Cleveland BrownsatPittsburgh Steelers
Sun, Nov 1, 6:00 PM UTC · Acrisure Stadium · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
CLE 15.7 — PIT 24.7
Win probability
PIT 68%
Model confidence
Moderate
Projection built from each team's scoring over its last 10 games, form weighted toward the last 3 and 5, the strength of the opponents it faced, a home-field adjustment, and a small allowance for high-production players listed as unavailable. Statistical estimate, not a guaranteed outcome.
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
Loading historical accuracy…
Model vs. market
Model favourite
Pittsburgh Steelers
Model probability
68%
Market implied (margin removed)
Unavailable
EdgeIQ Edge
Unavailable
Current moneyline: CLE — · PIT — · no stored market prices
Opening (first stored snapshot):
Confidence: Moderate · Model v2.0.0 · How Edge is calculated. Edge is a difference between two estimates, not a recommendation.
Why EdgeIQ sees it this way
- Recent formfavours PIT
Observation: Weighted scoring margin: -3.2 per game at home side vs -13.2 for the visitor.
- Opponent strengthfavours PIT
Observation: Average margin of opponents faced: 4.7 vs 2.0.
- Scoring balancefavours PIT
Observation: Points per game 17.3 for / 21.8 against, vs 13.6 / 28.0.
- Player availabilityfavours PIT
Observation: No high-production players are currently listed as unavailable for either side.
Observations are measured from past games. The probability above is the model's estimate built from them.
What could change this projection?
- 5 rostered players are listed as questionable, doubtful or out. Late status changes can move the projection.
- Some inputs were limited for this game, so the estimate carries extra uncertainty.
- Unmodelled conditions — weather, travel, motivation, late scratches — are not fully captured by any model.
Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
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Market prices
No market prices available for this game yet.
Compare with an outside price
Enter the moneyline prices you have seen elsewhere. EdgeIQ converts them into a plain chance of winning, strips out the operator's built-in margin, and shows how that compares with the model estimate. EdgeIQ does not take wagers and shows no prices of its own.
Add both prices to see the comparison.
A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
CLE (left) versus PIT (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
Cleveland Browns
- Last 5
- 3-2
- Last 10
- 3-7
- Avg scored
- 13.4
- Avg allowed
- 24.9
- Streak
- W2
Pittsburgh Steelers
- Last 5
- 2-3
- Last 10
- 3-7
- Avg scored
- 16.6
- Avg allowed
- 22.4
- Streak
- W1
Historical matchup
PIT 3 — 3 CLE
Sample size: 6 games
Head-to-head history is context, not prediction — rosters, coaching and circumstances change between meetings.
Player availability
Cleveland Browns
- Demetrius HarrisTEavailable
- Odell BeckhamWRavailable
- Jarvis LandryWRavailable
- Garrett GilbertQBavailable
- Rashard HigginsWRavailable
- Pharaoh BrownTEavailable
- Ricky Seals-JonesTEavailable
- David NjokuTEavailable
- Taywan TaylorWRavailable
- Kareem HuntRBavailable
- Amari CooperWRavailable
- Dontrell HilliardRBavailable
- Damion RatleyWRavailable
- Wyatt TellerGavailable
- Antonio CallawayWRavailable
- Nick ChubbRBavailable
- KhaDarel HodgeWRavailable
- Baker MayfieldQBavailable
- Stephen CarlsonTEavailable
- Shedeur Sandersavailable
- Dillon Gabrielavailable
- Joe Flaccoavailable
- Jerome Fordavailable
- Trayveon Williamsavailable
- Gage Larvadainavailable
- David Njokuavailable
- Cedric Tillmanavailable
- Jamari Thrashavailable
- Brenden Batesavailable
- Sal Cannellaavailable
- Devin Bushavailable
- Myles Garrettavailable
- Mohamoud Diabateavailable
- Rayshawn Jenkinsavailable
- Jerome Bakeravailable
- Alex Wrightavailable
- Shelby Harrisavailable
- Cameron Thomasavailable
- Greg Newsome IIavailable
- Tre Averyavailable
- Michael Hall Jr.available
- D'Angelo Rossavailable
- Joe Tryon-Shoyinkaavailable
- Sam Webbavailable
- Chris Edmondsavailable
- Sam Kamaraavailable
- Dom Jonesavailable
- Luke Wypleravailable
- Teven Jenkinsavailable
- KT Levestonavailable
- Cameron Mitchellavailable
- Maurice Hurstavailable
- Kaden Davisavailable
- Jack Conklinavailable
- Joel Bitonioavailable
- DeAndre Carteravailable
- D'Ernest JohnsonRBavailable
- Jack ConklinTavailable
- Jacoby BrissettQBavailable
- Deshaun WatsonQBavailable
- Jaleel McLaughlinavailable
- Denzel Bostonavailable
- Harold Fannin Jr.available
- Blake Whiteheartavailable
- Jerry Jeudyavailable
- Isaiah Bondavailable
- Carson Schwesingeravailable
- Quinshon Judkinsavailable
- Case KeenumQBavailable
- Kendall LammTavailable
- Austin HooperTEavailable
- Kevin Concepcionavailable
- Raheim Sandersavailable
- Tyson Campbellquestionable
- Ronnie Hickmanavailable
- Quincy Williamsavailable
- Denzel Wardavailable
- Mason Grahamavailable
- Grant Delpitquestionable
- Sam Williamsavailable
- Dylan Sampsonavailable
- Corey Bojorquezavailable
- Andy JanovichFBavailable
- Marvin HallWRavailable
- JoJo NatsonWRavailable
- Jamie GillanPavailable
- Ja'Marcus BradleyWRavailable
- Harrison BryantTEavailable
- Donovan Peoples-JonesWRavailable
- Nick MullensQBavailable
- Johnny StantonFBavailable
- John KellyRBavailable
- Myles Hardenavailable
- Emmanuel McNeilWarrenavailable
- Isaiah McGuireavailable
- Donovan McMillonavailable
- Jared Verseavailable
- Easton MascarenasArnoldavailable
- Adin Huntingtonavailable
- Noah Igbinogheneavailable
- Carsen Ryanavailable
- Mekhi Blackmonavailable
- Derek Barnettavailable
- Maliek Collinsavailable
- Winston Reidavailable
- Malachi Corleyavailable
- Nathaniel Watsonavailable
- Elgton Jenkinsavailable
- Rex Sunaharaavailable
- Andre Szmytavailable
- Demetric FeltonRBavailable
- Anthony SchwartzWRavailable
- Miller ForristallTEavailable
- David BellWRavailable
- Jerome FordRBavailable
- Mike WoodsWRavailable
- Daylen BaldwinWRavailable
- Joe FlaccoQBavailable
- Marquise GoodwinWRavailable
- Jeff DriskelQBavailable
- P.J. WalkerQBavailable
- Jordan AkinsTEavailable
- James ProcheWRavailable
- Elijah MooreWRavailable
- Pierre StrongRBavailable
- Dorian Thompson-RobinsonQBavailable
- Cedric TillmanWRavailable
- Rodney McLeodFSavailable
- Jameis WinstonQBavailable
- Geoff SwaimTEavailable
- D'Onta ForemanRBavailable
- Jerry JeudyWRavailable
- Jaelon DardenWRavailable
- Kadarius ToneyWRavailable
- Bailey ZappeQBavailable
- Blake WhiteheartTEavailable
- Jamari ThrashWRavailable
- Brenden BatesTEavailable
- Jacob KibodiRBavailable
- Deshaun Watsonavailable
Pittsburgh Steelers
- Ben RoethlisbergerQBavailable
- Marquez Valdes-Scantlingavailable
- Scotty Milleravailable
- Spencer Andersonavailable
- Sebastian Castroavailable
- Ke'Shawn Williamsavailable
- Vance McDonaldTEavailable
- Roosevelt NixFBavailable
- Xavier GrimbleTEavailable
- Donte MoncriefWRavailable
- D'Shawn Jamisonavailable
- Corliss Waitmanavailable
- Jordan BerryPavailable
- Travis Homeravailable
- Nick VannettTEavailable
- Tevin JonesWRavailable
- Johnny HoltonWRavailable
- James ConnerRBavailable
- Ryan SwitzerWRavailable
- Trey EdmundsRBavailable
- JuJu Smith-SchusterWRavailable
- Jaylen SamuelsRBavailable
- Deon CainWRavailable
- James WashingtonWRavailable
- Germie Bernardavailable
- Ben Skowronekavailable
- Keeanu Bentonavailable
- Cameron Heywardavailable
- Asante Samuel Jr.available
- Alex Highsmithavailable
- Jack Sawyeravailable
- Mason RudolphQBavailable
- Carson Brueneravailable
- Cole Holcombavailable
- Daylen Everetteavailable
- Rico Dowdleavailable
- Kaden Wetjenavailable
- Eli Heidenreichavailable
- Jaylen Warrenquestionable
- Joey Porter Jr.questionable
- Jamel Deanquestionable
- Aaron Rodgersavailable
- DK Metcalfavailable
- Pat Freiermuthavailable
- Darnell Washingtonavailable
- Roman Wilsonavailable
- Payton Wilsonavailable
- Patrick Queenavailable
- Jalen Ramseyavailable
- T.J. Wattavailable
- Nick Herbigavailable
- Derrick Harmonavailable
- Miles Killebrewavailable
- Jeremiah Moonavailable
- DeMarvin Lealavailable
- Logan Leeavailable
- Chris Boswellavailable
- Christian Kuntzavailable
- Zach Frazieravailable
- Lew Nichols IIIavailable
- Trey Sermonavailable
- Diontae JohnsonWRavailable
- Benny SnellRBavailable
- Zach GentryTEavailable
- Tony Brooks-JamesRBavailable
- Devlin HodgesQBavailable
- Kerrith WhyteRBavailable
- Mitchell TrubiskyQBavailable
- Eric EbronTEavailable
- Derek WattFBavailable
- Jerald HawkinsTavailable
- Joshua DobbsQBavailable
- Kevin RaderTEavailable
- Ray-Ray McCloudWRavailable
- Cody WhiteWRavailable
- Mason Rudolphavailable
- Kenneth Gainwellavailable
- Jonnu Smithavailable
- Kaleb Johnsonavailable
- Connor Heywardavailable
- Calvin Austin IIIavailable
- Adam Thielenavailable
- Chuck Clarkavailable
- Brandin Echolsavailable
- Kyle Duggeravailable
- Malik Harrisonavailable
- DeShon Elliottavailable
- Juan Thornhillavailable
- Darius Slayavailable
- James Pierreavailable
- Yahya Blackavailable
- Jabrill Peppersavailable
- Esezi Otomewoavailable
- Daniel Ekualeavailable
- Chase ClaypoolWRavailable
- Anthony McFarlandRBavailable
- Marcus AllenILBavailable
- Chris BoswellKavailable
- Anthony MillerWRavailable
- Kalen BallageRBavailable
- Ulysees GilbertILBavailable
- Najee HarrisRBavailable
- Pat FreiermuthTEavailable
- Steven SimsWRavailable
- Gunner OlszewskiWRavailable
- Miles BoykinWRavailable
- Jaylen WarrenRBavailable
- George PickensWRavailable
- Connor HeywardTEavailable
- Kenny PickettQBavailable
- Allen RobinsonWRavailable
- Rod WilliamsTEavailable
- Calvin Austin IIIWRavailable
- Darnell WashingtonTEavailable
- Russell WilsonQBavailable
- Cordarrelle PattersonRBavailable
- MyCole PruittTEavailable
- Miles KillebrewSSavailable
- Mike WilliamsWRavailable
- Kyle AllenQBavailable
- Scott MillerWRavailable
- James PierreCBavailable
- Jonathan WardRBavailable
- Van JeffersonWRavailable
- Ben SkowronekWRavailable
- Justin FieldsQBavailable
- Brandon JohnsonWRavailable
- Aaron ShampklinRBavailable
- Cameron Johnstonavailable
- Michael Pittman Jr.available
- Jaquan Briskeravailable
- Robert SpearsJenningsavailable
- Riley Nowakowskiavailable
- Rayshawn Jenkinsavailable
- Sebastian Joseph-Dayavailable
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