New England PatriotsatMiami Dolphins
Sun, Nov 1, 9:25 PM UTC · Hard Rock Stadium · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
NE 20.2 — MIA 19.9
Win probability
NE 51%
Model confidence
Low
Projection built from each team's scoring over its last 10 games, form weighted toward the last 3 and 5, the strength of the opponents it faced, a home-field adjustment, and a small allowance for high-production players listed as unavailable. Statistical estimate, not a guaranteed outcome.
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
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Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
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A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
NE (left) versus MIA (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
New England Patriots
- Last 5
- 2-3
- Last 10
- 3-7
- Avg scored
- 15.4
- Avg allowed
- 23.2
- Streak
- L1
Miami Dolphins
- Last 5
- 0-5
- Last 10
- 2-8
- Avg scored
- 13.9
- Avg allowed
- 22.1
- Streak
- L7
Historical matchup
MIA 4 — 1 NE
Sample size: 5 games
Head-to-head history is context, not prediction — rosters, coaching and circumstances change between meetings.
Player availability
New England Patriots
- Tom BradyQBavailable
- Benjamin WatsonTEavailable
- Matt SlaterWRavailable
- Julian EdelmanWRavailable
- Antonio BrownWRavailable
- James DevelinFBavailable
- Brandon BoldenRBavailable
- Mohamed SanuWRavailable
- Rex BurkheadRBavailable
- Drake Mayeavailable
- Joshua Dobbsavailable
- Rhamondre Stevensonavailable
- Antonio Gibsonavailable
- Terrell Jenningsavailable
- D'Ernest Johnsonavailable
- Mack Hollinsavailable
- Kyle Williamsavailable
- Stefon Diggsavailable
- Hunter Henryavailable
- Kayshon Boutteavailable
- Austin Hooperavailable
- Efton Chism IIIavailable
- Robert Spillaneavailable
- Christian Ellissavailable
- James WhiteRBavailable
- Lan Larisonavailable
- Dre'Mont Jonesavailable
- Erick Hunteravailable
- Jaylen Reedavailable
- Cameron Latuavailable
- Karon Pruntyavailable
- DaQuan Jonesavailable
- Jared Wilsonavailable
- Darius Muasauavailable
- Mitch Wishnowskyavailable
- Quintayvious Hutchinsquestionable
- Reggie Gilliamquestionable
- Eric TomlinsonTEavailable
- Matt LaCosseTEavailable
- Jack Gibbensavailable
- Cory Durdenavailable
- Phillip DorsettWRavailable
- Corey Kineravailable
- Elandon RobertsILBavailable
- Romeo Doubsavailable
- Demario Douglasavailable
- A.J. Brownavailable
- Kevin Byardavailable
- DeVante ParkerWRavailable
- Namdi Obiazoravailable
- Gabe Jacasavailable
- Ryan IzzoTEavailable
- Jaylinn Hawkinsavailable
- Christian Gonzalezavailable
- Marcus Jonesavailable
- Harold Landry IIIavailable
- Jahlani Tavaiavailable
- K'Lavon Chaissonavailable
- Milton Williamsavailable
- Christian Barmoreavailable
- Anfernee Jenningsavailable
- Marte Mapuavailable
- Khyiris Tongaavailable
- Elijah Ponderavailable
- Dell Pettusavailable
- Brenden Schooleravailable
- Kyle Duggeravailable
- Garrett Bradburyavailable
- Richie Grantavailable
- Corey Ballentineavailable
- Jack Westoveravailable
- Mike Onwenuavailable
- Bryce Baringeravailable
- Joshua Farmeravailable
- Alex Austinavailable
- Carlton Davis IIIavailable
- Charles Woodsavailable
- Leonard Tayloravailable
- Sony MichelRBavailable
- Craig Woodsonavailable
- Eric Gregoryavailable
- Jakobi MeyersWRavailable
- Eli Raridonquestionable
- Keion Whiteavailable
- Chad Mumaavailable
- Darius Harrisavailable
- Julian Ashbyavailable
- Mark Robinsonavailable
- Jeremiah Pharms Jr.available
- Miles Battleavailable
- Jarrett StidhamQBavailable
- Will Campbellavailable
- Caleb Murphyavailable
- D.J. Jamesavailable
- Bradyn Swinsonavailable
- Andres Borregalesavailable
- Kobee Minoravailable
- N'Keal HarryTEavailable
- Gunner OlszewskiWRavailable
- Chase WinovichDEavailable
- Damien HarrisRBavailable
- Jakob JohnsonFBavailable
- Ty MontgomeryWRavailable
- Brian HoyerQBavailable
- Devin McCourtyFSavailable
- TreVeyon Hendersonavailable
- Cam NewtonQBavailable
- Donte MoncriefWRavailable
- Damiere ByrdWRavailable
- Jordan ThomasTEavailable
- J.J. TaylorRBavailable
- Isaiah ZuberWRavailable
- Devin AsiasiTEavailable
- Dalton KeeneTEavailable
- Nelson AgholorWRavailable
- Hunter HenryTEavailable
- Kendrick BourneWRavailable
- Jonnu SmithTEavailable
- Kristian WilkersonWRavailable
- Rhamondre StevensonRBavailable
- Mac JonesQBavailable
- Lil'Jordan HumphreyWRavailable
- Marcus JonesCBavailable
- Kevin HarrisRBavailable
- Pierre StrongRBavailable
- Tyquan ThorntonWRavailable
- Bailey ZappeQBavailable
- Cody DavisFSavailable
- Ezekiel ElliottRBavailable
- Pharaoh BrownTEavailable
- JuJu Smith-SchusterWRavailable
- Mike GesickiTEavailable
- Jalen ReagorWRavailable
- Kayshon BoutteWRavailable
- Demario DouglasWRavailable
- Malik CunninghamWRavailable
- Austin HooperTEavailable
- Jacoby BrissettQBavailable
- Jamycal HastyRBavailable
- Antonio GibsonRBavailable
- K.J. OsbornWRavailable
- Vederian LoweTavailable
- Joe MiltonQBavailable
- Jaheim BellTEavailable
- Dell PettusFSavailable
- Terrell JenningsRBavailable
- Drake MayeQBavailable
- Javon BakerWRavailable
- Ja'Lynn PolkWRavailable
Miami Dolphins
- Ryan FitzpatrickQBavailable
- Deon LaceyILBavailable
- Albert WilsonWRavailable
- Allen HurnsWRavailable
- DeVante ParkerWRavailable
- Clive WalfordTEavailable
- Jakeem GrantWRavailable
- Matt HaackPavailable
- Isaiah FordWRavailable
- Samaje PerineRBavailable
- Mack HollinsWRavailable
- Teddy BridgewaterQBavailable
- Raheem MostertRBavailable
- De'Lance TurnerRBavailable
- Josh RosenQBavailable
- Mark WaltonHBavailable
- Jason SandersKavailable
- Durham SmytheTEavailable
- Kalen BallageRBavailable
- Mike GesickiTEavailable
- Christian WilkinsDTavailable
- Myles GaskinRBavailable
- Patrick LairdRBavailable
- Preston WilliamsWRavailable
- Michael DeiterCavailable
- Tyreek HillWRavailable
- Clayton FejedelemSSavailable
- DeAndre WashingtonRBavailable
- Matt BreidaRBavailable
- Adam ShaheenTEavailable
- Antonio CallawayWRavailable
- Chandler CoxFBavailable
- Kirk MerrittWRavailable
- Salvon AhmedRBavailable
- Tua TagovailoaQBavailable
- Malcolm PerryRBavailable
- Lynn BowdenWRavailable
- River CracraftWRavailable
- Jeffery WilsonRBavailable
- Michael PalardyPavailable
- Tua Tagovailoaavailable
- Justin ColemanCBavailable
- Malcolm BrownRBavailable
- Duke JohnsonRBavailable
- Tommylee LewisWRavailable
- Jacoby BrissettQBavailable
- Will FullerWRavailable
- Cethan CarterTEavailable
- Phillip LindsayRBavailable
- Cedrick WilsonWRavailable
- Trent SherfieldWRavailable
- Jaylen WaddleWRavailable
- Hunter LongTEavailable
- Alec IngoldFBavailable
- Andrew Van GinkelOLBavailable
- Skylar ThompsonQBavailable
- Tanner ConnerWRavailable
- Braylon SandersWRavailable
- Erik EzukanmaWRavailable
- Robbie ChosenWRavailable
- Mike WhiteQBavailable
- Braxton BerriosWRavailable
- Darrynton EvansRBavailable
- Chase ClaypoolWRavailable
- Chris BrooksRBavailable
- Julian HillTEavailable
- De'Von AchaneRBavailable
- Odell BeckhamWRavailable
- Jonnu SmithTEavailable
- Jake BaileyPavailable
- Tyler HuntleyQBavailable
- D'Wayne EskridgeWRavailable
- Grant DuBoseWRavailable
- Jaylen WrightRBavailable
- Malik WashingtonWRavailable
- Quinn Ewersavailable
- Zach Wilsonavailable
- Jaylen Waddleavailable
- Alec Ingoldavailable
- Darren Walleravailable
- Tyreek Hillavailable
- Malik Willisavailable
- Devon Achaneavailable
- Jaylen Wrightquestionable
- Ollie Gordonavailable
- Malik Washingtonavailable
- Bradley Pinionavailable
- Caleb Douglasavailable
- Ryan Millerquestionable
- Greg Dulcichavailable
- Chris Bellavailable
- DJ Hermanavailable
- Will Kacmarekavailable
- Jacob Rodriguezavailable
- Michael Taaffeavailable
- Chris Johnsonavailable
- Josh Ucheavailable
- Zayne Andersonavailable
- Zeek Biggersavailable
- Jordan Phillipsavailable
- Dante Trader Jr.available
- Jackson Woodardavailable
- Zach Sieleravailable
- Willie Gayavailable
- Malik Herringavailable
- Julian Hillavailable
- Theo Weaseavailable
- Tanner Conneravailable
- Nick Westbrook-Ikhineavailable
- Dee Eskridgeavailable
- Cedrick Wilson Jr.available
- Tahj Washingtonavailable
- Jordyn Brooksavailable
- Tyrel Dodsonavailable
- Minkah Fitzpatrickavailable
- Jack Jonesavailable
- Ashtyn Davisavailable
- Rasul Douglasavailable
- Ifeatu Melifonwuavailable
- Bradley Chubbavailable
- K.J. Brittavailable
- Kenneth Grantavailable
- Jaelan Phillipsavailable
- Jason Marshall Jr.available
- Cameron Goodeavailable
- Matthew Judonavailable
- Benito Jonesavailable
- Ethan Bonneravailable
- Julius Brentsavailable
- Matthew Butleravailable
- Quinton Bellavailable
- Joe Cardonaavailable
- Jordan Colbertavailable
- Elijah Campbellavailable
- Isaiah Johnsonavailable
- Storm Duckavailable
- Caleb Johnsonavailable
- Cornell Armstrongavailable
- Cole Strangeavailable
- A.J. Greenavailable
- Hayden Rucciavailable
- Jake Baileyavailable
- Kendall Sheffieldavailable
- Aaron Breweravailable
- Jonah Savaiinaeaavailable
- Clelin Ferrellavailable
- Tucker Addingtonavailable
- Riley Pattersonavailable
- Chop Robinsonavailable
- Robert Beal Jr.available
- Reese Tayloravailable
- Julius Woodavailable
- Liam Andersonavailable
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