NFL

Scheduled

New York JetsatKansas City Chiefs

Sun, Nov 8, 6:00 PM UTC · Arrowhead Stadium · Season 2026

The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.

Game data updated …

EdgeIQ projection

EdgeIQ NFL Performance v2.0.0

Projected score

NYJ 19.6 — KC 21.4

Win probability

KC 54%

Model confidence

Low

Projection built from each team's scoring over its last 10 games, form weighted toward the last 3 and 5, the strength of the opponents it faced, a home-field adjustment, and a small allowance for high-production players listed as unavailable. Statistical estimate, not a guaranteed outcome.

This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.

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Model insight

Pro feature

See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.

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Market prices

No market prices available for this game yet.

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American odds

Enter the moneyline prices you have seen elsewhere. EdgeIQ converts them into a plain chance of winning, strips out the operator's built-in margin, and shows how that compares with the model estimate. EdgeIQ does not take wagers and shows no prices of its own.

NYJ

Add both prices to see the comparison.

A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.

Key factors

Team comparison

NYJ (left) versus KC (right), last 10 completed games.

19.0Points per game20.1

21.2Points allowed21.6

-2.2Scoring differential-1.5

4Wins (last 10)5

1440Power rating1700

2Season wins2

Advanced matchup analytics

Pro feature

Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.

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Recent form

New York Jets

Last 5: 2-3
Last 10: 4-6
Avg scored: 19.0
Avg allowed: 21.2
Streak: L2

Kansas City Chiefs

Last 5: 3-2
Last 10: 5-5
Avg scored: 20.1
Avg allowed: 21.6
Streak: W3

Historical matchup

KC 1 — 0 NYJ

Sample size: 1 games

This is a very small sample. Head-to-head history carries little weight on its own, especially when rosters, coaching or circumstances have changed.

Player availability

New York Jets

Demaryius ThomasWRavailable
Bilal PowellRBavailable
Josh BellamyWRavailable
Ryan GriffinTEavailable
Le'Veon BellRBavailable
Quincy EnunwaWRavailable
David FalesQBavailable
Jamison CrowderWRavailable
Daniel BrownTEavailable
Trevor SiemianQBavailable
Ty MontgomeryWRavailable
Robbie ChosenWRavailable
Arthur MauletCBavailable
B.J. BelloMLBavailable
C.J. UzomahTEavailable
Luke FalkQBavailable
Braxton BerriosWRavailable
Josh AdamsRBavailable
Vyncint SmithWRavailable
Khalil Herbertavailable
Kene Nwangwuavailable
John Metchie IIIavailable
Garrett Wilsonavailable
Mason Tayloravailable
Tyler Johnsonavailable
Josh Reynoldsavailable
Allen Lazardavailable
Stone Smarttavailable
Quentin Skinneravailable
Jelani Woodsavailable
Quincy Williamsavailable
Brandon Stephensavailable
Isaiah Oliveravailable
Tony Adamsavailable
Francisco Mauigoaavailable
Jermaine Johnsonavailable
Quinnen Williamsavailable
Mykal Walkeravailable
Qwan'tez Stiggersavailable
Jay Tufeleavailable
Eric Wattsavailable
Tyler Baronavailable
Jordan Clarkavailable
Khalen Saundersavailable
Christopher HerndonTEavailable
Tre Brownavailable
Samuel Womack IIIavailable
Payton Pageavailable
Kobe Kingavailable
Cam Jonesavailable
Sam DarnoldQBavailable
Micheal Clemonsavailable
Sauce Gardneravailable
Keidron Smithavailable
Michael Carter IIavailable
Dean Clarkavailable
Ja'Sir Tayloravailable
Trevon WescoTEavailable
Leonard Tayloravailable
Jarius Monroeavailable
Ja'Markis Westonavailable
Mark Robinsonavailable
Armand Membouavailable
Xavier Gipsonavailable
Jackson Sirmonavailable
Kingsley Jonathanavailable
Nick Folkavailable
Avery Williamsavailable
Adonai Mitchellquestionable
Jeff SmithWRavailable
Kenyon Sadiqavailable
Will ParksFSavailable
Omar Cooper Jr.available
Jeremy Ruckertavailable
Demario Davisavailable
Andre Ciscoavailable
Jamien Sherwoodavailable
Dane Beltonavailable
David Baileyavailable
Braiden McGregoravailable
Azareye'h Thomasavailable
Jarvis Brownleeavailable
Marcelino McCrary-Ballavailable
Frank GoreRBavailable
Joe FlaccoQBavailable
Chris HoganWRavailable
Breshad PerrimanWRavailable
Josh MaloneWRavailable
Jaleel ScottWRavailable
Ty JohnsonRBavailable
Lawrence CagerTEavailable
Denzel MimsWRavailable
La'Mical PerineRBavailable
Justin Fieldsavailable
Tyrod Tayloravailable
Brady Cookavailable
Tyler ConklinTEavailable
T'Vondre Sweatavailable
Kingsley Enagbareavailable
Troy Reederavailable
Jowon Briggsavailable
Darrell Jackson Jr.available
Malachi Mooreavailable
Thomas Hennessyavailable
Jason Sandersavailable
Arian Smithavailable
Andrew Beckavailable
Nahshon Wrightavailable
Will McDonald IVavailable
Harrison Phillipsavailable
Isaiah Davisavailable
Austin McNamaraavailable
Tevin ColemanRBavailable
Tyler KroftTEavailable
Conor McDermottTavailable
Keelan ColeWRavailable
Corey DavisWRavailable
Mike WhiteQBavailable
Nick BawdenFBavailable
D.J. MontgomeryWRavailable
Austin WalterRBavailable
Braden MannPavailable
Tarik BlackWRavailable
Kenny YeboahTEavailable
Michael CarterRBavailable
Elijah MooreWRavailable
Zach WilsonQBavailable
Chris StrevelerQBavailable
James RobinsonRBavailable
Ashtyn DavisSSavailable
Irvin CharlesWRavailable
Zonovan KnightRBavailable
Garrett WilsonWRavailable
Jeremy RuckertTEavailable
Breece HallRBavailable
Aaron RodgersQBavailable
Thomas MorsteadPavailable
Randall CobbWRavailable
Tim BoyleQBavailable
Allen LazardWRavailable
Malik TaylorWRavailable
Brandin EcholsCBavailable
Israel AbanikandaRBavailable
Jason BrownleeWRavailable
Xavier GipsonWRavailable
Tyrod TaylorQBavailable
Davante AdamsWRavailable
Kene NwangwuRBavailable
Braelon AllenRBavailable
Isaiah DavisRBavailable
Malachi CorleyWRavailable
Geno Smithavailable
Breece Hallavailable
Braelon Allenavailable
Isaiah Williamsavailable

Kansas City Chiefs

Dustin ColquittPavailable
Matt MooreQBavailable
LeSean McCoyRBavailable
Anthony ShermanRBavailable
Spencer WareRBavailable
Travis KelceTEavailable
Damien WilliamsRBavailable
Sammy WatkinsWRavailable
Blake BellTEavailable
Kenneth Walker IIIavailable
Emmett Johnsonavailable
Khyiris Tongaavailable
Jake Briningstoolavailable
Jalen Royalsavailable
Noah Grayavailable
Nick Boltonavailable
L'Jarius Sneedavailable
Drue Tranquillavailable
Alohi Gilmanavailable
Nohl Williamsavailable
George Karlaftisavailable
Peter Woodsavailable
Ben VanSumerenavailable
Demarcus RobinsonWRavailable
Tyreek HillWRavailable
Patrick MahomesQBavailable
Byron PringleWRavailable
Darrel WilliamsRBavailable
Deon YelderTEavailable
Mecole HardmanWRavailable
Darwin ThompsonRBavailable
JuJu Smith-SchusterWRavailable
Chad HenneQBavailable
Le'Veon BellRBavailable
Eric FisherTavailable
Gehrig DieterWRavailable
Marcus KempWRavailable
Ricky Seals-JonesTEavailable
Nick KeizerTEavailable
Derrick GoreRBavailable
Tommy TownsendPavailable
Clyde Edwards-HelaireRBavailable
Marquez Valdes-ScantlingWRavailable
Justin WatsonWRavailable
Mike RemmersTavailable
Josh GordonWRavailable
Jerick McKinnonRBavailable
Michael BurtonFBavailable
Nick AllegrettiGavailable
Joseph FortsonTEavailable
Noah GrayTEavailable
Ronald JonesRBavailable
Justyn RossWRavailable
Kadarius ToneyWRavailable
Isiah PachecoRBavailable
Skyy MooreWRavailable
Blaine GabbertQBavailable
Donovan SmithTavailable
Richie JamesWRavailable
La'Mical PerineRBavailable
Rashee RiceWRavailable
DeAndre HopkinsWRavailable
Carson WentzQBavailable
Samaje PerineRBavailable
Kareem HuntRBavailable
Marquise BrownWRavailable
Mike CaliendoGavailable
Matt AraizaPavailable
Chris OladokunQBavailable
Peyton HendershotTEavailable
Nikko RemigioWRavailable
Wanya MorrisTavailable
Baylor CuppTEavailable
Carson SteeleRBavailable
Jared WileyTEavailable
Jaden HicksSSavailable
Xavier WorthyWRavailable
Xavier Nwankpaavailable
R Mason Thomasavailable
Harrison Butkeravailable
Cooper McDonaldavailable
Jadon Canadyavailable
Jaylon Mooreavailable
Christian RolandWallaceavailable
Marcus Harrisavailable
Felix AnudikeUzomahavailable
Brashard Smithavailable
Nikko Remigioavailable
Chamarri Connerquestionable
Patrick Mahomesavailable
Chris Oladokunavailable
Shane Buecheleavailable
Gardner Minshewavailable
Kareem Huntavailable
Isiah Pachecoavailable
Xavier Worthyavailable
Rashee Riceavailable
Clyde Edwards-Helaireavailable
Dameon Pierceavailable
Travis Kelceavailable
Marquise Brownavailable
Tyquan Thorntonavailable
JuJu Smith-Schusteravailable
Jared Wileyavailable
Robert Tonyanavailable
Bryan Cookavailable
Jaylen Watsonavailable
Trent McDuffieavailable
Leo Chenalavailable
Jaden Hicksavailable
Ashton Gillotteavailable
Chris Jonesavailable
Charles Omenihuavailable
Mike Dannaavailable
Jerry Tilleryavailable
Jack Cochraneavailable
Kristian Fultonavailable
Derrick Nnadiavailable
Jeffrey Bassaavailable
Kevin Knowles IIavailable
Mike Edwardsavailable
Mike Pennel Jr.available
Joshua Williamsavailable
Zacch Pickensavailable
Omarr NormanLottavailable
Ethan Downsavailable
James Winchesteravailable
Jason Brownleeavailable
Nazeeh Johnsonavailable
Cole Christiansenavailable
Mike Caliendoavailable
Marlon Tuipulotuavailable
Josh Simmonsquestionable
Matt Araizaavailable

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