Houston TexansatLos Angeles Chargers
Sun, Nov 8, 9:05 PM UTC · SoFi Stadium · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
HOU 22.1 — LAC 21.4
Win probability
HOU 51%
Model confidence
Low
Projection built from each team's scoring over its last 10 games, form weighted toward the last 3 and 5, the strength of the opponents it faced, a home-field adjustment, and a small allowance for high-production players listed as unavailable. Statistical estimate, not a guaranteed outcome.
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
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Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
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A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
HOU (left) versus LAC (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
Houston Texans
- Last 5
- 0-5
- Last 10
- 2-8
- Avg scored
- 16.5
- Avg allowed
- 22.0
- Streak
- L7
Los Angeles Chargers
- Last 5
- 0-5
- Last 10
- 4-6
- Avg scored
- 22.6
- Avg allowed
- 23.0
- Streak
- L5
Historical matchup
LAC 1 — 1 HOU
Sample size: 2 games
This is a very small sample. Head-to-head history carries little weight on its own, especially when rosters, coaching or circumstances have changed.
Player availability
Houston Texans
- Taiwan JonesRBavailable
- Bryan AngerPavailable
- Dameon Pierceavailable
- Dare Ogunbowaleavailable
- Jayden Higginsavailable
- Christian Kirkavailable
- Henry To'oTo'oavailable
- E.J. Speedavailable
- Danielle Hunteravailable
- Myles Bryantavailable
- Darren FellsTEavailable
- Kenny StillsWRavailable
- Dylan Hortonavailable
- M.J. Stewartavailable
- Tremon Smithavailable
- Derek Barnettavailable
- C.J. Gardner-Johnsonavailable
- Tim Settleavailable
- Jaylen Reedavailable
- Damone Clarkavailable
- Christian Harrisavailable
- K'Von Wallaceavailable
- Folorunso Fatukasiavailable
- Denico Autryavailable
- Jamal Hillavailable
- Jaylin Smithavailable
- Ja'Marcus Ingramavailable
- Alijah Huzzieavailable
- Jalen Millsavailable
- Ameer Speedavailable
- Marlon Davidsonavailable
- Jake Andrewsavailable
- Haggai Ndubuisiavailable
- Austin Brinkmanavailable
- Sabastian Harshavailable
- Logan Hallavailable
- DeAndre HopkinsWRavailable
- Carlos HydeRBavailable
- AJ McCarronQBavailable
- Aiden Fisheravailable
- Jadeveon Clowneyavailable
- Braxton Berriosavailable
- Justin Watsonavailable
- Brenden Batesavailable
- Harrison Bryantavailable
- Darrell Tayloravailable
- DeAndre CarterWRavailable
- Naquan Jonesavailable
- Damon Arnetteavailable
- Leki Fotuavailable
- Kaevon Merriweatheravailable
- Duke JohnsonRBavailable
- Will FullerWRavailable
- Deshaun WatsonQBavailable
- Kai Kroegeravailable
- Mario Edwards Jr.available
- British Brooksavailable
- Wade Woodazavailable
- Steven MitchellWRavailable
- George Odumavailable
- Justin ReidSSavailable
- Jordan AkinsTEavailable
- Keke CouteeWRavailable
- Jordan ThomasTEavailable
- Buddy HowellRBavailable
- Lonnie JohnsonFSavailable
- Jeff DriskelQBavailable
- Mason SchreckTEavailable
- Dare OgunbowaleRBavailable
- O.J. HowardTEavailable
- Randall CobbWRavailable
- Brandin CooksWRavailable
- David JohnsonRBavailable
- C.J. ProsiseRBavailable
- Pharaoh BrownTEavailable
- Chad HansenWRavailable
- Cullen GillaspiaFBavailable
- Kahale WarringTEavailable
- Scottie PhillipsRBavailable
- M.J. StewartSSavailable
- Danny AmendolaWRavailable
- Tyrod TaylorQBavailable
- Rex BurkheadRBavailable
- Chris ConleyWRavailable
- Phillip DorsettWRavailable
- Chris MooreWRavailable
- Davis Millsavailable
- Nick Chubbavailable
- Jawhar Jordanavailable
- Antony AuclairTEavailable
- Jakob Johnsonavailable
- Laken Tomlinsonavailable
- Matthew Wrightavailable
- Tommy Townsendavailable
- Tremon SmithCBavailable
- Jaylen SamuelsRBavailable
- Royce FreemanRBavailable
- Davion DavisWRavailable
- Kyle AllenQBavailable
- Nico CollinsWRavailable
- Brevin JordanTEavailable
- Davis MillsQBavailable
- Tyron JohnsonWRavailable
- Jalen CampWRavailable
- Amari RodgersWRavailable
- Dameon PierceRBavailable
- Teagan QuitorianoTEavailable
- Troy HairstonFBavailable
- Case KeenumQBavailable
- Robert WoodsWRavailable
- Eric SaubertTEavailable
- Noah BrownWRavailable
- Cameron JohnstonPavailable
- Mike BooneRBavailable
- Dalton SchultzTEavailable
- Steven SimsWRavailable
- Andrew BeckFBavailable
- Devin SingletaryRBavailable
- John Metchie IIIWRavailable
- Xavier HutchinsonWRavailable
- Tank DellWRavailable
- C.J. StroudQBavailable
- Stefon DiggsWRavailable
- Joe MixonRBavailable
- Irv SmithTEavailable
- Diontae JohnsonWRavailable
- J.J. TaylorRBavailable
- Jared WayneWRavailable
- Cade StoverTEavailable
- British BrooksRBavailable
- C.J. Stroudavailable
- David Montgomeryavailable
- Jo'quavious Marksavailable
- Nico Collinsavailable
- Jaylin Noelavailable
- Dalton Schultzavailable
- Xavier Hutchinsonavailable
- Kayshon Boutteavailable
- Marlin Kleinavailable
- Foster Moreauavailable
- Jared Wayneavailable
- Cade Stoveravailable
- Reed Blankenshipavailable
- Azeez Al-Shaairavailable
- Jalen Pitreavailable
- Calen Bullockavailable
- Derek Stingley Jr.available
- Jake Hansenavailable
- Kamari Lassiteravailable
- Will Anderson Jr.available
- Sheldon Rankinsavailable
- Dominique Robinsonavailable
- Tommy Togiaiavailable
- Ka'imi Fairbairnavailable
Los Angeles Chargers
- Philip RiversQBavailable
- Lance KendricksTEavailable
- Tyrod TaylorQBavailable
- Virgil GreenTEavailable
- Travis BenjaminWRavailable
- Keenan AllenWRavailable
- Justin Herbertavailable
- Omarion Hamptonavailable
- Jaret Pattersonavailable
- Najee Harrisavailable
- Hassan Haskinsavailable
- Tre Harrisavailable
- Amar Johnsonavailable
- Quentin Johnstonavailable
- Derius Davisavailable
- Tyler Conklinavailable
- Trayveon Williamsavailable
- Nyheim Hinesavailable
- Ladd McConkeyavailable
- Keenan Allenavailable
- Oronde Gadsden IIavailable
- Will Disslyavailable
- KeAndre LambertSmithavailable
- Tucker Fiskavailable
- Scott Matlockavailable
- Daiyan Henleyavailable
- Derwin James Jr.available
- Troy Dyeavailable
- Tony Jeffersonavailable
- Tarheeb Stillavailable
- Cam Hartavailable
- Denzel Perrymanavailable
- Justin Eboigbeavailable
- Del'Shawn Phillipsavailable
- Benjamin St-Justeavailable
- Teair Tartavailable
- Khalil Mackavailable
- Jamaree Caldwellavailable
- R.J. Mickensavailable
- Da'Shawn Handavailable
- Odafe Owehavailable
- Ja'Sir Tayloravailable
- Marcus Mayeavailable
- Geremy DavisWRavailable
- Melvin GordonRBavailable
- Derek WattFBavailable
- Hunter HenryTEavailable
- Troymaine PopeRBavailable
- Mike WilliamsWRavailable
- Desmond KingCBavailable
- Sean CulkinTEavailable
- Austin EkelerRBavailable
- Andre PattonWRavailable
- Richard RodgersTEavailable
- DeAndre CarterWRavailable
- Justin JacksonRBavailable
- Jalen GuytonWRavailable
- Jason MooreWRavailable
- Gerald EverettTEavailable
- Ty LongPavailable
- Stephen AndersonTEavailable
- Kalen BallageRBavailable
- Easton StickQBavailable
- Donald ParhamTEavailable
- Tyron JohnsonWRavailable
- Maurice FfrenchWRavailable
- Darius BradwellRBavailable
- Gabe NabersFBavailable
- Justin HerbertQBavailable
- Joshua KelleyRBavailable
- Joe ReedWRavailable
- K.J. HillWRavailable
- Chase DanielQBavailable
- Jared CookTEavailable
- Andre RobertsWRavailable
- Trey Lancequestionable
- Tevaughn CampbellCBavailable
- Larry RountreeRBavailable
- Josh PalmerWRavailable
- Tre' McKittyTEavailable
- Sony MichelRBavailable
- Michael BandyWRavailable
- Zander HorvathRBavailable
- Stone SmarttTEavailable
- Isaiah SpillerRBavailable
- Nick VannettTEavailable
- Alex EricksonWRavailable
- Keelan DossWRavailable
- Trey PipkinsTavailable
- Simi FehokoWRavailable
- Nick NiemannILBavailable
- Quentin JohnstonWRavailable
- Derius DavisWRavailable
- Elijah DotsonRBavailable
- Eric TomlinsonTEavailable
- Taylor HeinickeQBavailable
- Will DisslyTEavailable
- J.K. ScottPavailable
- Gus EdwardsRBavailable
- D.J. CharkWRavailable
- Hayden HurstTEavailable
- J.K. DobbinsRBavailable
- Jalen ReagorWRavailable
- Hassan HaskinsRBavailable
- Tucker FiskTEavailable
- Scott MatlockFBavailable
- Kimani VidalRBavailable
- Ladd McConkeyWRavailable
- Cameron Dickeravailable
- Kyle Kennardavailable
- Nikko Reedavailable
- Deane Leonardavailable
- Josh Harrisavailable
- Clelin Ferrellavailable
- Austin Deculusavailable
- JK Scottavailable
- Donte Jacksonavailable
- Alohi Gilmanavailable
- Marlowe Waxavailable
- Bud Dupreeavailable
- Kendall Williamsonavailable
- Caleb Murphyavailable
- Otito Ogbonniaavailable
- Naquan Jonesavailable
- Marcus Williamsavailable
- Tuli Tuipulotuavailable
- Elijah Moldenavailable
- Brenen Thompsonquestionable
- Dalvin Tomlinsonquestionable
- Rodney Shelleyquestionable
- Keaton Mitchellavailable
- David Njokuavailable
- Charlie Kolaravailable
- Genesis Smithavailable
- Akheem Mesidoravailable
- Nick Barrettavailable
- Kimani Vidalavailable
- Alec Ingoldavailable
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