Detroit LionsatArizona Cardinals
Sun, Oct 11, 8:25 PM UTC · State Farm Stadium · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
DET 23.8 — ARI 20.9
Win probability
DET 77%
Model confidence
High
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
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Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
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Key factors
Team comparison
DET (left) versus ARI (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
Detroit Lions
- Last 5
- 4-1
- Last 10
- 7-3
- Avg scored
- 28.5
- Avg allowed
- 24.5
- Streak
- W1
Arizona Cardinals
- Last 5
- 1-4
- Last 10
- 3-7
- Avg scored
- 25.7
- Avg allowed
- 27.7
- Streak
- L2
Historical matchup
ARI 0 — 1 DET
Sample size: 1 games
This is a very small sample. Head-to-head history carries little weight on its own, especially when rosters, coaching or circumstances have changed.
Player availability
Detroit Lions
- Danny AmendolaWRavailable
- Matthew StaffordQBavailable
- Marvin JonesWRavailable
- C.J. AndersonRBavailable
- Logan ThomasTEavailable
- Jesse JamesTEavailable
- Malik Cunninghamavailable
- Paul PerkinsRBavailable
- Jeff DriskelQBavailable
- Tra CarsonRBavailable
- J.D. McKissicRBavailable
- Daniel Thomasavailable
- Erick Hallett IIavailable
- Kerby Josephavailable
- Tyrus Wheatavailable
- Marvin HallWRavailable
- Arthur Mauletavailable
- Jared Goffavailable
- Jahmyr Gibbsavailable
- Sione Vakiavailable
- Amon-Ra St. Brownavailable
- Jameson Williamsavailable
- Devin Whiteavailable
- Tay Martinavailable
- Brock Wrightavailable
- D.J. Wonnumavailable
- Skyler GillHowardavailable
- Roger McCrearyavailable
- Eric O'Neillavailable
- Christian Izienavailable
- Derrick Barnesavailable
- Keith Abneyavailable
- Chuck Clarkavailable
- Jack Campbellavailable
- Rock Ya-Sinavailable
- Avonte Maddoxavailable
- Tyleik Williamsavailable
- Aidan Hutchinsonavailable
- Thomas Harperavailable
- Trevor Nowaskeavailable
- Jacob Saylorsavailable
- Tyler Lacyavailable
- Tom Kennedyavailable
- Jamal AgnewWRavailable
- Kenny GolladayWRavailable
- Kerryon JohnsonRBavailable
- Bo ScarbroughRBavailable
- Nick BawdenFBavailable
- Chris LacyWRavailable
- Marcus Davenportavailable
- Alim McNeillavailable
- Malcolm Rodriguezavailable
- Patrick O'Connoravailable
- Khalil Dorseyavailable
- Zach Cunninghamavailable
- Jalen Millsavailable
- Nick Whitesideavailable
- Jake Batesavailable
- Mekhi Wingoavailable
- Hogan Hattenavailable
- Jack Foxavailable
- Monty Riceavailable
- Loren Stricklandavailable
- Anthony Pittmanavailable
- Ty Summersavailable
- Chris Hubbardavailable
- Graham Glasgowavailable
- Dominic Lovettavailable
- David BloughQBavailable
- T.J. HockensonTEavailable
- Wes HillsRBavailable
- Ty JohnsonRBavailable
- Isaac NautaTEavailable
- Travis FulghamWRavailable
- Nate SudfeldQBavailable
- Adrian PetersonRBavailable
- Chase DanielQBavailable
- Mohamed SanuWRavailable
- Jonathan WilliamsRBavailable
- Jason CabindaFBavailable
- C.J. MooreFSavailable
- Hunter BryantTEavailable
- D'Andre SwiftRBavailable
- Quintez CephusWRavailable
- Darren FellsTEavailable
- Tyrell WilliamsWRavailable
- Taylor DeckerTavailable
- Kalif RaymondWRavailable
- Geronimo AllisonWRavailable
- Jared GoffQBavailable
- Josh ReynoldsWRavailable
- Jamaal WilliamsRBavailable
- Tim BoyleQBavailable
- Godwin IgwebuikeRBavailable
- KhaDarel HodgeWRavailable
- Trinity BensonWRavailable
- Jack FoxPavailable
- Matt NelsonTavailable
- Tom KennedyWRavailable
- Craig ReynoldsRBavailable
- Justin JacksonRBavailable
- Bobby PriceFSavailable
- Shane ZylstraTEavailable
- Jermar JeffersonRBavailable
- Brock WrightTEavailable
- Amon-Ra St. BrownWRavailable
- D.J. CharkWRavailable
- Bam KnightRBavailable
- Malcolm RodriguezILBavailable
- Penei SewellTavailable
- Jameson WilliamsWRavailable
- James MitchellTEavailable
- Maurice AlexanderWRavailable
- Teddy BridgewaterQBavailable
- Anthony FirkserTEavailable
- Jalen Reeves-MaybinOLBavailable
- Dan SkipperTavailable
- Devine OzigboRBavailable
- David MontgomeryRBavailable
- Khalil DorseyCBavailable
- Donovan Peoples-JonesWRavailable
- Antoine GreenWRavailable
- Sam LaPortaTEavailable
- Jahmyr GibbsRBavailable
- Allen RobinsonWRavailable
- Tim PatrickWRavailable
- Grant Stuardavailable
- Sam LaPortaavailable
- Isaac TeSlaaavailable
- Anthony Firkseravailable
- Shane Zylstraavailable
- Ross Dwelleyavailable
- Alex Anzaloneavailable
- Brian Branchavailable
- Amik Robertsonavailable
- Hendon HookerQBavailable
- Sione VakiRBavailable
- Isaiah WilliamsWRavailable
- David Montgomeryavailable
- Kyle Allenavailable
- Kalif Raymondavailable
- Craig Reynoldsavailable
- D.J. Reedavailable
- Terrion Arnoldavailable
- Roy Lopezavailable
- DJ Readeravailable
- Al-Quadin Muhammadavailable
Arizona Cardinals
- Jacoby Brissettavailable
- Roy Lopezavailable
- Kitan Crawfordavailable
- Andy LeePavailable
- Larry FitzgeraldWRavailable
- Kedon Slovisavailable
- Michael Carteravailable
- Emari Demercadoavailable
- Zonovan Knightavailable
- Trey Bensonavailable
- James Conneravailable
- Corey Kineravailable
- Greg Dortchavailable
- D'Ernest Johnsonavailable
- Zay Jonesavailable
- Xavier Weaveravailable
- Josiah Deguaraavailable
- Tip Reimanavailable
- Andre Baccelliaavailable
- Pharaoh Brownavailable
- Akeem Davis-Gaitheravailable
- Jalen Thompsonavailable
- Dadrion TaylorDemersonavailable
- Calais Campbellavailable
- Tyler Allgeieravailable
- Jeremiyah Loveavailable
- Kendrick Bourneavailable
- Jack Gibbensavailable
- Andrew Wingardavailable
- Michael CrabtreeWRavailable
- Max Meltonavailable
- Josh Sweatavailable
- Walter Nolenavailable
- Karson Shararavailable
- Baron Browningavailable
- Zaven Collinsavailable
- Dante Stillsavailable
- PJ Mustipheravailable
- Hunter Longavailable
- Simi Fehokoavailable
- Elijah Higginsavailable
- Owen Pappoeavailable
- Dalvin Tomlinsonavailable
- Jordan Burchavailable
- Darren Hallavailable
- Zach Carteravailable
- BJ Ojulariavailable
- Channing Tindallavailable
- L.J. Collieravailable
- Jaden Davisavailable
- Elijah Jonesavailable
- Charles ClayTEavailable
- Bilal Nicholsavailable
- Anthony Goodlowavailable
- Hjalte Froholdtavailable
- Travis Vokolekavailable
- Trent Sherfieldavailable
- Aaron Breweravailable
- Jon Gaines IIavailable
- Kei'Trel Clarkavailable
- Alfred MorrisRBavailable
- Cody Simonavailable
- Devin Duvernayavailable
- Jalen Brooksavailable
- Will Johnsonavailable
- Garrett Williamsquestionable
- Maxx WilliamsTEavailable
- Brett HundleyQBavailable
- Zach ZennerRBavailable
- Damiere ByrdWRavailable
- David JohnsonRBavailable
- Pharoh CooperWRavailable
- Kenyan DrakeRBavailable
- Darrell DanielsTEavailable
- Trey McBrideavailable
- Michael Wilsonavailable
- Marvin Harrison Jr.available
- Budda Bakeravailable
- Mack Wilson Sr.available
- Denzel Burkeavailable
- Dan ArnoldTEavailable
- Darius Robinsonavailable
- Trent SherfieldWRavailable
- Chase EdmondsRBavailable
- Jonah Williamsavailable
- Isaiah Adamsavailable
- Evan Brownavailable
- Chad Rylandavailable
- Steven Simsavailable
- Blake Gillikinavailable
- Pat O'Donnellavailable
- Christian KirkWRavailable
- Kyler MurrayQBavailable
- KeeSean JohnsonWRavailable
- Andy IsabellaWRavailable
- Kamu Grugier-HillILBavailable
- Robbie ChosenWRavailable
- Stephen AndersonTEavailable
- Corey ClementRBavailable
- DeAndre HopkinsWRavailable
- D.J. FosterRBavailable
- Seth DeValveTEavailable
- Ezekiel TurnerILBavailable
- Chris StrevelerQBavailable
- Jonathan WardRBavailable
- Darrel WilliamsRBavailable
- Colt McCoyQBavailable
- A.J. GreenWRavailable
- Chris BanjoFSavailable
- Zach ErtzTEavailable
- Demetrius HarrisTEavailable
- James ConnerRBavailable
- Kyler Murrayavailable
- Matt Haackavailable
- Antoine WesleyWRavailable
- Greg DortchWRavailable
- Eno BenjaminRBavailable
- Rondale MooreWRavailable
- David BloughQBavailable
- Trace McSorleyQBavailable
- Marquise BrownWRavailable
- Andre BaccelliaWRavailable
- Ty'Son WilliamsRBavailable
- Keaontay IngramRBavailable
- Trey McBrideTEavailable
- Damien WilliamsRBavailable
- Geoff SwaimTEavailable
- Zach PascalWRavailable
- Blake GillikinPavailable
- Tony JonesRBavailable
- Michael CarterRBavailable
- Michael WilsonWRavailable
- Clayton TuneQBavailable
- Emari DemercadoRBavailable
- Elijah HigginsTEavailable
- Zay JonesWRavailable
- DeeJay DallasRBavailable
- Xavier WeaverWRavailable
- Tip ReimanTEavailable
- Marvin HarrisonWRavailable
- Trey BensonRBavailable
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