Dallas CowboysatHouston Texans
Sun, Oct 4, 5:00 PM UTC · Reliant Stadium · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
DAL 23.6 — HOU 20.4
Win probability
DAL 52%
Model confidence
Low
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
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Model insight
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A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
DAL (left) versus HOU (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
Dallas Cowboys
- Last 5
- 2-3
- Last 10
- 5-5
- Avg scored
- 24.5
- Avg allowed
- 22.8
- Streak
- L1
Houston Texans
- Last 5
- 0-5
- Last 10
- 2-8
- Avg scored
- 16.5
- Avg allowed
- 22.0
- Streak
- L7
Historical matchup
HOU 1 — 1 DAL
Sample size: 2 games
This is a very small sample. Head-to-head history carries little weight on its own, especially when rosters, coaching or circumstances have changed.
Player availability
Dallas Cowboys
- Jason WittenTEavailable
- Randall CobbWRavailable
- Jamize OlawaleFBavailable
- Tavon AustinWRavailable
- Amari CooperWRavailable
- Devin SmithWRavailable
- Ezekiel ElliottRBavailable
- Dak PrescottQBavailable
- Blake JarwinTEavailable
- T.Y. HiltonWRavailable
- Dalton SchultzTEavailable
- Cedrick WilsonWRavailable
- Michael GallupWRavailable
- Tony PollardRBavailable
- Dak Prescottavailable
- Javonte Williamsavailable
- KaVontae Turpinavailable
- Ventell BryantWRavailable
- Joe Milton IIIavailable
- Malik Davisavailable
- Jaydon Blueavailable
- Miles Sandersavailable
- Phil Mafahavailable
- Jalen Tolbertavailable
- Kenneth Murray Jr.available
- Donovan Wilsonavailable
- Reddy Stewardavailable
- Andy DaltonQBavailable
- Chris JonesPavailable
- C.J. GoodwinCBavailable
- Garrett GilbertQBavailable
- Blake BellTEavailable
- Mazi Smithavailable
- Darian ThompsonFSavailable
- Noah BrownWRavailable
- Rico DowdleRBavailable
- CeeDee LambWRavailable
- Ben DiNucciQBavailable
- Bryan AngerPavailable
- Jeremy SprinkleTEavailable
- Cooper RushQBavailable
- Corey ClementRBavailable
- Ito SmithRBavailable
- Malik TurnerWRavailable
- Hunter Luepkeavailable
- Ryan Flournoyavailable
- James WashingtonWRavailable
- Brandon Aubreyavailable
- CeeDee Lambavailable
- Jake Fergusonavailable
- George Pickensavailable
- Luke Schoonmakeravailable
- Brevyn SpannFordavailable
- Jonathan Mingoavailable
- Shemar Jamesavailable
- DaRon Blandavailable
- Malik Hookeravailable
- Osa Odighizuwaavailable
- Markquese Bellavailable
- Jadeveon Clowneyavailable
- Donovan Ezeiruakuavailable
- Sam Williamsavailable
- Kenny Clarkavailable
- James Houstonavailable
- Shavon Revelavailable
- Jack Sanbornavailable
- Marist Liufauavailable
- Kaiir Elamavailable
- Sean McKeonTEavailable
- Terence SteeleTavailable
- Jaquan HardyRBavailable
- DeMarvion Overshownavailable
- Solomon Thomasavailable
- Juanyeh Thomasavailable
- Trevon Diggsavailable
- Logan Wilsonavailable
- Chauncey GolstonDTavailable
- Nahshon WrightCBavailable
- Simi FehokoWRavailable
- Malik DavisRBavailable
- Peyton HendershotTEavailable
- Dennis HoustonWRavailable
- Jalen TolbertWRavailable
- Kavontae TurpinWRavailable
- Jake FergusonTEavailable
- Brandin CooksWRavailable
- Noah IgbinogheneCBavailable
- Luke SchoonmakerTEavailable
- Deuce VaughnRBavailable
- Jalen BrooksWRavailable
- Hunter LuepkeFBavailable
- Dalvin CookRBavailable
- Trey LanceQBavailable
- Tyler SmithGavailable
- Juanyeh ThomasFSavailable
- Emari Demercadoavailable
- Caleb Downsavailable
- Jalen Thompsonavailable
- Jaishawn Barhamavailable
- Dee Wintersavailable
- Malachi Lawrenceavailable
- Rashan Garyavailable
- Otito Ogbonniaavailable
- P.J. Lockeavailable
- Cobie Durantavailable
- Tyrus Wheatavailable
- Jonathan Bullardavailable
- LT Overtonavailable
- Von Milleravailable
- Jonathan MingoWRavailable
- Ryan FlournoyWRavailable
- Brevyn Spann-FordTEavailable
- Trikweze Bridgesavailable
- Quinnen Williamsavailable
- C.J. Goodwinavailable
- Alijah Clarkavailable
- Caelen Carsonavailable
- Dante Fowler Jr.available
- Damone Clarkavailable
- Marshawn Kneelandavailable
- Josh Butleravailable
- Jay Toiaavailable
- Corey Ballentineavailable
- Perrion Winfreyavailable
- Zion Childressavailable
- Jalen Brooksavailable
- Parris Campbellavailable
- Princeton Fantavailable
- Trent Siegavailable
- Robert Rochellavailable
- Jalen MorenoCropperavailable
- Bryan Angeravailable
Houston Texans
- Taiwan JonesRBavailable
- Bryan AngerPavailable
- Dameon Pierceavailable
- Dare Ogunbowaleavailable
- Jayden Higginsavailable
- Christian Kirkavailable
- Henry To'oTo'oavailable
- E.J. Speedavailable
- Danielle Hunteravailable
- Myles Bryantavailable
- Darren FellsTEavailable
- Kenny StillsWRavailable
- Dylan Hortonavailable
- M.J. Stewartavailable
- Tremon Smithavailable
- Derek Barnettavailable
- C.J. Gardner-Johnsonavailable
- Tim Settleavailable
- Jaylen Reedavailable
- Damone Clarkavailable
- Christian Harrisavailable
- K'Von Wallaceavailable
- Folorunso Fatukasiavailable
- Denico Autryavailable
- Jamal Hillavailable
- Jaylin Smithavailable
- Ja'Marcus Ingramavailable
- Alijah Huzzieavailable
- Jalen Millsavailable
- Ameer Speedavailable
- Marlon Davidsonavailable
- Jake Andrewsavailable
- Haggai Ndubuisiavailable
- Austin Brinkmanavailable
- Sabastian Harshavailable
- Logan Hallavailable
- DeAndre HopkinsWRavailable
- Carlos HydeRBavailable
- AJ McCarronQBavailable
- Aiden Fisheravailable
- Jadeveon Clowneyavailable
- Braxton Berriosavailable
- Justin Watsonavailable
- Brenden Batesavailable
- Harrison Bryantavailable
- Darrell Tayloravailable
- DeAndre CarterWRavailable
- Naquan Jonesavailable
- Damon Arnetteavailable
- Leki Fotuavailable
- Kaevon Merriweatheravailable
- Duke JohnsonRBavailable
- Will FullerWRavailable
- Deshaun WatsonQBavailable
- Kai Kroegeravailable
- Mario Edwards Jr.available
- British Brooksavailable
- Wade Woodazavailable
- Steven MitchellWRavailable
- George Odumavailable
- Justin ReidSSavailable
- Jordan AkinsTEavailable
- Keke CouteeWRavailable
- Jordan ThomasTEavailable
- Buddy HowellRBavailable
- Lonnie JohnsonFSavailable
- Jeff DriskelQBavailable
- Mason SchreckTEavailable
- Dare OgunbowaleRBavailable
- O.J. HowardTEavailable
- Randall CobbWRavailable
- Brandin CooksWRavailable
- David JohnsonRBavailable
- C.J. ProsiseRBavailable
- Pharaoh BrownTEavailable
- Chad HansenWRavailable
- Cullen GillaspiaFBavailable
- Kahale WarringTEavailable
- Scottie PhillipsRBavailable
- M.J. StewartSSavailable
- Danny AmendolaWRavailable
- Tyrod TaylorQBavailable
- Rex BurkheadRBavailable
- Chris ConleyWRavailable
- Phillip DorsettWRavailable
- Chris MooreWRavailable
- Davis Millsavailable
- Nick Chubbavailable
- Jawhar Jordanavailable
- Antony AuclairTEavailable
- Jakob Johnsonavailable
- Laken Tomlinsonavailable
- Matthew Wrightavailable
- Tommy Townsendavailable
- Tremon SmithCBavailable
- Jaylen SamuelsRBavailable
- Royce FreemanRBavailable
- Davion DavisWRavailable
- Kyle AllenQBavailable
- Nico CollinsWRavailable
- Brevin JordanTEavailable
- Davis MillsQBavailable
- Tyron JohnsonWRavailable
- Jalen CampWRavailable
- Amari RodgersWRavailable
- Dameon PierceRBavailable
- Teagan QuitorianoTEavailable
- Troy HairstonFBavailable
- Case KeenumQBavailable
- Robert WoodsWRavailable
- Eric SaubertTEavailable
- Noah BrownWRavailable
- Cameron JohnstonPavailable
- Mike BooneRBavailable
- Dalton SchultzTEavailable
- Steven SimsWRavailable
- Andrew BeckFBavailable
- Devin SingletaryRBavailable
- John Metchie IIIWRavailable
- Xavier HutchinsonWRavailable
- Tank DellWRavailable
- C.J. StroudQBavailable
- Stefon DiggsWRavailable
- Joe MixonRBavailable
- Irv SmithTEavailable
- Diontae JohnsonWRavailable
- J.J. TaylorRBavailable
- Jared WayneWRavailable
- Cade StoverTEavailable
- British BrooksRBavailable
- C.J. Stroudavailable
- David Montgomeryavailable
- Jo'quavious Marksavailable
- Nico Collinsavailable
- Jaylin Noelavailable
- Dalton Schultzavailable
- Xavier Hutchinsonavailable
- Kayshon Boutteavailable
- Marlin Kleinavailable
- Foster Moreauavailable
- Jared Wayneavailable
- Cade Stoveravailable
- Reed Blankenshipavailable
- Azeez Al-Shaairavailable
- Jalen Pitreavailable
- Calen Bullockavailable
- Derek Stingley Jr.available
- Jake Hansenavailable
- Kamari Lassiteravailable
- Will Anderson Jr.available
- Sheldon Rankinsavailable
- Dominique Robinsonavailable
- Tommy Togiaiavailable
- Ka'imi Fairbairnavailable
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