Philadelphia PhilliesatAtlanta Braves
Wed, Sep 30, 6:00 PM UTC · Venue TBD · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore MLB projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
PHI 4.2 — ATL 4.2
Win probability
ATL 53%
Model confidence
Low
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
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Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
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Market prices
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A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
PHI (left) versus ATL (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
Philadelphia Phillies
- Last 5
- 2-3
- Last 10
- 4-6
- Avg scored
- 3.8
- Avg allowed
- 5.7
- Streak
- W1
Atlanta Braves
- Last 5
- 2-3
- Last 10
- 5-5
- Avg scored
- 3.6
- Avg allowed
- 3.3
- Streak
- W1
Historical matchup
ATL 3 — 4 PHI
Sample size: 7 games
Head-to-head history is context, not prediction — rosters, coaching and circumstances change between meetings.
Player availability
Philadelphia Phillies
Availability data is unavailable for this team.
Atlanta Braves
Availability data is unavailable for this team.
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