Miami DolphinsatNew York Jets
Sun, Oct 25, 5:00 PM UTC · MetLife Stadium · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
MIA 15.2 — NYJ 24.7
Win probability
NYJ 69%
Model confidence
High
Projection built from each team's scoring over its last 10 games, form weighted toward the last 3 and 5, the strength of the opponents it faced, a home-field adjustment, and a small allowance for high-production players listed as unavailable. Statistical estimate, not a guaranteed outcome.
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
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Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
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A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
MIA (left) versus NYJ (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
Miami Dolphins
- Last 5
- 0-5
- Last 10
- 2-8
- Avg scored
- 13.9
- Avg allowed
- 22.1
- Streak
- L7
New York Jets
- Last 5
- 2-3
- Last 10
- 4-6
- Avg scored
- 19.0
- Avg allowed
- 21.2
- Streak
- L2
Historical matchup
NYJ 2 — 4 MIA
Sample size: 6 games
Head-to-head history is context, not prediction — rosters, coaching and circumstances change between meetings.
Player availability
Miami Dolphins
- Ryan FitzpatrickQBavailable
- Deon LaceyILBavailable
- Albert WilsonWRavailable
- Allen HurnsWRavailable
- DeVante ParkerWRavailable
- Clive WalfordTEavailable
- Jakeem GrantWRavailable
- Matt HaackPavailable
- Isaiah FordWRavailable
- Samaje PerineRBavailable
- Mack HollinsWRavailable
- Teddy BridgewaterQBavailable
- Raheem MostertRBavailable
- De'Lance TurnerRBavailable
- Josh RosenQBavailable
- Mark WaltonHBavailable
- Jason SandersKavailable
- Durham SmytheTEavailable
- Kalen BallageRBavailable
- Mike GesickiTEavailable
- Christian WilkinsDTavailable
- Myles GaskinRBavailable
- Patrick LairdRBavailable
- Preston WilliamsWRavailable
- Michael DeiterCavailable
- Tyreek HillWRavailable
- Clayton FejedelemSSavailable
- DeAndre WashingtonRBavailable
- Matt BreidaRBavailable
- Adam ShaheenTEavailable
- Antonio CallawayWRavailable
- Chandler CoxFBavailable
- Kirk MerrittWRavailable
- Salvon AhmedRBavailable
- Tua TagovailoaQBavailable
- Malcolm PerryRBavailable
- Lynn BowdenWRavailable
- River CracraftWRavailable
- Jeffery WilsonRBavailable
- Michael PalardyPavailable
- Tua Tagovailoaavailable
- Justin ColemanCBavailable
- Malcolm BrownRBavailable
- Duke JohnsonRBavailable
- Tommylee LewisWRavailable
- Jacoby BrissettQBavailable
- Will FullerWRavailable
- Cethan CarterTEavailable
- Phillip LindsayRBavailable
- Cedrick WilsonWRavailable
- Trent SherfieldWRavailable
- Jaylen WaddleWRavailable
- Hunter LongTEavailable
- Alec IngoldFBavailable
- Andrew Van GinkelOLBavailable
- Skylar ThompsonQBavailable
- Tanner ConnerWRavailable
- Braylon SandersWRavailable
- Erik EzukanmaWRavailable
- Robbie ChosenWRavailable
- Mike WhiteQBavailable
- Braxton BerriosWRavailable
- Darrynton EvansRBavailable
- Chase ClaypoolWRavailable
- Chris BrooksRBavailable
- Julian HillTEavailable
- De'Von AchaneRBavailable
- Odell BeckhamWRavailable
- Jonnu SmithTEavailable
- Jake BaileyPavailable
- Tyler HuntleyQBavailable
- D'Wayne EskridgeWRavailable
- Grant DuBoseWRavailable
- Jaylen WrightRBavailable
- Malik WashingtonWRavailable
- Quinn Ewersavailable
- Zach Wilsonavailable
- Jaylen Waddleavailable
- Alec Ingoldavailable
- Darren Walleravailable
- Tyreek Hillavailable
- Malik Willisavailable
- Devon Achaneavailable
- Jaylen Wrightquestionable
- Ollie Gordonavailable
- Malik Washingtonavailable
- Bradley Pinionavailable
- Caleb Douglasavailable
- Ryan Millerquestionable
- Greg Dulcichavailable
- Chris Bellavailable
- DJ Hermanavailable
- Will Kacmarekavailable
- Jacob Rodriguezavailable
- Michael Taaffeavailable
- Chris Johnsonavailable
- Josh Ucheavailable
- Zayne Andersonavailable
- Zeek Biggersavailable
- Jordan Phillipsavailable
- Dante Trader Jr.available
- Jackson Woodardavailable
- Zach Sieleravailable
- Willie Gayavailable
- Malik Herringavailable
- Julian Hillavailable
- Theo Weaseavailable
- Tanner Conneravailable
- Nick Westbrook-Ikhineavailable
- Dee Eskridgeavailable
- Cedrick Wilson Jr.available
- Tahj Washingtonavailable
- Jordyn Brooksavailable
- Tyrel Dodsonavailable
- Minkah Fitzpatrickavailable
- Jack Jonesavailable
- Ashtyn Davisavailable
- Rasul Douglasavailable
- Ifeatu Melifonwuavailable
- Bradley Chubbavailable
- K.J. Brittavailable
- Kenneth Grantavailable
- Jaelan Phillipsavailable
- Jason Marshall Jr.available
- Cameron Goodeavailable
- Matthew Judonavailable
- Benito Jonesavailable
- Ethan Bonneravailable
- Julius Brentsavailable
- Matthew Butleravailable
- Quinton Bellavailable
- Joe Cardonaavailable
- Jordan Colbertavailable
- Elijah Campbellavailable
- Isaiah Johnsonavailable
- Storm Duckavailable
- Caleb Johnsonavailable
- Cornell Armstrongavailable
- Cole Strangeavailable
- A.J. Greenavailable
- Hayden Rucciavailable
- Jake Baileyavailable
- Kendall Sheffieldavailable
- Aaron Breweravailable
- Jonah Savaiinaeaavailable
- Clelin Ferrellavailable
- Tucker Addingtonavailable
- Riley Pattersonavailable
- Chop Robinsonavailable
- Robert Beal Jr.available
- Reese Tayloravailable
- Julius Woodavailable
- Liam Andersonavailable
New York Jets
- Demaryius ThomasWRavailable
- Bilal PowellRBavailable
- Josh BellamyWRavailable
- Ryan GriffinTEavailable
- Le'Veon BellRBavailable
- Quincy EnunwaWRavailable
- David FalesQBavailable
- Jamison CrowderWRavailable
- Daniel BrownTEavailable
- Trevor SiemianQBavailable
- Ty MontgomeryWRavailable
- Robbie ChosenWRavailable
- Arthur MauletCBavailable
- B.J. BelloMLBavailable
- C.J. UzomahTEavailable
- Luke FalkQBavailable
- Braxton BerriosWRavailable
- Josh AdamsRBavailable
- Vyncint SmithWRavailable
- Khalil Herbertavailable
- Kene Nwangwuavailable
- John Metchie IIIavailable
- Garrett Wilsonavailable
- Mason Tayloravailable
- Tyler Johnsonavailable
- Josh Reynoldsavailable
- Allen Lazardavailable
- Stone Smarttavailable
- Quentin Skinneravailable
- Jelani Woodsavailable
- Quincy Williamsavailable
- Brandon Stephensavailable
- Isaiah Oliveravailable
- Tony Adamsavailable
- Francisco Mauigoaavailable
- Jermaine Johnsonavailable
- Quinnen Williamsavailable
- Mykal Walkeravailable
- Qwan'tez Stiggersavailable
- Jay Tufeleavailable
- Eric Wattsavailable
- Tyler Baronavailable
- Jordan Clarkavailable
- Khalen Saundersavailable
- Christopher HerndonTEavailable
- Tre Brownavailable
- Samuel Womack IIIavailable
- Payton Pageavailable
- Kobe Kingavailable
- Cam Jonesavailable
- Sam DarnoldQBavailable
- Micheal Clemonsavailable
- Sauce Gardneravailable
- Keidron Smithavailable
- Michael Carter IIavailable
- Dean Clarkavailable
- Ja'Sir Tayloravailable
- Trevon WescoTEavailable
- Leonard Tayloravailable
- Jarius Monroeavailable
- Ja'Markis Westonavailable
- Mark Robinsonavailable
- Armand Membouavailable
- Xavier Gipsonavailable
- Jackson Sirmonavailable
- Kingsley Jonathanavailable
- Nick Folkavailable
- Avery Williamsavailable
- Adonai Mitchellquestionable
- Jeff SmithWRavailable
- Kenyon Sadiqavailable
- Will ParksFSavailable
- Omar Cooper Jr.available
- Jeremy Ruckertavailable
- Demario Davisavailable
- Andre Ciscoavailable
- Jamien Sherwoodavailable
- Dane Beltonavailable
- David Baileyavailable
- Braiden McGregoravailable
- Azareye'h Thomasavailable
- Jarvis Brownleeavailable
- Marcelino McCrary-Ballavailable
- Frank GoreRBavailable
- Joe FlaccoQBavailable
- Chris HoganWRavailable
- Breshad PerrimanWRavailable
- Josh MaloneWRavailable
- Jaleel ScottWRavailable
- Ty JohnsonRBavailable
- Lawrence CagerTEavailable
- Denzel MimsWRavailable
- La'Mical PerineRBavailable
- Justin Fieldsavailable
- Tyrod Tayloravailable
- Brady Cookavailable
- Tyler ConklinTEavailable
- T'Vondre Sweatavailable
- Kingsley Enagbareavailable
- Troy Reederavailable
- Jowon Briggsavailable
- Darrell Jackson Jr.available
- Malachi Mooreavailable
- Thomas Hennessyavailable
- Jason Sandersavailable
- Arian Smithavailable
- Andrew Beckavailable
- Nahshon Wrightavailable
- Will McDonald IVavailable
- Harrison Phillipsavailable
- Isaiah Davisavailable
- Austin McNamaraavailable
- Tevin ColemanRBavailable
- Tyler KroftTEavailable
- Conor McDermottTavailable
- Keelan ColeWRavailable
- Corey DavisWRavailable
- Mike WhiteQBavailable
- Nick BawdenFBavailable
- D.J. MontgomeryWRavailable
- Austin WalterRBavailable
- Braden MannPavailable
- Tarik BlackWRavailable
- Kenny YeboahTEavailable
- Michael CarterRBavailable
- Elijah MooreWRavailable
- Zach WilsonQBavailable
- Chris StrevelerQBavailable
- James RobinsonRBavailable
- Ashtyn DavisSSavailable
- Irvin CharlesWRavailable
- Zonovan KnightRBavailable
- Garrett WilsonWRavailable
- Jeremy RuckertTEavailable
- Breece HallRBavailable
- Aaron RodgersQBavailable
- Thomas MorsteadPavailable
- Randall CobbWRavailable
- Tim BoyleQBavailable
- Allen LazardWRavailable
- Malik TaylorWRavailable
- Brandin EcholsCBavailable
- Israel AbanikandaRBavailable
- Jason BrownleeWRavailable
- Xavier GipsonWRavailable
- Tyrod TaylorQBavailable
- Davante AdamsWRavailable
- Kene NwangwuRBavailable
- Braelon AllenRBavailable
- Isaiah DavisRBavailable
- Malachi CorleyWRavailable
- Geno Smithavailable
- Breece Hallavailable
- Braelon Allenavailable
- Isaiah Williamsavailable
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