NFL

Scheduled

New England PatriotsatDetroit Lions

Sun, Nov 15, 2:30 PM UTC · FC Bayern Munich Stadium · Season 2026

The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.

Game data updated …

EdgeIQ projection

EdgeIQ NFL Performance v2.0.0

Projected score

NE 20.0 — DET 28.9

Win probability

DET 68%

Model confidence

Moderate

Projection built from each team's scoring over its last 10 games, form weighted toward the last 3 and 5, the strength of the opponents it faced, a home-field adjustment, and a small allowance for high-production players listed as unavailable. Statistical estimate, not a guaranteed outcome.

This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.

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Model insight

Pro feature

See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.

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Market prices

No market prices available for this game yet.

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American odds

Enter the moneyline prices you have seen elsewhere. EdgeIQ converts them into a plain chance of winning, strips out the operator's built-in margin, and shows how that compares with the model estimate. EdgeIQ does not take wagers and shows no prices of its own.

DET

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A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.

Key factors

Team comparison

NE (left) versus DET (right), last 10 completed games.

15.4Points per game28.5

23.2Points allowed24.5

-7.8Scoring differential4.0

3Wins (last 10)7

1340Power rating1740

2Season wins3

Advanced matchup analytics

Pro feature

Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.

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Recent form

New England Patriots

Last 5: 2-3
Last 10: 3-7
Avg scored: 15.4
Avg allowed: 23.2
Streak: L1

Detroit Lions

Last 5: 4-1
Last 10: 7-3
Avg scored: 28.5
Avg allowed: 24.5
Streak: W1

Historical matchup

These teams have no completed head-to-head games in the EdgeIQ database.

This is a very small sample. Head-to-head history carries little weight on its own, especially when rosters, coaching or circumstances have changed.

Player availability

New England Patriots

Tom BradyQBavailable
Benjamin WatsonTEavailable
Matt SlaterWRavailable
Julian EdelmanWRavailable
Antonio BrownWRavailable
James DevelinFBavailable
Brandon BoldenRBavailable
Mohamed SanuWRavailable
Rex BurkheadRBavailable
Drake Mayeavailable
Joshua Dobbsavailable
Rhamondre Stevensonavailable
Antonio Gibsonavailable
Terrell Jenningsavailable
D'Ernest Johnsonavailable
Mack Hollinsavailable
Kyle Williamsavailable
Stefon Diggsavailable
Hunter Henryavailable
Kayshon Boutteavailable
Austin Hooperavailable
Efton Chism IIIavailable
Robert Spillaneavailable
Christian Ellissavailable
James WhiteRBavailable
Lan Larisonavailable
Dre'Mont Jonesavailable
Erick Hunteravailable
Jaylen Reedavailable
Cameron Latuavailable
Karon Pruntyavailable
DaQuan Jonesavailable
Jared Wilsonavailable
Darius Muasauavailable
Mitch Wishnowskyavailable
Quintayvious Hutchinsquestionable
Reggie Gilliamquestionable
Eric TomlinsonTEavailable
Matt LaCosseTEavailable
Jack Gibbensavailable
Cory Durdenavailable
Phillip DorsettWRavailable
Corey Kineravailable
Elandon RobertsILBavailable
Romeo Doubsavailable
Demario Douglasavailable
A.J. Brownavailable
Kevin Byardavailable
DeVante ParkerWRavailable
Namdi Obiazoravailable
Gabe Jacasavailable
Ryan IzzoTEavailable
Jaylinn Hawkinsavailable
Christian Gonzalezavailable
Marcus Jonesavailable
Harold Landry IIIavailable
Jahlani Tavaiavailable
K'Lavon Chaissonavailable
Milton Williamsavailable
Christian Barmoreavailable
Anfernee Jenningsavailable
Marte Mapuavailable
Khyiris Tongaavailable
Elijah Ponderavailable
Dell Pettusavailable
Brenden Schooleravailable
Kyle Duggeravailable
Garrett Bradburyavailable
Richie Grantavailable
Corey Ballentineavailable
Jack Westoveravailable
Mike Onwenuavailable
Bryce Baringeravailable
Joshua Farmeravailable
Alex Austinavailable
Carlton Davis IIIavailable
Charles Woodsavailable
Leonard Tayloravailable
Sony MichelRBavailable
Craig Woodsonavailable
Eric Gregoryavailable
Jakobi MeyersWRavailable
Eli Raridonquestionable
Keion Whiteavailable
Chad Mumaavailable
Darius Harrisavailable
Julian Ashbyavailable
Mark Robinsonavailable
Jeremiah Pharms Jr.available
Miles Battleavailable
Jarrett StidhamQBavailable
Will Campbellavailable
Caleb Murphyavailable
D.J. Jamesavailable
Bradyn Swinsonavailable
Andres Borregalesavailable
Kobee Minoravailable
N'Keal HarryTEavailable
Gunner OlszewskiWRavailable
Chase WinovichDEavailable
Damien HarrisRBavailable
Jakob JohnsonFBavailable
Ty MontgomeryWRavailable
Brian HoyerQBavailable
Devin McCourtyFSavailable
TreVeyon Hendersonavailable
Cam NewtonQBavailable
Donte MoncriefWRavailable
Damiere ByrdWRavailable
Jordan ThomasTEavailable
J.J. TaylorRBavailable
Isaiah ZuberWRavailable
Devin AsiasiTEavailable
Dalton KeeneTEavailable
Nelson AgholorWRavailable
Hunter HenryTEavailable
Kendrick BourneWRavailable
Jonnu SmithTEavailable
Kristian WilkersonWRavailable
Rhamondre StevensonRBavailable
Mac JonesQBavailable
Lil'Jordan HumphreyWRavailable
Marcus JonesCBavailable
Kevin HarrisRBavailable
Pierre StrongRBavailable
Tyquan ThorntonWRavailable
Bailey ZappeQBavailable
Cody DavisFSavailable
Ezekiel ElliottRBavailable
Pharaoh BrownTEavailable
JuJu Smith-SchusterWRavailable
Mike GesickiTEavailable
Jalen ReagorWRavailable
Kayshon BoutteWRavailable
Demario DouglasWRavailable
Malik CunninghamWRavailable
Austin HooperTEavailable
Jacoby BrissettQBavailable
Jamycal HastyRBavailable
Antonio GibsonRBavailable
K.J. OsbornWRavailable
Vederian LoweTavailable
Joe MiltonQBavailable
Jaheim BellTEavailable
Dell PettusFSavailable
Terrell JenningsRBavailable
Drake MayeQBavailable
Javon BakerWRavailable
Ja'Lynn PolkWRavailable

Detroit Lions

Danny AmendolaWRavailable
Matthew StaffordQBavailable
Marvin JonesWRavailable
C.J. AndersonRBavailable
Logan ThomasTEavailable
Jesse JamesTEavailable
Malik Cunninghamavailable
Paul PerkinsRBavailable
Jeff DriskelQBavailable
Tra CarsonRBavailable
J.D. McKissicRBavailable
Daniel Thomasavailable
Erick Hallett IIavailable
Kerby Josephavailable
Tyrus Wheatavailable
Marvin HallWRavailable
Arthur Mauletavailable
Jared Goffavailable
Jahmyr Gibbsavailable
Sione Vakiavailable
Amon-Ra St. Brownavailable
Jameson Williamsavailable
Devin Whiteavailable
Tay Martinavailable
Brock Wrightavailable
D.J. Wonnumavailable
Skyler GillHowardavailable
Roger McCrearyavailable
Eric O'Neillavailable
Christian Izienavailable
Derrick Barnesavailable
Keith Abneyavailable
Chuck Clarkavailable
Jack Campbellavailable
Rock Ya-Sinavailable
Avonte Maddoxavailable
Tyleik Williamsavailable
Aidan Hutchinsonavailable
Thomas Harperavailable
Trevor Nowaskeavailable
Jacob Saylorsavailable
Tyler Lacyavailable
Tom Kennedyavailable
Jamal AgnewWRavailable
Kenny GolladayWRavailable
Kerryon JohnsonRBavailable
Bo ScarbroughRBavailable
Nick BawdenFBavailable
Chris LacyWRavailable
Marcus Davenportavailable
Alim McNeillavailable
Malcolm Rodriguezavailable
Patrick O'Connoravailable
Khalil Dorseyavailable
Zach Cunninghamavailable
Jalen Millsavailable
Nick Whitesideavailable
Jake Batesavailable
Mekhi Wingoavailable
Hogan Hattenavailable
Jack Foxavailable
Monty Riceavailable
Loren Stricklandavailable
Anthony Pittmanavailable
Ty Summersavailable
Chris Hubbardavailable
Graham Glasgowavailable
Dominic Lovettavailable
David BloughQBavailable
T.J. HockensonTEavailable
Wes HillsRBavailable
Ty JohnsonRBavailable
Isaac NautaTEavailable
Travis FulghamWRavailable
Nate SudfeldQBavailable
Adrian PetersonRBavailable
Chase DanielQBavailable
Mohamed SanuWRavailable
Jonathan WilliamsRBavailable
Jason CabindaFBavailable
C.J. MooreFSavailable
Hunter BryantTEavailable
D'Andre SwiftRBavailable
Quintez CephusWRavailable
Darren FellsTEavailable
Tyrell WilliamsWRavailable
Taylor DeckerTavailable
Kalif RaymondWRavailable
Geronimo AllisonWRavailable
Jared GoffQBavailable
Josh ReynoldsWRavailable
Jamaal WilliamsRBavailable
Tim BoyleQBavailable
Godwin IgwebuikeRBavailable
KhaDarel HodgeWRavailable
Trinity BensonWRavailable
Jack FoxPavailable
Matt NelsonTavailable
Tom KennedyWRavailable
Craig ReynoldsRBavailable
Justin JacksonRBavailable
Bobby PriceFSavailable
Shane ZylstraTEavailable
Jermar JeffersonRBavailable
Brock WrightTEavailable
Amon-Ra St. BrownWRavailable
D.J. CharkWRavailable
Bam KnightRBavailable
Malcolm RodriguezILBavailable
Penei SewellTavailable
Jameson WilliamsWRavailable
James MitchellTEavailable
Maurice AlexanderWRavailable
Teddy BridgewaterQBavailable
Anthony FirkserTEavailable
Jalen Reeves-MaybinOLBavailable
Dan SkipperTavailable
Devine OzigboRBavailable
David MontgomeryRBavailable
Khalil DorseyCBavailable
Donovan Peoples-JonesWRavailable
Antoine GreenWRavailable
Sam LaPortaTEavailable
Jahmyr GibbsRBavailable
Allen RobinsonWRavailable
Tim PatrickWRavailable
Grant Stuardavailable
Sam LaPortaavailable
Isaac TeSlaaavailable
Anthony Firkseravailable
Shane Zylstraavailable
Ross Dwelleyavailable
Alex Anzaloneavailable
Brian Branchavailable
Amik Robertsonavailable
Hendon HookerQBavailable
Sione VakiRBavailable
Isaiah WilliamsWRavailable
David Montgomeryavailable
Kyle Allenavailable
Kalif Raymondavailable
Craig Reynoldsavailable
D.J. Reedavailable
Terrion Arnoldavailable
Roy Lopezavailable
DJ Readeravailable
Al-Quadin Muhammadavailable

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