Carolina PanthersatNew Orleans Saints
Sun, Nov 15, 6:00 PM UTC · Caesars Superdome · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
CAR 26.1 — NO 22.8
Win probability
CAR 57%
Model confidence
Low
Projection built from each team's scoring over its last 10 games, form weighted toward the last 3 and 5, the strength of the opponents it faced, a home-field adjustment, and a small allowance for high-production players listed as unavailable. Statistical estimate, not a guaranteed outcome.
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
Loading historical accuracy…
Model vs. market
Model favourite
Carolina Panthers
Model probability
57%
Market implied (margin removed)
Unavailable
EdgeIQ Edge
Unavailable
Current moneyline: CAR — · NO — · no stored market prices
Opening (first stored snapshot):
Confidence: Low · Model v2.0.0 · How Edge is calculated. Edge is a difference between two estimates, not a recommendation.
Why EdgeIQ sees it this way
- Recent formfavours CAR
Observation: Weighted scoring margin: -9.6 per game at home side vs -3.7 for the visitor.
- Opponent strengthfavours CAR
Observation: Average margin of opponents faced: 1.8 vs 2.0.
- Scoring balancefavours CAR
Observation: Points per game 15.3 for / 25.1 against, vs 25.8 / 31.6.
- Player availabilityfavours CAR
Observation: Missing production allowance: 1.2 points home vs 0.9 points away.
Observations are measured from past games. The probability above is the model's estimate built from them.
What could change this projection?
- Some inputs were limited for this game, so the estimate carries extra uncertainty.
- Unmodelled conditions — weather, travel, motivation, late scratches — are not fully captured by any model.
Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
Your plan: Free · Unlocks with Pro — $7.98/month
Sample of what Pro unlocks.
Market prices
No market prices available for this game yet.
Compare with an outside price
Enter the moneyline prices you have seen elsewhere. EdgeIQ converts them into a plain chance of winning, strips out the operator's built-in margin, and shows how that compares with the model estimate. EdgeIQ does not take wagers and shows no prices of its own.
Add both prices to see the comparison.
A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
CAR (left) versus NO (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
Your plan: Free · Unlocks with Pro — $7.98/month
Recent form
Carolina Panthers
- Last 5
- 3-2
- Last 10
- 6-4
- Avg scored
- 28.0
- Avg allowed
- 28.8
- Streak
- L1
New Orleans Saints
- Last 5
- 2-3
- Last 10
- 2-8
- Avg scored
- 17.6
- Avg allowed
- 27.1
- Streak
- L1
Historical matchup
NO 3 — 3 CAR
Sample size: 6 games
Head-to-head history is context, not prediction — rosters, coaching and circumstances change between meetings.
Player availability
Carolina Panthers
- Greg OlsenTEavailable
- Cam NewtonQBavailable
- Colin JonesFSavailable
- Chris HoganWRavailable
- Jarius WrightWRavailable
- Michael PalardyPavailable
- Chris ManhertzTEavailable
- DeAndrew WhiteWRavailable
- Mike DavisRBavailable
- Christian McCaffreyRBavailable
- Curtis SamuelWRavailable
- Alex ArmahRBavailable
- Brandon ZylstraWRavailable
- Ian ThomasTEavailable
- Kyle AllenQBavailable
- Reggie BonnafonRBavailable
- D.J. MooreWRavailable
- Will GrierQBavailable
- Jordan ScarlettRBavailable
- D'Onta ForemanRBavailable
- Andy Daltonavailable
- Rico Dowdleavailable
- Trevor Etienneavailable
- David Mooreavailable
- Bryce Youngavailable
- Chuba Hubbardavailable
- Seth RobertsWRavailable
- Teddy BridgewaterQBavailable
- Robbie ChosenWRavailable
- Pharoh CooperWRavailable
- P.J. WalkerQBavailable
- Colin ThompsonTEavailable
- Trenton CannonRBavailable
- Keith KirkwoodWRavailable
- Giovanni RicciTEavailable
- Myles HartsfieldFSavailable
- Rodney SmithRBavailable
- Jeremy ChinnFSavailable
- Joseph CharltonPavailable
- Tommy StevensTEavailable
- Willie SneadWRavailable
- Ameer AbdullahRBavailable
- Alex EricksonWRavailable
- Sean ChandlerSSavailable
- Sam DarnoldQBavailable
- Kenny RobinsonFSavailable
- Stephen SullivanTEavailable
- Chuba HubbardRBavailable
- Shi SmithWRavailable
- C.J. SaundersWRavailable
- Terrace MarshallWRavailable
- Tommy TrembleTEavailable
- Jacob EasonQBavailable
- Laviska ShenaultWRavailable
- Spencer BrownRBavailable
- Raheem BlackshearRBavailable
- Andy DaltonQBavailable
- Johnny HekkerPavailable
- Adam ThielenWRavailable
- DJ CharkWRavailable
- Hayden HurstTEavailable
- Miles SandersRBavailable
- Mike StrachanWRavailable
- Ihmir Smith-MarsetteWRavailable
- Jonathan MingoWRavailable
- Bryce YoungQBavailable
- Jordan MatthewsTEavailable
- David MooreWRavailable
- Mike BooneRBavailable
- Dan ChisenaWRavailable
- Sam FranklinSSavailable
- Feleipe FranksTEavailable
- Deven ThompkinsWRavailable
- Velus JonesRBavailable
- Xavier LegetteWRavailable
- Jonathon BrooksRBavailable
- Ja'Tavion SandersTEavailable
- Jalen CokerWRavailable
- Devin Lloydavailable
- Jimmy Horn Jr.available
- Sam Martinavailable
- Jalen Cokeravailable
- Xavier Legetteavailable
- Mitchell Evansavailable
- DeeJay Dallasavailable
- Tetairoa McMillanavailable
- Tommy Trembleavailable
- Ja'Tavion Sandersavailable
- Brycen Tremayneavailable
- Hunter Renfrowavailable
- James Mitchellavailable
- Christian Rozeboomavailable
- Nick Scottavailable
- Tre'von Moehrigavailable
- Derrick Brownavailable
- Mike Jacksonavailable
- A'Shawn Robinsonavailable
- Trevin Wallaceavailable
- Chau SmithWadeavailable
- Lathan Ransomavailable
- Nic Carawayavailable
- D.J. Wonnumavailable
- Jaycee Hornavailable
- Tershawn Whartonavailable
- Claudin Cherelusavailable
- Bobby Brown IIIavailable
- Princely Umanmielenavailable
- Krys Barnesavailable
- Bam MartinScottavailable
- Thomas Incoomavailable
- Corey Thorntonavailable
- LaBryan Rayavailable
- Akayleb Evansavailable
- Trevis Gipsonavailable
- Maema Njongmetaavailable
- Cam'Ron Jacksonavailable
- Patrick Jones IIavailable
- Demani Richardsonavailable
- Boogie Bashamavailable
- Robert Rochellavailable
- Ryan Fitzgeraldavailable
- DJ Johnsonavailable
- Isaiah Simmonsavailable
- Jaden Crumedyavailable
- Robert Huntavailable
- Ikem Ekwonuavailable
- Trevian Thomasavailable
- Taylor Motonavailable
- Dalevon Campbellavailable
- Brady Christensenavailable
- Kenny Pickettavailable
- AJ Dillonavailable
- Darren Walleravailable
- Bobby Okerekeavailable
- Jeremiah Moonavailable
- Aaron Hallavailable
- Will Lee IIIavailable
- Lee Hunteravailable
- TeRah Edwardsavailable
- Zakee Wheatleyavailable
- Jaelan Phillipsavailable
- Feleipe Franksavailable
- John Metchie IIIavailable
- Jonathon Brooksavailable
New Orleans Saints
- Drew BreesQBavailable
- Ted GinnWRavailable
- Jared CookTEavailable
- Zach LineFBavailable
- Josh HillTEavailable
- Latavius MurrayRBavailable
- Teddy BridgewaterQBavailable
- Dwayne WashingtonRBavailable
- Michael ThomasWRavailable
- Taysom HillTEavailable
- Ricky OrtizFBavailable
- Austin CarrWRavailable
- Krishawn HoganWRavailable
- Justin HardeeCBavailable
- Alvin KamaraRBavailable
- Jarvis LandryWRavailable
- Tre'Quan SmithWRavailable
- Deonte HartyWRavailable
- Lil'Jordan HumphreyWRavailable
- David JohnsonRBavailable
- Jordan HowardRBavailable
- Emmanuel SandersWRavailable
- Bennie FowlerWRavailable
- Jameis WinstonQBavailable
- Michael BurtonFBavailable
- Ty MontgomeryWRavailable
- Tommylee LewisWRavailable
- Blake GillikinPavailable
- Tony JonesRBavailable
- Juwan JohnsonTEavailable
- Marquez CallawayWRavailable
- Adam TrautmanTEavailable
- Keith KirkwoodWRavailable
- Mark IngramRBavailable
- Chris HoganWRavailable
- Kenny StillsWRavailable
- Kevin WhiteWRavailable
- Trevor SiemianQBavailable
- Nick VannettTEavailable
- Tyler Shoughavailable
- Travis Etienne Jr.available
- CJ Donaldsonavailable
- Barion Brownavailable
- Garrett GriffinTEavailable
- Alex ArmahRBavailable
- Ethan WolfTEavailable
- Devine OzigboRBavailable
- Easop WinstonWRavailable
- Adam PrenticeFBavailable
- Ian BookQBavailable
- Andy DaltonQBavailable
- Eno BenjaminRBavailable
- Chris OlaveWRavailable
- Rashid ShaheedWRavailable
- Jimmy GrahamTEavailable
- Derek CarrQBavailable
- Jamaal WilliamsRBavailable
- Foster MoreauTEavailable
- Lynn BowdenWRavailable
- Kendre MillerRBavailable
- A.T. PerryWRavailable
- Jordan MimsRBavailable
- Marquez Valdes-ScantlingWRavailable
- Cedrick WilsonWRavailable
- Dante PettisWRavailable
- Clyde Edwards-HelaireRBavailable
- Kevin AustinWRavailable
- Jake HaenerQBavailable
- Spencer RattlerQBavailable
- Bub MeansWRavailable
- Matthew HayballPavailable
- Dallin HolkerTEavailable
- Jermaine JacksonWRavailable
- Mason TiptonWRavailable
- Spencer Rattleravailable
- Dante Pettisavailable
- Foster Moreauavailable
- Jack Stollavailable
- Ronnie Bellavailable
- Zaire Mitchell-Padenavailable
- Moliki Matavaoavailable
- Samori Toureavailable
- Demario Davisavailable
- Alontae Tayloravailable
- Bryan Breseeavailable
- Jonathan Bullardavailable
- Isaac Yiadomavailable
- Terrell Burgessavailable
- Jonah Williamsavailable
- Jaylan Fordavailable
- John Ridgewayavailable
- Khristian Boydavailable
- Michael Davisavailable
- Velus Jones Jr.available
- Zach Woodavailable
- Taliese Fuagaavailable
- Dillon Radunzavailable
- Blake Grupeavailable
- Eku Leotaavailable
- Charlie Smythavailable
- Nyheim Hinesavailable
- Kai Kroegeravailable
- Bryce Lanceavailable
- Noah Fantavailable
- Oscar Delpavailable
- Kevin Austin Jr.available
- Pete Werneravailable
- Kaden Ellissavailable
- Jonas Sankeravailable
- Taysom Hillavailable
- Chris Olaveavailable
- Alvin Kamaraavailable
- Devin Nealavailable
- Audric Estimeavailable
- Kendre Milleravailable
- Evan Hullavailable
- Mason Tiptonavailable
- Rashid Shaheedavailable
- Juwan Johnsonavailable
- Devaughn Veleavailable
- Brandin Cooksavailable
- Danny Stutsmanavailable
- Justin Reidavailable
- KoolAid McKinstryavailable
- Julian Blackmonavailable
- Nathan Shepherdavailable
- Carl Grandersonavailable
- Davon Godchauxavailable
- Martin Emerson Jr.available
- Anfernee Jenningsavailable
- Chris Rumph IIavailable
- Isaiah Stalbirdavailable
- Vernon Broughtonavailable
- Quincy Rileyavailable
- Jordan Howdenavailable
- Tyree Wilsonavailable
- Colby Woodenavailable
- Chase Youngavailable
- Cameron Jordanavailable
- Decamerion Richardsonavailable
- Treyton Welchavailable
- Daniel Carlsonavailable
- Jayden Priceavailable
- Ryan Wrightavailable
EdgeIQ AI
Sign in to ask EdgeIQ AI about this matchup. Free accounts include 5 AI requests per month.
Sign in to askYour hypothetical prediction
Paper predictions only — EdgeIQ never involves money, wagers or payouts.
Sign in to track a prediction