New York JetsatChicago Bears
Sun, Oct 4, 5:00 PM UTC · Soldier Field · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
NYJ 18.1 — CHI 24.1
Win probability
CHI 59%
Model confidence
Moderate
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
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Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
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A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
NYJ (left) versus CHI (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
New York Jets
- Last 5
- 2-3
- Last 10
- 4-6
- Avg scored
- 19.0
- Avg allowed
- 21.2
- Streak
- L2
Chicago Bears
- Last 5
- 3-2
- Last 10
- 5-5
- Avg scored
- 21.2
- Avg allowed
- 19.7
- Streak
- W1
Historical matchup
CHI 0 — 1 NYJ
Sample size: 1 games
This is a very small sample. Head-to-head history carries little weight on its own, especially when rosters, coaching or circumstances have changed.
Player availability
New York Jets
- Demaryius ThomasWRavailable
- Bilal PowellRBavailable
- Josh BellamyWRavailable
- Ryan GriffinTEavailable
- Le'Veon BellRBavailable
- Quincy EnunwaWRavailable
- David FalesQBavailable
- Jamison CrowderWRavailable
- Daniel BrownTEavailable
- Trevor SiemianQBavailable
- Ty MontgomeryWRavailable
- Robbie ChosenWRavailable
- Arthur MauletCBavailable
- B.J. BelloMLBavailable
- C.J. UzomahTEavailable
- Luke FalkQBavailable
- Braxton BerriosWRavailable
- Josh AdamsRBavailable
- Vyncint SmithWRavailable
- Khalil Herbertavailable
- Kene Nwangwuavailable
- John Metchie IIIavailable
- Garrett Wilsonavailable
- Mason Tayloravailable
- Tyler Johnsonavailable
- Josh Reynoldsavailable
- Allen Lazardavailable
- Stone Smarttavailable
- Quentin Skinneravailable
- Jelani Woodsavailable
- Quincy Williamsavailable
- Brandon Stephensavailable
- Isaiah Oliveravailable
- Tony Adamsavailable
- Francisco Mauigoaavailable
- Jermaine Johnsonavailable
- Quinnen Williamsavailable
- Mykal Walkeravailable
- Qwan'tez Stiggersavailable
- Jay Tufeleavailable
- Eric Wattsavailable
- Tyler Baronavailable
- Jordan Clarkavailable
- Khalen Saundersavailable
- Christopher HerndonTEavailable
- Tre Brownavailable
- Samuel Womack IIIavailable
- Payton Pageavailable
- Kobe Kingavailable
- Cam Jonesavailable
- Sam DarnoldQBavailable
- Micheal Clemonsavailable
- Sauce Gardneravailable
- Keidron Smithavailable
- Michael Carter IIavailable
- Dean Clarkavailable
- Ja'Sir Tayloravailable
- Trevon WescoTEavailable
- Leonard Tayloravailable
- Jarius Monroeavailable
- Ja'Markis Westonavailable
- Mark Robinsonavailable
- Armand Membouavailable
- Xavier Gipsonavailable
- Jackson Sirmonavailable
- Kingsley Jonathanavailable
- Nick Folkavailable
- Avery Williamsavailable
- Adonai Mitchellquestionable
- Jeff SmithWRavailable
- Kenyon Sadiqavailable
- Will ParksFSavailable
- Omar Cooper Jr.available
- Jeremy Ruckertavailable
- Demario Davisavailable
- Andre Ciscoavailable
- Jamien Sherwoodavailable
- Dane Beltonavailable
- David Baileyavailable
- Braiden McGregoravailable
- Azareye'h Thomasavailable
- Jarvis Brownleeavailable
- Marcelino McCrary-Ballavailable
- Frank GoreRBavailable
- Joe FlaccoQBavailable
- Chris HoganWRavailable
- Breshad PerrimanWRavailable
- Josh MaloneWRavailable
- Jaleel ScottWRavailable
- Ty JohnsonRBavailable
- Lawrence CagerTEavailable
- Denzel MimsWRavailable
- La'Mical PerineRBavailable
- Justin Fieldsavailable
- Tyrod Tayloravailable
- Brady Cookavailable
- Tyler ConklinTEavailable
- T'Vondre Sweatavailable
- Kingsley Enagbareavailable
- Troy Reederavailable
- Jowon Briggsavailable
- Darrell Jackson Jr.available
- Malachi Mooreavailable
- Thomas Hennessyavailable
- Jason Sandersavailable
- Arian Smithavailable
- Andrew Beckavailable
- Nahshon Wrightavailable
- Will McDonald IVavailable
- Harrison Phillipsavailable
- Isaiah Davisavailable
- Austin McNamaraavailable
- Tevin ColemanRBavailable
- Tyler KroftTEavailable
- Conor McDermottTavailable
- Keelan ColeWRavailable
- Corey DavisWRavailable
- Mike WhiteQBavailable
- Nick BawdenFBavailable
- D.J. MontgomeryWRavailable
- Austin WalterRBavailable
- Braden MannPavailable
- Tarik BlackWRavailable
- Kenny YeboahTEavailable
- Michael CarterRBavailable
- Elijah MooreWRavailable
- Zach WilsonQBavailable
- Chris StrevelerQBavailable
- James RobinsonRBavailable
- Ashtyn DavisSSavailable
- Irvin CharlesWRavailable
- Zonovan KnightRBavailable
- Garrett WilsonWRavailable
- Jeremy RuckertTEavailable
- Breece HallRBavailable
- Aaron RodgersQBavailable
- Thomas MorsteadPavailable
- Randall CobbWRavailable
- Tim BoyleQBavailable
- Allen LazardWRavailable
- Malik TaylorWRavailable
- Brandin EcholsCBavailable
- Israel AbanikandaRBavailable
- Jason BrownleeWRavailable
- Xavier GipsonWRavailable
- Tyrod TaylorQBavailable
- Davante AdamsWRavailable
- Kene NwangwuRBavailable
- Braelon AllenRBavailable
- Isaiah DavisRBavailable
- Malachi CorleyWRavailable
- Geno Smithavailable
- Breece Hallavailable
- Braelon Allenavailable
- Isaiah Williamsavailable
Chicago Bears
- Chase DanielQBavailable
- Cordarrelle PattersonRBavailable
- Trey BurtonTEavailable
- Taylor GabrielWRavailable
- Allen RobinsonWRavailable
- Ben BrauneckerTEavailable
- J.P. HoltzTEavailable
- Tarik CohenRBavailable
- Eric SaubertTEavailable
- Mitchell TrubiskyQBavailable
- Adam ShaheenTEavailable
- Ryan GriffinTEavailable
- Trevor SiemianQBavailable
- Kalif Raymondavailable
- Sam Roushavailable
- Dillon Thienemanavailable
- Cam Lewisavailable
- Anthony MillerWRavailable
- Javon WimsWRavailable
- Ryan NallRBavailable
- Jesper HorstedTEavailable
- Riley RidleyWRavailable
- David MontgomeryRBavailable
- Ted GinnWRavailable
- Jimmy GrahamTEavailable
- Bobby MassieTavailable
- Nick FolesQBavailable
- Lamar MillerRBavailable
- Tyler BrayQBavailable
- Demetrius HarrisTEavailable
- Barkevious MingoOLBavailable
- DeAndre CarterWRavailable
- Artavis PierceRBavailable
- Cole KmetTEavailable
- Darnell MooneyWRavailable
- Nathan PetermanQBavailable
- Tim BoyleQBavailable
- Equanimeous St. BrownWRavailable
- Byron PringleWRavailable
- Andy DaltonQBavailable
- Devin Bushavailable
- James Lynchavailable
- Malik Muhammadavailable
- Skyler Thomasavailable
- Kentavius Streetavailable
- Jack Sanbornavailable
- Neville Gallimoreavailable
- Xavier Woodsavailable
- Beau Gardneravailable
- Josh Blackwellavailable
- Jordan van den Bergavailable
- Cairo Santosavailable
- Zavion Thomasavailable
- Tory Tayloravailable
- Marquise GoodwinWRavailable
- Damien WilliamsRBavailable
- Damiere ByrdWRavailable
- Jesse JamesTEavailable
- DeAndre Houston-CarsonFSavailable
- Jakeem GrantWRavailable
- Caleb Williamsavailable
- Tyson Bagentquestionable
- Cole Kmetavailable
- Rodney AdamsWRavailable
- D'Andre Swiftavailable
- Kyle Monangaiavailable
- Luther Burden IIIavailable
- Roschon Johnsonavailable
- Colston Lovelandavailable
- Rome Odunzeavailable
- Jahdae Walkeravailable
- T.J. Edwardsavailable
- Montez Sweatavailable
- Tyrique Stevensonavailable
- D'Marco Jacksonavailable
- Grady Jarrettavailable
- Austin Bookeravailable
- Isaiah CoulterWRavailable
- Chris Williamsavailable
- Scott Dalyavailable
- Nikola Kalinicavailable
- Jalen Reeves-Maybinavailable
- Jonah Jacksonavailable
- Dallis Flowersavailable
- Jake Moodyavailable
- Khalil HerbertRBavailable
- Dazz NewsomeWRavailable
- Justin FieldsQBavailable
- Dante PettisWRavailable
- Khari BlasingameFBavailable
- Trevon WescoTEavailable
- Nsimba WebsterWRavailable
- N'Keal HarryWRavailable
- Darrynton EvansRBavailable
- Chase ClaypoolWRavailable
- Ihmir Smith-MarsetteWRavailable
- Trestan EbnerRBavailable
- Jake TongesTEavailable
- Velus JonesWRavailable
- Marcedes LewisTEavailable
- Trent TaylorWRavailable
- Robert TonyanTEavailable
- D'Onta ForemanRBavailable
- DJ MooreWRavailable
- Travis HomerRBavailable
- Collin JohnsonWRavailable
- Tyson BagentQBavailable
- Tyler ScottWRavailable
- Roschon JohnsonRBavailable
- Keenan AllenWRavailable
- Gerald EverettTEavailable
- Jonathan OwensSSavailable
- D'Andre SwiftRBavailable
- Josh BlackwellCBavailable
- Caleb WilliamsQBavailable
- Rome OdunzeWRavailable
- Daniel Hardyavailable
- Dayo Odeyingboavailable
- Elijah Hicksavailable
- Jaylon Johnsonavailable
- Joe Tryon-Shoyinkaavailable
- Carl Jones Jr.available
- Kyler Gordonavailable
- Ruben Hyppolite IIavailable
- Shemar Turneravailable
- Tanoh Kpassagnonavailable
- Jonathan Fordavailable
- DJ Mooreavailable
- Brittain Brownavailable
- Olamide Zaccheausavailable
- Travis Homeravailable
- Devin Duvernayavailable
- Durham Smytheavailable
- Tremaine Edmundsavailable
- Kevin Byardavailable
- Jaquan Briskeravailable
- Nahshon Wrightavailable
- Noah Sewellavailable
- C.J. Gardner-Johnsonavailable
- Gervon Dexter Sr.available
- Andrew Billingsavailable
- Nick McCloudavailable
- Dominique Robinsonavailable
- Jonathan Owensavailable
- Amen Ogbongbemigaavailable
- Jaylon Jonesavailable
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