Tampa Bay BuccaneersatDetroit Lions
Sun, Nov 22, 6:00 PM UTC · Ford Field · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
TB 22.7 — DET 27.6
Win probability
DET 60%
Model confidence
Moderate
Projection built from each team's scoring over its last 10 games, form weighted toward the last 3 and 5, the strength of the opponents it faced, a home-field adjustment, and a small allowance for high-production players listed as unavailable. Statistical estimate, not a guaranteed outcome.
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
Loading historical accuracy…
Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
Your plan: Free · Unlocks with Pro — $7.98/month
Sample of what Pro unlocks.
Market prices
No market prices available for this game yet.
Compare with an outside price
Enter the moneyline prices you have seen elsewhere. EdgeIQ converts them into a plain chance of winning, strips out the operator's built-in margin, and shows how that compares with the model estimate. EdgeIQ does not take wagers and shows no prices of its own.
Add both prices to see the comparison.
A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
TB (left) versus DET (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
Your plan: Free · Unlocks with Pro — $7.98/month
Recent form
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Last 5
- 1-4
- Last 10
- 4-6
- Avg scored
- 22.1
- Avg allowed
- 21.1
- Streak
- L4
Detroit Lions
- Last 5
- 4-1
- Last 10
- 7-3
- Avg scored
- 28.5
- Avg allowed
- 24.5
- Streak
- W1
Historical matchup
DET 2 — 1 TB
Sample size: 3 games
This is a very small sample. Head-to-head history carries little weight on its own, especially when rosters, coaching or circumstances have changed.
Player availability
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Cade Ottonavailable
- Ted Hurstavailable
- Ryan GriffinQBavailable
- Cameron BrateTEavailable
- Mike EvansWRavailable
- Jameis WinstonQBavailable
- Breshad PerrimanWRavailable
- Peyton BarberRBavailable
- Cyril GraysonWRavailable
- Antony AuclairTEavailable
- Bobo WilsonWRavailable
- T.J. LoganRBavailable
- Dare OgunbowaleRBavailable
- O.J. HowardTEavailable
- Chris GodwinWRavailable
- Justin WatsonWRavailable
- Tanner HudsonTEavailable
- John FranklinWRavailable
- Codey McElroyTEavailable
- Vita VeaNTavailable
- Ronald JonesRBavailable
- Ishmael HymanWRavailable
- Scott MillerWRavailable
- Tom BradyQBavailable
- LeSean McCoyRBavailable
- Rob GronkowskiTEavailable
- Antonio BrownWRavailable
- Blaine GabbertQBavailable
- Kenjon BarnerRBavailable
- Joe HaegTavailable
- Jaydon MickensWRavailable
- Leonard FournetteRBavailable
- Tyler JohnsonWRavailable
- Ke'Shawn VaughnRBavailable
- Teddy Bridgewateravailable
- Rachaad Whiteavailable
- Sean Tuckerquestionable
- Sterling Shepardavailable
- Owen Wrightavailable
- Jalen McMillanquestionable
- Mike Evansavailable
- Ryan Milleravailable
- Payne Durhamavailable
- Devin Culpavailable
- Tristan Wirfsavailable
- Lavonte Davidavailable
- Jamel Deanavailable
- Logan Hallavailable
- Haason Reddickavailable
- Chris Braswellavailable
- Deion Jonesavailable
- Christian Izienavailable
- Greg Gainesavailable
- Kindle Vildoravailable
- Josh Hayesavailable
- John Bullockavailable
- Markees Wattsavailable
- Kaevon Merriweatheravailable
- Elijah Simmonsavailable
- C.J. Breweravailable
- Rashad Wisdomavailable
- Ko Kieftavailable
- J.T. Grayavailable
- Graham Bartonavailable
- Nick Jacksonavailable
- Evan Deckersavailable
- Sebastian Castroavailable
- Josiah Trotteravailable
- Alex Anzaloneavailable
- Antoine Winfield Jr.available
- Zyon McCollumavailable
- Benjamin Morrisonavailable
- A'Shawn Robinsonavailable
- Giovani BernardRBavailable
- Le'Veon BellRBavailable
- Tykee Smithavailable
- Keionte Scottavailable
- Kevin Knowles IIavailable
- YaYa Diabyavailable
- Anthony Nelsonavailable
- SirVocea Dennisavailable
- Kameron Johnsonavailable
- David Walkeravailable
- Rakeem Nunez-Rochesavailable
- Al-Quadin Muhammadavailable
- Rueben Bain Jr.available
- Miles Killebrewavailable
- Bauer Sharpavailable
- Chase McLaughlinavailable
- Josh Williamsavailable
- Deon YelderTEavailable
- Russell GageWRavailable
- Jaelon DardenWRavailable
- Julio JonesWRavailable
- Kyle RudolphTEavailable
- Kyle TraskQBavailable
- Rachaad WhiteRBavailable
- Ko KieftTEavailable
- Deven ThompkinsWRavailable
- Cade OttonTEavailable
- David MooreWRavailable
- David WellsTEavailable
- Chase EdmondsRBavailable
- Baker MayfieldQBavailable
- Rakim JarrettWRavailable
- Sean TuckerRBavailable
- Payne DurhamTEavailable
- Trey PalmerWRavailable
- Sterling ShepardWRavailable
- Tavierre ThomasCBavailable
- J.J. RussellILBavailable
- Ryan MillerWRavailable
- Bucky IrvingRBavailable
- Kameron JohnsonWRavailable
- Devin CulpTEavailable
- Jalen McMillanWRavailable
- Jacob Parrishavailable
- Vita Veaavailable
- Elijah Robertsavailable
- Calijah Kanceyavailable
- Riley Dixonavailable
- Baker Mayfieldavailable
- Bucky Irvingavailable
- Kenneth Gainwellavailable
- Chris Godwinavailable
- Tez Johnsonavailable
- Emeka Egbukaavailable
Detroit Lions
- Danny AmendolaWRavailable
- Matthew StaffordQBavailable
- Marvin JonesWRavailable
- C.J. AndersonRBavailable
- Logan ThomasTEavailable
- Jesse JamesTEavailable
- Malik Cunninghamavailable
- Paul PerkinsRBavailable
- Jeff DriskelQBavailable
- Tra CarsonRBavailable
- J.D. McKissicRBavailable
- Daniel Thomasavailable
- Erick Hallett IIavailable
- Kerby Josephavailable
- Tyrus Wheatavailable
- Marvin HallWRavailable
- Arthur Mauletavailable
- Jared Goffavailable
- Jahmyr Gibbsavailable
- Sione Vakiavailable
- Amon-Ra St. Brownavailable
- Jameson Williamsavailable
- Devin Whiteavailable
- Tay Martinavailable
- Brock Wrightavailable
- D.J. Wonnumavailable
- Skyler GillHowardavailable
- Roger McCrearyavailable
- Eric O'Neillavailable
- Christian Izienavailable
- Derrick Barnesavailable
- Keith Abneyavailable
- Chuck Clarkavailable
- Jack Campbellavailable
- Rock Ya-Sinavailable
- Avonte Maddoxavailable
- Tyleik Williamsavailable
- Aidan Hutchinsonavailable
- Thomas Harperavailable
- Trevor Nowaskeavailable
- Jacob Saylorsavailable
- Tyler Lacyavailable
- Tom Kennedyavailable
- Jamal AgnewWRavailable
- Kenny GolladayWRavailable
- Kerryon JohnsonRBavailable
- Bo ScarbroughRBavailable
- Nick BawdenFBavailable
- Chris LacyWRavailable
- Marcus Davenportavailable
- Alim McNeillavailable
- Malcolm Rodriguezavailable
- Patrick O'Connoravailable
- Khalil Dorseyavailable
- Zach Cunninghamavailable
- Jalen Millsavailable
- Nick Whitesideavailable
- Jake Batesavailable
- Mekhi Wingoavailable
- Hogan Hattenavailable
- Jack Foxavailable
- Monty Riceavailable
- Loren Stricklandavailable
- Anthony Pittmanavailable
- Ty Summersavailable
- Chris Hubbardavailable
- Graham Glasgowavailable
- Dominic Lovettavailable
- David BloughQBavailable
- T.J. HockensonTEavailable
- Wes HillsRBavailable
- Ty JohnsonRBavailable
- Isaac NautaTEavailable
- Travis FulghamWRavailable
- Nate SudfeldQBavailable
- Adrian PetersonRBavailable
- Chase DanielQBavailable
- Mohamed SanuWRavailable
- Jonathan WilliamsRBavailable
- Jason CabindaFBavailable
- C.J. MooreFSavailable
- Hunter BryantTEavailable
- D'Andre SwiftRBavailable
- Quintez CephusWRavailable
- Darren FellsTEavailable
- Tyrell WilliamsWRavailable
- Taylor DeckerTavailable
- Kalif RaymondWRavailable
- Geronimo AllisonWRavailable
- Jared GoffQBavailable
- Josh ReynoldsWRavailable
- Jamaal WilliamsRBavailable
- Tim BoyleQBavailable
- Godwin IgwebuikeRBavailable
- KhaDarel HodgeWRavailable
- Trinity BensonWRavailable
- Jack FoxPavailable
- Matt NelsonTavailable
- Tom KennedyWRavailable
- Craig ReynoldsRBavailable
- Justin JacksonRBavailable
- Bobby PriceFSavailable
- Shane ZylstraTEavailable
- Jermar JeffersonRBavailable
- Brock WrightTEavailable
- Amon-Ra St. BrownWRavailable
- D.J. CharkWRavailable
- Bam KnightRBavailable
- Malcolm RodriguezILBavailable
- Penei SewellTavailable
- Jameson WilliamsWRavailable
- James MitchellTEavailable
- Maurice AlexanderWRavailable
- Teddy BridgewaterQBavailable
- Anthony FirkserTEavailable
- Jalen Reeves-MaybinOLBavailable
- Dan SkipperTavailable
- Devine OzigboRBavailable
- David MontgomeryRBavailable
- Khalil DorseyCBavailable
- Donovan Peoples-JonesWRavailable
- Antoine GreenWRavailable
- Sam LaPortaTEavailable
- Jahmyr GibbsRBavailable
- Allen RobinsonWRavailable
- Tim PatrickWRavailable
- Grant Stuardavailable
- Sam LaPortaavailable
- Isaac TeSlaaavailable
- Anthony Firkseravailable
- Shane Zylstraavailable
- Ross Dwelleyavailable
- Alex Anzaloneavailable
- Brian Branchavailable
- Amik Robertsonavailable
- Hendon HookerQBavailable
- Sione VakiRBavailable
- Isaiah WilliamsWRavailable
- David Montgomeryavailable
- Kyle Allenavailable
- Kalif Raymondavailable
- Craig Reynoldsavailable
- D.J. Reedavailable
- Terrion Arnoldavailable
- Roy Lopezavailable
- DJ Readeravailable
- Al-Quadin Muhammadavailable
EdgeIQ AI
Sign in to ask EdgeIQ AI about this matchup. Free accounts include 5 AI requests per month.
Sign in to askYour hypothetical prediction
Paper predictions only — EdgeIQ never involves money, wagers or payouts.
Sign in to track a prediction