NFL

Scheduled

Miami DolphinsatIndianapolis Colts

Sun, Nov 15, 6:00 PM UTC · Lucas Oil Stadium · Season 2026

The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.

Game data updated …

EdgeIQ projection

EdgeIQ NFL Performance v2.0.0

Projected score

MIA 21.8 — IND 21.8

Win probability

MIA 50%

Model confidence

Low

Projection built from each team's scoring over its last 10 games, form weighted toward the last 3 and 5, the strength of the opponents it faced, a home-field adjustment, and a small allowance for high-production players listed as unavailable. Statistical estimate, not a guaranteed outcome.

This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.

Loading historical accuracy…

Model insight

Pro feature

See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.

Your plan: Free · Unlocks with Pro — $7.98/month

Create an account Compare plans

Sample of what Pro unlocks.

Market prices

No market prices available for this game yet.

Compare with an outside price

American odds

Enter the moneyline prices you have seen elsewhere. EdgeIQ converts them into a plain chance of winning, strips out the operator's built-in margin, and shows how that compares with the model estimate. EdgeIQ does not take wagers and shows no prices of its own.

MIA

IND

Add both prices to see the comparison.

A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.

Key factors

Team comparison

MIA (left) versus IND (right), last 10 completed games.

13.9Points per game21.7

22.1Points allowed29.2

-8.2Scoring differential-7.5

2Wins (last 10)3

1480Power rating1480

0Season wins1

Advanced matchup analytics

Pro feature

Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.

Your plan: Free · Unlocks with Pro — $7.98/month

Create an account Compare plans

Recent form

Miami Dolphins

Last 5: 0-5
Last 10: 2-8
Avg scored: 13.9
Avg allowed: 22.1
Streak: L7

Indianapolis Colts

Last 5: 1-4
Last 10: 3-7
Avg scored: 21.7
Avg allowed: 29.2
Streak: W1

Historical matchup

IND 1 — 0 MIA

Sample size: 1 games

This is a very small sample. Head-to-head history carries little weight on its own, especially when rosters, coaching or circumstances have changed.

Player availability

Miami Dolphins

Ryan FitzpatrickQBavailable
Deon LaceyILBavailable
Albert WilsonWRavailable
Allen HurnsWRavailable
DeVante ParkerWRavailable
Clive WalfordTEavailable
Jakeem GrantWRavailable
Matt HaackPavailable
Isaiah FordWRavailable
Samaje PerineRBavailable
Mack HollinsWRavailable
Teddy BridgewaterQBavailable
Raheem MostertRBavailable
De'Lance TurnerRBavailable
Josh RosenQBavailable
Mark WaltonHBavailable
Jason SandersKavailable
Durham SmytheTEavailable
Kalen BallageRBavailable
Mike GesickiTEavailable
Christian WilkinsDTavailable
Myles GaskinRBavailable
Patrick LairdRBavailable
Preston WilliamsWRavailable
Michael DeiterCavailable
Tyreek HillWRavailable
Clayton FejedelemSSavailable
DeAndre WashingtonRBavailable
Matt BreidaRBavailable
Adam ShaheenTEavailable
Antonio CallawayWRavailable
Chandler CoxFBavailable
Kirk MerrittWRavailable
Salvon AhmedRBavailable
Tua TagovailoaQBavailable
Malcolm PerryRBavailable
Lynn BowdenWRavailable
River CracraftWRavailable
Jeffery WilsonRBavailable
Michael PalardyPavailable
Tua Tagovailoaavailable
Justin ColemanCBavailable
Malcolm BrownRBavailable
Duke JohnsonRBavailable
Tommylee LewisWRavailable
Jacoby BrissettQBavailable
Will FullerWRavailable
Cethan CarterTEavailable
Phillip LindsayRBavailable
Cedrick WilsonWRavailable
Trent SherfieldWRavailable
Jaylen WaddleWRavailable
Hunter LongTEavailable
Alec IngoldFBavailable
Andrew Van GinkelOLBavailable
Skylar ThompsonQBavailable
Tanner ConnerWRavailable
Braylon SandersWRavailable
Erik EzukanmaWRavailable
Robbie ChosenWRavailable
Mike WhiteQBavailable
Braxton BerriosWRavailable
Darrynton EvansRBavailable
Chase ClaypoolWRavailable
Chris BrooksRBavailable
Julian HillTEavailable
De'Von AchaneRBavailable
Odell BeckhamWRavailable
Jonnu SmithTEavailable
Jake BaileyPavailable
Tyler HuntleyQBavailable
D'Wayne EskridgeWRavailable
Grant DuBoseWRavailable
Jaylen WrightRBavailable
Malik WashingtonWRavailable
Quinn Ewersavailable
Zach Wilsonavailable
Jaylen Waddleavailable
Alec Ingoldavailable
Darren Walleravailable
Tyreek Hillavailable
Malik Willisavailable
Devon Achaneavailable
Jaylen Wrightquestionable
Ollie Gordonavailable
Malik Washingtonavailable
Bradley Pinionavailable
Caleb Douglasavailable
Ryan Millerquestionable
Greg Dulcichavailable
Chris Bellavailable
DJ Hermanavailable
Will Kacmarekavailable
Jacob Rodriguezavailable
Michael Taaffeavailable
Chris Johnsonavailable
Josh Ucheavailable
Zayne Andersonavailable
Zeek Biggersavailable
Jordan Phillipsavailable
Dante Trader Jr.available
Jackson Woodardavailable
Zach Sieleravailable
Willie Gayavailable
Malik Herringavailable
Julian Hillavailable
Theo Weaseavailable
Tanner Conneravailable
Nick Westbrook-Ikhineavailable
Dee Eskridgeavailable
Cedrick Wilson Jr.available
Tahj Washingtonavailable
Jordyn Brooksavailable
Tyrel Dodsonavailable
Minkah Fitzpatrickavailable
Jack Jonesavailable
Ashtyn Davisavailable
Rasul Douglasavailable
Ifeatu Melifonwuavailable
Bradley Chubbavailable
K.J. Brittavailable
Kenneth Grantavailable
Jaelan Phillipsavailable
Jason Marshall Jr.available
Cameron Goodeavailable
Matthew Judonavailable
Benito Jonesavailable
Ethan Bonneravailable
Julius Brentsavailable
Matthew Butleravailable
Quinton Bellavailable
Joe Cardonaavailable
Jordan Colbertavailable
Elijah Campbellavailable
Isaiah Johnsonavailable
Storm Duckavailable
Caleb Johnsonavailable
Cornell Armstrongavailable
Cole Strangeavailable
A.J. Greenavailable
Hayden Rucciavailable
Jake Baileyavailable
Kendall Sheffieldavailable
Aaron Breweravailable
Jonah Savaiinaeaavailable
Clelin Ferrellavailable
Tucker Addingtonavailable
Riley Pattersonavailable
Chop Robinsonavailable
Robert Beal Jr.available
Reese Tayloravailable
Julius Woodavailable
Liam Andersonavailable

Indianapolis Colts

Brian HoyerQBavailable
Dontrelle InmanWRavailable
T.Y. HiltonWRavailable
Daniel Jonesavailable
Anthony Richardsonavailable
Mekhi Blackmonavailable
Kenny Moore IIavailable
Kwity Payeavailable
Neville Gallimoreavailable
Jack DoyleTEavailable
Samson Ebukamavailable
Austin Ajiakeavailable
Joe Bachieavailable
Johnathan Edwardsavailable
Jaylon Jonesavailable
Cameron Mitchellavailable
Chris Lammonsavailable
Buddy Johnsonavailable
Segun Olubiavailable
Tyquan Lewisavailable
Xavien Howardavailable
Chris Wormleyavailable
Eric Johnsonavailable
Chad Mumaavailable
Mike Hiltonavailable
Trey Washingtonavailable
George Odumavailable
Daniel Scottavailable
Cameron McGroneavailable
Durell Nchamiavailable
Tanor Bortoliniavailable
Michael Badgleyavailable
Blake Grupeavailable
Coleman Owenavailable
Eric EbronTEavailable
Jonathan Owensavailable
Spencer Shraderavailable
Jonathan Tayloravailable
Deion Burksavailable
Tyler Warrenavailable
Seth McGowanavailable
Josh Downsavailable
Alec Pierceavailable
Laquon Treadwellavailable
Keenan Allenavailable
Akeem Davis-Gaitheravailable
Camryn Bynumavailable
Bryce Boettcheravailable
Devin FunchessTEavailable
Justin Walleyavailable
Laiatu Latuavailable
Ross TravisTEavailable
Chester RogersWRavailable
AJ Haulcyavailable
Hunter Wohleravailable
Adetomiwa Adebaworeavailable
Sauce Gardneravailable
Jonathan WilliamsRBavailable
Marcus JohnsonWRavailable
DeForest Buckneravailable
DJ Giddensavailable
Cam Taylor-Brittavailable
Jerry Tilleryavailable
Jacoby BrissettQBavailable
Arden Keyavailable
Jaylon Carliesavailable
Caden Curryavailable
Grover Stewartavailable
Charvarius Wardquestionable
Mo Alie-CoxTEavailable
Zach PascalWRavailable
J.T. Tuimoloauavailable
Tim Smithavailable
Andrew Ogletreeavailable
Ashton Dulinquestionable
Luke Rhodesavailable
Tahj Chambersavailable
Kapena Gushikenavailable
C.J. Allenavailable
Kenneth Harrisavailable
Anthony Gouldavailable
Rigoberto Sanchezavailable
Chad WilliamsWRavailable
Marlon MackRBavailable
Nick FolesQBavailable
Quenton NelsonGavailable
Nyheim Miller-HinesRBavailable
Jordan WilkinsRBavailable
Ashton DulinWRavailable
Parris CampbellWRavailable
Philip RiversQBavailable
Trey BurtonTEavailable
T.J. CarrieCBavailable
Daurice FountainWRavailable
DeMichael HarrisWRavailable
Noah TogiaiTEavailable
Isaiah RodgersCBavailable
Jonathan TaylorRBavailable
Michael PittmanWRavailable
Phillip LindsayRBavailable
Carson WentzQBavailable
Keke CouteeWRavailable
E.J. SpeedOLBavailable
Philip Riversavailable
Riley Leonardavailable
Danny PinterCavailable
Jacob EasonQBavailable
Dezmon PatmonWRavailable
Mike StrachanWRavailable
Deon JacksonRBavailable
Ameer Abdullahavailable
Tyler Goodsonavailable
Rodney Thomas IIavailable
Ulysses Bentley IVavailable
Michael Pittman Jr.available
Adonai Mitchellavailable
Mo Alie-Coxavailable
Will Malloryavailable
Zaire Franklinavailable
Nick Crossavailable
Germaine Prattavailable
Kylen GransonTEavailable
Sam EhlingerQBavailable
Matt RyanQBavailable
Zack MossRBavailable
Tyler GoodsonRBavailable
Andrew OgletreeTEavailable
JoJo DomannOLBavailable
Alec PierceWRavailable
Jelani WoodsTEavailable
Isaiah McKenzieWRavailable
D.J. MontgomeryWRavailable
Gardner MinshewQBavailable
Juwann WinfreeWRavailable
Grant StuardMLBavailable
Jake FunkRBavailable
Trey SermonRBavailable
Amari RodgersWRavailable
Will MalloryTEavailable
Evan HullRBavailable
Josh DownsWRavailable
Anthony RichardsonQBavailable
Joe FlaccoQBavailable
Anthony GouldWRavailable
Adonai MitchellWRavailable

EdgeIQ AI

Your hypothetical prediction

Paper predictions only — EdgeIQ never involves money, wagers or payouts.