NFL
Scheduled
Kansas City ChiefsatLas Vegas Raiders
Sun, Oct 4, 8:25 PM UTC · Allegiant Stadium · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
KC 23.2 — LV 21.3
Win probability
KC 74%
Model confidence
High
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
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Model insight
Pro feature
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A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
KC (left) versus LV (right), last 10 completed games.
20.1Points per game20.9
21.6Points allowed19.2
-1.5Scoring differential1.7
5Wins (last 10)6
1700Power rating1260
2Season wins3
Advanced matchup analytics
Pro feature
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
Kansas City Chiefs
- Last 5
- 3-2
- Last 10
- 5-5
- Avg scored
- 20.1
- Avg allowed
- 21.6
- Streak
- W3
Las Vegas Raiders
- Last 5
- 4-1
- Last 10
- 6-4
- Avg scored
- 20.9
- Avg allowed
- 19.2
- Streak
- W3
Historical matchup
LV 1 — 4 KC
Sample size: 5 games
Head-to-head history is context, not prediction — rosters, coaching and circumstances change between meetings.
Player availability
Kansas City Chiefs
- Dustin ColquittPavailable
- Matt MooreQBavailable
- LeSean McCoyRBavailable
- Anthony ShermanRBavailable
- Spencer WareRBavailable
- Travis KelceTEavailable
- Damien WilliamsRBavailable
- Sammy WatkinsWRavailable
- Blake BellTEavailable
- Kenneth Walker IIIavailable
- Emmett Johnsonavailable
- Khyiris Tongaavailable
- Jake Briningstoolavailable
- Jalen Royalsavailable
- Noah Grayavailable
- Nick Boltonavailable
- L'Jarius Sneedavailable
- Drue Tranquillavailable
- Alohi Gilmanavailable
- Nohl Williamsavailable
- George Karlaftisavailable
- Peter Woodsavailable
- Ben VanSumerenavailable
- Demarcus RobinsonWRavailable
- Tyreek HillWRavailable
- Patrick MahomesQBavailable
- Byron PringleWRavailable
- Darrel WilliamsRBavailable
- Deon YelderTEavailable
- Mecole HardmanWRavailable
- Darwin ThompsonRBavailable
- JuJu Smith-SchusterWRavailable
- Chad HenneQBavailable
- Le'Veon BellRBavailable
- Eric FisherTavailable
- Gehrig DieterWRavailable
- Marcus KempWRavailable
- Ricky Seals-JonesTEavailable
- Nick KeizerTEavailable
- Derrick GoreRBavailable
- Tommy TownsendPavailable
- Clyde Edwards-HelaireRBavailable
- Marquez Valdes-ScantlingWRavailable
- Justin WatsonWRavailable
- Mike RemmersTavailable
- Josh GordonWRavailable
- Jerick McKinnonRBavailable
- Michael BurtonFBavailable
- Nick AllegrettiGavailable
- Joseph FortsonTEavailable
- Noah GrayTEavailable
- Ronald JonesRBavailable
- Justyn RossWRavailable
- Kadarius ToneyWRavailable
- Isiah PachecoRBavailable
- Skyy MooreWRavailable
- Blaine GabbertQBavailable
- Donovan SmithTavailable
- Richie JamesWRavailable
- La'Mical PerineRBavailable
- Rashee RiceWRavailable
- DeAndre HopkinsWRavailable
- Carson WentzQBavailable
- Samaje PerineRBavailable
- Kareem HuntRBavailable
- Marquise BrownWRavailable
- Mike CaliendoGavailable
- Matt AraizaPavailable
- Chris OladokunQBavailable
- Peyton HendershotTEavailable
- Nikko RemigioWRavailable
- Wanya MorrisTavailable
- Baylor CuppTEavailable
- Carson SteeleRBavailable
- Jared WileyTEavailable
- Jaden HicksSSavailable
- Xavier WorthyWRavailable
- Xavier Nwankpaavailable
- R Mason Thomasavailable
- Harrison Butkeravailable
- Cooper McDonaldavailable
- Jadon Canadyavailable
- Jaylon Mooreavailable
- Christian RolandWallaceavailable
- Marcus Harrisavailable
- Felix AnudikeUzomahavailable
- Brashard Smithavailable
- Nikko Remigioavailable
- Chamarri Connerquestionable
- Patrick Mahomesavailable
- Chris Oladokunavailable
- Shane Buecheleavailable
- Gardner Minshewavailable
- Kareem Huntavailable
- Isiah Pachecoavailable
- Xavier Worthyavailable
- Rashee Riceavailable
- Clyde Edwards-Helaireavailable
- Dameon Pierceavailable
- Travis Kelceavailable
- Marquise Brownavailable
- Tyquan Thorntonavailable
- JuJu Smith-Schusteravailable
- Jared Wileyavailable
- Robert Tonyanavailable
- Bryan Cookavailable
- Jaylen Watsonavailable
- Trent McDuffieavailable
- Leo Chenalavailable
- Jaden Hicksavailable
- Ashton Gillotteavailable
- Chris Jonesavailable
- Charles Omenihuavailable
- Mike Dannaavailable
- Jerry Tilleryavailable
- Jack Cochraneavailable
- Kristian Fultonavailable
- Derrick Nnadiavailable
- Jeffrey Bassaavailable
- Kevin Knowles IIavailable
- Mike Edwardsavailable
- Mike Pennel Jr.available
- Joshua Williamsavailable
- Zacch Pickensavailable
- Omarr NormanLottavailable
- Ethan Downsavailable
- James Winchesteravailable
- Jason Brownleeavailable
- Nazeeh Johnsonavailable
- Cole Christiansenavailable
- Mike Caliendoavailable
- Marlon Tuipulotuavailable
- Josh Simmonsquestionable
- Matt Araizaavailable
Las Vegas Raiders
- Dwayne HarrisWRavailable
- Derek CarrierTEavailable
- Mike GlennonQBavailable
- Ryan GrantWRavailable
- Derek CarrQBavailable
- Darren WallerTEavailable
- J.J. NelsonWRavailable
- Tyrell WilliamsWRavailable
- Erik HarrisFSavailable
- Trevor DavisWRavailable
- DeAndre WashingtonRBavailable
- Jalen RichardRBavailable
- Zay JonesWRavailable
- Davante AdamsWRavailable
- Ameer AbdullahRBavailable
- Rico GaffordWRavailable
- Marcell AtemanWRavailable
- Ashton Jeantyavailable
- Raheem Mostertavailable
- Tre Tuckeravailable
- Zamir Whiteavailable
- Dylan Laubeavailable
- Foster MoreauTEavailable
- Hunter RenfrowWRavailable
- Jakobi Meyersavailable
- Michael Mayeravailable
- Jack Bechavailable
- Tyler Lockettavailable
- Dont'e Thorntonavailable
- Carter Runyonavailable
- Devin Whiteavailable
- Jeremy Chinnavailable
- Elandon Robertsavailable
- Maxx Crosbyavailable
- Geno Smithavailable
- Keelan DossWRavailable
- Alec IngoldFBavailable
- Adam Butleravailable
- Jamal Adamsavailable
- Thomas Booker IVavailable
- Darien Porteravailable
- Kyu Blu Kellyavailable
- Tommy Eichenbergavailable
- Tyree Wilsonavailable
- Kenny Pickettavailable
- Aidan O'Connellavailable
- Shedrick Jacksonavailable
- Isaiah Pola-Maoavailable
- Brock Bowersavailable
- Ian Thomasavailable
- Albert Okwuegbunamavailable
- Alex Bachmanavailable
- Eric Stokesavailable
- Jonah Lauluavailable
- Decamerion Richardsonavailable
- Tonka Hemingwayavailable
- Greedy Vanceavailable
- Jamin Davisavailable
- Christopher Smithavailable
- Stone Forsytheavailable
- Jackson PowersJohnsonavailable
- AJ Coleavailable
- Daniel Carlsonavailable
- Jahfari Harveyavailable
- Chigozie Anusiemavailable
- Derek Carravailable
- Jarrett Stidhamavailable
- Mack Hollinsavailable
- Malcolm Koonceavailable
- Charles Snowdenavailable
- Germaine Prattavailable
- Lonnie Johnsonavailable
- Darnay Holmesavailable
- Josh Jacobsavailable
- Brandon Boldenavailable
- DJ Turneravailable
- Ameer Abdullahavailable
- Davante Adamsavailable
- Matthias Farleyavailable
- Foster Moreauavailable
- Darren Walleravailable
- Hunter Renfrowavailable
- Keelan Coleavailable
- Jesper Horstedavailable
- Jakob Johnsonavailable
- Duron Harmonavailable
- Denzel Perrymanavailable
- Tristin McCollumavailable
- Divine Deabloavailable
- JJ Peguesavailable
- Josh JacobsRBavailable
- Matthias FarleyFSavailable
- Mack HollinsWRavailable
- Keelan ColeWRavailable
- Jason WittenTEavailable
- Nate Hobbsavailable
- Luke Mastersonavailable
- Tre'von Moehrigavailable
- Johnathan Abramavailable
- Jayon Brownavailable
- Rock Ya-Sinavailable
- Bilal Nicholsavailable
- Roderic Teameravailable
- Andrew Billingsavailable
- Amik Robertsonavailable
- Chandler Jonesavailable
- Clelin Ferrellavailable
- Blake Martinezavailable
- Tyler Hallavailable
- Anthony Averettavailable
- Neil Farrell Jr.available
- Darien Butleravailable
- Harvey Langiavailable
- Kyle Pekoavailable
- Jerry Tilleryavailable
- Kendal Vickersavailable
- Johnathan Hankinsavailable
- Sidney Jones IVavailable
- Matthew Butleravailable
- Theo RiddickRBavailable
- Jeff HeathSSavailable
- Alex Barsavailable
- Dylan Parhamavailable
- Tyron Johnsonavailable
- Nelson AgholorWRavailable
- Marcus MariotaQBavailable
- Leki Fotuavailable
- Devontae BookerRBavailable
- Nathan PetermanQBavailable
- A.J. ColePavailable
- Cody Lindenbergavailable
- Jon Rhattiganavailable
- Jacob Bobenmoyeravailable
- Justin Shorteravailable
- Brennan Jacksonavailable
- Sam Webbavailable
- Curtis Boltonavailable
- Henry RuggsWRavailable
- Bryan EdwardsWRavailable
- DeSean JacksonWRavailable
- Trent Siegavailable
- Tashawn Boweravailable
- Peyton BarberRBavailable
- Kenyan DrakeRBavailable
- Dallin LeavittSSavailable
- Daniel HelmTEavailable
- Trey RagasRBavailable
- Brandon BoldenRBavailable
- Jarrett StidhamQBavailable
- Jesper HorstedTEavailable
- Jakob JohnsonFBavailable
- D.J. TurnerWRavailable
- Zamir WhiteRBavailable
- Brian HoyerQBavailable
- Jimmy GaroppoloQBavailable
- DeAndre CarterWRavailable
- Austin HooperTEavailable
- Jakobi MeyersWRavailable
- Cole FotheringhamTEavailable
- Tre TuckerWRavailable
- Aidan O'ConnellQBavailable
- Michael MayerTEavailable
- Alexander MattisonRBavailable
- Gardner MinshewQBavailable
- Alex BachmanWRavailable
- Kristian WilkersonWRavailable
- Harrison BryantTEavailable
- Terrace MarshallWRavailable
- Divine DeabloMLBavailable
- Tyreik McAllisterRBavailable
- Sincere McCormickRBavailable
- Desmond RidderQBavailable
- John Samuel ShenkerTEavailable
- Chris CollierRBavailable
- Brock BowersTEavailable
- Dylan LaubeRBavailable
- Ramel KeytonWRavailable
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