Jacksonville JaguarsatNew York Giants
Sun, Nov 22, 6:00 PM UTC · MetLife Stadium · Season 2026
The model compares each team's historical form and scoring profile; its estimate is not a certain outcome. Explore NFL projections, the methodology and the graded record.
Game data updated …
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
JAX 18.1 — NYG 21.5
Win probability
NYG 57%
Model confidence
Low
Projection built from each team's scoring over its last 10 games, form weighted toward the last 3 and 5, the strength of the opponents it faced, a home-field adjustment, and a small allowance for high-production players listed as unavailable. Statistical estimate, not a guaranteed outcome.
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
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Model insight
See exactly which factors moved this projection and how much weight each one carried — plus how the engine has performed on comparable games in this league and confidence band.
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A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
JAX (left) versus NYG (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
Jacksonville Jaguars
- Last 5
- 3-2
- Last 10
- 5-5
- Avg scored
- 22.4
- Avg allowed
- 18.0
- Streak
- W1
New York Giants
- Last 5
- 4-1
- Last 10
- 5-5
- Avg scored
- 18.4
- Avg allowed
- 19.9
- Streak
- W1
Historical matchup
NYG 1 — 0 JAX
Sample size: 1 games
This is a very small sample. Head-to-head history carries little weight on its own, especially when rosters, coaching or circumstances have changed.
Player availability
Jacksonville Jaguars
- Nick FolesQBavailable
- Cody DavisFSavailable
- Marqise LeeWRavailable
- James O'ShaughnessyTEavailable
- Nick O'LearyTEavailable
- Chris ConleyWRavailable
- Ben KoyackTEavailable
- Geoff SwaimTEavailable
- Trevor Lawrenceavailable
- Seth DeValveTEavailable
- C.J. BoardWRavailable
- Keelan ColeWRavailable
- Dede WestbrookWRavailable
- Leonard FournetteRBavailable
- Logan CookePavailable
- D.J. CharkWRavailable
- Devine OzigboRBavailable
- Josh OliverTEavailable
- Ryquell ArmsteadRBavailable
- Gardner MinshewQBavailable
- Michael WalkerWRavailable
- Charles JonesTEavailable
- Evan EngramTEavailable
- Zay JonesWRavailable
- Bruce MillerFBavailable
- Chris ThompsonRBavailable
- Mike GlennonQBavailable
- Tyler EifertTEavailable
- Eric SaubertTEavailable
- Dare OgunbowaleRBavailable
- Terry GodwinWRavailable
- Craig ReynoldsRBavailable
- Nathan CottrellRBavailable
- Ben EllefsonTEavailable
- James RobinsonRBavailable
- Tyler DavisTEavailable
- Collin JohnsonWRavailable
- Laviska Shenault Jr.WRavailable
- Daniel ThomasSSavailable
- Jake LutonQBavailable
- Marvin JonesWRavailable
- Travis Etienne Jr.available
- LeQuint Allenavailable
- Dyami Brownavailable
- Tavon AustinWRavailable
- Carlos HydeRBavailable
- John BrownWRavailable
- Chris ManhertzTEavailable
- Devin SmithWRavailable
- Laquon TreadwellWRavailable
- Jaydon MickensWRavailable
- Jacob HollisterTEavailable
- Jamal AgnewWRavailable
- C.J. BeathardQBavailable
- Dan ArnoldTEavailable
- Tim Jonesavailable
- Andrew WingardFSavailable
- Tyron JohnsonWRavailable
- Christian KirkWRavailable
- Mekhi SargentRBavailable
- Luke FarrellTEavailable
- Trevor LawrenceQBavailable
- Jamycal HastyRBavailable
- Tim JonesWRavailable
- Travis EtienneRBavailable
- Snoop ConnerRBavailable
- Matt BarkleyQBavailable
- Calvin RidleyWRavailable
- D'Ernest JohnsonRBavailable
- Tank BigsbyRBavailable
- Parker WashingtonWRavailable
- Elijah CooksWRavailable
- Brenton StrangeTEavailable
- Josh ReynoldsWRavailable
- Gabe DavisWRavailable
- Devin DuvernayWRavailable
- Josiah DeguaraTEavailable
- Austin TrammellWRavailable
- Mac JonesQBavailable
- Brian ThomasWRavailable
- Bhayshul Tutenavailable
- Ameer Abdullahavailable
- Chris Rodriguez Jr.available
- Nick Mullensavailable
- Josh Cameronavailable
- Nate Boerkircheravailable
- Caleb Ransawavailable
- Jahlani Tavaiavailable
- Albert Regisavailable
- Ruke Orhorhoroavailable
- DeeJay Dallasavailable
- Brian Thomas Jr.available
- Jakobi Meyersavailable
- Tank Bigsbyavailable
- Travis Hunteravailable
- Parker Washingtonavailable
- Brenton Strangeavailable
- Tim Patrickavailable
- Johnny Mundtavailable
- Hunter Longavailable
- Quintin Morrisavailable
- Austin Trammellavailable
- Foyesade Oluokunavailable
- Andrew Wingardavailable
- Devin Lloydavailable
- Antonio Johnsonavailable
- Eric Murrayavailable
- Montaric Brownavailable
- Jarrian Jonesavailable
- B.J. Green IIavailable
- Emmanuel Ogbahavailable
- Jack Kiseravailable
- Christian Braswellavailable
- Austin Johnsonavailable
- Matt Dickersonavailable
- Yasir Abdullahavailable
- Branson Combsavailable
- Ross Matiscikavailable
- Khalen Saundersavailable
- Cam'Ron SilmonCraigavailable
- Darnell Savageavailable
- Patrick Mekariavailable
- Ezra Clevelandavailable
- Cam Littleavailable
- Logan Cookeavailable
- Josh Allenavailable
- Dennis Gardeckavailable
- Jourdan Lewisavailable
- Ventrell Milleravailable
- Travon Walkeravailable
- DaVon Hamiltonavailable
- Tyson Campbellavailable
- Greg Newsome IIavailable
- Arik Armsteadavailable
- Dawuane Smootavailable
- Rayuan Lane IIIavailable
- Danny Striggowavailable
- Maason Smithavailable
New York Giants
- Eli ManningQBavailable
- Golden TateWRavailable
- Rhett EllisonTEavailable
- Alex TanneyQBavailable
- Russell ShepardWRavailable
- Bennie FowlerWRavailable
- Scott SimonsonTEavailable
- T.J. JonesWRavailable
- Cody LatimerWRavailable
- Jaxson Dartavailable
- Tyler Nubinavailable
- Jevon Hollandavailable
- Chauncey Golstonavailable
- Abdul Carteravailable
- Zaire Barnesavailable
- Brian Burnsavailable
- Deonte Banksavailable
- Andru Phillipsavailable
- Nic Jonesavailable
- Kayvon Thibodeauxavailable
- Javorius AllenRBavailable
- CJ Okoyeavailable
- Andrew Thomasavailable
- Shelby Harrisavailable
- Dominic Zvadaavailable
- Braxton Berriosavailable
- Jordan Stoutavailable
- Sterling ShepardWRavailable
- Cody CoreWRavailable
- Elijhaa PennyRBavailable
- Gunner Olszewskiavailable
- Evan EngramTEavailable
- Wayne GallmanRBavailable
- Da'Mari ScottWRavailable
- Wan'Dale Robinsonavailable
- Jamie Gillanavailable
- Darius Slaytonavailable
- Daniel Bellingeravailable
- Isaiah Hodginsavailable
- Lil'Jordan Humphreyavailable
- Jalin Hyattavailable
- Beaux Collinsavailable
- Chris Manhertzavailable
- Ray-Ray McCloud IIIavailable
- Bobby Okerekeavailable
- Dane Beltonavailable
- Darius Muasauavailable
- Roy Robertson-Harrisavailable
- Demetrius Flannigan-Fowlesavailable
- Dexter Lawrenceavailable
- Rakeem Nunez-Rochesavailable
- Darius Alexanderavailable
- Korie Blackavailable
- Neville Hewittavailable
- Rico Paytonavailable
- Art Greenavailable
- D.J. Davidsonavailable
- Raheem Layneavailable
- Tomon Foxavailable
- Swayze Bozemanavailable
- Dalen Cambreavailable
- Jarrick BernardConverseavailable
- Elijah Garciaavailable
- Victor Dimukejeavailable
- Elijah Chatmanavailable
- Chris Boardavailable
- Younghoe Kooavailable
- Beau Bradeavailable
- Jermaine Eluemunoravailable
- Thomas Fidone IIavailable
- Aaron Stinnieavailable
- Graham Ganoavailable
- Ben Saulsavailable
- Jude McAtamneyavailable
- Eric Grayavailable
- Saquon BarkleyRBavailable
- Cameron Johnstonavailable
- Kaden SmithTEavailable
- Jon HillimanRBavailable
- Micah McFaddenavailable
- Darius SlaytonWRavailable
- Daniel JonesQBavailable
- Nick VannettTEavailable
- Marcus JohnsonWRavailable
- Matt BreidaRBavailable
- Davis WebbQBavailable
- Colt McCoyQBavailable
- Dion LewisRBavailable
- Alfred MorrisRBavailable
- Levine ToiloloTEavailable
- Devonta FreemanRBavailable
- Riley DixonPavailable
- C.J. BoardWRavailable
- Damion RatleyWRavailable
- Nick GatesCavailable
- Dante PettisWRavailable
- Jameis Winstonavailable
- Cameron Skatteboavailable
- Devin Singletaryavailable
- Tyrone Tracyavailable
- Najee Harrisavailable
- Isaiah Likelyavailable
- Darnell Mooneyavailable
- Malik Nabersavailable
- Malachi Fieldsavailable
- Theo Johnsonavailable
- Tremaine Edmundsavailable
- Arvell Reeseavailable
- Greg Newsome IIavailable
- DJ Readeravailable
- Elijah Campbellavailable
- Paulson Adeboavailable
- Ar'Darius Washingtonavailable
- Colton Hoodavailable
- Malik Harrisonavailable
- Austin MackWRavailable
- Andrew ThomasTavailable
- Richie JamesWRavailable
- Kyle RudolphTEavailable
- Mike GlennonQBavailable
- Devontae BookerRBavailable
- Pharoh CooperWRavailable
- John RossWRavailable
- Kenny GolladayWRavailable
- Keion CrossenCBavailable
- Chris MyarickTEavailable
- David SillsWRavailable
- Alex BachmanWRavailable
- Tanner HudsonTEavailable
- Jake FrommQBavailable
- Collin JohnsonWRavailable
- Gary BrightwellRBavailable
- Kadarius ToneyWRavailable
- Tyrod TaylorQBavailable
- Jamie GillanPavailable
- Lawrence CagerTEavailable
- Isaiah HodginsWRavailable
- Daniel BellingerTEavailable
- Wan'Dale RobinsonWRavailable
- Darren WallerTEavailable
- Parris CampbellWRavailable
- Gunner OlszewskiWRavailable
- Ben BredesonGavailable
- Deon JacksonRBavailable
- Russell Wilsonavailable
- Jashaun CorbinRBavailable
- Eric GrayRBavailable
- Tommy DeVitoQBavailable
- Jalin HyattWRavailable
- Chris ManhertzTEavailable
- Tim BoyleQBavailable
- Devin SingletaryRBavailable
- Drew LockQBavailable
- Ihmir Smith-MarsetteWRavailable
- Cor'Dale Flottavailable
- Dane BeltonSSavailable
- Bryce Ford-WheatonWRavailable
- Malik NabersWRavailable
- Tyrone TracyRBavailable
- Theo JohnsonTEavailable
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