Green Bay PackersatDetroit Lions
Sun, Oct 25, 8:25 PM UTC · Ford Field · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
GB 24.8 — DET 27.9
Win probability
DET 57%
Model confidence
Low
Projection built from each team's scoring over its last 10 games, form weighted toward the last 3 and 5, the strength of the opponents it faced, a home-field adjustment, and a small allowance for high-production players listed as unavailable. Statistical estimate, not a guaranteed outcome.
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
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Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
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A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
GB (left) versus DET (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
Green Bay Packers
- Last 5
- 3-2
- Last 10
- 4-6
- Avg scored
- 23.1
- Avg allowed
- 24.3
- Streak
- L1
Detroit Lions
- Last 5
- 4-1
- Last 10
- 7-3
- Avg scored
- 28.5
- Avg allowed
- 24.5
- Streak
- W1
Historical matchup
DET 5 — 1 GB
Sample size: 6 games
Head-to-head history is context, not prediction — rosters, coaching and circumstances change between meetings.
Player availability
Green Bay Packers
- Aaron RodgersQBavailable
- Marcedes LewisTEavailable
- Jimmy GrahamTEavailable
- Davante AdamsWRavailable
- Jake KumerowWRavailable
- Tyler ErvinRBavailable
- Geronimo AllisonWRavailable
- Dan VitaleFBavailable
- Aaron JonesRBavailable
- Robert TonyanTEavailable
- Jamaal WilliamsRBavailable
- David BakhtiariTavailable
- Tim BoyleQBavailable
- Marquez Valdes-ScantlingWRavailable
- Allen LazardWRavailable
- Dexter WilliamsRBavailable
- Darrius ShepherdWRavailable
- Jace SternbergerTEavailable
- Tavon AustinWRavailable
- MarShawn Lloydavailable
- Christopher Brooksavailable
- Kaleb Johnsonavailable
- Christian Watsonavailable
- Matthew Goldenavailable
- Tucker Kraftavailable
- Jonnu Smithavailable
- Skyy Mooreavailable
- Jayden Reedavailable
- Bo Meltonavailable
- Evan Williamsavailable
- Zaire Franklinavailable
- Edgerrin Cooperquestionable
- Keisean Nixonavailable
- Lukas Van Nessavailable
- Javon Bullardavailable
- Xavier McKinneyavailable
- Barryn Sorrellavailable
- Dani DennisSuttonavailable
- Equanimeous St. BrownWRavailable
- John LovettQBavailable
- Malik TaylorWRavailable
- Patrick TaylorRBavailable
- Malik Willisavailable
- Clayton Tuneavailable
- Josh Jacobsavailable
- Emanuel Wilsonavailable
- Savion Williamsavailable
- Dontayvion Wicksavailable
- Romeo Doubsavailable
- Luke Musgraveavailable
- Malik Heathavailable
- John FitzPatrickavailable
- A.J. DillonRBavailable
- Jakobie KeeneJamesavailable
- Drake Dabneyavailable
- Quay Walkeravailable
- Colby Woodenavailable
- Rashan Garyavailable
- Micah Parsonsavailable
- Kingsley Enagbareavailable
- Carrington Valentineavailable
- Nate Hobbsavailable
- Zayne Andersonavailable
- Nazir Stackhouseavailable
- Jamon DumasJohnsonavailable
- Kitan Oladapoavailable
- Arron Mosbyavailable
- Josiah DeguaraTEavailable
- Dominique DafneyTEavailable
- Randall CobbWRavailable
- Jaylin Simpsonavailable
- Johnathan Baldwinavailable
- Shemar Bartholomewavailable
- Matthew Orzechavailable
- Trevon Diggsavailable
- Quinton Bohannaavailable
- Brandon McManusavailable
- Jordon Rileyavailable
- Sean Rhyanavailable
- Collin Oliveravailable
- Lucas Havrisikavailable
- Josh Whylequestionable
- Kurt BenkertQBavailable
- Brandon Cisseavailable
- Brenton Cox Jr.available
- Isaiah McDuffieavailable
- Kamal Haddenavailable
- Karl Brooksavailable
- Nick Niemannavailable
- Ty'Ron Hopperavailable
- Jonathan Fordavailable
- Devonte Wyattavailable
- J. Michael Sturdivantavailable
- Kristian Welchavailable
- Chris McClellanavailable
- Anthony Campbellavailable
- Juwann WinfreeWRavailable
- Warren Brinsonquestionable
- Dallin LeavittSSavailable
- Tyler DavisTEavailable
- Jordan LoveQBavailable
- Kylin HillRBavailable
- Javon Hargraveavailable
- Benjamin St-Justeavailable
- Zach Tomavailable
- Trey Smackavailable
- Daniel Whelanavailable
- Amari RodgersWRavailable
- Keisean NixonCBavailable
- Samori ToureWRavailable
- Romeo DoubsWRavailable
- Christian WatsonWRavailable
- Kenyan DrakeRBavailable
- James RobinsonRBavailable
- Bo MeltonWRavailable
- Sean CliffordQBavailable
- Dontayvion WicksWRavailable
- Malik HeathWRavailable
- Emanuel WilsonRBavailable
- Ben SimsTEavailable
- Tucker KraftTEavailable
- Luke MusgraveTEavailable
- Jayden ReedWRavailable
- Josh JacobsRBavailable
- John FitzPatrickTEavailable
- Malik WillisQBavailable
- Christopher BrooksRBavailable
- MarShawn LloydRBavailable
- Jordan Loveavailable
Detroit Lions
- Danny AmendolaWRavailable
- Matthew StaffordQBavailable
- Marvin JonesWRavailable
- C.J. AndersonRBavailable
- Logan ThomasTEavailable
- Jesse JamesTEavailable
- Malik Cunninghamavailable
- Paul PerkinsRBavailable
- Jeff DriskelQBavailable
- Tra CarsonRBavailable
- J.D. McKissicRBavailable
- Daniel Thomasavailable
- Erick Hallett IIavailable
- Kerby Josephavailable
- Tyrus Wheatavailable
- Marvin HallWRavailable
- Arthur Mauletavailable
- Jared Goffavailable
- Jahmyr Gibbsavailable
- Sione Vakiavailable
- Amon-Ra St. Brownavailable
- Jameson Williamsavailable
- Devin Whiteavailable
- Tay Martinavailable
- Brock Wrightavailable
- D.J. Wonnumavailable
- Skyler GillHowardavailable
- Roger McCrearyavailable
- Eric O'Neillavailable
- Christian Izienavailable
- Derrick Barnesavailable
- Keith Abneyavailable
- Chuck Clarkavailable
- Jack Campbellavailable
- Rock Ya-Sinavailable
- Avonte Maddoxavailable
- Tyleik Williamsavailable
- Aidan Hutchinsonavailable
- Thomas Harperavailable
- Trevor Nowaskeavailable
- Jacob Saylorsavailable
- Tyler Lacyavailable
- Tom Kennedyavailable
- Jamal AgnewWRavailable
- Kenny GolladayWRavailable
- Kerryon JohnsonRBavailable
- Bo ScarbroughRBavailable
- Nick BawdenFBavailable
- Chris LacyWRavailable
- Marcus Davenportavailable
- Alim McNeillavailable
- Malcolm Rodriguezavailable
- Patrick O'Connoravailable
- Khalil Dorseyavailable
- Zach Cunninghamavailable
- Jalen Millsavailable
- Nick Whitesideavailable
- Jake Batesavailable
- Mekhi Wingoavailable
- Hogan Hattenavailable
- Jack Foxavailable
- Monty Riceavailable
- Loren Stricklandavailable
- Anthony Pittmanavailable
- Ty Summersavailable
- Chris Hubbardavailable
- Graham Glasgowavailable
- Dominic Lovettavailable
- David BloughQBavailable
- T.J. HockensonTEavailable
- Wes HillsRBavailable
- Ty JohnsonRBavailable
- Isaac NautaTEavailable
- Travis FulghamWRavailable
- Nate SudfeldQBavailable
- Adrian PetersonRBavailable
- Chase DanielQBavailable
- Mohamed SanuWRavailable
- Jonathan WilliamsRBavailable
- Jason CabindaFBavailable
- C.J. MooreFSavailable
- Hunter BryantTEavailable
- D'Andre SwiftRBavailable
- Quintez CephusWRavailable
- Darren FellsTEavailable
- Tyrell WilliamsWRavailable
- Taylor DeckerTavailable
- Kalif RaymondWRavailable
- Geronimo AllisonWRavailable
- Jared GoffQBavailable
- Josh ReynoldsWRavailable
- Jamaal WilliamsRBavailable
- Tim BoyleQBavailable
- Godwin IgwebuikeRBavailable
- KhaDarel HodgeWRavailable
- Trinity BensonWRavailable
- Jack FoxPavailable
- Matt NelsonTavailable
- Tom KennedyWRavailable
- Craig ReynoldsRBavailable
- Justin JacksonRBavailable
- Bobby PriceFSavailable
- Shane ZylstraTEavailable
- Jermar JeffersonRBavailable
- Brock WrightTEavailable
- Amon-Ra St. BrownWRavailable
- D.J. CharkWRavailable
- Bam KnightRBavailable
- Malcolm RodriguezILBavailable
- Penei SewellTavailable
- Jameson WilliamsWRavailable
- James MitchellTEavailable
- Maurice AlexanderWRavailable
- Teddy BridgewaterQBavailable
- Anthony FirkserTEavailable
- Jalen Reeves-MaybinOLBavailable
- Dan SkipperTavailable
- Devine OzigboRBavailable
- David MontgomeryRBavailable
- Khalil DorseyCBavailable
- Donovan Peoples-JonesWRavailable
- Antoine GreenWRavailable
- Sam LaPortaTEavailable
- Jahmyr GibbsRBavailable
- Allen RobinsonWRavailable
- Tim PatrickWRavailable
- Grant Stuardavailable
- Sam LaPortaavailable
- Isaac TeSlaaavailable
- Anthony Firkseravailable
- Shane Zylstraavailable
- Ross Dwelleyavailable
- Alex Anzaloneavailable
- Brian Branchavailable
- Amik Robertsonavailable
- Hendon HookerQBavailable
- Sione VakiRBavailable
- Isaiah WilliamsWRavailable
- David Montgomeryavailable
- Kyle Allenavailable
- Kalif Raymondavailable
- Craig Reynoldsavailable
- D.J. Reedavailable
- Terrion Arnoldavailable
- Roy Lopezavailable
- DJ Readeravailable
- Al-Quadin Muhammadavailable
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