Cleveland BrownsatNew York Jets
Sun, Oct 11, 5:00 PM UTC · MetLife Stadium · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
CLE 20.6 — NYJ 21.9
Win probability
NYJ 56%
Model confidence
Low
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
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Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
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A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
CLE (left) versus NYJ (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
Cleveland Browns
- Last 5
- 3-2
- Last 10
- 3-7
- Avg scored
- 13.4
- Avg allowed
- 24.9
- Streak
- W2
New York Jets
- Last 5
- 2-3
- Last 10
- 4-6
- Avg scored
- 19.0
- Avg allowed
- 21.2
- Streak
- L2
Historical matchup
NYJ 0 — 2 CLE
Sample size: 2 games
This is a very small sample. Head-to-head history carries little weight on its own, especially when rosters, coaching or circumstances have changed.
Player availability
Cleveland Browns
- Demetrius HarrisTEavailable
- Odell BeckhamWRavailable
- Jarvis LandryWRavailable
- Garrett GilbertQBavailable
- Rashard HigginsWRavailable
- Pharaoh BrownTEavailable
- Ricky Seals-JonesTEavailable
- David NjokuTEavailable
- Taywan TaylorWRavailable
- Kareem HuntRBavailable
- Amari CooperWRavailable
- Dontrell HilliardRBavailable
- Damion RatleyWRavailable
- Wyatt TellerGavailable
- Antonio CallawayWRavailable
- Nick ChubbRBavailable
- KhaDarel HodgeWRavailable
- Baker MayfieldQBavailable
- Stephen CarlsonTEavailable
- Shedeur Sandersavailable
- Dillon Gabrielavailable
- Joe Flaccoavailable
- Jerome Fordavailable
- Trayveon Williamsavailable
- Gage Larvadainavailable
- David Njokuavailable
- Cedric Tillmanavailable
- Jamari Thrashavailable
- Brenden Batesavailable
- Sal Cannellaavailable
- Devin Bushavailable
- Myles Garrettavailable
- Mohamoud Diabateavailable
- Rayshawn Jenkinsavailable
- Jerome Bakeravailable
- Alex Wrightavailable
- Shelby Harrisavailable
- Cameron Thomasavailable
- Greg Newsome IIavailable
- Tre Averyavailable
- Michael Hall Jr.available
- D'Angelo Rossavailable
- Joe Tryon-Shoyinkaavailable
- Sam Webbavailable
- Chris Edmondsavailable
- Sam Kamaraavailable
- Dom Jonesavailable
- Luke Wypleravailable
- Teven Jenkinsavailable
- KT Levestonavailable
- Cameron Mitchellavailable
- Maurice Hurstavailable
- Kaden Davisavailable
- Jack Conklinavailable
- Joel Bitonioavailable
- DeAndre Carteravailable
- D'Ernest JohnsonRBavailable
- Jack ConklinTavailable
- Jacoby BrissettQBavailable
- Deshaun WatsonQBavailable
- Jaleel McLaughlinavailable
- Denzel Bostonavailable
- Harold Fannin Jr.available
- Blake Whiteheartavailable
- Jerry Jeudyavailable
- Isaiah Bondavailable
- Carson Schwesingeravailable
- Quinshon Judkinsavailable
- Case KeenumQBavailable
- Kendall LammTavailable
- Austin HooperTEavailable
- Kevin Concepcionavailable
- Raheim Sandersavailable
- Tyson Campbellquestionable
- Ronnie Hickmanavailable
- Quincy Williamsavailable
- Denzel Wardavailable
- Mason Grahamavailable
- Grant Delpitquestionable
- Sam Williamsavailable
- Dylan Sampsonavailable
- Corey Bojorquezavailable
- Andy JanovichFBavailable
- Marvin HallWRavailable
- JoJo NatsonWRavailable
- Jamie GillanPavailable
- Ja'Marcus BradleyWRavailable
- Harrison BryantTEavailable
- Donovan Peoples-JonesWRavailable
- Nick MullensQBavailable
- Johnny StantonFBavailable
- John KellyRBavailable
- Myles Hardenavailable
- Emmanuel McNeilWarrenavailable
- Isaiah McGuireavailable
- Donovan McMillonavailable
- Jared Verseavailable
- Easton MascarenasArnoldavailable
- Adin Huntingtonavailable
- Noah Igbinogheneavailable
- Carsen Ryanavailable
- Mekhi Blackmonavailable
- Derek Barnettavailable
- Maliek Collinsavailable
- Winston Reidavailable
- Malachi Corleyavailable
- Nathaniel Watsonavailable
- Elgton Jenkinsavailable
- Rex Sunaharaavailable
- Andre Szmytavailable
- Demetric FeltonRBavailable
- Anthony SchwartzWRavailable
- Miller ForristallTEavailable
- David BellWRavailable
- Jerome FordRBavailable
- Mike WoodsWRavailable
- Daylen BaldwinWRavailable
- Joe FlaccoQBavailable
- Marquise GoodwinWRavailable
- Jeff DriskelQBavailable
- P.J. WalkerQBavailable
- Jordan AkinsTEavailable
- James ProcheWRavailable
- Elijah MooreWRavailable
- Pierre StrongRBavailable
- Dorian Thompson-RobinsonQBavailable
- Cedric TillmanWRavailable
- Rodney McLeodFSavailable
- Jameis WinstonQBavailable
- Geoff SwaimTEavailable
- D'Onta ForemanRBavailable
- Jerry JeudyWRavailable
- Jaelon DardenWRavailable
- Kadarius ToneyWRavailable
- Bailey ZappeQBavailable
- Blake WhiteheartTEavailable
- Jamari ThrashWRavailable
- Brenden BatesTEavailable
- Jacob KibodiRBavailable
- Deshaun Watsonavailable
New York Jets
- Demaryius ThomasWRavailable
- Bilal PowellRBavailable
- Josh BellamyWRavailable
- Ryan GriffinTEavailable
- Le'Veon BellRBavailable
- Quincy EnunwaWRavailable
- David FalesQBavailable
- Jamison CrowderWRavailable
- Daniel BrownTEavailable
- Trevor SiemianQBavailable
- Ty MontgomeryWRavailable
- Robbie ChosenWRavailable
- Arthur MauletCBavailable
- B.J. BelloMLBavailable
- C.J. UzomahTEavailable
- Luke FalkQBavailable
- Braxton BerriosWRavailable
- Josh AdamsRBavailable
- Vyncint SmithWRavailable
- Khalil Herbertavailable
- Kene Nwangwuavailable
- John Metchie IIIavailable
- Garrett Wilsonavailable
- Mason Tayloravailable
- Tyler Johnsonavailable
- Josh Reynoldsavailable
- Allen Lazardavailable
- Stone Smarttavailable
- Quentin Skinneravailable
- Jelani Woodsavailable
- Quincy Williamsavailable
- Brandon Stephensavailable
- Isaiah Oliveravailable
- Tony Adamsavailable
- Francisco Mauigoaavailable
- Jermaine Johnsonavailable
- Quinnen Williamsavailable
- Mykal Walkeravailable
- Qwan'tez Stiggersavailable
- Jay Tufeleavailable
- Eric Wattsavailable
- Tyler Baronavailable
- Jordan Clarkavailable
- Khalen Saundersavailable
- Christopher HerndonTEavailable
- Tre Brownavailable
- Samuel Womack IIIavailable
- Payton Pageavailable
- Kobe Kingavailable
- Cam Jonesavailable
- Sam DarnoldQBavailable
- Micheal Clemonsavailable
- Sauce Gardneravailable
- Keidron Smithavailable
- Michael Carter IIavailable
- Dean Clarkavailable
- Ja'Sir Tayloravailable
- Trevon WescoTEavailable
- Leonard Tayloravailable
- Jarius Monroeavailable
- Ja'Markis Westonavailable
- Mark Robinsonavailable
- Armand Membouavailable
- Xavier Gipsonavailable
- Jackson Sirmonavailable
- Kingsley Jonathanavailable
- Nick Folkavailable
- Avery Williamsavailable
- Adonai Mitchellquestionable
- Jeff SmithWRavailable
- Kenyon Sadiqavailable
- Will ParksFSavailable
- Omar Cooper Jr.available
- Jeremy Ruckertavailable
- Demario Davisavailable
- Andre Ciscoavailable
- Jamien Sherwoodavailable
- Dane Beltonavailable
- David Baileyavailable
- Braiden McGregoravailable
- Azareye'h Thomasavailable
- Jarvis Brownleeavailable
- Marcelino McCrary-Ballavailable
- Frank GoreRBavailable
- Joe FlaccoQBavailable
- Chris HoganWRavailable
- Breshad PerrimanWRavailable
- Josh MaloneWRavailable
- Jaleel ScottWRavailable
- Ty JohnsonRBavailable
- Lawrence CagerTEavailable
- Denzel MimsWRavailable
- La'Mical PerineRBavailable
- Justin Fieldsavailable
- Tyrod Tayloravailable
- Brady Cookavailable
- Tyler ConklinTEavailable
- T'Vondre Sweatavailable
- Kingsley Enagbareavailable
- Troy Reederavailable
- Jowon Briggsavailable
- Darrell Jackson Jr.available
- Malachi Mooreavailable
- Thomas Hennessyavailable
- Jason Sandersavailable
- Arian Smithavailable
- Andrew Beckavailable
- Nahshon Wrightavailable
- Will McDonald IVavailable
- Harrison Phillipsavailable
- Isaiah Davisavailable
- Austin McNamaraavailable
- Tevin ColemanRBavailable
- Tyler KroftTEavailable
- Conor McDermottTavailable
- Keelan ColeWRavailable
- Corey DavisWRavailable
- Mike WhiteQBavailable
- Nick BawdenFBavailable
- D.J. MontgomeryWRavailable
- Austin WalterRBavailable
- Braden MannPavailable
- Tarik BlackWRavailable
- Kenny YeboahTEavailable
- Michael CarterRBavailable
- Elijah MooreWRavailable
- Zach WilsonQBavailable
- Chris StrevelerQBavailable
- James RobinsonRBavailable
- Ashtyn DavisSSavailable
- Irvin CharlesWRavailable
- Zonovan KnightRBavailable
- Garrett WilsonWRavailable
- Jeremy RuckertTEavailable
- Breece HallRBavailable
- Aaron RodgersQBavailable
- Thomas MorsteadPavailable
- Randall CobbWRavailable
- Tim BoyleQBavailable
- Allen LazardWRavailable
- Malik TaylorWRavailable
- Brandin EcholsCBavailable
- Israel AbanikandaRBavailable
- Jason BrownleeWRavailable
- Xavier GipsonWRavailable
- Tyrod TaylorQBavailable
- Davante AdamsWRavailable
- Kene NwangwuRBavailable
- Braelon AllenRBavailable
- Isaiah DavisRBavailable
- Malachi CorleyWRavailable
- Geno Smithavailable
- Breece Hallavailable
- Braelon Allenavailable
- Isaiah Williamsavailable
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