Atlanta FalconsatTampa Bay Buccaneers
Sun, Nov 1, 6:00 PM UTC · Raymond James Stadium · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
ATL 22.1 — TB 21.9
Win probability
ATL 50%
Model confidence
Low
Projection built from each team's scoring over its last 10 games, form weighted toward the last 3 and 5, the strength of the opponents it faced, a home-field adjustment, and a small allowance for high-production players listed as unavailable. Statistical estimate, not a guaranteed outcome.
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
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Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
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A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
ATL (left) versus TB (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
Atlanta Falcons
- Last 5
- 3-2
- Last 10
- 5-5
- Avg scored
- 22.0
- Avg allowed
- 20.3
- Streak
- W1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Last 5
- 1-4
- Last 10
- 4-6
- Avg scored
- 22.1
- Avg allowed
- 21.1
- Streak
- L4
Historical matchup
TB 2 — 4 ATL
Sample size: 6 games
Head-to-head history is context, not prediction — rosters, coaching and circumstances change between meetings.
Player availability
Atlanta Falcons
- Matt SchaubQBavailable
- Matt RyanQBavailable
- Julio JonesWRavailable
- Luke StockerTEavailable
- Jack Strandavailable
- Brian Robinson Jr.available
- Kenjon BarnerRBavailable
- Keith SmithFBavailable
- Devonta FreemanRBavailable
- Justin HardyWRavailable
- Ty SambrailoTavailable
- Austin HooperTEavailable
- Drake Londonavailable
- Jahan Dotsonavailable
- Austin Hooperavailable
- Zachariah Branchavailable
- Kyle Pittsavailable
- Olamide Zaccheausavailable
- Jessie Bates IIIavailable
- Nick Museavailable
- Brandon Dorlusavailable
- Josh Woodsavailable
- Samson Ebukamavailable
- Zach Harrisonavailable
- Jared Iveyavailable
- David Sills Vavailable
- Casey Washingtonavailable
- Ray-Ray McCloud IIIavailable
- Charlie Woerneravailable
- Dylan Drummondavailable
- DeMarcco Hellamsavailable
- Billy Bowmanavailable
- Brian HillRBavailable
- Damien WilliamsRBavailable
- MyCole PruittTEavailable
- Damiere ByrdWRavailable
- Bralen Triceavailable
- Christian BlakeWRavailable
- Ito SmithRBavailable
- Russell GageWRavailable
- Jaeden GrahamTEavailable
- Calvin RidleyWRavailable
- Olamide ZaccheausWRavailable
- Kaleb McGaryTavailable
- Qadree OllisonRBavailable
- KhaDarel Hodgeavailable
- Kaden Ellissavailable
- Dee Alfordavailable
- David Onyemataavailable
- Jalon Walkeravailable
- Arnold Ebiketieavailable
- JD Bertrandavailable
- Ronnie Harrison Jr.available
- Kentavius Streetavailable
- Leonard Floydavailable
- Sam Robertsavailable
- Natrone Brooksavailable
- Jacobee Bryantavailable
- DeAngelo Maloneavailable
- Khalid Kareemavailable
- Keith Taylor Jr.available
- Elijah Garciaavailable
- Ta'Quon Grahamavailable
- Jordan Fulleravailable
- Chris Lindstromavailable
- Elijah Wilkinsonavailable
- Younghoe Kooavailable
- Jammie Robinsonavailable
- Chris Blairavailable
- Liam McCulloughavailable
- Bradley Pinionavailable
- Clark Phillips IIIavailable
- Jake Matthewsavailable
- Teagan Quitorianoavailable
- Ryan Neuzilavailable
- Zane Gonzalezavailable
- John Parker Romoavailable
- Jamal Agnewavailable
- Marcus MariotaQBavailable
- Anthony FirkserTEavailable
- Michael Penix Jr.available
- Kirk Cousinsavailable
- Tyler Allgeieravailable
- Nathan Carteravailable
- Deven Thompkinsavailable
- Feleipe Franksavailable
- Darnell Mooneyavailable
- Todd GurleyRBavailable
- James Pearce Jr.available
- Ruke Orhorhoroavailable
- Sharrod NeasmanCBavailable
- Laquon TreadwellWRavailable
- Brandon PowellWRavailable
- Hayden HurstTEavailable
- Tony Brooks-JamesRBavailable
- Xavier Wattsavailable
- Sydney Brownavailable
- Divine Deabloavailable
- Mike Hughesavailable
- LaCale Londonavailable
- Kendal Danielsavailable
- Jake Baileyavailable
- Harold Perkins Jr.available
- Lorenzo CarterOLBavailable
- Matthew Bergeronavailable
- Christian Harrisavailable
- Nick Folkavailable
- Lee SmithTEavailable
- Cordarrelle PattersonRBavailable
- Mike DavisRBavailable
- Tajae SharpeWRavailable
- A.J. Terrellavailable
- Marvin HallWRavailable
- CJ Hendersonavailable
- Gervon Dexter Sr.available
- Za'Darius Smithavailable
- Cameron Thomasavailable
- Maason Smithavailable
- Avieon Terrellavailable
- Mike Fordavailable
- Yasir Abdullahavailable
- Wayne GallmanRBavailable
- Josh RosenQBavailable
- Parker HesseTEavailable
- Feleipe FranksTEavailable
- Frank DarbyWRavailable
- Kyle PittsTEavailable
- KhaDarel HodgeWRavailable
- Bryan EdwardsWRavailable
- John FitzPatrickTEavailable
- Caleb HuntleyRBavailable
- Avery WilliamsRBavailable
- Drake LondonWRavailable
- Tyler AllgeierRBavailable
- Desmond RidderQBavailable
- Josh AliWRavailable
- Taylor HeinickeQBavailable
- Mack HollinsWRavailable
- Jonnu SmithTEavailable
- Logan WoodsideQBavailable
- Scott MillerWRavailable
- Van JeffersonWRavailable
- Tucker FiskTEavailable
- Bijan RobinsonRBavailable
- Kirk CousinsQBavailable
- Ross DwelleyTEavailable
- Ray-Ray McCloudWRavailable
- Darnell MooneyWRavailable
- Charlie WoernerTEavailable
- Chris BlairWRavailable
- Jase McClellanRBavailable
- Casey WashingtonWRavailable
- Michael PenixQBavailable
- Cooper Rushavailable
- Bijan Robinsonavailable
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Cade Ottonavailable
- Ted Hurstavailable
- Ryan GriffinQBavailable
- Cameron BrateTEavailable
- Mike EvansWRavailable
- Jameis WinstonQBavailable
- Breshad PerrimanWRavailable
- Peyton BarberRBavailable
- Cyril GraysonWRavailable
- Antony AuclairTEavailable
- Bobo WilsonWRavailable
- T.J. LoganRBavailable
- Dare OgunbowaleRBavailable
- O.J. HowardTEavailable
- Chris GodwinWRavailable
- Justin WatsonWRavailable
- Tanner HudsonTEavailable
- John FranklinWRavailable
- Codey McElroyTEavailable
- Vita VeaNTavailable
- Ronald JonesRBavailable
- Ishmael HymanWRavailable
- Scott MillerWRavailable
- Tom BradyQBavailable
- LeSean McCoyRBavailable
- Rob GronkowskiTEavailable
- Antonio BrownWRavailable
- Blaine GabbertQBavailable
- Kenjon BarnerRBavailable
- Joe HaegTavailable
- Jaydon MickensWRavailable
- Leonard FournetteRBavailable
- Tyler JohnsonWRavailable
- Ke'Shawn VaughnRBavailable
- Teddy Bridgewateravailable
- Rachaad Whiteavailable
- Sean Tuckerquestionable
- Sterling Shepardavailable
- Owen Wrightavailable
- Jalen McMillanquestionable
- Mike Evansavailable
- Ryan Milleravailable
- Payne Durhamavailable
- Devin Culpavailable
- Tristan Wirfsavailable
- Lavonte Davidavailable
- Jamel Deanavailable
- Logan Hallavailable
- Haason Reddickavailable
- Chris Braswellavailable
- Deion Jonesavailable
- Christian Izienavailable
- Greg Gainesavailable
- Kindle Vildoravailable
- Josh Hayesavailable
- John Bullockavailable
- Markees Wattsavailable
- Kaevon Merriweatheravailable
- Elijah Simmonsavailable
- C.J. Breweravailable
- Rashad Wisdomavailable
- Ko Kieftavailable
- J.T. Grayavailable
- Graham Bartonavailable
- Nick Jacksonavailable
- Evan Deckersavailable
- Sebastian Castroavailable
- Josiah Trotteravailable
- Alex Anzaloneavailable
- Antoine Winfield Jr.available
- Zyon McCollumavailable
- Benjamin Morrisonavailable
- A'Shawn Robinsonavailable
- Giovani BernardRBavailable
- Le'Veon BellRBavailable
- Tykee Smithavailable
- Keionte Scottavailable
- Kevin Knowles IIavailable
- YaYa Diabyavailable
- Anthony Nelsonavailable
- SirVocea Dennisavailable
- Kameron Johnsonavailable
- David Walkeravailable
- Rakeem Nunez-Rochesavailable
- Al-Quadin Muhammadavailable
- Rueben Bain Jr.available
- Miles Killebrewavailable
- Bauer Sharpavailable
- Chase McLaughlinavailable
- Josh Williamsavailable
- Deon YelderTEavailable
- Russell GageWRavailable
- Jaelon DardenWRavailable
- Julio JonesWRavailable
- Kyle RudolphTEavailable
- Kyle TraskQBavailable
- Rachaad WhiteRBavailable
- Ko KieftTEavailable
- Deven ThompkinsWRavailable
- Cade OttonTEavailable
- David MooreWRavailable
- David WellsTEavailable
- Chase EdmondsRBavailable
- Baker MayfieldQBavailable
- Rakim JarrettWRavailable
- Sean TuckerRBavailable
- Payne DurhamTEavailable
- Trey PalmerWRavailable
- Sterling ShepardWRavailable
- Tavierre ThomasCBavailable
- J.J. RussellILBavailable
- Ryan MillerWRavailable
- Bucky IrvingRBavailable
- Kameron JohnsonWRavailable
- Devin CulpTEavailable
- Jalen McMillanWRavailable
- Jacob Parrishavailable
- Vita Veaavailable
- Elijah Robertsavailable
- Calijah Kanceyavailable
- Riley Dixonavailable
- Baker Mayfieldavailable
- Bucky Irvingavailable
- Kenneth Gainwellavailable
- Chris Godwinavailable
- Tez Johnsonavailable
- Emeka Egbukaavailable
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