Denver BroncosatArizona Cardinals
Sun, Oct 25, 8:05 PM UTC · State Farm Stadium · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
DEN 24.4 — ARI 25.3
Win probability
ARI 52%
Model confidence
Low
Projection built from each team's scoring over its last 10 games, form weighted toward the last 3 and 5, the strength of the opponents it faced, a home-field adjustment, and a small allowance for high-production players listed as unavailable. Statistical estimate, not a guaranteed outcome.
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
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Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
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A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
DEN (left) versus ARI (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
Denver Broncos
- Last 5
- 3-2
- Last 10
- 5-5
- Avg scored
- 23.0
- Avg allowed
- 21.1
- Streak
- W2
Arizona Cardinals
- Last 5
- 1-4
- Last 10
- 3-7
- Avg scored
- 25.7
- Avg allowed
- 27.7
- Streak
- L2
Historical matchup
ARI 1 — 2 DEN
Sample size: 3 games
This is a very small sample. Head-to-head history carries little weight on its own, especially when rosters, coaching or circumstances have changed.
Player availability
Denver Broncos
- Joe FlaccoQBavailable
- J.K. Dobbinsavailable
- RJ Harveyavailable
- Justin Strnadavailable
- Dondrea Tillmanavailable
- Pat Surtain IIavailable
- Quandarrius Robinsonavailable
- Diontae SpencerWRavailable
- Jeff HeuermanTEavailable
- Brandon AllenQBavailable
- Andy JanovichFBavailable
- Devontae BookerRBavailable
- Tim PatrickWRavailable
- Fred BrownWRavailable
- Colby WadmanPavailable
- Latavius MurrayRBavailable
- Eric TomlinsonTEavailable
- Jonah Colemanavailable
- Phillip LindsayRBavailable
- Courtland SuttonWRavailable
- DaeSean HamiltonWRavailable
- Troy FumagalliTEavailable
- Royce FreemanRBavailable
- Andrew BeckFBavailable
- Jaleel McLaughlinavailable
- Jarrett Stidhamavailable
- Lil'Jordan Humphreyavailable
- Trent Sherfieldavailable
- Lucas Krullavailable
- Michael Bandyavailable
- Jonathon Cooperavailable
- Dre Greenlawavailable
- John Franklin-Myersavailable
- P.J. Lockeavailable
- Noah FantTEavailable
- Drew LockQBavailable
- Marlon MackRBavailable
- Jordan Jacksonavailable
- Garret Wallowavailable
- Reese Tayloravailable
- Delarrin Turner-Yellavailable
- Quinn Meinerzavailable
- Luke Wattenbergavailable
- Mike McGlincheyavailable
- Zach Allenavailable
- Eyioma Uwazurikeavailable
- Sam MartinPavailable
- Melvin GordonRBavailable
- Nick VannettTEavailable
- Jeff DriskelQBavailable
- Jake ButtTEavailable
- Brett RypienQBavailable
- Kendall HintonWRavailable
- LeVante BellamyRBavailable
- Jerry JeudyWRavailable
- K.J. HamlerWRavailable
- Albert OkwuegbunamTEavailable
- Tyrie ClevelandWRavailable
- Teddy BridgewaterQBavailable
- Pat Bryantavailable
- Nate Adkinsavailable
- Troy Franklinavailable
- Tyler Badieavailable
- Eric SaubertTEavailable
- David MooreWRavailable
- Jaylen Waddleavailable
- Evan Engramavailable
- Courtland Suttonavailable
- Adam Trautmanavailable
- Adam Prenticeavailable
- Alex Singletonavailable
- Talanoa Hufangaavailable
- Brandon Jonesavailable
- Riley Mossavailable
- Mike BooneRBavailable
- Malcolm Roachavailable
- Ja'Quan McMillianavailable
- Devon Keyavailable
- Jahdae Barronavailable
- Tycen Andersonavailable
- Jonah Ellissavailable
- JL Skinneravailable
- Jordan Turneravailable
- Nik Bonittoavailable
- Karene Reidavailable
- Bo Nixavailable
- D.J. Jonesavailable
- Mitchell Fraboniavailable
- Wil Lutzavailable
- Kris AbramsDraineavailable
- Marvin Mimsavailable
- Jeremy Crawshawavailable
- Damarea CrockettRBavailable
- Chase EdmondsRBavailable
- Seth WilliamsWRavailable
- Javonte WilliamsRBavailable
- Russell WilsonQBavailable
- Devine OzigboRBavailable
- Freddie SwainWRavailable
- Tyler BadieRBavailable
- Greg DulcichTEavailable
- Montrell WashingtonWRavailable
- Brandon JohnsonWRavailable
- Jalen VirgilWRavailable
- Chris ManhertzTEavailable
- Michael BurtonFBavailable
- Phillip DorsettWRavailable
- Samaje PerineRBavailable
- Jarrett StidhamQBavailable
- Lil'Jordan HumphreyWRavailable
- Adam TrautmanTEavailable
- Lucas KrullTEavailable
- Nate AdkinsTEavailable
- Jaleel McLaughlinRBavailable
- Marvin Mims Jr.WRavailable
- Riley DixonPavailable
- Audric EstimeRBavailable
- Devaughn VeleWRavailable
- Blake WatsonRBavailable
- Bo NixQBavailable
- Troy FranklinWRavailable
Arizona Cardinals
- Jacoby Brissettavailable
- Roy Lopezavailable
- Kitan Crawfordavailable
- Andy LeePavailable
- Larry FitzgeraldWRavailable
- Kedon Slovisavailable
- Michael Carteravailable
- Emari Demercadoavailable
- Zonovan Knightavailable
- Trey Bensonavailable
- James Conneravailable
- Corey Kineravailable
- Greg Dortchavailable
- D'Ernest Johnsonavailable
- Zay Jonesavailable
- Xavier Weaveravailable
- Josiah Deguaraavailable
- Tip Reimanavailable
- Andre Baccelliaavailable
- Pharaoh Brownavailable
- Akeem Davis-Gaitheravailable
- Jalen Thompsonavailable
- Dadrion TaylorDemersonavailable
- Calais Campbellavailable
- Tyler Allgeieravailable
- Jeremiyah Loveavailable
- Kendrick Bourneavailable
- Jack Gibbensavailable
- Andrew Wingardavailable
- Michael CrabtreeWRavailable
- Max Meltonavailable
- Josh Sweatavailable
- Walter Nolenavailable
- Karson Shararavailable
- Baron Browningavailable
- Zaven Collinsavailable
- Dante Stillsavailable
- PJ Mustipheravailable
- Hunter Longavailable
- Simi Fehokoavailable
- Elijah Higginsavailable
- Owen Pappoeavailable
- Dalvin Tomlinsonavailable
- Jordan Burchavailable
- Darren Hallavailable
- Zach Carteravailable
- BJ Ojulariavailable
- Channing Tindallavailable
- L.J. Collieravailable
- Jaden Davisavailable
- Elijah Jonesavailable
- Charles ClayTEavailable
- Bilal Nicholsavailable
- Anthony Goodlowavailable
- Hjalte Froholdtavailable
- Travis Vokolekavailable
- Trent Sherfieldavailable
- Aaron Breweravailable
- Jon Gaines IIavailable
- Kei'Trel Clarkavailable
- Alfred MorrisRBavailable
- Cody Simonavailable
- Devin Duvernayavailable
- Jalen Brooksavailable
- Will Johnsonavailable
- Garrett Williamsquestionable
- Maxx WilliamsTEavailable
- Brett HundleyQBavailable
- Zach ZennerRBavailable
- Damiere ByrdWRavailable
- David JohnsonRBavailable
- Pharoh CooperWRavailable
- Kenyan DrakeRBavailable
- Darrell DanielsTEavailable
- Trey McBrideavailable
- Michael Wilsonavailable
- Marvin Harrison Jr.available
- Budda Bakeravailable
- Mack Wilson Sr.available
- Denzel Burkeavailable
- Dan ArnoldTEavailable
- Darius Robinsonavailable
- Trent SherfieldWRavailable
- Chase EdmondsRBavailable
- Jonah Williamsavailable
- Isaiah Adamsavailable
- Evan Brownavailable
- Chad Rylandavailable
- Steven Simsavailable
- Blake Gillikinavailable
- Pat O'Donnellavailable
- Christian KirkWRavailable
- Kyler MurrayQBavailable
- KeeSean JohnsonWRavailable
- Andy IsabellaWRavailable
- Kamu Grugier-HillILBavailable
- Robbie ChosenWRavailable
- Stephen AndersonTEavailable
- Corey ClementRBavailable
- DeAndre HopkinsWRavailable
- D.J. FosterRBavailable
- Seth DeValveTEavailable
- Ezekiel TurnerILBavailable
- Chris StrevelerQBavailable
- Jonathan WardRBavailable
- Darrel WilliamsRBavailable
- Colt McCoyQBavailable
- A.J. GreenWRavailable
- Chris BanjoFSavailable
- Zach ErtzTEavailable
- Demetrius HarrisTEavailable
- James ConnerRBavailable
- Kyler Murrayavailable
- Matt Haackavailable
- Antoine WesleyWRavailable
- Greg DortchWRavailable
- Eno BenjaminRBavailable
- Rondale MooreWRavailable
- David BloughQBavailable
- Trace McSorleyQBavailable
- Marquise BrownWRavailable
- Andre BaccelliaWRavailable
- Ty'Son WilliamsRBavailable
- Keaontay IngramRBavailable
- Trey McBrideTEavailable
- Damien WilliamsRBavailable
- Geoff SwaimTEavailable
- Zach PascalWRavailable
- Blake GillikinPavailable
- Tony JonesRBavailable
- Michael CarterRBavailable
- Michael WilsonWRavailable
- Clayton TuneQBavailable
- Emari DemercadoRBavailable
- Elijah HigginsTEavailable
- Zay JonesWRavailable
- DeeJay DallasRBavailable
- Xavier WeaverWRavailable
- Tip ReimanTEavailable
- Marvin HarrisonWRavailable
- Trey BensonRBavailable
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