Indianapolis ColtsatMinnesota Vikings
Sun, Oct 25, 5:00 PM UTC · U.S. Bank Stadium · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
IND 19.5 — MIN 26.2
Win probability
MIN 64%
Model confidence
Moderate
Projection built from each team's scoring over its last 10 games, form weighted toward the last 3 and 5, the strength of the opponents it faced, a home-field adjustment, and a small allowance for high-production players listed as unavailable. Statistical estimate, not a guaranteed outcome.
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
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Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
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A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
IND (left) versus MIN (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
Indianapolis Colts
- Last 5
- 1-4
- Last 10
- 3-7
- Avg scored
- 21.7
- Avg allowed
- 29.2
- Streak
- W1
Minnesota Vikings
- Last 5
- 3-2
- Last 10
- 6-4
- Avg scored
- 16.5
- Avg allowed
- 20.5
- Streak
- W3
Historical matchup
MIN 2 — 0 IND
Sample size: 2 games
This is a very small sample. Head-to-head history carries little weight on its own, especially when rosters, coaching or circumstances have changed.
Player availability
Indianapolis Colts
- Brian HoyerQBavailable
- Dontrelle InmanWRavailable
- T.Y. HiltonWRavailable
- Daniel Jonesavailable
- Anthony Richardsonavailable
- Mekhi Blackmonavailable
- Kenny Moore IIavailable
- Kwity Payeavailable
- Neville Gallimoreavailable
- Jack DoyleTEavailable
- Samson Ebukamavailable
- Austin Ajiakeavailable
- Joe Bachieavailable
- Johnathan Edwardsavailable
- Jaylon Jonesavailable
- Cameron Mitchellavailable
- Chris Lammonsavailable
- Buddy Johnsonavailable
- Segun Olubiavailable
- Tyquan Lewisavailable
- Xavien Howardavailable
- Chris Wormleyavailable
- Eric Johnsonavailable
- Chad Mumaavailable
- Mike Hiltonavailable
- Trey Washingtonavailable
- George Odumavailable
- Daniel Scottavailable
- Cameron McGroneavailable
- Durell Nchamiavailable
- Tanor Bortoliniavailable
- Michael Badgleyavailable
- Blake Grupeavailable
- Coleman Owenavailable
- Eric EbronTEavailable
- Jonathan Owensavailable
- Spencer Shraderavailable
- Jonathan Tayloravailable
- Deion Burksavailable
- Tyler Warrenavailable
- Seth McGowanavailable
- Josh Downsavailable
- Alec Pierceavailable
- Laquon Treadwellavailable
- Keenan Allenavailable
- Akeem Davis-Gaitheravailable
- Camryn Bynumavailable
- Bryce Boettcheravailable
- Devin FunchessTEavailable
- Justin Walleyavailable
- Laiatu Latuavailable
- Ross TravisTEavailable
- Chester RogersWRavailable
- AJ Haulcyavailable
- Hunter Wohleravailable
- Adetomiwa Adebaworeavailable
- Sauce Gardneravailable
- Jonathan WilliamsRBavailable
- Marcus JohnsonWRavailable
- DeForest Buckneravailable
- DJ Giddensavailable
- Cam Taylor-Brittavailable
- Jerry Tilleryavailable
- Jacoby BrissettQBavailable
- Arden Keyavailable
- Jaylon Carliesavailable
- Caden Curryavailable
- Grover Stewartavailable
- Charvarius Wardquestionable
- Mo Alie-CoxTEavailable
- Zach PascalWRavailable
- J.T. Tuimoloauavailable
- Tim Smithavailable
- Andrew Ogletreeavailable
- Ashton Dulinquestionable
- Luke Rhodesavailable
- Tahj Chambersavailable
- Kapena Gushikenavailable
- C.J. Allenavailable
- Kenneth Harrisavailable
- Anthony Gouldavailable
- Rigoberto Sanchezavailable
- Chad WilliamsWRavailable
- Marlon MackRBavailable
- Nick FolesQBavailable
- Quenton NelsonGavailable
- Nyheim Miller-HinesRBavailable
- Jordan WilkinsRBavailable
- Ashton DulinWRavailable
- Parris CampbellWRavailable
- Philip RiversQBavailable
- Trey BurtonTEavailable
- T.J. CarrieCBavailable
- Daurice FountainWRavailable
- DeMichael HarrisWRavailable
- Noah TogiaiTEavailable
- Isaiah RodgersCBavailable
- Jonathan TaylorRBavailable
- Michael PittmanWRavailable
- Phillip LindsayRBavailable
- Carson WentzQBavailable
- Keke CouteeWRavailable
- E.J. SpeedOLBavailable
- Philip Riversavailable
- Riley Leonardavailable
- Danny PinterCavailable
- Jacob EasonQBavailable
- Dezmon PatmonWRavailable
- Mike StrachanWRavailable
- Deon JacksonRBavailable
- Ameer Abdullahavailable
- Tyler Goodsonavailable
- Rodney Thomas IIavailable
- Ulysses Bentley IVavailable
- Michael Pittman Jr.available
- Adonai Mitchellavailable
- Mo Alie-Coxavailable
- Will Malloryavailable
- Zaire Franklinavailable
- Nick Crossavailable
- Germaine Prattavailable
- Kylen GransonTEavailable
- Sam EhlingerQBavailable
- Matt RyanQBavailable
- Zack MossRBavailable
- Tyler GoodsonRBavailable
- Andrew OgletreeTEavailable
- JoJo DomannOLBavailable
- Alec PierceWRavailable
- Jelani WoodsTEavailable
- Isaiah McKenzieWRavailable
- D.J. MontgomeryWRavailable
- Gardner MinshewQBavailable
- Juwann WinfreeWRavailable
- Grant StuardMLBavailable
- Jake FunkRBavailable
- Trey SermonRBavailable
- Amari RodgersWRavailable
- Will MalloryTEavailable
- Evan HullRBavailable
- Josh DownsWRavailable
- Anthony RichardsonQBavailable
- Joe FlaccoQBavailable
- Anthony GouldWRavailable
- Adonai MitchellWRavailable
Minnesota Vikings
- Kyle RudolphTEavailable
- Kirk CousinsQBavailable
- Adam ThielenWRavailable
- J.J. McCarthyavailable
- Max Brosmeravailable
- Cam Akersavailable
- Zavier Scottavailable
- Ty Chandleravailable
- Jalen Nailoravailable
- C.J. Hamavailable
- Adam Thielenavailable
- Ben Simsavailable
- Tai Feltonavailable
- Benjamin Yurosekavailable
- Stefon DiggsWRavailable
- Ameer AbdullahRBavailable
- Sean MannionQBavailable
- C.J. HamFBavailable
- Laquon TreadwellWRavailable
- Dalvin CookRBavailable
- Mike BooneRBavailable
- Tyler ConklinTEavailable
- Chad BeebeWRavailable
- Irv SmithTEavailable
- Alexander MattisonRBavailable
- Olabisi JohnsonWRavailable
- Alexander HollinsWRavailable
- Garrett BradburyCavailable
- Johnny MundtTEavailable
- Nick MullensQBavailable
- Tajae SharpeWRavailable
- Brandon DillonTEavailable
- Ben EllefsonTEavailable
- Carson Wentzavailable
- Jordan Addisonavailable
- Demond Claiborneavailable
- Blake Cashmanavailable
- Byron Murphy Jr.available
- Jalen Redmondavailable
- Dallas Turneravailable
- Isaiah Rodgersavailable
- Jacob Thomasavailable
- Justin JeffersonWRavailable
- Josh Metellusavailable
- Eric Wilsonavailable
- Caleb Banksavailable
- Levi Drake Rodriguezavailable
- Luke StockerTEavailable
- Theo Jacksonavailable
- James Pierreavailable
- Domonique Orangeavailable
- Tyrion IngramDawkinsavailable
- Harrison Smithavailable
- Andrew Van Ginkelavailable
- Ivan Pace Jr.questionable
- Jake Goldayavailable
- Andrew DePaolaavailable
- Jay Wardavailable
- Kyle Van Noyavailable
- Chaz Chamblissavailable
- Will Reichardavailable
- Bo Richteravailable
- Myles Priceavailable
- Brett Thorsonavailable
- Jeshaun Jonesavailable
- Ryan Wrightavailable
- Dede WestbrookWRavailable
- Christopher HerndonTEavailable
- K.J. OsbornWRavailable
- Ihmir Smith-MarsetteWRavailable
- Kene NwangwuRBavailable
- Kyler Murrayavailable
- Aaron Jonesavailable
- Jordan Masonavailable
- DeeJay Dallasavailable
- Justin Jeffersonavailable
- Tavierre Thomasavailable
- Fabian Moreauavailable
- Jeff Okudahavailable
- Tyler Battyavailable
- Elijah Williamsavailable
- Austin Keysavailable
- Kobe Kingavailable
- Sione Takitakiavailable
- Donovan Jacksonavailable
- Blake Brandelavailable
- Will Friesavailable
- Taki Taimaniavailable
- T.J. Hockensonavailable
- Josh Oliveravailable
- Jonathan Allenavailable
- Javon Hargraveavailable
- Jonathan Greenardavailable
- Kellen MondQBavailable
- T.J. HockensonTEavailable
- Jalen ReagorWRavailable
- Ty ChandlerRBavailable
- Jalen NailorWRavailable
- Ryan WrightPavailable
- Joshua DobbsQBavailable
- Brandon PowellWRavailable
- Josh OliverTEavailable
- Trishton JacksonWRavailable
- Cam AkersRBavailable
- Nick MuseTEavailable
- Jaren HallQBavailable
- Jordan AddisonWRavailable
- Aaron JonesRBavailable
- Trent SherfieldWRavailable
- Sam DarnoldQBavailable
- Myles GaskinRBavailable
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