Philadelphia EaglesatJacksonville Jaguars
Sun, Oct 11, 1:30 PM UTC · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
PHI 21.9 — JAX 21.6
Win probability
PHI 68%
Model confidence
High
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
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Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
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A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
PHI (left) versus JAX (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
Philadelphia Eagles
- Last 5
- 2-3
- Last 10
- 7-3
- Avg scored
- 25.4
- Avg allowed
- 21.0
- Streak
- W2
Jacksonville Jaguars
- Last 5
- 3-2
- Last 10
- 5-5
- Avg scored
- 22.4
- Avg allowed
- 18.0
- Streak
- W1
Historical matchup
JAX 0 — 1 PHI
Sample size: 1 games
This is a very small sample. Head-to-head history carries little weight on its own, especially when rosters, coaching or circumstances have changed.
Player availability
Philadelphia Eagles
- Josh McCownQBavailable
- Darren SprolesRBavailable
- DeSean JacksonWRavailable
- Alshon JefferyWRavailable
- Zach ErtzTEavailable
- Jordan MatthewsTEavailable
- Nelson AgholorWRavailable
- Jay AjayiRBavailable
- Joshua PerkinsTEavailable
- Jordan HowardRBavailable
- Carson WentzQBavailable
- Robert DavisWRavailable
- Greg WardWRavailable
- Jake ElliottKavailable
- Dallas GoedertTEavailable
- Boston ScottRBavailable
- Deontay BurnettWRavailable
- Miles SandersRBavailable
- J.J. Arcega-WhitesideWRavailable
- Zach PascalWRavailable
- Richard RodgersTEavailable
- Nate SudfeldQBavailable
- Jason CroomTEavailable
- Corey ClementRBavailable
- Hakeem ButlerWRavailable
- Travis FulghamWRavailable
- Adrian KillinsRBavailable
- Quez WatkinsWRavailable
- Jason HuntleyRBavailable
- Jalen ReagorWRavailable
- Jalen HurtsQBavailable
- John HightowerWRavailable
- Lane JohnsonTavailable
- Gardner MinshewQBavailable
- Tyree JacksonTEavailable
- Jack StollTEavailable
- DeVonta SmithWRavailable
- Kenneth GainwellRBavailable
- A.J. BrownWRavailable
- Noah TogiaiTEavailable
- Britain CoveyWRavailable
- Trey SermonRBavailable
- Grant CalcaterraTEavailable
- Julio JonesWRavailable
- Marcus MariotaQBavailable
- Rashaad PennyRBavailable
- Olamide ZaccheausWRavailable
- D'Andre SwiftRBavailable
- Braden MannPavailable
- Albert OkwuegbunamTEavailable
- John RossWRavailable
- Saquon BarkleyRBavailable
- Parris CampbellWRavailable
- Jahan DotsonWRavailable
- Tyrion Davis-PriceRBavailable
- Kenny PickettQBavailable
- Tanner McKeeQBavailable
- Ben VanSumerenFBavailable
- E.J. JenkinsTEavailable
- Johnny WilsonWRavailable
- Will ShipleyRBavailable
- Ainias SmithWRavailable
- Tanner McKeeavailable
- AJ Dillonavailable
- A.J. Brownavailable
- Jahan Dotsonavailable
- Grant Calcaterraavailable
- Kylen Gransonavailable
- John Metchie IIIavailable
- Xavier Gipsonavailable
- Reed Blankenshipavailable
- Nakobe Deanavailable
- Adoree' Jacksonavailable
- Kelee Ringoavailable
- Sydney Brownavailable
- Jaelan Phillipsavailable
- Josh Ucheavailable
- Cameron Latuavailable
- Za'Darius Smithavailable
- Patrick Johnsonavailable
- Brandon Grahamavailable
- Jakorian Bennettavailable
- Azeez Ojulariavailable
- Ty Robinsonavailable
- Brandon Johnsonavailable
- Cal Adomitisavailable
- Parry Nickersonavailable
- Charley Hughlettavailable
- Mac McWilliamsavailable
- Lane Johnsonavailable
- Andre Samavailable
- Jalen Hurtsavailable
- Tank Bigsbyavailable
- Will Shipleyavailable
- Marquise Brownavailable
- Makai Lemonavailable
- DeVonta Smithavailable
- Dontayvion Wicksavailable
- Dallas Goedertavailable
- Darius Cooperavailable
- Johnny Mundtavailable
- Jihaad Campbellavailable
- Zack Baunavailable
- Cooper DeJeanavailable
- Marcus Eppsavailable
- Jordan Davisavailable
- Quinyon Mitchellavailable
- Jalyx Huntavailable
- Moro Ojomoavailable
- Andrew Mukubaavailable
- Smael Mondon Jr.available
- Nolan Smithavailable
- Tariq Woolenavailable
- Jeremiah Trotter Jr.available
- Arnold Ebiketieavailable
- AJ Epenesaavailable
- Michael Carter IIavailable
- Byron Youngavailable
- Jake Elliottavailable
- Britain Coveyavailable
- Braden Mannavailable
- Jalen Carteravailable
- Saquon Barkleyavailable
Jacksonville Jaguars
- Nick FolesQBavailable
- Cody DavisFSavailable
- Marqise LeeWRavailable
- James O'ShaughnessyTEavailable
- Nick O'LearyTEavailable
- Chris ConleyWRavailable
- Ben KoyackTEavailable
- Geoff SwaimTEavailable
- Trevor Lawrenceavailable
- Seth DeValveTEavailable
- C.J. BoardWRavailable
- Keelan ColeWRavailable
- Dede WestbrookWRavailable
- Leonard FournetteRBavailable
- Logan CookePavailable
- D.J. CharkWRavailable
- Devine OzigboRBavailable
- Josh OliverTEavailable
- Ryquell ArmsteadRBavailable
- Gardner MinshewQBavailable
- Michael WalkerWRavailable
- Charles JonesTEavailable
- Evan EngramTEavailable
- Zay JonesWRavailable
- Bruce MillerFBavailable
- Chris ThompsonRBavailable
- Mike GlennonQBavailable
- Tyler EifertTEavailable
- Eric SaubertTEavailable
- Dare OgunbowaleRBavailable
- Terry GodwinWRavailable
- Craig ReynoldsRBavailable
- Nathan CottrellRBavailable
- Ben EllefsonTEavailable
- James RobinsonRBavailable
- Tyler DavisTEavailable
- Collin JohnsonWRavailable
- Laviska Shenault Jr.WRavailable
- Daniel ThomasSSavailable
- Jake LutonQBavailable
- Marvin JonesWRavailable
- Travis Etienne Jr.available
- LeQuint Allenavailable
- Dyami Brownavailable
- Tavon AustinWRavailable
- Carlos HydeRBavailable
- John BrownWRavailable
- Chris ManhertzTEavailable
- Devin SmithWRavailable
- Laquon TreadwellWRavailable
- Jaydon MickensWRavailable
- Jacob HollisterTEavailable
- Jamal AgnewWRavailable
- C.J. BeathardQBavailable
- Dan ArnoldTEavailable
- Tim Jonesavailable
- Andrew WingardFSavailable
- Tyron JohnsonWRavailable
- Christian KirkWRavailable
- Mekhi SargentRBavailable
- Luke FarrellTEavailable
- Trevor LawrenceQBavailable
- Jamycal HastyRBavailable
- Tim JonesWRavailable
- Travis EtienneRBavailable
- Snoop ConnerRBavailable
- Matt BarkleyQBavailable
- Calvin RidleyWRavailable
- D'Ernest JohnsonRBavailable
- Tank BigsbyRBavailable
- Parker WashingtonWRavailable
- Elijah CooksWRavailable
- Brenton StrangeTEavailable
- Josh ReynoldsWRavailable
- Gabe DavisWRavailable
- Devin DuvernayWRavailable
- Josiah DeguaraTEavailable
- Austin TrammellWRavailable
- Mac JonesQBavailable
- Brian ThomasWRavailable
- Bhayshul Tutenavailable
- Ameer Abdullahavailable
- Chris Rodriguez Jr.available
- Nick Mullensavailable
- Josh Cameronavailable
- Nate Boerkircheravailable
- Caleb Ransawavailable
- Jahlani Tavaiavailable
- Albert Regisavailable
- Ruke Orhorhoroavailable
- DeeJay Dallasavailable
- Brian Thomas Jr.available
- Jakobi Meyersavailable
- Tank Bigsbyavailable
- Travis Hunteravailable
- Parker Washingtonavailable
- Brenton Strangeavailable
- Tim Patrickavailable
- Johnny Mundtavailable
- Hunter Longavailable
- Quintin Morrisavailable
- Austin Trammellavailable
- Foyesade Oluokunavailable
- Andrew Wingardavailable
- Devin Lloydavailable
- Antonio Johnsonavailable
- Eric Murrayavailable
- Montaric Brownavailable
- Jarrian Jonesavailable
- B.J. Green IIavailable
- Emmanuel Ogbahavailable
- Jack Kiseravailable
- Christian Braswellavailable
- Austin Johnsonavailable
- Matt Dickersonavailable
- Yasir Abdullahavailable
- Branson Combsavailable
- Ross Matiscikavailable
- Khalen Saundersavailable
- Cam'Ron SilmonCraigavailable
- Darnell Savageavailable
- Patrick Mekariavailable
- Ezra Clevelandavailable
- Cam Littleavailable
- Logan Cookeavailable
- Josh Allenavailable
- Dennis Gardeckavailable
- Jourdan Lewisavailable
- Ventrell Milleravailable
- Travon Walkeravailable
- DaVon Hamiltonavailable
- Tyson Campbellavailable
- Greg Newsome IIavailable
- Arik Armsteadavailable
- Dawuane Smootavailable
- Rayuan Lane IIIavailable
- Danny Striggowavailable
- Maason Smithavailable
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