Cincinnati BengalsatAtlanta Falcons
Sun, Nov 8, 2:30 PM UTC · Santiago Bernabéu · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
CIN 25.7 — ATL 19.9
Win probability
CIN 62%
Model confidence
Moderate
Projection built from each team's scoring over its last 10 games, form weighted toward the last 3 and 5, the strength of the opponents it faced, a home-field adjustment, and a small allowance for high-production players listed as unavailable. Statistical estimate, not a guaranteed outcome.
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
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Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
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A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
CIN (left) versus ATL (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
Cincinnati Bengals
- Last 5
- 4-1
- Last 10
- 9-1
- Avg scored
- 26.3
- Avg allowed
- 17.3
- Streak
- L1
Atlanta Falcons
- Last 5
- 3-2
- Last 10
- 5-5
- Avg scored
- 22.0
- Avg allowed
- 20.3
- Streak
- W1
Historical matchup
ATL 0 — 2 CIN
Sample size: 2 games
This is a very small sample. Head-to-head history carries little weight on its own, especially when rosters, coaching or circumstances have changed.
Player availability
Cincinnati Bengals
- Gary Brightwellavailable
- Ryan Rehkowavailable
- Andy DaltonQBavailable
- Giovani BernardRBavailable
- Tyler EifertTEavailable
- C.J. UzomahTEavailable
- Alex EricksonWRavailable
- Tyler BoydWRavailable
- Dohnte Meyersavailable
- Bryan Cookavailable
- Jonathan Allenavailable
- Swayze Bozemanavailable
- Tacario Davisavailable
- Boye Mafeavailable
- Cethan CarterTEavailable
- John RossWRavailable
- Brandon WilsonFSavailable
- Joe MixonRBavailable
- Auden TateWRavailable
- Stanley MorganWRavailable
- Damion WillisWRavailable
- Drew SampleTEavailable
- Ryan FinleyQBavailable
- A.J. GreenWRavailable
- Shawn WilliamsSSavailable
- Brandon AllenQBavailable
- Mike ThomasWRavailable
- Samaje PerineRBavailable
- Mason SchreckTEavailable
- Trayveon WilliamsRBavailable
- Trenton IrwinWRavailable
- Mitchell WilcoxTEavailable
- Tee HigginsWRavailable
- Joe BurrowQBavailable
- Trent TaylorWRavailable
- Chris EvansRBavailable
- Ja'Marr ChaseWRavailable
- Hayden HurstTEavailable
- Devin AsiasiTEavailable
- AJ McCarronQBavailable
- Tanner HudsonTEavailable
- Irv SmithTEavailable
- Jake BrowningQBavailable
- Kwamie LassiterWRavailable
- Charlie JonesWRavailable
- Chase BrownRBavailable
- Andrei IosivasWRavailable
- Shedrick JacksonWRavailable
- Mike GesickiTEavailable
- Sam HubbardDEavailable
- Zack MossRBavailable
- Khalil HerbertRBavailable
- Kendric PryorWRavailable
- Cam GrandyTEavailable
- Jermaine BurtonWRavailable
- Erick AllTEavailable
- Joe Burrowavailable
- Joe Flaccoavailable
- Jake Browningavailable
- Chase Brownavailable
- Samaje Perineavailable
- Tahj Brooksavailable
- Andrei Iosivasavailable
- Ja'Marr Chaseavailable
- Ke'Shawn Williamsavailable
- Drew Sampleavailable
- Kendall Miltonavailable
- Tee Higginsavailable
- Mike Gesickiavailable
- Noah Fantavailable
- Tanner Hudsonavailable
- Mitchell Tinsleyavailable
- Cody Fordavailable
- Cam Grandyavailable
- Jordan Battleavailable
- Demetrius Knight IIavailable
- Barrett Carteravailable
- Geno Stoneavailable
- Dax Hillavailable
- BJ Hillavailable
- T.J. Slatonavailable
- Myles Murphyavailable
- Oren Burksavailable
- Logan Wilsonavailable
- Joseph Ossaiavailable
- DJ Turneravailable
- Kris Jenkinsavailable
- Joe Giles-Harrisavailable
- Tycen Andersonavailable
- Cam Taylor-Brittavailable
- Cedric Johnsonavailable
- Jalen Davisavailable
- PJ Julesavailable
- Cam Sampleavailable
- DJ Iveyavailable
- Shaka Heywardavailable
- Trey Hendricksonavailable
- Josh Newtonavailable
- Mike Pennel Jr.available
- Shemar Stewartavailable
- McKinnley Jacksonavailable
- Isaiah Foskeyavailable
- Daijahn Anthonyavailable
- Howard Cross IIIavailable
- Bralyn Luxavailable
- Marco Wilsonavailable
- Amarius Mimsavailable
- William Wagneravailable
- Jalen Riversavailable
- Dalton Risneravailable
- Evan McPhersonavailable
- Charlie Jonesavailable
Atlanta Falcons
- Matt SchaubQBavailable
- Matt RyanQBavailable
- Julio JonesWRavailable
- Luke StockerTEavailable
- Jack Strandavailable
- Brian Robinson Jr.available
- Kenjon BarnerRBavailable
- Keith SmithFBavailable
- Devonta FreemanRBavailable
- Justin HardyWRavailable
- Ty SambrailoTavailable
- Austin HooperTEavailable
- Drake Londonavailable
- Jahan Dotsonavailable
- Austin Hooperavailable
- Zachariah Branchavailable
- Kyle Pittsavailable
- Olamide Zaccheausavailable
- Jessie Bates IIIavailable
- Nick Museavailable
- Brandon Dorlusavailable
- Josh Woodsavailable
- Samson Ebukamavailable
- Zach Harrisonavailable
- Jared Iveyavailable
- David Sills Vavailable
- Casey Washingtonavailable
- Ray-Ray McCloud IIIavailable
- Charlie Woerneravailable
- Dylan Drummondavailable
- DeMarcco Hellamsavailable
- Billy Bowmanavailable
- Brian HillRBavailable
- Damien WilliamsRBavailable
- MyCole PruittTEavailable
- Damiere ByrdWRavailable
- Bralen Triceavailable
- Christian BlakeWRavailable
- Ito SmithRBavailable
- Russell GageWRavailable
- Jaeden GrahamTEavailable
- Calvin RidleyWRavailable
- Olamide ZaccheausWRavailable
- Kaleb McGaryTavailable
- Qadree OllisonRBavailable
- KhaDarel Hodgeavailable
- Kaden Ellissavailable
- Dee Alfordavailable
- David Onyemataavailable
- Jalon Walkeravailable
- Arnold Ebiketieavailable
- JD Bertrandavailable
- Ronnie Harrison Jr.available
- Kentavius Streetavailable
- Leonard Floydavailable
- Sam Robertsavailable
- Natrone Brooksavailable
- Jacobee Bryantavailable
- DeAngelo Maloneavailable
- Khalid Kareemavailable
- Keith Taylor Jr.available
- Elijah Garciaavailable
- Ta'Quon Grahamavailable
- Jordan Fulleravailable
- Chris Lindstromavailable
- Elijah Wilkinsonavailable
- Younghoe Kooavailable
- Jammie Robinsonavailable
- Chris Blairavailable
- Liam McCulloughavailable
- Bradley Pinionavailable
- Clark Phillips IIIavailable
- Jake Matthewsavailable
- Teagan Quitorianoavailable
- Ryan Neuzilavailable
- Zane Gonzalezavailable
- John Parker Romoavailable
- Jamal Agnewavailable
- Marcus MariotaQBavailable
- Anthony FirkserTEavailable
- Michael Penix Jr.available
- Kirk Cousinsavailable
- Tyler Allgeieravailable
- Nathan Carteravailable
- Deven Thompkinsavailable
- Feleipe Franksavailable
- Darnell Mooneyavailable
- Todd GurleyRBavailable
- James Pearce Jr.available
- Ruke Orhorhoroavailable
- Sharrod NeasmanCBavailable
- Laquon TreadwellWRavailable
- Brandon PowellWRavailable
- Hayden HurstTEavailable
- Tony Brooks-JamesRBavailable
- Xavier Wattsavailable
- Sydney Brownavailable
- Divine Deabloavailable
- Mike Hughesavailable
- LaCale Londonavailable
- Kendal Danielsavailable
- Jake Baileyavailable
- Harold Perkins Jr.available
- Lorenzo CarterOLBavailable
- Matthew Bergeronavailable
- Christian Harrisavailable
- Nick Folkavailable
- Lee SmithTEavailable
- Cordarrelle PattersonRBavailable
- Mike DavisRBavailable
- Tajae SharpeWRavailable
- A.J. Terrellavailable
- Marvin HallWRavailable
- CJ Hendersonavailable
- Gervon Dexter Sr.available
- Za'Darius Smithavailable
- Cameron Thomasavailable
- Maason Smithavailable
- Avieon Terrellavailable
- Mike Fordavailable
- Yasir Abdullahavailable
- Wayne GallmanRBavailable
- Josh RosenQBavailable
- Parker HesseTEavailable
- Feleipe FranksTEavailable
- Frank DarbyWRavailable
- Kyle PittsTEavailable
- KhaDarel HodgeWRavailable
- Bryan EdwardsWRavailable
- John FitzPatrickTEavailable
- Caleb HuntleyRBavailable
- Avery WilliamsRBavailable
- Drake LondonWRavailable
- Tyler AllgeierRBavailable
- Desmond RidderQBavailable
- Josh AliWRavailable
- Taylor HeinickeQBavailable
- Mack HollinsWRavailable
- Jonnu SmithTEavailable
- Logan WoodsideQBavailable
- Scott MillerWRavailable
- Van JeffersonWRavailable
- Tucker FiskTEavailable
- Bijan RobinsonRBavailable
- Kirk CousinsQBavailable
- Ross DwelleyTEavailable
- Ray-Ray McCloudWRavailable
- Darnell MooneyWRavailable
- Charlie WoernerTEavailable
- Chris BlairWRavailable
- Jase McClellanRBavailable
- Casey WashingtonWRavailable
- Michael PenixQBavailable
- Cooper Rushavailable
- Bijan Robinsonavailable
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