shaairavailable
Jalen Pitreavailable
Calen Bullockavailable
Derek Stingley Jr.available
Jake Hansenavailable
Kamari Lassiteravailable
Will Anderson Jr.available
Sheldon Rankinsavailable
Dominique Robinsonavailable
Tommy Togiaiavailable
Ka'imi Fairbairnavailable

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