Washington CommandersatNew York Giants
Fri, Nov 13, 1:15 AM UTC · MetLife Stadium · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
WAS 17.5 — NYG 28.0
Win probability
NYG 71%
Model confidence
High
Projection built from each team's scoring over its last 10 games, form weighted toward the last 3 and 5, the strength of the opponents it faced, a home-field adjustment, and a small allowance for high-production players listed as unavailable. Statistical estimate, not a guaranteed outcome.
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
Loading historical accuracy…
Model vs. market
Model favourite
New York Giants
Model probability
71%
Market implied (margin removed)
Unavailable
EdgeIQ Edge
Unavailable
Current moneyline: WAS — · NYG — · no stored market prices
Opening (first stored snapshot):
Confidence: High · Model v2.0.0 · How Edge is calculated. Edge is a difference between two estimates, not a recommendation.
Why EdgeIQ sees it this way
- Recent formfavours NYG
Observation: Weighted scoring margin: 5.5 per game at home side vs -8.8 for the visitor.
- Opponent strengthfavours WAS
Observation: Average margin of opponents faced: -0.2 vs 5.0.
- Scoring balancefavours NYG
Observation: Points per game 19.7 for / 20.5 against, vs 23.8 / 27.1.
- Player availabilityfavours NYG
Observation: Missing production allowance: 0.0 points home vs 0.8 points away.
Observations are measured from past games. The probability above is the model's estimate built from them.
What could change this projection?
- Some inputs were limited for this game, so the estimate carries extra uncertainty.
- Unmodelled conditions — weather, travel, motivation, late scratches — are not fully captured by any model.
Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
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Market prices
No market prices available for this game yet.
Compare with an outside price
Enter the moneyline prices you have seen elsewhere. EdgeIQ converts them into a plain chance of winning, strips out the operator's built-in margin, and shows how that compares with the model estimate. EdgeIQ does not take wagers and shows no prices of its own.
Add both prices to see the comparison.
A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
WAS (left) versus NYG (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
Washington Commanders
- Last 5
- 1-4
- Last 10
- 5-5
- Avg scored
- 22.5
- Avg allowed
- 28.2
- Streak
- W1
New York Giants
- Last 5
- 4-1
- Last 10
- 5-5
- Avg scored
- 18.4
- Avg allowed
- 19.9
- Streak
- W1
Historical matchup
NYG 3 — 3 WAS
Sample size: 6 games
Head-to-head history is context, not prediction — rosters, coaching and circumstances change between meetings.
Player availability
Washington Commanders
- Vernon DavisTEavailable
- Adrian PetersonRBavailable
- Colt McCoyQBavailable
- Case KeenumQBavailable
- Chris ThompsonRBavailable
- Paul RichardsonWRavailable
- Michael BurtonFBavailable
- Josh FergusonRBavailable
- Wendell SmallwoodRBavailable
- Jeremy SprinkleTEavailable
- Cam SimsWRavailable
- Trey QuinnWRavailable
- Derrius GuiceRBavailable
- Steven SimsWRavailable
- Hale HentgesTEavailable
- Dwayne HaskinsQBavailable
- Kelvin HarmonWRavailable
- Terry McLaurinWRavailable
- Carson WentzQBavailable
- Alex SmithQBavailable
- Dontrelle InmanWRavailable
- Logan ThomasTEavailable
- Taylor HeinickeQBavailable
- J.D. McKissicRBavailable
- Peyton BarberRBavailable
- Temarrick HemingwayTEavailable
- Marcus BaughTEavailable
- Jeff BadetWRavailable
- Robert FosterWRavailable
- Kyle AllenQBavailable
- Isaiah WrightWRavailable
- Antonio GibsonRBavailable
- Antonio Gandy-GoldenWRavailable
- Ryan FitzpatrickQBavailable
- Jayden Danielsavailable
- Marcus Mariotaavailable
- Antonio Williamsavailable
- Jacory Merrittavailable
- Rachaad Whiteavailable
- Kaytron Allenavailable
- Stefon Diggsavailable
- Terry McLaurinavailable
- Chigoziem Okonkwoavailable
- Colson Yankoffavailable
- John Batesavailable
- Ben Sinnottavailable
- Jaylin Laneavailable
- Leo Chenalavailable
- Amik Robertsonavailable
- Nick Crossavailable
- Sonny Stylesavailable
- Odafe Owehavailable
- Garrett GilbertQBavailable
- DeAndre CarterWRavailable
- Adam HumphriesWRavailable
- Jonathan WilliamsRBavailable
- Curtis SamuelWRavailable
- Ricky Seals-JonesTEavailable
- Reggie BonnafonRBavailable
- Dyami BrownWRavailable
- John BatesTEavailable
- Dax MilneWRavailable
- Jaret PattersonRBavailable
- Sam HowellQBavailable
- Cole TurnerTEavailable
- Armani RogersTEavailable
- Jahan DotsonWRavailable
- Brian RobinsonRBavailable
- Tress WayPavailable
- Jamison CrowderWRavailable
- Jacoby BrissettQBavailable
- Alex ArmahRBavailable
- Byron PringleWRavailable
- Derrick GoreRBavailable
- Chris Rodriguez Jr.RBavailable
- Zach ErtzTEavailable
- Marcus MariotaQBavailable
- Noah BrownWRavailable
- Austin EkelerRBavailable
- Jeremy McNicholsRBavailable
- Trenton ScottTavailable
- Olamide ZaccheausWRavailable
- Brycen TremayneWRavailable
- Luke McCaffreyWRavailable
- Jayden DanielsQBavailable
- Ben SinnottTEavailable
- Jeremy Reavesavailable
- Frankie Luvuavailable
- Mike Sainristilavailable
- Javon Kinlawavailable
- Dorance Armstrongavailable
- Jalyn Holmesavailable
- Antonio Hamiltonavailable
- Darnell Savageavailable
- Percy Butleravailable
- Sheldon Dayavailable
- Nick Belloreavailable
- Javontae JeanBaptisteavailable
- Ricky Barberavailable
- Deatrich Wise Jr.available
- Drake Jacksonavailable
- DeMarcus Walkeravailable
- T.J. Maguranyangaavailable
- Jartavius Martinavailable
- Rasul Douglasavailable
- Daron Payneavailable
- K'Lavon Chaissonavailable
- Ale Kahoavailable
- Tyler Owensavailable
- Jordan Mageeavailable
- Kain Medranoavailable
- Shy Tuttleavailable
- Fabian Moreauavailable
- Drew Stevensavailable
- Tress Wayavailable
- Taylor Heinickeavailable
- Garrett Gilbertavailable
- Matt Ioannidisavailable
- James Smith-Williamsavailable
- David Mayoavailable
- Casey Toohillavailable
- Chase Youngavailable
- Benjamin St-Justeavailable
- Montez Sweatavailable
- Will Bradley-Kingavailable
- Jordan Kunaszykavailable
- Keith Ismaelavailable
- Brandon Scherffavailable
- Brian Johnsonavailable
- Chris Blewittavailable
- Kyle Allenavailable
- Ryan Fitzpatrickavailable
- Antonio Gibsonavailable
- Jaret Pattersonavailable
- J.D. McKissicavailable
- DeAndre Carteravailable
- Jonathan Williamsavailable
- Wendell Smallwoodavailable
- Curtis Samuelavailable
- Cam Simsavailable
- Dax Milneavailable
- Dyami Brownavailable
- Adam Humphriesavailable
- Ricky Seals-Jonesavailable
- Cole Holcombavailable
- Kamren Curlavailable
- Landon Collinsavailable
- Kendall Fulleravailable
- Jamin Davisavailable
- Bobby McCainavailable
- Jonathan Allenavailable
- William Jackson IIIavailable
- Tim Settleavailable
- De'Jon Harrisavailable
- Jared Norrisavailable
- Sammis Reyesavailable
- Alex Armahavailable
- Cornelius Lucasavailable
- Torry McTyeravailable
- Akeem Spenceavailable
- Joey Slyeavailable
- Dustin Hopkinsavailable
- Logan Thomasavailable
- Jon Bosticavailable
- Danny Johnsonavailable
- Darryl Robertsavailable
- Daniel Wiseavailable
- Bunmi Rotimiavailable
- Deshazor Everettavailable
- Khaleke Hudsonavailable
- Shaka Toneyavailable
- Darrick Forrestavailable
- Troy Apkeavailable
- Corn Elderavailable
- Ryan Winslowavailable
- Josh Johnsonavailable
- Chris Rodriguez Jr.available
- Jeremy McNicholsavailable
- Deebo Samuelavailable
- Austin Ekeleravailable
- Chris Mooreavailable
- Zach Ertzavailable
- Luke McCaffreyavailable
- Treylon Burksavailable
- Noah Brownavailable
- Robbie Andersonavailable
- Jacoby Jonesavailable
- Tay Martinavailable
- Bobby Wagneravailable
- Jonathan Jonesavailable
- Jacob Martinavailable
- Will Harrisavailable
- Jer'Zhan Newtonavailable
- Noah Igbinogheneavailable
- Trey Amosavailable
- Marshon Lattimoreavailable
- Von Milleravailable
- Eddie Goldmanavailable
- Preston Smithavailable
- Sam Cosmiavailable
- Matt Gayavailable
- Jake Moodyavailable
- Matthew Wrightavailable
- Chase Edmondsavailable
- River Cracraftavailable
New York Giants
- Eli ManningQBavailable
- Golden TateWRavailable
- Rhett EllisonTEavailable
- Alex TanneyQBavailable
- Russell ShepardWRavailable
- Bennie FowlerWRavailable
- Scott SimonsonTEavailable
- T.J. JonesWRavailable
- Cody LatimerWRavailable
- Jaxson Dartavailable
- Tyler Nubinavailable
- Jevon Hollandavailable
- Chauncey Golstonavailable
- Abdul Carteravailable
- Zaire Barnesavailable
- Brian Burnsavailable
- Deonte Banksavailable
- Andru Phillipsavailable
- Nic Jonesavailable
- Kayvon Thibodeauxavailable
- Javorius AllenRBavailable
- CJ Okoyeavailable
- Andrew Thomasavailable
- Shelby Harrisavailable
- Dominic Zvadaavailable
- Braxton Berriosavailable
- Jordan Stoutavailable
- Sterling ShepardWRavailable
- Cody CoreWRavailable
- Elijhaa PennyRBavailable
- Gunner Olszewskiavailable
- Evan EngramTEavailable
- Wayne GallmanRBavailable
- Da'Mari ScottWRavailable
- Wan'Dale Robinsonavailable
- Jamie Gillanavailable
- Darius Slaytonavailable
- Daniel Bellingeravailable
- Isaiah Hodginsavailable
- Lil'Jordan Humphreyavailable
- Jalin Hyattavailable
- Beaux Collinsavailable
- Chris Manhertzavailable
- Ray-Ray McCloud IIIavailable
- Bobby Okerekeavailable
- Dane Beltonavailable
- Darius Muasauavailable
- Roy Robertson-Harrisavailable
- Demetrius Flannigan-Fowlesavailable
- Dexter Lawrenceavailable
- Rakeem Nunez-Rochesavailable
- Darius Alexanderavailable
- Korie Blackavailable
- Neville Hewittavailable
- Rico Paytonavailable
- Art Greenavailable
- D.J. Davidsonavailable
- Raheem Layneavailable
- Tomon Foxavailable
- Swayze Bozemanavailable
- Dalen Cambreavailable
- Jarrick BernardConverseavailable
- Elijah Garciaavailable
- Victor Dimukejeavailable
- Elijah Chatmanavailable
- Chris Boardavailable
- Younghoe Kooavailable
- Beau Bradeavailable
- Jermaine Eluemunoravailable
- Thomas Fidone IIavailable
- Aaron Stinnieavailable
- Graham Ganoavailable
- Ben Saulsavailable
- Jude McAtamneyavailable
- Eric Grayavailable
- Saquon BarkleyRBavailable
- Cameron Johnstonavailable
- Kaden SmithTEavailable
- Jon HillimanRBavailable
- Micah McFaddenavailable
- Darius SlaytonWRavailable
- Daniel JonesQBavailable
- Nick VannettTEavailable
- Marcus JohnsonWRavailable
- Matt BreidaRBavailable
- Davis WebbQBavailable
- Colt McCoyQBavailable
- Dion LewisRBavailable
- Alfred MorrisRBavailable
- Levine ToiloloTEavailable
- Devonta FreemanRBavailable
- Riley DixonPavailable
- C.J. BoardWRavailable
- Damion RatleyWRavailable
- Nick GatesCavailable
- Dante PettisWRavailable
- Jameis Winstonavailable
- Cameron Skatteboavailable
- Devin Singletaryavailable
- Tyrone Tracyavailable
- Najee Harrisavailable
- Isaiah Likelyavailable
- Darnell Mooneyavailable
- Malik Nabersavailable
- Malachi Fieldsavailable
- Theo Johnsonavailable
- Tremaine Edmundsavailable
- Arvell Reeseavailable
- Greg Newsome IIavailable
- DJ Readeravailable
- Elijah Campbellavailable
- Paulson Adeboavailable
- Ar'Darius Washingtonavailable
- Colton Hoodavailable
- Malik Harrisonavailable
- Austin MackWRavailable
- Andrew ThomasTavailable
- Richie JamesWRavailable
- Kyle RudolphTEavailable
- Mike GlennonQBavailable
- Devontae BookerRBavailable
- Pharoh CooperWRavailable
- John RossWRavailable
- Kenny GolladayWRavailable
- Keion CrossenCBavailable
- Chris MyarickTEavailable
- David SillsWRavailable
- Alex BachmanWRavailable
- Tanner HudsonTEavailable
- Jake FrommQBavailable
- Collin JohnsonWRavailable
- Gary BrightwellRBavailable
- Kadarius ToneyWRavailable
- Tyrod TaylorQBavailable
- Jamie GillanPavailable
- Lawrence CagerTEavailable
- Isaiah HodginsWRavailable
- Daniel BellingerTEavailable
- Wan'Dale RobinsonWRavailable
- Darren WallerTEavailable
- Parris CampbellWRavailable
- Gunner OlszewskiWRavailable
- Ben BredesonGavailable
- Deon JacksonRBavailable
- Russell Wilsonavailable
- Jashaun CorbinRBavailable
- Eric GrayRBavailable
- Tommy DeVitoQBavailable
- Jalin HyattWRavailable
- Chris ManhertzTEavailable
- Tim BoyleQBavailable
- Devin SingletaryRBavailable
- Drew LockQBavailable
- Ihmir Smith-MarsetteWRavailable
- Cor'Dale Flottavailable
- Dane BeltonSSavailable
- Bryce Ford-WheatonWRavailable
- Malik NabersWRavailable
- Tyrone TracyRBavailable
- Theo JohnsonTEavailable
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