New York JetsatNew England Patriots
Sun, Oct 18, 5:00 PM UTC · Gillette Stadium · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
NYJ 20.6 — NE 21.8
Win probability
NYJ 53%
Model confidence
Low
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
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Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
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A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
NYJ (left) versus NE (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
New York Jets
- Last 5
- 2-3
- Last 10
- 4-6
- Avg scored
- 19.0
- Avg allowed
- 21.2
- Streak
- L2
New England Patriots
- Last 5
- 2-3
- Last 10
- 3-7
- Avg scored
- 15.4
- Avg allowed
- 23.2
- Streak
- L1
Historical matchup
NE 4 — 2 NYJ
Sample size: 6 games
Head-to-head history is context, not prediction — rosters, coaching and circumstances change between meetings.
Player availability
New York Jets
- Demaryius ThomasWRavailable
- Bilal PowellRBavailable
- Josh BellamyWRavailable
- Ryan GriffinTEavailable
- Le'Veon BellRBavailable
- Quincy EnunwaWRavailable
- David FalesQBavailable
- Jamison CrowderWRavailable
- Daniel BrownTEavailable
- Trevor SiemianQBavailable
- Ty MontgomeryWRavailable
- Robbie ChosenWRavailable
- Arthur MauletCBavailable
- B.J. BelloMLBavailable
- C.J. UzomahTEavailable
- Luke FalkQBavailable
- Braxton BerriosWRavailable
- Josh AdamsRBavailable
- Vyncint SmithWRavailable
- Khalil Herbertavailable
- Kene Nwangwuavailable
- John Metchie IIIavailable
- Garrett Wilsonavailable
- Mason Tayloravailable
- Tyler Johnsonavailable
- Josh Reynoldsavailable
- Allen Lazardavailable
- Stone Smarttavailable
- Quentin Skinneravailable
- Jelani Woodsavailable
- Quincy Williamsavailable
- Brandon Stephensavailable
- Isaiah Oliveravailable
- Tony Adamsavailable
- Francisco Mauigoaavailable
- Jermaine Johnsonavailable
- Quinnen Williamsavailable
- Mykal Walkeravailable
- Qwan'tez Stiggersavailable
- Jay Tufeleavailable
- Eric Wattsavailable
- Tyler Baronavailable
- Jordan Clarkavailable
- Khalen Saundersavailable
- Christopher HerndonTEavailable
- Tre Brownavailable
- Samuel Womack IIIavailable
- Payton Pageavailable
- Kobe Kingavailable
- Cam Jonesavailable
- Sam DarnoldQBavailable
- Micheal Clemonsavailable
- Sauce Gardneravailable
- Keidron Smithavailable
- Michael Carter IIavailable
- Dean Clarkavailable
- Ja'Sir Tayloravailable
- Trevon WescoTEavailable
- Leonard Tayloravailable
- Jarius Monroeavailable
- Ja'Markis Westonavailable
- Mark Robinsonavailable
- Armand Membouavailable
- Xavier Gipsonavailable
- Jackson Sirmonavailable
- Kingsley Jonathanavailable
- Nick Folkavailable
- Avery Williamsavailable
- Adonai Mitchellquestionable
- Jeff SmithWRavailable
- Kenyon Sadiqavailable
- Will ParksFSavailable
- Omar Cooper Jr.available
- Jeremy Ruckertavailable
- Demario Davisavailable
- Andre Ciscoavailable
- Jamien Sherwoodavailable
- Dane Beltonavailable
- David Baileyavailable
- Braiden McGregoravailable
- Azareye'h Thomasavailable
- Jarvis Brownleeavailable
- Marcelino McCrary-Ballavailable
- Frank GoreRBavailable
- Joe FlaccoQBavailable
- Chris HoganWRavailable
- Breshad PerrimanWRavailable
- Josh MaloneWRavailable
- Jaleel ScottWRavailable
- Ty JohnsonRBavailable
- Lawrence CagerTEavailable
- Denzel MimsWRavailable
- La'Mical PerineRBavailable
- Justin Fieldsavailable
- Tyrod Tayloravailable
- Brady Cookavailable
- Tyler ConklinTEavailable
- T'Vondre Sweatavailable
- Kingsley Enagbareavailable
- Troy Reederavailable
- Jowon Briggsavailable
- Darrell Jackson Jr.available
- Malachi Mooreavailable
- Thomas Hennessyavailable
- Jason Sandersavailable
- Arian Smithavailable
- Andrew Beckavailable
- Nahshon Wrightavailable
- Will McDonald IVavailable
- Harrison Phillipsavailable
- Isaiah Davisavailable
- Austin McNamaraavailable
- Tevin ColemanRBavailable
- Tyler KroftTEavailable
- Conor McDermottTavailable
- Keelan ColeWRavailable
- Corey DavisWRavailable
- Mike WhiteQBavailable
- Nick BawdenFBavailable
- D.J. MontgomeryWRavailable
- Austin WalterRBavailable
- Braden MannPavailable
- Tarik BlackWRavailable
- Kenny YeboahTEavailable
- Michael CarterRBavailable
- Elijah MooreWRavailable
- Zach WilsonQBavailable
- Chris StrevelerQBavailable
- James RobinsonRBavailable
- Ashtyn DavisSSavailable
- Irvin CharlesWRavailable
- Zonovan KnightRBavailable
- Garrett WilsonWRavailable
- Jeremy RuckertTEavailable
- Breece HallRBavailable
- Aaron RodgersQBavailable
- Thomas MorsteadPavailable
- Randall CobbWRavailable
- Tim BoyleQBavailable
- Allen LazardWRavailable
- Malik TaylorWRavailable
- Brandin EcholsCBavailable
- Israel AbanikandaRBavailable
- Jason BrownleeWRavailable
- Xavier GipsonWRavailable
- Tyrod TaylorQBavailable
- Davante AdamsWRavailable
- Kene NwangwuRBavailable
- Braelon AllenRBavailable
- Isaiah DavisRBavailable
- Malachi CorleyWRavailable
- Geno Smithavailable
- Breece Hallavailable
- Braelon Allenavailable
- Isaiah Williamsavailable
New England Patriots
- Tom BradyQBavailable
- Benjamin WatsonTEavailable
- Matt SlaterWRavailable
- Julian EdelmanWRavailable
- Antonio BrownWRavailable
- James DevelinFBavailable
- Brandon BoldenRBavailable
- Mohamed SanuWRavailable
- Rex BurkheadRBavailable
- Drake Mayeavailable
- Joshua Dobbsavailable
- Rhamondre Stevensonavailable
- Antonio Gibsonavailable
- Terrell Jenningsavailable
- D'Ernest Johnsonavailable
- Mack Hollinsavailable
- Kyle Williamsavailable
- Stefon Diggsavailable
- Hunter Henryavailable
- Kayshon Boutteavailable
- Austin Hooperavailable
- Efton Chism IIIavailable
- Robert Spillaneavailable
- Christian Ellissavailable
- James WhiteRBavailable
- Lan Larisonavailable
- Dre'Mont Jonesavailable
- Erick Hunteravailable
- Jaylen Reedavailable
- Cameron Latuavailable
- Karon Pruntyavailable
- DaQuan Jonesavailable
- Jared Wilsonavailable
- Darius Muasauavailable
- Mitch Wishnowskyavailable
- Quintayvious Hutchinsquestionable
- Reggie Gilliamquestionable
- Eric TomlinsonTEavailable
- Matt LaCosseTEavailable
- Jack Gibbensavailable
- Cory Durdenavailable
- Phillip DorsettWRavailable
- Corey Kineravailable
- Elandon RobertsILBavailable
- Romeo Doubsavailable
- Demario Douglasavailable
- A.J. Brownavailable
- Kevin Byardavailable
- DeVante ParkerWRavailable
- Namdi Obiazoravailable
- Gabe Jacasavailable
- Ryan IzzoTEavailable
- Jaylinn Hawkinsavailable
- Christian Gonzalezavailable
- Marcus Jonesavailable
- Harold Landry IIIavailable
- Jahlani Tavaiavailable
- K'Lavon Chaissonavailable
- Milton Williamsavailable
- Christian Barmoreavailable
- Anfernee Jenningsavailable
- Marte Mapuavailable
- Khyiris Tongaavailable
- Elijah Ponderavailable
- Dell Pettusavailable
- Brenden Schooleravailable
- Kyle Duggeravailable
- Garrett Bradburyavailable
- Richie Grantavailable
- Corey Ballentineavailable
- Jack Westoveravailable
- Mike Onwenuavailable
- Bryce Baringeravailable
- Joshua Farmeravailable
- Alex Austinavailable
- Carlton Davis IIIavailable
- Charles Woodsavailable
- Leonard Tayloravailable
- Sony MichelRBavailable
- Craig Woodsonavailable
- Eric Gregoryavailable
- Jakobi MeyersWRavailable
- Eli Raridonquestionable
- Keion Whiteavailable
- Chad Mumaavailable
- Darius Harrisavailable
- Julian Ashbyavailable
- Mark Robinsonavailable
- Jeremiah Pharms Jr.available
- Miles Battleavailable
- Jarrett StidhamQBavailable
- Will Campbellavailable
- Caleb Murphyavailable
- D.J. Jamesavailable
- Bradyn Swinsonavailable
- Andres Borregalesavailable
- Kobee Minoravailable
- N'Keal HarryTEavailable
- Gunner OlszewskiWRavailable
- Chase WinovichDEavailable
- Damien HarrisRBavailable
- Jakob JohnsonFBavailable
- Ty MontgomeryWRavailable
- Brian HoyerQBavailable
- Devin McCourtyFSavailable
- TreVeyon Hendersonavailable
- Cam NewtonQBavailable
- Donte MoncriefWRavailable
- Damiere ByrdWRavailable
- Jordan ThomasTEavailable
- J.J. TaylorRBavailable
- Isaiah ZuberWRavailable
- Devin AsiasiTEavailable
- Dalton KeeneTEavailable
- Nelson AgholorWRavailable
- Hunter HenryTEavailable
- Kendrick BourneWRavailable
- Jonnu SmithTEavailable
- Kristian WilkersonWRavailable
- Rhamondre StevensonRBavailable
- Mac JonesQBavailable
- Lil'Jordan HumphreyWRavailable
- Marcus JonesCBavailable
- Kevin HarrisRBavailable
- Pierre StrongRBavailable
- Tyquan ThorntonWRavailable
- Bailey ZappeQBavailable
- Cody DavisFSavailable
- Ezekiel ElliottRBavailable
- Pharaoh BrownTEavailable
- JuJu Smith-SchusterWRavailable
- Mike GesickiTEavailable
- Jalen ReagorWRavailable
- Kayshon BoutteWRavailable
- Demario DouglasWRavailable
- Malik CunninghamWRavailable
- Austin HooperTEavailable
- Jacoby BrissettQBavailable
- Jamycal HastyRBavailable
- Antonio GibsonRBavailable
- K.J. OsbornWRavailable
- Vederian LoweTavailable
- Joe MiltonQBavailable
- Jaheim BellTEavailable
- Dell PettusFSavailable
- Terrell JenningsRBavailable
- Drake MayeQBavailable
- Javon BakerWRavailable
- Ja'Lynn PolkWRavailable
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