New York JetsatLos Angeles Chargers
Sun, Nov 22, 9:05 PM UTC · SoFi Stadium · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
NYJ 24.5 — LAC 19.7
Win probability
NYJ 60%
Model confidence
Moderate
Projection built from each team's scoring over its last 10 games, form weighted toward the last 3 and 5, the strength of the opponents it faced, a home-field adjustment, and a small allowance for high-production players listed as unavailable. Statistical estimate, not a guaranteed outcome.
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
Loading historical accuracy…
Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
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A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
NYJ (left) versus LAC (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
New York Jets
- Last 5
- 2-3
- Last 10
- 4-6
- Avg scored
- 19.0
- Avg allowed
- 21.2
- Streak
- L2
Los Angeles Chargers
- Last 5
- 0-5
- Last 10
- 4-6
- Avg scored
- 22.6
- Avg allowed
- 23.0
- Streak
- L5
Historical matchup
LAC 1 — 0 NYJ
Sample size: 1 games
This is a very small sample. Head-to-head history carries little weight on its own, especially when rosters, coaching or circumstances have changed.
Player availability
New York Jets
- Demaryius ThomasWRavailable
- Bilal PowellRBavailable
- Josh BellamyWRavailable
- Ryan GriffinTEavailable
- Le'Veon BellRBavailable
- Quincy EnunwaWRavailable
- David FalesQBavailable
- Jamison CrowderWRavailable
- Daniel BrownTEavailable
- Trevor SiemianQBavailable
- Ty MontgomeryWRavailable
- Robbie ChosenWRavailable
- Arthur MauletCBavailable
- B.J. BelloMLBavailable
- C.J. UzomahTEavailable
- Luke FalkQBavailable
- Braxton BerriosWRavailable
- Josh AdamsRBavailable
- Vyncint SmithWRavailable
- Khalil Herbertavailable
- Kene Nwangwuavailable
- John Metchie IIIavailable
- Garrett Wilsonavailable
- Mason Tayloravailable
- Tyler Johnsonavailable
- Josh Reynoldsavailable
- Allen Lazardavailable
- Stone Smarttavailable
- Quentin Skinneravailable
- Jelani Woodsavailable
- Quincy Williamsavailable
- Brandon Stephensavailable
- Isaiah Oliveravailable
- Tony Adamsavailable
- Francisco Mauigoaavailable
- Jermaine Johnsonavailable
- Quinnen Williamsavailable
- Mykal Walkeravailable
- Qwan'tez Stiggersavailable
- Jay Tufeleavailable
- Eric Wattsavailable
- Tyler Baronavailable
- Jordan Clarkavailable
- Khalen Saundersavailable
- Christopher HerndonTEavailable
- Tre Brownavailable
- Samuel Womack IIIavailable
- Payton Pageavailable
- Kobe Kingavailable
- Cam Jonesavailable
- Sam DarnoldQBavailable
- Micheal Clemonsavailable
- Sauce Gardneravailable
- Keidron Smithavailable
- Michael Carter IIavailable
- Dean Clarkavailable
- Ja'Sir Tayloravailable
- Trevon WescoTEavailable
- Leonard Tayloravailable
- Jarius Monroeavailable
- Ja'Markis Westonavailable
- Mark Robinsonavailable
- Armand Membouavailable
- Xavier Gipsonavailable
- Jackson Sirmonavailable
- Kingsley Jonathanavailable
- Nick Folkavailable
- Avery Williamsavailable
- Adonai Mitchellquestionable
- Jeff SmithWRavailable
- Kenyon Sadiqavailable
- Will ParksFSavailable
- Omar Cooper Jr.available
- Jeremy Ruckertavailable
- Demario Davisavailable
- Andre Ciscoavailable
- Jamien Sherwoodavailable
- Dane Beltonavailable
- David Baileyavailable
- Braiden McGregoravailable
- Azareye'h Thomasavailable
- Jarvis Brownleeavailable
- Marcelino McCrary-Ballavailable
- Frank GoreRBavailable
- Joe FlaccoQBavailable
- Chris HoganWRavailable
- Breshad PerrimanWRavailable
- Josh MaloneWRavailable
- Jaleel ScottWRavailable
- Ty JohnsonRBavailable
- Lawrence CagerTEavailable
- Denzel MimsWRavailable
- La'Mical PerineRBavailable
- Justin Fieldsavailable
- Tyrod Tayloravailable
- Brady Cookavailable
- Tyler ConklinTEavailable
- T'Vondre Sweatavailable
- Kingsley Enagbareavailable
- Troy Reederavailable
- Jowon Briggsavailable
- Darrell Jackson Jr.available
- Malachi Mooreavailable
- Thomas Hennessyavailable
- Jason Sandersavailable
- Arian Smithavailable
- Andrew Beckavailable
- Nahshon Wrightavailable
- Will McDonald IVavailable
- Harrison Phillipsavailable
- Isaiah Davisavailable
- Austin McNamaraavailable
- Tevin ColemanRBavailable
- Tyler KroftTEavailable
- Conor McDermottTavailable
- Keelan ColeWRavailable
- Corey DavisWRavailable
- Mike WhiteQBavailable
- Nick BawdenFBavailable
- D.J. MontgomeryWRavailable
- Austin WalterRBavailable
- Braden MannPavailable
- Tarik BlackWRavailable
- Kenny YeboahTEavailable
- Michael CarterRBavailable
- Elijah MooreWRavailable
- Zach WilsonQBavailable
- Chris StrevelerQBavailable
- James RobinsonRBavailable
- Ashtyn DavisSSavailable
- Irvin CharlesWRavailable
- Zonovan KnightRBavailable
- Garrett WilsonWRavailable
- Jeremy RuckertTEavailable
- Breece HallRBavailable
- Aaron RodgersQBavailable
- Thomas MorsteadPavailable
- Randall CobbWRavailable
- Tim BoyleQBavailable
- Allen LazardWRavailable
- Malik TaylorWRavailable
- Brandin EcholsCBavailable
- Israel AbanikandaRBavailable
- Jason BrownleeWRavailable
- Xavier GipsonWRavailable
- Tyrod TaylorQBavailable
- Davante AdamsWRavailable
- Kene NwangwuRBavailable
- Braelon AllenRBavailable
- Isaiah DavisRBavailable
- Malachi CorleyWRavailable
- Geno Smithavailable
- Breece Hallavailable
- Braelon Allenavailable
- Isaiah Williamsavailable
Los Angeles Chargers
- Philip RiversQBavailable
- Lance KendricksTEavailable
- Tyrod TaylorQBavailable
- Virgil GreenTEavailable
- Travis BenjaminWRavailable
- Keenan AllenWRavailable
- Justin Herbertavailable
- Omarion Hamptonavailable
- Jaret Pattersonavailable
- Najee Harrisavailable
- Hassan Haskinsavailable
- Tre Harrisavailable
- Amar Johnsonavailable
- Quentin Johnstonavailable
- Derius Davisavailable
- Tyler Conklinavailable
- Trayveon Williamsavailable
- Nyheim Hinesavailable
- Ladd McConkeyavailable
- Keenan Allenavailable
- Oronde Gadsden IIavailable
- Will Disslyavailable
- KeAndre LambertSmithavailable
- Tucker Fiskavailable
- Scott Matlockavailable
- Daiyan Henleyavailable
- Derwin James Jr.available
- Troy Dyeavailable
- Tony Jeffersonavailable
- Tarheeb Stillavailable
- Cam Hartavailable
- Denzel Perrymanavailable
- Justin Eboigbeavailable
- Del'Shawn Phillipsavailable
- Benjamin St-Justeavailable
- Teair Tartavailable
- Khalil Mackavailable
- Jamaree Caldwellavailable
- R.J. Mickensavailable
- Da'Shawn Handavailable
- Odafe Owehavailable
- Ja'Sir Tayloravailable
- Marcus Mayeavailable
- Geremy DavisWRavailable
- Melvin GordonRBavailable
- Derek WattFBavailable
- Hunter HenryTEavailable
- Troymaine PopeRBavailable
- Mike WilliamsWRavailable
- Desmond KingCBavailable
- Sean CulkinTEavailable
- Austin EkelerRBavailable
- Andre PattonWRavailable
- Richard RodgersTEavailable
- DeAndre CarterWRavailable
- Justin JacksonRBavailable
- Jalen GuytonWRavailable
- Jason MooreWRavailable
- Gerald EverettTEavailable
- Ty LongPavailable
- Stephen AndersonTEavailable
- Kalen BallageRBavailable
- Easton StickQBavailable
- Donald ParhamTEavailable
- Tyron JohnsonWRavailable
- Maurice FfrenchWRavailable
- Darius BradwellRBavailable
- Gabe NabersFBavailable
- Justin HerbertQBavailable
- Joshua KelleyRBavailable
- Joe ReedWRavailable
- K.J. HillWRavailable
- Chase DanielQBavailable
- Jared CookTEavailable
- Andre RobertsWRavailable
- Trey Lancequestionable
- Tevaughn CampbellCBavailable
- Larry RountreeRBavailable
- Josh PalmerWRavailable
- Tre' McKittyTEavailable
- Sony MichelRBavailable
- Michael BandyWRavailable
- Zander HorvathRBavailable
- Stone SmarttTEavailable
- Isaiah SpillerRBavailable
- Nick VannettTEavailable
- Alex EricksonWRavailable
- Keelan DossWRavailable
- Trey PipkinsTavailable
- Simi FehokoWRavailable
- Nick NiemannILBavailable
- Quentin JohnstonWRavailable
- Derius DavisWRavailable
- Elijah DotsonRBavailable
- Eric TomlinsonTEavailable
- Taylor HeinickeQBavailable
- Will DisslyTEavailable
- J.K. ScottPavailable
- Gus EdwardsRBavailable
- D.J. CharkWRavailable
- Hayden HurstTEavailable
- J.K. DobbinsRBavailable
- Jalen ReagorWRavailable
- Hassan HaskinsRBavailable
- Tucker FiskTEavailable
- Scott MatlockFBavailable
- Kimani VidalRBavailable
- Ladd McConkeyWRavailable
- Cameron Dickeravailable
- Kyle Kennardavailable
- Nikko Reedavailable
- Deane Leonardavailable
- Josh Harrisavailable
- Clelin Ferrellavailable
- Austin Deculusavailable
- JK Scottavailable
- Donte Jacksonavailable
- Alohi Gilmanavailable
- Marlowe Waxavailable
- Bud Dupreeavailable
- Kendall Williamsonavailable
- Caleb Murphyavailable
- Otito Ogbonniaavailable
- Naquan Jonesavailable
- Marcus Williamsavailable
- Tuli Tuipulotuavailable
- Elijah Moldenavailable
- Brenen Thompsonquestionable
- Dalvin Tomlinsonquestionable
- Rodney Shelleyquestionable
- Keaton Mitchellavailable
- David Njokuavailable
- Charlie Kolaravailable
- Genesis Smithavailable
- Akheem Mesidoravailable
- Nick Barrettavailable
- Kimani Vidalavailable
- Alec Ingoldavailable
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