Los Angeles ChargersatBaltimore Ravens
Tue, Nov 17, 1:15 AM UTC · M&T Bank Stadium · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
LAC 13.8 — BAL 31.0
Win probability
BAL 81%
Model confidence
High
Projection built from each team's scoring over its last 10 games, form weighted toward the last 3 and 5, the strength of the opponents it faced, a home-field adjustment, and a small allowance for high-production players listed as unavailable. Statistical estimate, not a guaranteed outcome.
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
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Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
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A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
LAC (left) versus BAL (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
Los Angeles Chargers
- Last 5
- 0-5
- Last 10
- 4-6
- Avg scored
- 22.6
- Avg allowed
- 23.0
- Streak
- L5
Baltimore Ravens
- Last 5
- 3-2
- Last 10
- 7-3
- Avg scored
- 28.6
- Avg allowed
- 14.4
- Streak
- L2
Historical matchup
BAL 2 — 0 LAC
Sample size: 2 games
This is a very small sample. Head-to-head history carries little weight on its own, especially when rosters, coaching or circumstances have changed.
Player availability
Los Angeles Chargers
- Philip RiversQBavailable
- Lance KendricksTEavailable
- Tyrod TaylorQBavailable
- Virgil GreenTEavailable
- Travis BenjaminWRavailable
- Keenan AllenWRavailable
- Justin Herbertavailable
- Omarion Hamptonavailable
- Jaret Pattersonavailable
- Najee Harrisavailable
- Hassan Haskinsavailable
- Tre Harrisavailable
- Amar Johnsonavailable
- Quentin Johnstonavailable
- Derius Davisavailable
- Tyler Conklinavailable
- Trayveon Williamsavailable
- Nyheim Hinesavailable
- Ladd McConkeyavailable
- Keenan Allenavailable
- Oronde Gadsden IIavailable
- Will Disslyavailable
- KeAndre LambertSmithavailable
- Tucker Fiskavailable
- Scott Matlockavailable
- Daiyan Henleyavailable
- Derwin James Jr.available
- Troy Dyeavailable
- Tony Jeffersonavailable
- Tarheeb Stillavailable
- Cam Hartavailable
- Denzel Perrymanavailable
- Justin Eboigbeavailable
- Del'Shawn Phillipsavailable
- Benjamin St-Justeavailable
- Teair Tartavailable
- Khalil Mackavailable
- Jamaree Caldwellavailable
- R.J. Mickensavailable
- Da'Shawn Handavailable
- Odafe Owehavailable
- Ja'Sir Tayloravailable
- Marcus Mayeavailable
- Geremy DavisWRavailable
- Melvin GordonRBavailable
- Derek WattFBavailable
- Hunter HenryTEavailable
- Troymaine PopeRBavailable
- Mike WilliamsWRavailable
- Desmond KingCBavailable
- Sean CulkinTEavailable
- Austin EkelerRBavailable
- Andre PattonWRavailable
- Richard RodgersTEavailable
- DeAndre CarterWRavailable
- Justin JacksonRBavailable
- Jalen GuytonWRavailable
- Jason MooreWRavailable
- Gerald EverettTEavailable
- Ty LongPavailable
- Stephen AndersonTEavailable
- Kalen BallageRBavailable
- Easton StickQBavailable
- Donald ParhamTEavailable
- Tyron JohnsonWRavailable
- Maurice FfrenchWRavailable
- Darius BradwellRBavailable
- Gabe NabersFBavailable
- Justin HerbertQBavailable
- Joshua KelleyRBavailable
- Joe ReedWRavailable
- K.J. HillWRavailable
- Chase DanielQBavailable
- Jared CookTEavailable
- Andre RobertsWRavailable
- Trey Lancequestionable
- Tevaughn CampbellCBavailable
- Larry RountreeRBavailable
- Josh PalmerWRavailable
- Tre' McKittyTEavailable
- Sony MichelRBavailable
- Michael BandyWRavailable
- Zander HorvathRBavailable
- Stone SmarttTEavailable
- Isaiah SpillerRBavailable
- Nick VannettTEavailable
- Alex EricksonWRavailable
- Keelan DossWRavailable
- Trey PipkinsTavailable
- Simi FehokoWRavailable
- Nick NiemannILBavailable
- Quentin JohnstonWRavailable
- Derius DavisWRavailable
- Elijah DotsonRBavailable
- Eric TomlinsonTEavailable
- Taylor HeinickeQBavailable
- Will DisslyTEavailable
- J.K. ScottPavailable
- Gus EdwardsRBavailable
- D.J. CharkWRavailable
- Hayden HurstTEavailable
- J.K. DobbinsRBavailable
- Jalen ReagorWRavailable
- Hassan HaskinsRBavailable
- Tucker FiskTEavailable
- Scott MatlockFBavailable
- Kimani VidalRBavailable
- Ladd McConkeyWRavailable
- Cameron Dickeravailable
- Kyle Kennardavailable
- Nikko Reedavailable
- Deane Leonardavailable
- Josh Harrisavailable
- Clelin Ferrellavailable
- Austin Deculusavailable
- JK Scottavailable
- Donte Jacksonavailable
- Alohi Gilmanavailable
- Marlowe Waxavailable
- Bud Dupreeavailable
- Kendall Williamsonavailable
- Caleb Murphyavailable
- Otito Ogbonniaavailable
- Naquan Jonesavailable
- Marcus Williamsavailable
- Tuli Tuipulotuavailable
- Elijah Moldenavailable
- Brenen Thompsonquestionable
- Dalvin Tomlinsonquestionable
- Rodney Shelleyquestionable
- Keaton Mitchellavailable
- David Njokuavailable
- Charlie Kolaravailable
- Genesis Smithavailable
- Akheem Mesidoravailable
- Nick Barrettavailable
- Kimani Vidalavailable
- Alec Ingoldavailable
Baltimore Ravens
- Sam KochPavailable
- Anthony LevineSSavailable
- Mark IngramRBavailable
- Robert GriffinQBavailable
- Tyler Huntleyavailable
- Cooper Rushavailable
- Keaton Mitchellavailable
- Patrick Ricardavailable
- DeAndre Hopkinsavailable
- Willie SneadWRavailable
- De'Anthony ThomasWRavailable
- Seth RobertsWRavailable
- Nick BoyleTEavailable
- Chris MooreWRavailable
- Patrick RicardFBavailable
- Mike DavisRBavailable
- Gus EdwardsRBavailable
- Jaleel ScottWRavailable
- Mark AndrewsTEavailable
- Lamar JacksonQBavailable
- Hayden HurstTEavailable
- Justice HillRBavailable
- Trace McSorleyQBavailable
- Lamar Jacksonavailable
- Marquise BrownWRavailable
- Miles BoykinWRavailable
- Demarcus RobinsonWRavailable
- Kenyan DrakeRBavailable
- Derrick Henryavailable
- Justice Hillavailable
- Zay Flowersavailable
- Mark Andrewsavailable
- LaJohntay Westeravailable
- Keondre Jacksonavailable
- Broderick Washingtonavailable
- Jay Higginsavailable
- Carl Jones Jr.available
- Tyler Loopavailable
- Keyon Martinavailable
- Ronnie Stanleyavailable
- Dez BryantWRavailable
- Luke WillsonTEavailable
- Eric TomlinsonTEavailable
- Matt SkuraCavailable
- Tyler HuntleyQBavailable
- Isaiah Likelyavailable
- Charlie Kolaravailable
- Tylan Wallaceavailable
- Zaire Mitchell-Padenavailable
- Teddye Buchananavailable
- Alohi Gilmanavailable
- Chidobe Awuzieavailable
- Kyle Van Noyavailable
- Brent Urbanavailable
- Jake Hummelavailable
- Dre'Mont Jonesavailable
- David Ojaboavailable
- CJ Okoyeavailable
- Odafe Owehavailable
- Justin Madubuikeavailable
- Ar'Darius Washingtonavailable
- Josh Tupouavailable
- Reuben Lowery IIIavailable
- Jaire Alexanderavailable
- Chandler Martinavailable
- Aeneas Peeblesavailable
- Amani Oruwariyeavailable
- Joe Noteboomavailable
- James ProcheWRavailable
- Carl Lawsonavailable
- Jordan Stoutavailable
- Taven Bryanavailable
- Sanoussi Kaneavailable
- Emery Jonesavailable
- Tyler Linderbaumavailable
- J.K. DobbinsRBavailable
- Devin DuvernayWRavailable
- Josh JohnsonQBavailable
- Latavius MurrayRBavailable
- Devonta FreemanRBavailable
- Sammy WatkinsWRavailable
- Rashod Batemanavailable
- Devontez Walkeravailable
- Roquan Smithavailable
- Kyle Hamiltonavailable
- Malaki Starksavailable
- Trenton Simpsonavailable
- Nate Wigginsavailable
- Marlon Humphreyavailable
- Tavius Robinsonavailable
- Travis Jonesavailable
- Rasheen Aliavailable
- Zion Youngavailable
- Chandler Riversavailable
- Ethan Burkeavailable
- T.J. Tampaavailable
- John Jenkinsavailable
- Mike Greenavailable
- Josh OliverTEavailable
- Ty'Son WilliamsRBavailable
- Rashod BatemanWRavailable
- Nate McCraryRBavailable
- Tylan WallaceWRavailable
- DeSean JacksonWRavailable
- Andy IsabellaWRavailable
- Anthony BrownQBavailable
- Isaiah LikelyTEavailable
- Charlie KolarTEavailable
- Odell BeckhamWRavailable
- Nelson AgholorWRavailable
- Melvin GordonRBavailable
- Laquon TreadwellWRavailable
- Dalvin CookRBavailable
- Keaton MitchellRBavailable
- Zay FlowersWRavailable
- Derrick HenryRBavailable
- Anthony MillerWRavailable
- Steven SimsWRavailable
- Devontez WalkerWRavailable
- Rasheen AliRBavailable
- Chris Mooreavailable
- Matthew Hibneravailable
- Ja'Kobi Laneavailable
- Durham Smytheavailable
- Calais Campbellavailable
- Jaylinn Hawkinsavailable
- Trey Hendricksonavailable
- Ryan Eckleyavailable
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