Buffalo BillsatMinnesota Vikings
Tue, Nov 10, 1:15 AM UTC · U.S. Bank Stadium · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
BUF 26.4 — MIN 19.4
Win probability
BUF 64%
Model confidence
Moderate
Projection built from each team's scoring over its last 10 games, form weighted toward the last 3 and 5, the strength of the opponents it faced, a home-field adjustment, and a small allowance for high-production players listed as unavailable. Statistical estimate, not a guaranteed outcome.
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
Loading historical accuracy…
Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
Your plan: Free · Unlocks with Pro — $7.98/month
Sample of what Pro unlocks.
Market prices
No market prices available for this game yet.
Compare with an outside price
Enter the moneyline prices you have seen elsewhere. EdgeIQ converts them into a plain chance of winning, strips out the operator's built-in margin, and shows how that compares with the model estimate. EdgeIQ does not take wagers and shows no prices of its own.
Add both prices to see the comparison.
A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
BUF (left) versus MIN (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
Your plan: Free · Unlocks with Pro — $7.98/month
Recent form
Buffalo Bills
- Last 5
- 5-0
- Last 10
- 8-2
- Avg scored
- 29.2
- Avg allowed
- 21.3
- Streak
- W6
Minnesota Vikings
- Last 5
- 3-2
- Last 10
- 6-4
- Avg scored
- 16.5
- Avg allowed
- 20.5
- Streak
- W3
Historical matchup
MIN 1 — 0 BUF
Sample size: 1 games
This is a very small sample. Head-to-head history carries little weight on its own, especially when rosters, coaching or circumstances have changed.
Player availability
Buffalo Bills
- Frank GoreRBavailable
- Andre RobertsWRavailable
- Lee SmithTEavailable
- Patrick DiMarcoFBavailable
- Cole BeasleyWRavailable
- Micah HydeFSavailable
- Matt BarkleyQBavailable
- John BrownWRavailable
- Senorise PerryRBavailable
- T.J. YeldonRBavailable
- Tyler KroftTEavailable
- Duke WilliamsWRavailable
- Isaiah McKenzieWRavailable
- Dion DawkinsTavailable
- Jamison CrowderWRavailable
- Robert FosterWRavailable
- Corey BojorquezPavailable
- Josh AllenQBavailable
- Ty Johnsonavailable
- Elijah Mooreavailable
- Devin SingletaryRBavailable
- Tommy SweeneyTEavailable
- Dawson KnoxTEavailable
- Duke JohnsonRBavailable
- Tanner GentryWRavailable
- Taiwan JonesRBavailable
- Stefon DiggsWRavailable
- Jake KumerowWRavailable
- Siran NealCBavailable
- Jaquan JohnsonFSavailable
- Reggie GilliamFBavailable
- Antonio WilliamsRBavailable
- Gabe DavisWRavailable
- Zack MossRBavailable
- Nyheim HinesRBavailable
- Emmanuel SandersWRavailable
- Matt BreidaRBavailable
- Davis WebbQBavailable
- Mitchell TrubiskyQBavailable
- Tommy DoyleTavailable
- Case KeenumQBavailable
- Quintin MorrisTEavailable
- James CookRBavailable
- Khalil ShakirWRavailable
- Latavius MurrayRBavailable
- Leonard FournetteRBavailable
- Trent SherfieldWRavailable
- Kyle AllenQBavailable
- Deonte HartyWRavailable
- Andy IsabellaWRavailable
- Ty JohnsonRBavailable
- Damien HarrisRBavailable
- Damar HamlinSSavailable
- Dalton KincaidTEavailable
- Amari CooperWRavailable
- Curtis SamuelWRavailable
- Mack HollinsWRavailable
- Mike WhiteQBavailable
- Zach DavidsonTEavailable
- Tyrell ShaversWRavailable
- Ray DavisRBavailable
- Keon ColemanWRavailable
- Reggie Gilliamavailable
- Tyrell Shaversavailable
- Jackson Hawesavailable
- Gabe Davisavailable
- Brandin Cooksavailable
- Curtis Samuelavailable
- Jordan Poyeravailable
- Matt Milanoavailable
- Taron Johnsonavailable
- Shaq Thompsonavailable
- Cam Lewisavailable
- Tre'Davious Whiteavailable
- AJ Epenesaavailable
- Joey Bosaavailable
- Taylor Rappavailable
- DaQuan Jonesavailable
- Larry Ogunjobiavailable
- T.J. Sandersavailable
- Phidarian Mathisavailable
- Dorian Strongavailable
- Jordan Phillipsavailable
- Keonta Jenkinsavailable
- Ja'Marcus Ingramavailable
- Andre Jonesavailable
- Baylon Spectoravailable
- Dane Jacksonavailable
- Darnell Savageavailable
- Zion Logueavailable
- Matt Prateravailable
- Mitch Wishnowskyavailable
- Michael Badgleyavailable
- Brandon Codringtonavailable
- Mecole Hardmanavailable
- Cameron Johnstonavailable
- Brad Robbinsavailable
- Frank Gore Jr.available
- Dalton Kincaidavailable
- Khalil Shakiravailable
- Joshua Palmeravailable
- Keon Colemanavailable
- Dawson Knoxavailable
- Terrel Bernardavailable
- Dorian Williamsavailable
- Christian Benfordavailable
- Cole Bishopavailable
- Davison Igbinosunavailable
- Michael Hoechtavailable
- C.J. Gardner-Johnsonavailable
- Bradley Chubbavailable
- Javon Solomonavailable
- Greg Rousseauavailable
- Deone Walkeravailable
- Dee Alfordavailable
- Jordan Hancockavailable
- Joe Andreessenavailable
- Keleki Latuavailable
- Ed Oliveravailable
- Kaleb ElarmsOrravailable
- Damar Hamlinavailable
- Maxwell Hairstonavailable
- T.J. Parkeravailable
- DeWayne Carteravailable
- Landon Jacksonavailable
- Greg Gainesavailable
- Sam Franklin Jr.available
- Tyler Bassavailable
- Greg Dortchavailable
- Tommy Domanavailable
- DJ Mooreavailable
- Josh Allenavailable
- Mitch Trubiskyavailable
- James Cookavailable
- Ray Davisavailable
Minnesota Vikings
- Kyle RudolphTEavailable
- Kirk CousinsQBavailable
- Adam ThielenWRavailable
- J.J. McCarthyavailable
- Max Brosmeravailable
- Cam Akersavailable
- Zavier Scottavailable
- Ty Chandleravailable
- Jalen Nailoravailable
- C.J. Hamavailable
- Adam Thielenavailable
- Ben Simsavailable
- Tai Feltonavailable
- Benjamin Yurosekavailable
- Stefon DiggsWRavailable
- Ameer AbdullahRBavailable
- Sean MannionQBavailable
- C.J. HamFBavailable
- Laquon TreadwellWRavailable
- Dalvin CookRBavailable
- Mike BooneRBavailable
- Tyler ConklinTEavailable
- Chad BeebeWRavailable
- Irv SmithTEavailable
- Alexander MattisonRBavailable
- Olabisi JohnsonWRavailable
- Alexander HollinsWRavailable
- Garrett BradburyCavailable
- Johnny MundtTEavailable
- Nick MullensQBavailable
- Tajae SharpeWRavailable
- Brandon DillonTEavailable
- Ben EllefsonTEavailable
- Carson Wentzavailable
- Jordan Addisonavailable
- Demond Claiborneavailable
- Blake Cashmanavailable
- Byron Murphy Jr.available
- Jalen Redmondavailable
- Dallas Turneravailable
- Isaiah Rodgersavailable
- Jacob Thomasavailable
- Justin JeffersonWRavailable
- Josh Metellusavailable
- Eric Wilsonavailable
- Caleb Banksavailable
- Levi Drake Rodriguezavailable
- Luke StockerTEavailable
- Theo Jacksonavailable
- James Pierreavailable
- Domonique Orangeavailable
- Tyrion IngramDawkinsavailable
- Harrison Smithavailable
- Andrew Van Ginkelavailable
- Ivan Pace Jr.questionable
- Jake Goldayavailable
- Andrew DePaolaavailable
- Jay Wardavailable
- Kyle Van Noyavailable
- Chaz Chamblissavailable
- Will Reichardavailable
- Bo Richteravailable
- Myles Priceavailable
- Brett Thorsonavailable
- Jeshaun Jonesavailable
- Ryan Wrightavailable
- Dede WestbrookWRavailable
- Christopher HerndonTEavailable
- K.J. OsbornWRavailable
- Ihmir Smith-MarsetteWRavailable
- Kene NwangwuRBavailable
- Kyler Murrayavailable
- Aaron Jonesavailable
- Jordan Masonavailable
- DeeJay Dallasavailable
- Justin Jeffersonavailable
- Tavierre Thomasavailable
- Fabian Moreauavailable
- Jeff Okudahavailable
- Tyler Battyavailable
- Elijah Williamsavailable
- Austin Keysavailable
- Kobe Kingavailable
- Sione Takitakiavailable
- Donovan Jacksonavailable
- Blake Brandelavailable
- Will Friesavailable
- Taki Taimaniavailable
- T.J. Hockensonavailable
- Josh Oliveravailable
- Jonathan Allenavailable
- Javon Hargraveavailable
- Jonathan Greenardavailable
- Kellen MondQBavailable
- T.J. HockensonTEavailable
- Jalen ReagorWRavailable
- Ty ChandlerRBavailable
- Jalen NailorWRavailable
- Ryan WrightPavailable
- Joshua DobbsQBavailable
- Brandon PowellWRavailable
- Josh OliverTEavailable
- Trishton JacksonWRavailable
- Cam AkersRBavailable
- Nick MuseTEavailable
- Jaren HallQBavailable
- Jordan AddisonWRavailable
- Aaron JonesRBavailable
- Trent SherfieldWRavailable
- Sam DarnoldQBavailable
- Myles GaskinRBavailable
EdgeIQ AI
Sign in to ask EdgeIQ AI about this matchup. Free accounts include 5 AI requests per month.
Sign in to askYour hypothetical prediction
Paper predictions only — EdgeIQ never involves money, wagers or payouts.
Sign in to track a prediction