Minnesota VikingsatDetroit Lions
Sun, Nov 1, 6:00 PM UTC · Ford Field · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
MIN 21.5 — DET 27.6
Win probability
DET 63%
Model confidence
Moderate
Projection built from each team's scoring over its last 10 games, form weighted toward the last 3 and 5, the strength of the opponents it faced, a home-field adjustment, and a small allowance for high-production players listed as unavailable. Statistical estimate, not a guaranteed outcome.
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
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Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
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A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
MIN (left) versus DET (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
Minnesota Vikings
- Last 5
- 3-2
- Last 10
- 6-4
- Avg scored
- 16.5
- Avg allowed
- 20.5
- Streak
- W3
Detroit Lions
- Last 5
- 4-1
- Last 10
- 7-3
- Avg scored
- 28.5
- Avg allowed
- 24.5
- Streak
- W1
Historical matchup
DET 5 — 0 MIN
Sample size: 5 games
Head-to-head history is context, not prediction — rosters, coaching and circumstances change between meetings.
Player availability
Minnesota Vikings
- Kyle RudolphTEavailable
- Kirk CousinsQBavailable
- Adam ThielenWRavailable
- J.J. McCarthyavailable
- Max Brosmeravailable
- Cam Akersavailable
- Zavier Scottavailable
- Ty Chandleravailable
- Jalen Nailoravailable
- C.J. Hamavailable
- Adam Thielenavailable
- Ben Simsavailable
- Tai Feltonavailable
- Benjamin Yurosekavailable
- Stefon DiggsWRavailable
- Ameer AbdullahRBavailable
- Sean MannionQBavailable
- C.J. HamFBavailable
- Laquon TreadwellWRavailable
- Dalvin CookRBavailable
- Mike BooneRBavailable
- Tyler ConklinTEavailable
- Chad BeebeWRavailable
- Irv SmithTEavailable
- Alexander MattisonRBavailable
- Olabisi JohnsonWRavailable
- Alexander HollinsWRavailable
- Garrett BradburyCavailable
- Johnny MundtTEavailable
- Nick MullensQBavailable
- Tajae SharpeWRavailable
- Brandon DillonTEavailable
- Ben EllefsonTEavailable
- Carson Wentzavailable
- Jordan Addisonavailable
- Demond Claiborneavailable
- Blake Cashmanavailable
- Byron Murphy Jr.available
- Jalen Redmondavailable
- Dallas Turneravailable
- Isaiah Rodgersavailable
- Jacob Thomasavailable
- Justin JeffersonWRavailable
- Josh Metellusavailable
- Eric Wilsonavailable
- Caleb Banksavailable
- Levi Drake Rodriguezavailable
- Luke StockerTEavailable
- Theo Jacksonavailable
- James Pierreavailable
- Domonique Orangeavailable
- Tyrion IngramDawkinsavailable
- Harrison Smithavailable
- Andrew Van Ginkelavailable
- Ivan Pace Jr.questionable
- Jake Goldayavailable
- Andrew DePaolaavailable
- Jay Wardavailable
- Kyle Van Noyavailable
- Chaz Chamblissavailable
- Will Reichardavailable
- Bo Richteravailable
- Myles Priceavailable
- Brett Thorsonavailable
- Jeshaun Jonesavailable
- Ryan Wrightavailable
- Dede WestbrookWRavailable
- Christopher HerndonTEavailable
- K.J. OsbornWRavailable
- Ihmir Smith-MarsetteWRavailable
- Kene NwangwuRBavailable
- Kyler Murrayavailable
- Aaron Jonesavailable
- Jordan Masonavailable
- DeeJay Dallasavailable
- Justin Jeffersonavailable
- Tavierre Thomasavailable
- Fabian Moreauavailable
- Jeff Okudahavailable
- Tyler Battyavailable
- Elijah Williamsavailable
- Austin Keysavailable
- Kobe Kingavailable
- Sione Takitakiavailable
- Donovan Jacksonavailable
- Blake Brandelavailable
- Will Friesavailable
- Taki Taimaniavailable
- T.J. Hockensonavailable
- Josh Oliveravailable
- Jonathan Allenavailable
- Javon Hargraveavailable
- Jonathan Greenardavailable
- Kellen MondQBavailable
- T.J. HockensonTEavailable
- Jalen ReagorWRavailable
- Ty ChandlerRBavailable
- Jalen NailorWRavailable
- Ryan WrightPavailable
- Joshua DobbsQBavailable
- Brandon PowellWRavailable
- Josh OliverTEavailable
- Trishton JacksonWRavailable
- Cam AkersRBavailable
- Nick MuseTEavailable
- Jaren HallQBavailable
- Jordan AddisonWRavailable
- Aaron JonesRBavailable
- Trent SherfieldWRavailable
- Sam DarnoldQBavailable
- Myles GaskinRBavailable
Detroit Lions
- Danny AmendolaWRavailable
- Matthew StaffordQBavailable
- Marvin JonesWRavailable
- C.J. AndersonRBavailable
- Logan ThomasTEavailable
- Jesse JamesTEavailable
- Malik Cunninghamavailable
- Paul PerkinsRBavailable
- Jeff DriskelQBavailable
- Tra CarsonRBavailable
- J.D. McKissicRBavailable
- Daniel Thomasavailable
- Erick Hallett IIavailable
- Kerby Josephavailable
- Tyrus Wheatavailable
- Marvin HallWRavailable
- Arthur Mauletavailable
- Jared Goffavailable
- Jahmyr Gibbsavailable
- Sione Vakiavailable
- Amon-Ra St. Brownavailable
- Jameson Williamsavailable
- Devin Whiteavailable
- Tay Martinavailable
- Brock Wrightavailable
- D.J. Wonnumavailable
- Skyler GillHowardavailable
- Roger McCrearyavailable
- Eric O'Neillavailable
- Christian Izienavailable
- Derrick Barnesavailable
- Keith Abneyavailable
- Chuck Clarkavailable
- Jack Campbellavailable
- Rock Ya-Sinavailable
- Avonte Maddoxavailable
- Tyleik Williamsavailable
- Aidan Hutchinsonavailable
- Thomas Harperavailable
- Trevor Nowaskeavailable
- Jacob Saylorsavailable
- Tyler Lacyavailable
- Tom Kennedyavailable
- Jamal AgnewWRavailable
- Kenny GolladayWRavailable
- Kerryon JohnsonRBavailable
- Bo ScarbroughRBavailable
- Nick BawdenFBavailable
- Chris LacyWRavailable
- Marcus Davenportavailable
- Alim McNeillavailable
- Malcolm Rodriguezavailable
- Patrick O'Connoravailable
- Khalil Dorseyavailable
- Zach Cunninghamavailable
- Jalen Millsavailable
- Nick Whitesideavailable
- Jake Batesavailable
- Mekhi Wingoavailable
- Hogan Hattenavailable
- Jack Foxavailable
- Monty Riceavailable
- Loren Stricklandavailable
- Anthony Pittmanavailable
- Ty Summersavailable
- Chris Hubbardavailable
- Graham Glasgowavailable
- Dominic Lovettavailable
- David BloughQBavailable
- T.J. HockensonTEavailable
- Wes HillsRBavailable
- Ty JohnsonRBavailable
- Isaac NautaTEavailable
- Travis FulghamWRavailable
- Nate SudfeldQBavailable
- Adrian PetersonRBavailable
- Chase DanielQBavailable
- Mohamed SanuWRavailable
- Jonathan WilliamsRBavailable
- Jason CabindaFBavailable
- C.J. MooreFSavailable
- Hunter BryantTEavailable
- D'Andre SwiftRBavailable
- Quintez CephusWRavailable
- Darren FellsTEavailable
- Tyrell WilliamsWRavailable
- Taylor DeckerTavailable
- Kalif RaymondWRavailable
- Geronimo AllisonWRavailable
- Jared GoffQBavailable
- Josh ReynoldsWRavailable
- Jamaal WilliamsRBavailable
- Tim BoyleQBavailable
- Godwin IgwebuikeRBavailable
- KhaDarel HodgeWRavailable
- Trinity BensonWRavailable
- Jack FoxPavailable
- Matt NelsonTavailable
- Tom KennedyWRavailable
- Craig ReynoldsRBavailable
- Justin JacksonRBavailable
- Bobby PriceFSavailable
- Shane ZylstraTEavailable
- Jermar JeffersonRBavailable
- Brock WrightTEavailable
- Amon-Ra St. BrownWRavailable
- D.J. CharkWRavailable
- Bam KnightRBavailable
- Malcolm RodriguezILBavailable
- Penei SewellTavailable
- Jameson WilliamsWRavailable
- James MitchellTEavailable
- Maurice AlexanderWRavailable
- Teddy BridgewaterQBavailable
- Anthony FirkserTEavailable
- Jalen Reeves-MaybinOLBavailable
- Dan SkipperTavailable
- Devine OzigboRBavailable
- David MontgomeryRBavailable
- Khalil DorseyCBavailable
- Donovan Peoples-JonesWRavailable
- Antoine GreenWRavailable
- Sam LaPortaTEavailable
- Jahmyr GibbsRBavailable
- Allen RobinsonWRavailable
- Tim PatrickWRavailable
- Grant Stuardavailable
- Sam LaPortaavailable
- Isaac TeSlaaavailable
- Anthony Firkseravailable
- Shane Zylstraavailable
- Ross Dwelleyavailable
- Alex Anzaloneavailable
- Brian Branchavailable
- Amik Robertsonavailable
- Hendon HookerQBavailable
- Sione VakiRBavailable
- Isaiah WilliamsWRavailable
- David Montgomeryavailable
- Kyle Allenavailable
- Kalif Raymondavailable
- Craig Reynoldsavailable
- D.J. Reedavailable
- Terrion Arnoldavailable
- Roy Lopezavailable
- DJ Readeravailable
- Al-Quadin Muhammadavailable
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