Dallas CowboysatIndianapolis Colts
Sun, Nov 8, 6:00 PM UTC · Lucas Oil Stadium · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
DAL 28.0 — IND 18.9
Win probability
DAL 68%
Model confidence
High
Projection built from each team's scoring over its last 10 games, form weighted toward the last 3 and 5, the strength of the opponents it faced, a home-field adjustment, and a small allowance for high-production players listed as unavailable. Statistical estimate, not a guaranteed outcome.
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
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Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
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A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
DAL (left) versus IND (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
Dallas Cowboys
- Last 5
- 2-3
- Last 10
- 5-5
- Avg scored
- 24.5
- Avg allowed
- 22.8
- Streak
- L1
Indianapolis Colts
- Last 5
- 1-4
- Last 10
- 3-7
- Avg scored
- 21.7
- Avg allowed
- 29.2
- Streak
- W1
Historical matchup
IND 0 — 1 DAL
Sample size: 1 games
This is a very small sample. Head-to-head history carries little weight on its own, especially when rosters, coaching or circumstances have changed.
Player availability
Dallas Cowboys
- Jason WittenTEavailable
- Randall CobbWRavailable
- Jamize OlawaleFBavailable
- Tavon AustinWRavailable
- Amari CooperWRavailable
- Devin SmithWRavailable
- Ezekiel ElliottRBavailable
- Dak PrescottQBavailable
- Blake JarwinTEavailable
- T.Y. HiltonWRavailable
- Dalton SchultzTEavailable
- Cedrick WilsonWRavailable
- Michael GallupWRavailable
- Tony PollardRBavailable
- Dak Prescottavailable
- Javonte Williamsavailable
- KaVontae Turpinavailable
- Ventell BryantWRavailable
- Joe Milton IIIavailable
- Malik Davisavailable
- Jaydon Blueavailable
- Miles Sandersavailable
- Phil Mafahavailable
- Jalen Tolbertavailable
- Kenneth Murray Jr.available
- Donovan Wilsonavailable
- Reddy Stewardavailable
- Andy DaltonQBavailable
- Chris JonesPavailable
- C.J. GoodwinCBavailable
- Garrett GilbertQBavailable
- Blake BellTEavailable
- Mazi Smithavailable
- Darian ThompsonFSavailable
- Noah BrownWRavailable
- Rico DowdleRBavailable
- CeeDee LambWRavailable
- Ben DiNucciQBavailable
- Bryan AngerPavailable
- Jeremy SprinkleTEavailable
- Cooper RushQBavailable
- Corey ClementRBavailable
- Ito SmithRBavailable
- Malik TurnerWRavailable
- Hunter Luepkeavailable
- Ryan Flournoyavailable
- James WashingtonWRavailable
- Brandon Aubreyavailable
- CeeDee Lambavailable
- Jake Fergusonavailable
- George Pickensavailable
- Luke Schoonmakeravailable
- Brevyn SpannFordavailable
- Jonathan Mingoavailable
- Shemar Jamesavailable
- DaRon Blandavailable
- Malik Hookeravailable
- Osa Odighizuwaavailable
- Markquese Bellavailable
- Jadeveon Clowneyavailable
- Donovan Ezeiruakuavailable
- Sam Williamsavailable
- Kenny Clarkavailable
- James Houstonavailable
- Shavon Revelavailable
- Jack Sanbornavailable
- Marist Liufauavailable
- Kaiir Elamavailable
- Sean McKeonTEavailable
- Terence SteeleTavailable
- Jaquan HardyRBavailable
- DeMarvion Overshownavailable
- Solomon Thomasavailable
- Juanyeh Thomasavailable
- Trevon Diggsavailable
- Logan Wilsonavailable
- Chauncey GolstonDTavailable
- Nahshon WrightCBavailable
- Simi FehokoWRavailable
- Malik DavisRBavailable
- Peyton HendershotTEavailable
- Dennis HoustonWRavailable
- Jalen TolbertWRavailable
- Kavontae TurpinWRavailable
- Jake FergusonTEavailable
- Brandin CooksWRavailable
- Noah IgbinogheneCBavailable
- Luke SchoonmakerTEavailable
- Deuce VaughnRBavailable
- Jalen BrooksWRavailable
- Hunter LuepkeFBavailable
- Dalvin CookRBavailable
- Trey LanceQBavailable
- Tyler SmithGavailable
- Juanyeh ThomasFSavailable
- Emari Demercadoavailable
- Caleb Downsavailable
- Jalen Thompsonavailable
- Jaishawn Barhamavailable
- Dee Wintersavailable
- Malachi Lawrenceavailable
- Rashan Garyavailable
- Otito Ogbonniaavailable
- P.J. Lockeavailable
- Cobie Durantavailable
- Tyrus Wheatavailable
- Jonathan Bullardavailable
- LT Overtonavailable
- Von Milleravailable
- Jonathan MingoWRavailable
- Ryan FlournoyWRavailable
- Brevyn Spann-FordTEavailable
- Trikweze Bridgesavailable
- Quinnen Williamsavailable
- C.J. Goodwinavailable
- Alijah Clarkavailable
- Caelen Carsonavailable
- Dante Fowler Jr.available
- Damone Clarkavailable
- Marshawn Kneelandavailable
- Josh Butleravailable
- Jay Toiaavailable
- Corey Ballentineavailable
- Perrion Winfreyavailable
- Zion Childressavailable
- Jalen Brooksavailable
- Parris Campbellavailable
- Princeton Fantavailable
- Trent Siegavailable
- Robert Rochellavailable
- Jalen MorenoCropperavailable
- Bryan Angeravailable
Indianapolis Colts
- Brian HoyerQBavailable
- Dontrelle InmanWRavailable
- T.Y. HiltonWRavailable
- Daniel Jonesavailable
- Anthony Richardsonavailable
- Mekhi Blackmonavailable
- Kenny Moore IIavailable
- Kwity Payeavailable
- Neville Gallimoreavailable
- Jack DoyleTEavailable
- Samson Ebukamavailable
- Austin Ajiakeavailable
- Joe Bachieavailable
- Johnathan Edwardsavailable
- Jaylon Jonesavailable
- Cameron Mitchellavailable
- Chris Lammonsavailable
- Buddy Johnsonavailable
- Segun Olubiavailable
- Tyquan Lewisavailable
- Xavien Howardavailable
- Chris Wormleyavailable
- Eric Johnsonavailable
- Chad Mumaavailable
- Mike Hiltonavailable
- Trey Washingtonavailable
- George Odumavailable
- Daniel Scottavailable
- Cameron McGroneavailable
- Durell Nchamiavailable
- Tanor Bortoliniavailable
- Michael Badgleyavailable
- Blake Grupeavailable
- Coleman Owenavailable
- Eric EbronTEavailable
- Jonathan Owensavailable
- Spencer Shraderavailable
- Jonathan Tayloravailable
- Deion Burksavailable
- Tyler Warrenavailable
- Seth McGowanavailable
- Josh Downsavailable
- Alec Pierceavailable
- Laquon Treadwellavailable
- Keenan Allenavailable
- Akeem Davis-Gaitheravailable
- Camryn Bynumavailable
- Bryce Boettcheravailable
- Devin FunchessTEavailable
- Justin Walleyavailable
- Laiatu Latuavailable
- Ross TravisTEavailable
- Chester RogersWRavailable
- AJ Haulcyavailable
- Hunter Wohleravailable
- Adetomiwa Adebaworeavailable
- Sauce Gardneravailable
- Jonathan WilliamsRBavailable
- Marcus JohnsonWRavailable
- DeForest Buckneravailable
- DJ Giddensavailable
- Cam Taylor-Brittavailable
- Jerry Tilleryavailable
- Jacoby BrissettQBavailable
- Arden Keyavailable
- Jaylon Carliesavailable
- Caden Curryavailable
- Grover Stewartavailable
- Charvarius Wardquestionable
- Mo Alie-CoxTEavailable
- Zach PascalWRavailable
- J.T. Tuimoloauavailable
- Tim Smithavailable
- Andrew Ogletreeavailable
- Ashton Dulinquestionable
- Luke Rhodesavailable
- Tahj Chambersavailable
- Kapena Gushikenavailable
- C.J. Allenavailable
- Kenneth Harrisavailable
- Anthony Gouldavailable
- Rigoberto Sanchezavailable
- Chad WilliamsWRavailable
- Marlon MackRBavailable
- Nick FolesQBavailable
- Quenton NelsonGavailable
- Nyheim Miller-HinesRBavailable
- Jordan WilkinsRBavailable
- Ashton DulinWRavailable
- Parris CampbellWRavailable
- Philip RiversQBavailable
- Trey BurtonTEavailable
- T.J. CarrieCBavailable
- Daurice FountainWRavailable
- DeMichael HarrisWRavailable
- Noah TogiaiTEavailable
- Isaiah RodgersCBavailable
- Jonathan TaylorRBavailable
- Michael PittmanWRavailable
- Phillip LindsayRBavailable
- Carson WentzQBavailable
- Keke CouteeWRavailable
- E.J. SpeedOLBavailable
- Philip Riversavailable
- Riley Leonardavailable
- Danny PinterCavailable
- Jacob EasonQBavailable
- Dezmon PatmonWRavailable
- Mike StrachanWRavailable
- Deon JacksonRBavailable
- Ameer Abdullahavailable
- Tyler Goodsonavailable
- Rodney Thomas IIavailable
- Ulysses Bentley IVavailable
- Michael Pittman Jr.available
- Adonai Mitchellavailable
- Mo Alie-Coxavailable
- Will Malloryavailable
- Zaire Franklinavailable
- Nick Crossavailable
- Germaine Prattavailable
- Kylen GransonTEavailable
- Sam EhlingerQBavailable
- Matt RyanQBavailable
- Zack MossRBavailable
- Tyler GoodsonRBavailable
- Andrew OgletreeTEavailable
- JoJo DomannOLBavailable
- Alec PierceWRavailable
- Jelani WoodsTEavailable
- Isaiah McKenzieWRavailable
- D.J. MontgomeryWRavailable
- Gardner MinshewQBavailable
- Juwann WinfreeWRavailable
- Grant StuardMLBavailable
- Jake FunkRBavailable
- Trey SermonRBavailable
- Amari RodgersWRavailable
- Will MalloryTEavailable
- Evan HullRBavailable
- Josh DownsWRavailable
- Anthony RichardsonQBavailable
- Joe FlaccoQBavailable
- Anthony GouldWRavailable
- Adonai MitchellWRavailable
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