Kansas City ChiefsatSeattle Seahawks
Mon, Oct 26, 12:20 AM UTC · Lumen Field · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
KC 20.2 — SEA 17.7
Win probability
KC 55%
Model confidence
Low
Projection built from each team's scoring over its last 10 games, form weighted toward the last 3 and 5, the strength of the opponents it faced, a home-field adjustment, and a small allowance for high-production players listed as unavailable. Statistical estimate, not a guaranteed outcome.
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
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Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
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A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
KC (left) versus SEA (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
Kansas City Chiefs
- Last 5
- 3-2
- Last 10
- 5-5
- Avg scored
- 20.1
- Avg allowed
- 21.6
- Streak
- W3
Seattle Seahawks
- Last 5
- 2-3
- Last 10
- 4-6
- Avg scored
- 18.0
- Avg allowed
- 18.0
- Streak
- L1
Historical matchup
SEA 0 — 2 KC
Sample size: 2 games
This is a very small sample. Head-to-head history carries little weight on its own, especially when rosters, coaching or circumstances have changed.
Player availability
Kansas City Chiefs
- Dustin ColquittPavailable
- Matt MooreQBavailable
- LeSean McCoyRBavailable
- Anthony ShermanRBavailable
- Spencer WareRBavailable
- Travis KelceTEavailable
- Damien WilliamsRBavailable
- Sammy WatkinsWRavailable
- Blake BellTEavailable
- Kenneth Walker IIIavailable
- Emmett Johnsonavailable
- Khyiris Tongaavailable
- Jake Briningstoolavailable
- Jalen Royalsavailable
- Noah Grayavailable
- Nick Boltonavailable
- L'Jarius Sneedavailable
- Drue Tranquillavailable
- Alohi Gilmanavailable
- Nohl Williamsavailable
- George Karlaftisavailable
- Peter Woodsavailable
- Ben VanSumerenavailable
- Demarcus RobinsonWRavailable
- Tyreek HillWRavailable
- Patrick MahomesQBavailable
- Byron PringleWRavailable
- Darrel WilliamsRBavailable
- Deon YelderTEavailable
- Mecole HardmanWRavailable
- Darwin ThompsonRBavailable
- JuJu Smith-SchusterWRavailable
- Chad HenneQBavailable
- Le'Veon BellRBavailable
- Eric FisherTavailable
- Gehrig DieterWRavailable
- Marcus KempWRavailable
- Ricky Seals-JonesTEavailable
- Nick KeizerTEavailable
- Derrick GoreRBavailable
- Tommy TownsendPavailable
- Clyde Edwards-HelaireRBavailable
- Marquez Valdes-ScantlingWRavailable
- Justin WatsonWRavailable
- Mike RemmersTavailable
- Josh GordonWRavailable
- Jerick McKinnonRBavailable
- Michael BurtonFBavailable
- Nick AllegrettiGavailable
- Joseph FortsonTEavailable
- Noah GrayTEavailable
- Ronald JonesRBavailable
- Justyn RossWRavailable
- Kadarius ToneyWRavailable
- Isiah PachecoRBavailable
- Skyy MooreWRavailable
- Blaine GabbertQBavailable
- Donovan SmithTavailable
- Richie JamesWRavailable
- La'Mical PerineRBavailable
- Rashee RiceWRavailable
- DeAndre HopkinsWRavailable
- Carson WentzQBavailable
- Samaje PerineRBavailable
- Kareem HuntRBavailable
- Marquise BrownWRavailable
- Mike CaliendoGavailable
- Matt AraizaPavailable
- Chris OladokunQBavailable
- Peyton HendershotTEavailable
- Nikko RemigioWRavailable
- Wanya MorrisTavailable
- Baylor CuppTEavailable
- Carson SteeleRBavailable
- Jared WileyTEavailable
- Jaden HicksSSavailable
- Xavier WorthyWRavailable
- Xavier Nwankpaavailable
- R Mason Thomasavailable
- Harrison Butkeravailable
- Cooper McDonaldavailable
- Jadon Canadyavailable
- Jaylon Mooreavailable
- Christian RolandWallaceavailable
- Marcus Harrisavailable
- Felix AnudikeUzomahavailable
- Brashard Smithavailable
- Nikko Remigioavailable
- Chamarri Connerquestionable
- Patrick Mahomesavailable
- Chris Oladokunavailable
- Shane Buecheleavailable
- Gardner Minshewavailable
- Kareem Huntavailable
- Isiah Pachecoavailable
- Xavier Worthyavailable
- Rashee Riceavailable
- Clyde Edwards-Helaireavailable
- Dameon Pierceavailable
- Travis Kelceavailable
- Marquise Brownavailable
- Tyquan Thorntonavailable
- JuJu Smith-Schusteravailable
- Jared Wileyavailable
- Robert Tonyanavailable
- Bryan Cookavailable
- Jaylen Watsonavailable
- Trent McDuffieavailable
- Leo Chenalavailable
- Jaden Hicksavailable
- Ashton Gillotteavailable
- Chris Jonesavailable
- Charles Omenihuavailable
- Mike Dannaavailable
- Jerry Tilleryavailable
- Jack Cochraneavailable
- Kristian Fultonavailable
- Derrick Nnadiavailable
- Jeffrey Bassaavailable
- Kevin Knowles IIavailable
- Mike Edwardsavailable
- Mike Pennel Jr.available
- Joshua Williamsavailable
- Zacch Pickensavailable
- Omarr NormanLottavailable
- Ethan Downsavailable
- James Winchesteravailable
- Jason Brownleeavailable
- Nazeeh Johnsonavailable
- Cole Christiansenavailable
- Mike Caliendoavailable
- Marlon Tuipulotuavailable
- Josh Simmonsquestionable
- Matt Araizaavailable
Seattle Seahawks
- Marshawn LynchRBavailable
- Nick BelloreILBavailable
- Russell WilsonQBavailable
- Josh GordonWRavailable
- Luke WillsonTEavailable
- Jaron BrownWRavailable
- Tyler LockettWRavailable
- C.J. ProsiseRBavailable
- George FantTavailable
- Jacob HollisterTEavailable
- David MooreWRavailable
- Chris CarsonRBavailable
- Tyrone SwoopesTEavailable
- Marquise GoodwinWRavailable
- Will DisslyTEavailable
- Rashaad PennyRBavailable
- Malik TurnerWRavailable
- Travis HomerRBavailable
- John UrsuaWRavailable
- DK MetcalfWRavailable
- Laquon TreadwellWRavailable
- Greg OlsenTEavailable
- Geno SmithQBavailable
- Carlos HydeRBavailable
- Alex CollinsRBavailable
- Bo ScarbroughRBavailable
- Penny HartWRavailable
- Colby ParkinsonTEavailable
- Freddie SwainWRavailable
- DeeJay DallasRBavailable
- Michael DicksonPavailable
- Adrian PetersonRBavailable
- Kenneth Walker IIIavailable
- Zach Charbonnetavailable
- Velus Jones Jr.available
- Jacardia Wrightavailable
- Myles Gaskinavailable
- Jalen Milroeavailable
- Tory Hortonavailable
- Cody Whiteavailable
- Dareke Youngavailable
- Jake Boboavailable
- Coby Bryantavailable
- Ty Okadaquestionable
- Tyrice Knightavailable
- Tariq Woolenavailable
- Boye Mafeavailable
- Mike Morrisavailable
- D'Anthony Bellavailable
- Brandon Piliquestionable
- Derion Kendrickavailable
- Shaquill Griffinavailable
- Jerrick Reed IIavailable
- Robbie Ouztsavailable
- Quinton Bohannaavailable
- Nick Kallerupavailable
- Grey Zabelavailable
- Abraham Lucasavailable
- Chris Stollavailable
- Drew Lockavailable
- Sam Darnoldavailable
- Jadarian Priceavailable
- Emanuel Wilsonavailable
- George Holaniavailable
- Rashid Shaheedavailable
- Brady Russellavailable
- Elijah Arroyoavailable
- Eric Saubertavailable
- Ernest Jonesavailable
- Drake Thomasavailable
- Devon Witherspoonavailable
- Leonard Williamsavailable
- Julian Loveavailable
- Nehemiah Pritchettavailable
- Josh Jobeavailable
- Rylie Millsavailable
- Uchenna Nwosuavailable
- Rodney Thomas IIavailable
- Byron Murphy IIavailable
- DeMarcus Lawrenceavailable
- Chazz Surrattavailable
- Derick Hallavailable
- Patrick O'Connellavailable
- Jarran Reedavailable
- Connor O'Tooleavailable
- Avery Smithavailable
- Julian Nealavailable
- Montorie Fosteravailable
- AJ Finleyavailable
- Jason Myersavailable
- Michael Dicksonavailable
- Gerald EverettTEavailable
- Godwin IgwebuikeRBavailable
- D'Wayne EskridgeWRavailable
- AJ Barneravailable
- Jaxon SmithNjigbaavailable
- Cooper Kuppavailable
- Michael JacksonCBavailable
- Noah FantTEavailable
- Tony JonesRBavailable
- Tyler MabryTEavailable
- Cade JohnsonWRavailable
- Dareke YoungWRavailable
- Kenneth WalkerRBavailable
- Cody ThompsonWRavailable
- Drew LockQBavailable
- Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWRavailable
- Jake BoboWRavailable
- Zach CharbonnetRBavailable
- Pharaoh BrownTEavailable
- Julian LoveSSavailable
- Cody WhiteWRavailable
- Laviska Shenault Jr.WRavailable
- Sam HowellQBavailable
- Nick Emmanworiavailable
- Kenny McIntoshRBavailable
- George HolaniRBavailable
- A.J. BarnerTEavailable
- Anthony Bradfordquestionable
- Jamie Sheriffavailable
- Cam Akersavailable
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